Brisco54

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About Brisco54

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  1. This poll is now closed. Devonta Freeman takes a commanding victory with 23 of 55 votes (I saw no need to allow this one to go 24 hours). The next poll is at: https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/754322-player-21-community-dynasty-rankings/
  2. Devonta Freeman takes the eighth pick of the 2d round (20th overall), with 23 of 55. Jeffrey & Landry received no votes. That poll/thread can be viewed here: https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/754316-player-20-community-dynasty-rankings/ HOW TO ADD PLAYERS TO THE LIST First, you can add a name to the current poll by clicking Other and telling me who you think is better than all players on the current list. (Please tell me that you clicked the other button in the reply... not just the name of your nominee) Second, in rounds where no one has clicked the other button to add a player, I will add a single player nominated in the comments. This will be the player with the most support to be added in the comments (total users nominating that player)... in the event of a tie, it will go to the player first nominated in the comments. Rodgers is the only remaining player nominated not yet added, so he is added this round. I have no nominations for after this! Time to pick #20 Standings 1.1. Odell Beckham 1.2. Ezekiel Elliot 1.3. Mike Evans 1.4. David Johnson 1.5. LeVeon Bell 1.6. Antonio Brown 1.7. Julio Jones 1.8. Amari Cooper 1.9. AJ Green 1.10. (Tie) Deandre Hopkins & Rookie Pick 1.1 1.12. Todd Gurley Round 2 2.1 Rookie Pick 1.2 2.2 Allen Robinson 2.3 Sammy Watkins 2.4 TY Hilton 2.5 Michael Thomas 2.6 Rob Gronkowski 2.7 Dez Bryant 2.8 Devonta Freeman
  3. Wheels, the goal of these polls is not tied to their accuracy. They merely show current market value. We are not advocating anyone use them to decide which player is better than another, but rather to help you figure out which players are currently over or undervalued by the general fantasy crowd compared to your personal ratings. That said, I am not football scout, so i have never trusted my own judgement in terms of player value. Instead, I focus on market value. If market value says I am significantly gaining on the trade, I hit accept, even if my personal judgement opposes the deal. 25% of the time my judgement was right and I end up losing big, 25% of the time the trade turns out balanced, and about 50% of the time the general consensus was right and I was wrong and i win big on the trade.
  4. Fixed. No longer public voting.
  5. Dez Bryant takes the seventh pick of the 2d round (19th overall), with 17 of 60. Jeffrey, Landry & Reed received no votes. That poll/thread can be viewed here: https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/754307-player-19-community-dynasty-rankings/ HOW TO ADD PLAYERS TO THE LIST First, you can add a name to the current poll by clicking Other and telling me who you think is better than all players on the current list. (Please tell me that you clicked the other button in the reply... not just the name of your nominee) Second, in rounds where no one has clicked the other button to add a player, I will add a single player nominated in the comments. This will be the player with the most support to be added in the comments (total users nominating that player)... in the event of a tie, it will go to the player first nominated in the comments. Kelce wins with two nominations to Rodgers one and gets added. Rodgers is the only remaining player nominated not yet added. (But if you want to vote for him this round, just click "other"). Time to pick #20 Standings 1.1. Odell Beckham 1.2. Ezekiel Elliot 1.3. Mike Evans 1.4. David Johnson 1.5. LeVeon Bell 1.6. Antonio Brown 1.7. Julio Jones 1.8. Amari Cooper 1.9. AJ Green 1.10. (Tie) Deandre Hopkins & Rookie Pick 1.1 1.12. Todd Gurley Round 2 2.1 Rookie Pick 1.2 2.2 Allen Robinson 2.3 Sammy Watkins 2.4 TY Hilton 2.5 Michael Thomas 2.6 Rob Gronkowski 2.7 Dez Bryant
  6. This Poll is now CLOSED. Gronk wins with 22 of 72 votes. The next poll can be found here: https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/754307-player-19-community-dynasty-rankings/
  7. Rob Gronkowski takes the sixth pick of the 2d round (18th overall), with 22 of 73. Landry & Reed received no votes. That poll/thread can be viewed here: https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/754302-player-18-community-dynasty-rankings/ HOW TO ADD PLAYERS TO THE LIST First, you can add a name to the current poll by clicking Other and telling me who you think is better than all players on the current list. (Please tell me that you clicked the other button in the reply... not just the name of your nominee) Second, in rounds where no one has clicked the other button to add a player, I will add a single player nominated in the comments. This will be the player with the most support to be added in the comments (total users nominating that player)... in the event of a tie, it will go to the player first nominated in the comments. Jordy Nelson got two nominations and Aaron Rodgers still only has one and Travis Kelce got one, so Jordy Nelson is added. Time to pick #19 Standings 1.1. Odell Beckham 1.2. Ezekiel Elliot 1.3. Mike Evans 1.4. David Johnson 1.5. LeVeon Bell 1.6. Antonio Brown 1.7. Julio Jones 1.8. Amari Cooper 1.9. AJ Green 1.10. (Tie) Deandre Hopkins & Rookie Pick 1.1 1.12. Todd Gurley Round 2 2.1 Rookie Pick 1.2 2.2 Allen Robinson 2.3 Sammy Watkins 2.4 TY Hilton 2.5 Michael Thomas 2.6 Rob Gronkowski
  8. No, his first two years were not the same at all. His first and third year were basically the same. If you are looking for an outlier year for yards, it was actually 2015. Yards per target were 9.9 in 2014 and 9.6 in 2016 but only 8.5 in 2015. Yes, 2016 was a tale of two seasons, but it was not Kelce that changed. Of the 15 weeks (excluding bye week and week 17), Week 1, 3, 8, 11,13,14, & 16 he exceeded 10 yards per target... that seven weeks! In four more he exceeded 8 yards per target (That is what you would expect from a top 10 TE). Plus the remaining four include the ridiculous 15 target game with "only" 101 yards. So in terms of personal performance he had down weeks week 2,4, & 10. That's it. What changed after week 10 was that the chiefs started sending him on more routes. The stats show that is all it takes for Kelce to succeed... send him on routes. Before you argue that this is what makes 2016 the outlier, note that in 2014 his yards per target were even higher. More importantly Kelce is elite in terms of yards per route run. In his first real year he finished 2d to Gronk in 2014 and I can't find the stat but I read that he led NFL TEs this year in yards per route run (but can someone check on that and get 2015 as well?). Thus, the only thing holding Kelce back was that they simply did not send him out on routes. When he did run a route, he got targeted, caught the ball and accumulated yards all at an elite level. Regression is always possible, but the peripheral stats say that it is not probable. Kelce's individual performance is about as consistent as they come.
  9. First, Luck is on the list. Second, yes, 4 pts for passing TD.
  10. Picking an RB in the early rounds is a high risk investment and it has a greater than normal chance of coming up snake eyes. Of the 14 or so RBs ranked as RB1s last preseason (yeah I get that there are only 12 RB1s, but since opinions differ, I went with the top 14), 4 of them ended up dropping below fantasy relevance (twice the number of weekly starters/48 ): AP, Charles, Lacy, & Martin. Only Martin was close (52). A 5th, CJA, barely made it finishing 45th. Of the same number of WR last year, only Keenan Allen did not finish as fantasy relevant for WR (top 72, but actually Allen was the only one to finish out of the top 56). At TE, three did not finish as fantasy relevant, but two of those were close with Eifert at 25 (cutoff was 24), and Thomas at 33. Only Green dropped off the fantasy map.. and he was ranked 14th, so a reach to be a TE1 anyway. At QB, all top 14 ranked QBs finished as fantasy relevant (top 24). For me, if I am going to pick an RB in the top 20, they need to be an all 3 down + goal line back... a true workhorse.
  11. This Poll is now closed. Michael Thomas won with 14 of 63 votes beating Gronk by 1 and Dez by 2. Thank you all for voting. The next poll for #18 can be found at: https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/754302-player-18-community-dynasty-rankings/
  12. Michael Thomas pulls the come from behind upset to grab the fifth pick of the 2d round (17th overall), but with only 14 of 63 votes beating Gronk by 1 and Dez by two. Landry & Jeffrey received no votes. That poll/thread can be viewed here: https://forums.footballguys.com/forum/topic/754279-player-17-community-dynasty-rankings/ HOW TO ADD PLAYERS TO THE LIST First, you can add a name to the current poll by clicking Other and telling me who you think is better than all players on the current list. (Please tell me that you clicked the other button in the reply... not just the name of your nominee) Second, in rounds where no one has clicked the other button to add a player, I will add a single player nominated in the comments. This will be the player with the most support to be added in the comments (total users nominating that player)... in the event of a tie, it will go to the player first nominated in the comments. Jordan Reed got two nominations and Aaron Rodgers still only has one and Jordy Nelson got one nomination, so Jordan Reed will be added to the poll. Time to pick #18 Standings 1.1. Odell Beckham 1.2. Ezekiel Elliot 1.3. Mike Evans 1.4. David Johnson 1.5. LeVeon Bell 1.6. Antonio Brown 1.7. Julio Jones 1.8. Amari Cooper 1.9. AJ Green 1.10. (Tie) Deandre Hopkins & Rookie Pick 1.1 1.12. Todd Gurley Round 2 2.1 Rookie Pick 1.2 2.2 Allen Robinson 2.3 Sammy Watkins 2.4 TY Hilton 2.5 Michael Thomas
  13. How can you identify last season as an outlier season? Kelce missed his rookie year so last year was his third year in the league, and like many third year receivers, everything started to click. 2013 - redshirt 2014 - 67, 862, 5 -- rookie 2015 - 72, 875, 5 -- 2d year 2016- 85, 1125, 4 -- third year ramp up. That looks a lot more like the traditional receiver path to elite than it does a single outlying year.
  14. Is your nomination for Kelce or Reed? I will only add one unless there is a tie in the current poll opening up two slots. Note that I have one vote for Rodgers that carries over from last round, so unless you can get a 2d for your TE, the player added will be Rodgers (tie goes to the first nominated). On my personal opinion, I would not trade Kelce straight up for Gronk at this point, and I do not put Reed in the same tier as those two. Kelce is a YAC god for TE and his only real draw back (KC not using him enough) appears to have evaporated in the second half of last season. Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce ranked second in the NFL with 655 yards after catch in 2016, and he was the only tight end to rank in the top 15 in the category. Meanwhile the objection to Reed (health) is still front and center. That plus he has evolved into a binge/bust guy. A whopping 99 of his 170 fantasy points last year (PPR) came from 4 games. Gronk is still fantasy gold if he is healthy, but that back injury scares me. Kelce has no health concerns. He has not missed a game in his three years. His running style is one that avoids the big hit more than Gronk or Reed. Ask yourself, which one will still be fantasy relevant at age 33 (i.e. the next Gates) and I think the only answer is Kelce. In any given season, Gronk or Reed might score more than Kelce, but if you want me to pick who will score the most total points over the next 4 seasons, I would go Kelce.
  15. This Poll is now closed. TY Hilton wins with 18 of 77 votes beating Gronk by 3 votes.