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Devin Knotts

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Everything posted by Devin Knotts

  1. As the resident Browns fan of the staff. I'm torn on this one. In Dorsey I trust as he knows Hunt a lot better than any of us, but I'm not sure putting Hunt back near his hometown where the on-camera incident happened is a good idea. Interested to see what the contract is, it could be a low-risk high-upside move with contingencies that one foot out of line and you're gone.
  2. Couple things for me. 1) React faster and don't ignore early season success. It's easy to ignore players such as Tyler Boyd and Phillip Lindsay and I did for the most part. Having a pre-conceived bias heading into the season that has you create a narrative on why that player will not be successful. 2) I spent up on Ertz almost everywhere this year and where I did it paid big time. Getting either Ertz or Kelce is such a big advantage and should be drafted much higher next season. 3) This is nothing new for me, but paying up for running backs continues to be the right strategy. While Zero RB can still work, you have to get lucky. The theory that you're the only one searching for running backs off the waiver wire is a flawed concept that might work in an extremely casual office league, but if you're playing with people that know what they are doing everyone is looking for running backs every week. 4) Don't overvalue top-end quarterbacks. I went out of the way to draft Aaron Rodgers in a number of leagues. I still think there is value in taking the elite quarterback, but at the right cost. For example, someone is going to likely take Mahomes far too early next year.
  3. This has been fixed David sends his apologies was an error on the upload getting cut off.
  4. We talk about guaranteed money, but it's not necessarily true. In the NFL, if you're a first or second round quarterback, you're essentially given a chance to play at some point and the team is committing to you. For every Bryce Harper, Mike Trout, Kris Bryant who are top picks that make a ton of money there are these players who were top #1 or #2 picks overall. Even these players make about the same as the elite quarterbacks in the NFL ~$30M per year. If you expand outside of the top 2 the list is massive. The reality is that baseball is incredibly hard and if you don't succeed, you get your signing bonus of about $5M in Murray's case, but you're making pennies living in small towns for years with massive pressure. Murray is incredibly raw as a baseball player so it is far from a guarantee he makes the majors. Even if you make the majors, you're making less than $1M a year until arbitration which is 3 years of MLB service. Brady Aiken #1 2014 pick Tyler Kolek #2 2014 pick Mark Appel #1 2013 pick Danny Hultzen #2 2011 pick
  5. Kyler Murray is likely suspended for tomorrow's game or at least for part of it for violation of team rules. Should help Trey Sermon. Not sure I can trust either Austin Kendall or Murray.
  6. Ian Book starting for Notre Dame over Wimbush. Book essentially becomes a free play on Fanduel
  7. Grier Jefferson Dillon Sills Simmons Buckley Tate This is my cash lineup today for the FanDuel main slate. Essentially I hate all of the wide receivers on this slate, so punting with Simmons/Buckley.
  8. This main slate is really bad this week as all of the wide receivers are garbage. The night slate on FanDuel though is awesome.
  9. I prefer Sills, just because outside of the Youngstown State game he has such consistent upside. I generally believe they were up big and just sat him. We've seen this offense have enough passing potential to support two elite wr before. While Kansas State isn't the team I'd target both, I think Sills finds the end zone twice this week.
  10. On FanDuel you don't have to, on DraftKings he's certainly intriguing although I think I like Dion Lewis more
  11. Higdon reminds me of Melvin Gordon a few years ago (or was it Montee Ball). Announced the third drive of the game after Corey Clement was going off.
  12. The Emannuel Hall injury is costing me a lot this week. Had 3/62 in the first quarter.
  13. Awesome!!!! Well done heck of a week
  14. I'm crushing FanDuel, winning every cash game as people loved Tua. My DraftKings GPP, I wasn't able to enter a lot of the early one's but am top 20 on a few with no chances of winning either. Best of luck!
  15. @BassNBrew Honestly it improves each week as we get more data on these teams. I went back and looked at 2011-2015. Week 1 and 2 are my worst weeks for whatever reason, and once October kicks in there is a drastic improvement in profitability.
  16. I do like the Army quarterback quite a bit, I think he could have big upside in this game. Regarding Hawaii, they allowed 307 yards passing to Liberty last week even in a 38-14 win. Cole McDonald for Hawaii is the real deal having thrown for 418, 428 and 319 yards. I have him at 285 yards. What's interesting about Hawaii is that 85% of their yards go through three receivers.
  17. Hey @RunPassCatch_22 Good suggestion, I'll start answering questions here every Saturday morning and sporadically throughout the week to try to grow this
  18. Dang, Calcaterra who I had 100% of goes off the field for a play and his backup scores a 65 yard TD. Was looking great until that
  19. Great cash for Dan, was exciting to see him with a great start to the year. He will actually be doing one of our slate writeups starting next week.
  20. We'll have articles covering DraftKings and now FanDuel for the Saturday slates. I'm not sure if I'll be doing any of them or not I'm still figuring out who the best people are to do that as I have a ton of responsibilities on the NFL side along with doing the projections and IVC's. We'll see I love writing about the slates a lot more than doing the projections as I can explain the numbers, but it will just come down to if time allows me to do that.
  21. Are you close to Kentucky? You can enter contests in Kentucky and edit in TN.
  22. They won't be ready for the 3 game slate tomorrow (today). Admittedly, we were a bit surprised by the news and are frantically trying to get them up for the 8 game slate Thursday and the 16 game slate next Saturday. Would rather spend the extra time trying to really learn these teams again as while I know them it's a different animal knowing them to the level where you're comfortable creating projections.