Hear-the-Footsteps

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About Hear-the-Footsteps

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  1. The FD one finished with 258. (Probably doesn't look like a good score. But on a night with just 3 games, it was good enough to win all the double-ups, 50/50s, and the few triple-ups I put it in.) The DK one finished with 233. (This won all the double-ups, 50/50s, and triple-ups I put it in. But it did lose a contest that had 106 entries where only the top 20 cashed out.) Wish every night was like this. (Tues nt: lost all my FD entries and won all my DK entries. Would be a wash if it wasn't for the rake. And Wed nt: exact same thing happened - won all in one and lost all in the other.)
  2. No idea if anyone cares, but I will be rolling with this tonight: FD: Felton, Grant, Lee, Galloway, Melo, George, Griffin, Millsap, and Jordan DK: Felton, Grant, CJ Miles, Melo, Porzingis, Griffin, Jordan, C.Paul Liked both lineups better earlier in the day. The more I stare at them, the less I like them.
  3. Hey Assani, I remember following your poker thread years ago. Glad to see you are killing it in the DFS space. Was curious about a few things (if it is cool to ask): 1) Which DFS sites do you use the most? (FD, DK, etc?) 2) Which sports do you play? 3) And which sites do you like for help in projecting lineups for each sport? I know there are so many now. I just don't know which are considered the "reliable" ones. Thanks!!
  4. Logged on; ready to roll. Ok with starting early.
  5. Not just for you. He pulled all his posts. I had an opinion about how roster configuration based off of previous winners was not the most important thing to look at, even though it seems to be a big focus in this thread. I mentioned how the right players - finding value, potential breakout guys (like last yr's Forsett or OBJ), and strategy of when to take certain players is all important as well. He got upset with me. (You can still see it as most of it has been quoted.) Literally said that this was why he did not post more findings. I explained myself - as nicely, respectfully, and rationally as possible (you can see this too above). Even apologized (even though if you followed along I did not remotely have to) if my opinions offended him. At some point he decided to take down his posts. That's the timeline for you in a nutshell.
  6. I did not play MFLxx's last year, but my understanding is that there was a kicker roster spot that has been removed. This means that last year data is less relevant. If you took 3 kickers and 3 defenses last year, you were shooting yourself in the foot in terms of depth at the other positions. This year, you will be adding many more points to your weekly balance by adding a 3rd D in the 19th or 20th round and flexing the extra spot to a position of weakness. Great point. There were probably some who took Ks a little too early last yr - when other decent Qs/Rs/Ws/Ts were still available. Meanwhile there were probably some that got burned by waiting til the very last round (ie, guy ends up not being the true kicker of the team since it was like the 30th K drafted). Either way - that has to effect the data. (Disclaimer: Maybe it does not affect it by a ton. So let me repeat: this is NOT the most important thing.) But clearly that change does affect numerous things this yr when analyzing the data. Now you have an extra shot at a flyer or breakout candidate. Or can triple up on a D when you would not have last yr. Who knows?!
  7. I find it very interesting too (ie, roster construction type issues). All I did (and feel free to re-read it) - is say it has some merit, but perhaps might not be as important as picking the "right" players. And sure, there is some discussion on which players in other threads as you just mentioned. But that is different in standard re-draft leagues. MFL10s are best ball. You have that roster all season. There is no dropping a guy bc he stinks. In standard redraft leagues, you can drop a guy. Heck you can nab a potential sleeper a round or two early bc if it does not work out - you drop him. In MFL10s, you can't do that. You are stuck with that guy. So an interesting topic within this thread, just in my opinion, would be about the "right" players to go for. For instance, are you better off taking a swing for the fences player who can be a breakout star, but can also easily be a nothing and bust? Or are you better off taking a guy in those late rounds that does not have the potential to hit the fences, but definitely won't be a zero in the lineup. Maybe he goes for 48-650-4. Nothing terribly exciting there. And on the weeks of 0-2 receptions for 0-40 yards and no TDs, that won't make your starting lineup. But on the occasional weeks of 5-112-1 - that does make your lineup. Since this is a thread about MFL10s, I would think there should be all of that. Meaning optimal roster construction, along with "breakout" candidates, as well as some discussion on going for the HR vs the nice floor guys who should find their way into your lineup once in a while. All of that belongs in this thread. And to jump on a guy for bringing up a new MFL point in an MFL thread seems ridiculous. Yes, but you started your post off saying the analysis provided was "for the most part missing the point." If I had put in the work and then read that post, I'd probably take offense to it, too. If you wanted to move the discussion towards discussing late round strategy, you could have just started discussing late round strategy. As stated above, I don't think anyone was under the impression that MFL10 success was primarily determined by emulating last year's winning roster construction. Also, you did say people would probably jump on you for your post, and that's fine. Anyways, sorry to digress even further. If talking about roster construction is unproductive, talking about talking about roster construction is extremely unproductive. Excited to see Rd 2 get underway. 1) "For the most part missing the point." Yes, I stand by that. It is my opinion. It is formulated on all things football - having been in many MFL10s. It was not presented rudely. It was not presented in a way to pick a fight. It was not focused on any one person as several have been talking about optimal roster construction. So I expressed an opinion. Still not seeing the big deal. 2) Yes, I did say people would jump on me for it. I know how these boards work. And I have had off-board discussions with several others from these threads (including staff) that used to post a lot more bc of the recent trend over the years of "jumping" on a guy. There used to be a ton more threads and a ton more active posters. Many have noticed the "jump" on him bit even though the guy getting jumped on did not necessarily do a single thing wrong. 3) But completely agree that talking about talking about it is an even bigger waste. And I never meant for that to happen when I posted about picking players over picking strategy or a specific roster. Never.
  8. Who me? Why? I am not saying there is no value in that stuff. I am just saying I don't think it is the most important part. If me having a different opinion than you makes you not want to post, then I am confused. Isn't a message board about sharing different opinions? Sorry if I somehow offended you. Honestly did not mean to. Point me to anywhere anyone has said it's the most important part. Got it. You're a very literal guy. I am on a football message board and you are taking my words so literally that you don't want to post your findings anymore. Got it. Years and years ago I used to post in the FBG threads all the time. But there are always those guys that hate when people have a different opinion. Or pick on a single word - out of an entire post. And then jump on that guy. Never ever understood this. I personally know of a couple of FBG staff members that agree with me. They too used to post more, but there was too much jumping on a guy - when it was not even remotely deserved. I bet if you re-read my post with an open mind - you will see I did nothing to remotely deserve getting jumped on. And I did nothing that should offend you from wanting to post your findings. My apologies if I implied some believed it to be the most important part. I guess I was under that impression since there is a lot more discussion on that sort of stuff than there is on who will be the breakout guys. If for some reason that offended you, my apologies. My guess is that since there are plenty of sleeper/bust threads, as well as threads for almost every relevant player, that people feel like it would be double dipping to repost it here, and the conversation has just never naturally flowed in that direction. The 2014 NFL10 roster construction discussion is one that really only fits in this thread, and as a new MFL10 player this year, I found it very interesting. There also has been quite a bit of dissection of current rosters, which gives insight as to who people are taking late, although the discussion hasn't keyed in on that specifically. By the way, the irony of what you wrote about how this thread/conversation has just not ever naturally flowed in the direction of player talk is wrong. The very first post of the entire thread - by the guy that started the thread - was asking about a player. He was talking about Gronk as a good move with the first overall pick. Yet somehow I suggested player evaluation in an MFL is pretty important too and Bway got mad at me for it. Not making that up or starting anything. It's all right there above this.
  9. Who me? Why? I am not saying there is no value in that stuff. I am just saying I don't think it is the most important part. If me having a different opinion than you makes you not want to post, then I am confused. Isn't a message board about sharing different opinions? Sorry if I somehow offended you. Honestly did not mean to. Point me to anywhere anyone has said it's the most important part. Got it. You're a very literal guy. I am on a football message board and you are taking my words so literally that you don't want to post your findings anymore. Got it. Years and years ago I used to post in the FBG threads all the time. But there are always those guys that hate when people have a different opinion. Or pick on a single word - out of an entire post. And then jump on that guy. Never ever understood this. I personally know of a couple of FBG staff members that agree with me. They too used to post more, but there was too much jumping on a guy - when it was not even remotely deserved. I bet if you re-read my post with an open mind - you will see I did nothing to remotely deserve getting jumped on. And I did nothing that should offend you from wanting to post your findings. My apologies if I implied some believed it to be the most important part. I guess I was under that impression since there is a lot more discussion on that sort of stuff than there is on who will be the breakout guys. If for some reason that offended you, my apologies. My guess is that since there are plenty of sleeper/bust threads, as well as threads for almost every relevant player, that people feel like it would be double dipping to repost it here, and the conversation has just never naturally flowed in that direction. The 2014 NFL10 roster construction discussion is one that really only fits in this thread, and as a new MFL10 player this year, I found it very interesting. There also has been quite a bit of dissection of current rosters, which gives insight as to who people are taking late, although the discussion hasn't keyed in on that specifically. I find it very interesting too (ie, roster construction type issues). All I did (and feel free to re-read it) - is say it has some merit, but perhaps might not be as important as picking the "right" players. And sure, there is some discussion on which players in other threads as you just mentioned. But that is different in standard re-draft leagues. MFL10s are best ball. You have that roster all season. There is no dropping a guy bc he stinks. In standard redraft leagues, you can drop a guy. Heck you can nab a potential sleeper a round or two early bc if it does not work out - you drop him. In MFL10s, you can't do that. You are stuck with that guy. So an interesting topic within this thread, just in my opinion, would be about the "right" players to go for. For instance, are you better off taking a swing for the fences player who can be a breakout star, but can also easily be a nothing and bust? Or are you better off taking a guy in those late rounds that does not have the potential to hit the fences, but definitely won't be a zero in the lineup. Maybe he goes for 48-650-4. Nothing terribly exciting there. And on the weeks of 0-2 receptions for 0-40 yards and no TDs, that won't make your starting lineup. But on the occasional weeks of 5-112-1 - that does make your lineup. Since this is a thread about MFL10s, I would think there should be all of that. Meaning optimal roster construction, along with "breakout" candidates, as well as some discussion on going for the HR vs the nice floor guys who should find their way into your lineup once in a while. All of that belongs in this thread. And to jump on a guy for bringing up a new MFL point in an MFL thread seems ridiculous.
  10. Who me? Why? I am not saying there is no value in that stuff. I am just saying I don't think it is the most important part. If me having a different opinion than you makes you not want to post, then I am confused. Isn't a message board about sharing different opinions? Sorry if I somehow offended you. Honestly did not mean to. Point me to anywhere anyone has said it's the most important part. Got it. You're a very literal guy. I am on a football message board and you are taking my words so literally that you don't want to post your findings anymore. Got it. Years and years ago I used to post in the FBG threads all the time. But there are always those guys that hate when people have a different opinion. Or pick on a single word - out of an entire post. And then jump on that guy. Never ever understood this. I personally know of a couple of FBG staff members that agree with me. They too used to post more, but there was too much jumping on a guy - when it was not even remotely deserved. I bet if you re-read my post with an open mind - you will see I did nothing to remotely deserve getting jumped on. And I did nothing that should offend you from wanting to post your findings. My apologies if I implied some believed it to be the most important part. I guess I was under that impression since there is a lot more discussion on that sort of stuff than there is on who will be the breakout guys. If for some reason that offended you, my apologies.
  11. And this is why I leave the board for months and months at a time. I never understood people getting offended over someone else having a different opinion. Did I make fun of your findings? No. Did I even acknowledge that it has some merit? Yes. I put an opinion out there. I explained it. Politely and respectfully. I then explained it some more. So I have no clue what I did wrong here.
  12. Who me? Why? I am not saying there is no value in that stuff. I am just saying I don't think it is the most important part. If me having a different opinion than you makes you not want to post, then I am confused. Isn't a message board about sharing different opinions? Sorry if I somehow offended you. Honestly did not mean to.
  13. Agreed. There is definitely some merit in looking at all that. Not suggesting it has no value. Just saying that the way the discussions go on Twitter, you'd think that was the most important aspect to winning an MFL10. And I would love to see more discussion on which late round flyers people are taking and why (ie, who can be a breakout star this yr). I guess I also believe that lots of strategies can work. For example, I think each of the following is a good approach: - one early QB (like Wilson in the 6th) with another QB much later (like 15th); - no early QBs, but two in the 9th - 13th overall range (like Tannehill and Eli; or Brady and Stafford); - no early QBs, not mid draft QBs, but 3 late (Bridgewater, Flacco, Cutler). Since all look good to me, I would rather focus on who can push their game to another level. Who will be the guy that can be taken late, that will go a lot earlier next yr?
  14. Gonna jump in here with my two cents. I have noticed there is a lot of talk in this thread regarding studying last yr's MFL10s - what worked and what did not. More to that point, some have been trying to find the optimal number of each position (ie, how many Qs, how many Rs, how many Ws, etc). Some have even taken it a step further looking at when to take each (ie, how many RBs to have by round 5, when to take 1st QB, etc). I think this has some merit, but for the most part, I think it is missing the point. Some of you will jump on me for that. That's fine. I just think it is more important to get value and hit the occasional home run (or at least a few doubles and triples). Think about it this way - if someone last yr took Forsett and OBJ extremely late - they probably did very well. Provided they were not stupid and drafting Marvin Jones in the 1st or Larry Donnell in the 2nd, a team that took Forsett and OBJ late probably did very well. Now if someone did take those two late and just drafted decent/solid the rest of the way - do you think it matters if they had 2 QBs vs 3? Or 2 defenses vs 3? Probably not. But if they won their league and some studying the MFL10 winners are looking at their roster makeup - they will put a mark in the column of "Winner with 2 QBs" or "Winner with 3 QBs" - and then that column (whether it is 2 or 3) will get credit it might not necessarily deserve. Meaning Forsett and OBJ were essentially the reason they won. Not that they went with 2 or 3 QBs. Looking at it another way - if that team drafted decent/solid most of the way through and took Forsett and OBJ very late - do you think it really matters if they took at 3rd QB in the 15th versus a flyer on another WR? My guess is that if they won - that change in the 15th would not matter. So the point is not necessarily finding the optimal amount at each position; or even when to take each position. The idea is to find extreme value like Forsett or OBJ last yr. Just because a team won with only 3 RBs last yr - does not mean that is optimal. After all, maybe that team took L.Bell in the 2nd, Murray in the 3rd, and Forsett in the 18th. Does that mean a 3 RB team is ideal? Of course not. Does not mean avoiding a RB in the 1st round is the way to go - since after all, this team did not take a RB in the 1st and won? No. Last yr Beckham Jr had to be one of the biggest "value" plays for teams that took him since they probably took him 17th-20th round (due to being a rookie that was starting season injured and guaranteed to miss several games). Well what if this year (totally picking a name out of thin air) Maxx Williams, the rookie TE in Balt is the one to just absolutely break through? Chances are no one is taking Maxx Williams in the first 10 rounds. In fact, his current ADP is in the 16th round. After all, he is a) a rookie, b) not even a 1st round NFL pick, c) technically behind Crockett Gillmore. So there is no reason to take him in the 5th. But what if, hypothetically, he breaks through in a huge way. Then next yr, people will be thinking how a late TE pick may be key. No! It was THAT late TE specifically that was key. Hope that makes sense. Just my opinion. Basically, just bc OBJ was the key for many winners in 2014, doesn't mean finding the rookie WR that can be had late is the key this yr. This yr it might be Maxx Williams. Or even not a rookie - just a veteran that returns to form. But either way, saying that 3 TEs is key vs 2 TEs - is sort of missing the point in my opinion. Anyway, I am not saying people are on the wrong track in analyzing how many to take, when to take them, etc. Just saying the actual player is significantly more important. A very easy way to look at this: what if the "analyzing" showed that most teams that won took a RB in the 1st round. Well despite Peterson's ADP last yr being 1st round and L.Bell's being 2nd or 3rd - wouldn't you have been better off taking Bell in 2nd as opposed to Peterson in 1st? Obviously! So just bc RB in 1st may seem very important - it is more important who that player is. And while that may seem or sound obvious, I think a lot of people are missing that point. Just pull up MFL10s on Twitter to see how many links to articles you get studying the "optimal" number of each position; or even just looking at the twitter or forum discussions about MFL10 strategies. I am honestly not ragging on anyone doing this. Just suggesting not to get too caught up in it. If you think starting 3 RBs then 1 WRs was proven to be the "key" to many championship teams (not saying it was, just illustrating the point), how would you have done with this 1-4 last yr: Peterson, M.Ball, D.Martin, C.Patterson? Meanwhile if not taking a stud RB in the 1st is a losing proposition to most teams, well wouldn't you have been pretty ecstatic if you pulled this from 1-4 last yr (even though it isn't what you were "supposed" to do): Dez, Murray, L.Bell, Foster?
  15. Debating doing this again. Loved the first one since it was quick. I absolutely hate the slow long drawn out ones. I am in some where guys average 3-4 hrs for each pick. I could see 3-4 hrs for a pick one time (especially if there was a run at night time after you went to bed). But over the course of many rounds, I don't remotely get a 3-4 hr average. Ok rant over. The good: As mentioned, I love a fast draft. I think I was the fastest (or maybe 2nd fastest) in the first one we did. The bad: Won't it pretty much be the same guys? At least for the most part? Feel free to let me know what you think of my team from the first one...the good and the bad: QB - Kaepernick, Cutler, Palmer RB - McCoy, L.Miller, Hyde, J.Bell, Asiata WR - Marshall, R.White, Decker, Garcon, Cruz, Harvin, Patterson TE - Gronk, Reed Def - Balt, SF, Jax