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brianj74

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  1. YTD: 16-9-1 BUF -13. Yikes, this spread might be too big for this Bills team but the Jets are 0-6 versus the spread this year. The spreads are slowly creeping up in these Jets games but will ride the anti-Jets sentiment one more week. PIT -2. Battle of undefeated teams here. While the Titans have been sneaky good, will take the Steelers here with this modest line. Green Bay- 3.5. Packers had their ### handed to them last week versus Tampa. Houston is a near perfect tonic here for the Packers. The Texans D is nowhere as good as the Bucs D. Sea -3.5. Road team is 9-1-1 against the spread in this series (Seattle is on the road in this game). While the Cards were impressive over a woeful Cowboys team, I'm not sure in this spot. Cards are 4-2 but have wins over SF, Washington, Jets and Dallas with losses to Lions and Panthers. KC -9. Chiefs are 12-2 against the spread in their last 14 games. Denver pulled a borderline shocker last week beating the Pats. Can they do it twice in a row ? Doubtful. Can they cover the spread ? Maybe. TB -2.5. Simply put, the Bucs D is superior to the Raiders O. I know the Raiders beat the vaunted KC team two weeks ago but I don't see lighting striking twice.
  2. Solid list top to bottom. A little too much from A Different Kind of Truth. Little Dreamer is criminally underrated, if there is such a song from the debut. Would move I'll Wait down the list, no way it should be top 5. Rest of the top 10 is solid as is the top 20 for that matter.
  3. Loma gave away at least half the fight with his inactivity (usual slow starter plus rust plus age). Lopez fought a smart, disciplined fight winning at last 7-8 of the 12 rounds. That 119-109 card is Adelaide Byrd bad but at least she got the winner right. No rematch clause so doubt we see this fight again. Lopez will likely move up to 140 and Loma does not belong anywhere near that division.
  4. YTD: 14-7-1 Steelers -3.5. Browns haven't won in Pittsburgh in 17 years. I'll take the home fav with this modest line. NE -9.5. Denver are only slightly better than the Jets. If Cam plays, the Pats win big. Green Bay -1.5. Should be close high scoring game but GB comes out on top. Miami -8. Miami's smashing of the Niners last week was impressive, the Jets are a mess and have not covered a game thus far in 2020 and it won't start here.
  5. This weekend, Lomachenko versus Lopez on free ESPN. Younger, bigger puncher in Lopez or the all-around skill of Loma ? Despite Loma being the fav, this is a toss-up fight. Vasiliy Lomachenko -450 vs. Teofimo Lopez +350
  6. Despite not being serious enough...onward I go... YTD: 12-5-1 Pittsburgh -7. Pittsburgh coming off a bye but they usually seem to play down to the level of their opponent. Roethlisberger has not been overly impressive but neither have the Eagles. Both D's are solid but I will go with the team with more on O. Arizona -7. Arizona is 6-2-2 versus the spread as the away team since last year. Jets played decently enough versus Denver last week but who are we fooling here unless they find a running game and keep Murray off the field. Bengals +13.5. In the last 10 years of this series (20 games), the Ravens have only won by 13.5+, three times. This plus my usual allergy to large spreads and add in the fact the Baltimore is 3-6-1 as a home fav since Lamar became the Man, and back door cover it is. Seattle -7. Due to some quirk in the schedule, this is the third year in a row that Minnesota has played in Seattle. Seattle was favoured by 3 in each of the previous two (covered both). I'm a Vikings fan and not sold on this team despite last weeks win over Houston.
  7. YTD: 10-4 Week 4 Tampa -7. The Bucs seem to be rolling now and the the Chargers QB Justin Herbert came back to earth last week and he gets a top defense this week. Seattle -7. Will not bet against Seattle until proven otherwise and Miami has nothing that makes me worried (I know, I bet against Seattle last week). Dallas -5.5. If the Browns running game piles up huge numbers here, Dallas could be in trouble. I figure Dallas will do enough here to cover this modest line. Indy -2.5. The Bears are the worst 3-0 team in the league. What Nick Foles shows up this week is anyone's guess.
  8. YTD: 6-2 Week 3 Rams +2.5. Consecutive road games is tough for the Rams but the Bills have not played a legit offense yet (Jets and Dolphins). Should be a close game but will take the dog here. NE -6. Tough road game here for the Raiders (short week, flying cross country and playing a NE team coming off a loss). Pittsburgh -4. Houston opens the season versus KC, Baltimore and now Pittsburgh. Steelers did not look great versus the Broncos last week but they right the ship this week. TB-6. Tampa looked much better in week 2 than in week 1 and will look even better in week 3 with a win over Denver. Dal +5. Not much separates these two teams (Dallas and Seattle). Will take the dog in a shootout. GB+3. Saints have not looked right all year. Michael Thomas is missing and Drew Brees seemingly cannot throw a pass downfield anymore.
  9. YTD 2-1 Week 2 Buffalo -5.5. Either Miami wins this outright or Buffalo will win and cover. Not quite sure how Miami wins this outright. SF -7. San Fran coming off a loss and playing the Jets this week, anything less than a double digit spread and the Niners is the pick. Granted the Niners are travelling cross country for this game but they are not travelling to Mars. Sea -4. Still not sold on New England despite their week 1 win. Cam can't score every New England touchdown and Seattle looks like the offense is finally being opened up this year. NYG +6. Figure the Bears are getting too much credit for their week 1 win here as not much separates these two teams. GB -6. Packers looked awfully good last week against Minnesota and the Lions are no better.
  10. Young Wallander: rookie cop stumbles into hate crime. Prequel to the book series. 7.5/10. I'm Thinking of Ending Things: young woman travels with boyfriend to meet his parents on secluded farm. Directed by Charlie Kaufman. The car scenes to the farm and leaving the farm are dreadfully boring but the family scenes almost make up for it...almost. 5/10. Bridge Curse: university students, planning a bravery initiation test for their fellow classmates, choose a campus bridge rumored to be haunted by a vengeful female ghost. Not dreadful but have seen better elsewhere. 6/10. Unknown Origins: A detective must find a serial killer who leaves clues that only his mentor's nerdy comics-loving son can decipher. Liked it better than I thought I would. 6.5/10. The Sleepover: Siblings Clancy and Kevin discover that their seemingly normal mum is actually a former high-end thief in the witness protection programme. Young adult-ish but worth a watch. 7/10. Teenage Bounty Hunters: Twin sisters Blair and Sterling balance teen life at an elite Southern high school with an unlikely new career as butt-kicking bounty hunters. Also, stars Dwayne from A Different World as the bounty hunter. Had low hopes based on the title alone but was pleasantly surprised. 7.5/10. The Great Heist: Semi-fictional account of the 1994 robbery of $33 million from Colombia's central bank rocks the country. if you have seen or liked Money Heist, this is essentially the same thing. 7/10.
  11. Will make three picks per week. Week 1 Raiders -3. Carolina has new QB and new coach, couple this with no preseason and this is the type of game that that the Raiders must win. Cardinals +7. Would not be shocked to see Arizona win this outright but fully expect a back-door cover here. Cleveland +8. Either Baltimore wins by 20 or this is a 5-point game, here is hoping for the latter.
  12. Relic- when Edna, the elderly and widowed matriarch of the family, goes missing, her daughter Kay and granddaughter Sam travel to their remote family home to find her. Soon after her return, they start to discover a sinister presence haunting the house and taking control of Edna (cut-pasted the movie synopsis). Slow burn domestic horror. 7/10. The Rental- two couples on an oceanside getaway grow suspicious that the host of their seemingly perfect rental house may be spying on them. Before long, what should have been a celebratory weekend trip turns into something far more sinister, as well-kept secrets are exposed and the four old friends come to see each other in a whole new light. Starts slow but picks up steam. 7/10. The Beach House- escaping to his family's beach house to reconnect, Emily and Randall find their off-season trip interrupted by Mitch and Jane Turner, an older couple acquainted with Randall's estranged father. Unexpected bonds form as the couples let loose and enjoy the isolation, but it all takes an ominous turn as increasingly strange environmental phenomena begin to warp their peaceful evening. 7/10. All three of these were unexpectedly very decent.
  13. The Night Clerk- Voyeuristic hotel clerk becomes the subject of a murder investigation. Helen Hunt and John Leguizamo add gravitas to this one. Kinda like Rain Man meets Rear Window. 8/10. Jeffery Epstein doc- Just as sleazy as you think it will be and more. Forget the hand sanitizer, you will need a shower after this one. 8/10. Last Days of American Crime- In the not-too-distant future, as a final response to terrorism and crime, the U.S. government plans to broadcast a signal making it impossible for anyone to knowingly commit unlawful acts. Despite the title and premise, this is a dreadful movie by any standard. Mindless, dumb and 2.5 hours long, not quick either. 2/10. Dangerous Lies- A caregiver is drawn into a web of lies and murder after a wealthy elderly man dies and leaves his estate to her. Somewhat silly but watchable. 6/10. The Chase- After people in his town start turning up dead, a grumpy landlord is visited by a man who recounts an unsolved serial murder case from 30 years ago. Surprisingly decent crime Korean thriller. 7/10. Can You Hear Me- Three friends in a low-income neighborhood find humor and hope in their lives as they grapple with bad boyfriends and their dysfunctional families. Watched 3 episodes and bailed. She- An undercover assignment becomes a timid Mumbai constable's road to empowerment, as she realizes her potential. 7 episode series...easy enough to binge, worth a watch. 7/10. Hotel Beau Sejour- Teenage Kato is caught in afterlife limbo and investigates her own mysterious death, finding a web of secrets in her village. Slow burn murder mystery..a bit too slow for my liking. 6/10.
  14. Hollywood- half way through this not knowing what this was about per se and largely on the Ryan Murphy pedigree. A lot of gay sex thus far. 7/10. Into the Night- When the sun starts to kill everything in its path, a plane full of passengers must travel at night in an attempt to escape its destructive power and find some place safe. Has a Strain vibe to it for sure. 8/10. Dead to Me, Season 2- picks up where season 1 left off. First 2 episodes start a tad slowly but still excellent overall. 8/10. New Seinfeld special- at the start, sounded like he was yelling, which was weird but liked his bits about cell phone use and marriage. 8/10. Reckoning- A teen's grisly murder in a suburban Northern California town sets two fathers on a course of mutual destruction. Decent enough crime mini-series. 7/10. Outer Banks- half way through this YA themed show and liking it more than I thought I would. 8/10. Mrs Serial Killer- When a doctor gets jailed for a string of shocking murders, his loyal wife sets out to commit a copycat crime to prove his innocence. Indian movie unlike the usual Bollywood fare. 7/10. Caliphate- A looming ISIS attack on Sweden entangles the fates of five young women, including a mother in a bind, an ambitious agent, and a spirited student. As a viewer, lots of " what you you doing ? " throughout this season and some grisly violence. 8/10.
  15. The Platform- In the future, prisoners housed in vertical cells watch as inmates in the upper cells are fed while those below starve. Really liked this despite the ending. 8/10. Operation Odessa- Documentary about three friends set out to hustle the Russia mob, Cali Cartel and the DEA. 7/10. Deuces- Middling crime movie about an undercover agent infiltrating a crime ring. Nothing new or overly great here but Meghan Good is always worth a watch. 7/10. Time to Hunt- Korean movie about four guys who rob an underground casino...as expected, chaos ensues. Really liked this one. 9/10. Extraction- New release with Chris Hemsworth, who plays a mercenary hired to rescue a kidnapped kid. Lots of good action here. 8/10. The Plagues of Breslau- Polish movie about a police officer who hunts a serial killer who kills at 6 pm. Nothing overly great here but VERY graphic. 7/10. Sergio- Biopic about UN diplomat played by Wagner Moura (he also starred as Pablo Escobar in the Narcos). I had no idea who this UN diplomat even was and Moura does a great job as usual. Liked this more than I thought I would 8/10. Fauda, Season 3- Jewish/Palestinian mercenary series. Loved the first two series and this is still as good. 8/10. Freud- Young Freud helps investigating a series of disappearances. Was hoping for more but found this a slog. 5/10. Coffee- & Kareem- Sort of buddy cop movie starring Ed Helms. Some decent laughs, worth a watch. 7/10. Uncorked- Young man upsets his father by not following him into the BBQ business. Unlike most of the Netflix movies, this is actually worthy of a theatrical release, its that good, 9/10.