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Late225

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About Late225

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  1. TLDR; Eagles fan who bought Murray heavily, he's not going to rebound in my opinion. I bought Murray heavily this season and it hasn't turned out well. Also - I'm an Eagles homer, so I've seen a ton of games. Murray has looked like the 4th best running back on the team this year. They haven't helped by using him on a lot of sweeps and passes to the flat. They need to use him in the I Formation and get him running North and South - and they've done that at times, but even when he does that, he hasn't been explosive hitting the hole. There was a point in the Dolphins game when he decided to slide after a first down instead of trying to gain more yards or make contact with a defensive back. At a time when people thought the team was starting to quit on Chip, Murray is probably the guy who everyone thinks quit at that point and probably still has quit. The only way he's going to continue getting carries is if he gets carries to justify his contract. He's looked like the worst running back on the roster, and it's probably too late to sell Murray, but I highly doubt he will rebound. I expect Barner to start overtaking him for carries and if Ryan Mathews ever gets through the concussion protocol, he will definitely get more touches than Murray.
  2. What a steal. The Pats are such a smart organization that the Colts could learn a thing or two about. It looks like everyone in here is pro Lewis. I'm neutral. I sold in a few leagues where I got good offers. I'm lukewarm on this news. On one hand, it's a good thing they signed him. On the other, that's clearly not great money. It's definitely not "this guy is going to be a RB1 for the next 3 years" money. Wouldn't that be he and his agent's doing though? Maybe he wants to stay in the Patriots' organization and is willing to take that deal now instead of negotiating and thinking someone else will give him more? It's possible his agent was taken to the cleaners. If nothing else, it's an indicator of what him, his agent, and the Pats think of him. I'm seeing different numbers now from Rotoworld vs this tweet. Rotoworld is reporting numbers closer to a $2 million base. That would put him on the low spectrum of starters and the top backups. It puts him in the Deangelo Williams/Roy Helu/Rashad Jennings/Bilal Powell/Chris Ivory/Pierre Thomas tier of contracts. That would actually bode well for him. If the $2 million base numbers are correct, I'm more optimistic than I originally was about this extension. Again - this contract doesn't mean anything by itself, it's just an indicator. Like all stats, you just need to take it with a grain of salt and not read too much into it. With that being said, $2 million base is a much, much better indicator than the initial $600K base reported.
  3. What a steal. The Pats are such a smart organization that the Colts could learn a thing or two about. It looks like everyone in here is pro Lewis. I'm neutral. I sold in a few leagues where I got good offers. I'm lukewarm on this news. On one hand, it's a good thing they signed him. On the other, that's clearly not great money. It's definitely not "this guy is going to be a RB1 for the next 3 years" money.
  4. I think I'm undervaluing Lewis because of the opportunity cost. I didn't use a high draft pick on him - just a waiver pickup. Maybe I'm not in the majority, though.
  5. I did the splits on Vereen/Blount/Ridley from 2012-2014 about 5-10 pages ago because the cold weather narrative came up. Spoiler: the numbers don't back it up. They do pass a bit more, but that will only help keep Lewis on the field. Fair point. I missed a lot of the discussion. Hopefully, I didn't get beat up too bad on the trades I made, lol. I think you should go back to about page 8 or so, good discussion as to why he's not Jonas Gray, James White or even Shane Vereen. What kind of trades did you make for market clarity, of course. Dion Lewis for Marshawn Lynch (ppr) Dion Lewis for Frank Gore and Sam Bradford (ppr, qb scoring heavy) Dion Lewis for Justin Forsett (ppr) all redraft
  6. I did the splits on Vereen/Blount/Ridley from 2012-2014 about 5-10 pages ago because the cold weather narrative came up. Spoiler: the numbers don't back it up. They do pass a bit more, but that will only help keep Lewis on the field. Fair point. I missed a lot of the discussion. Hopefully, I didn't get beat up too bad on the trades I made, lol.
  7. Anything can happen sure, but to say there are 40+ RBs that are better assets in dynasty is just absurd. I'd like to know their process for rankings. I can agree with 40+ RBs being more valuable than Lewis. I certainly wouldn't say that it is absurd. Weren't Jonas Gray and James White both getting similar production on a week to week basis at one point?
  8. I didn't keep up with this entire conversation, but are people overlooking how Belichick uses running backs differently towards the end of the season? I think Lewis is a guy you can use right now, but will diminish as the season progresses. I only have Lewis in redraft leagues, so I'm not sure of the dynasty implications, but I sold Lewis in all leagues this week. I'm not sure when Belichick is going to start changing up his backs, but I think it's a matter of when, not if it will happen. Feel free to disagree. I was able to get Gore, Forsett, and Marshawn Lynch in the three leagues where I traded him.
  9. I'm starting to think it might be time to drop him. Drafting Montgomery in the 3rd was the writing on the wall.
  10. I recall Foles being on pace to be a top 4/5 fantasy quarterback in 2013. He was drafted somewhere 8-10 in fantasy drafts. If Bradford can stay healthy, he should be able to put up top 5 quarterback numbers. This assumes the pass/run ratio is the same as last year. I'm on the Eagles message board a lot, and doctors have said that when you have 1 torn ACL, you are at risk for a second. However, when you have 2 torn ACLs, you are not at an increased risk for a third. It's actually a higher percentage likelihood you tear a second ACL after a first, then tearing a third ACL after a second. I don't understand how that works, but that's what a few doctors have mentioned on the boards. I'd love to hear Jene weigh in at some point. I think Bradford is a buy. He's a bargain in redraft leagues, and while only 27, he's a steal in fantasy leagues. The downside is that there is some speculation that the Eagles will run a higher percentage of plays this year. They ran a lot of run plays last year, so I'm not too concerned about it.
  11. This is one of the worst contracts in sports. Romo is uncuttable.
  12. Draft is a long way away. Geno was the #1 overall pick weeks before the draft. Lots of things can change. Let's see how everything is looking in April.
  13. I'm loving Montee Ball's value right now. I just picked him up off the free agent pool in 2 redrafts. Anderson and Hillman already rostered in both leagues.
  14. He's teasing people again. I'm not falling for it.No sir. For a 14th round rb (I guess this depends on your league and format, but I grabbed him in round 14 last week), I think he's worth a shot.
  15. Got him in 5th round or undrafted in most of my rookie drafts.