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  1. Here's the problem with that logic: If you have a stud QB/WR like Ben/Brown, there's no strategy needed because you are almost certainly starting both. If you don't have a stud WR, then there are no guarantees you'll "neutralize" anyone. Maybe you start Moncrief against Luck and Hilton lights it up. Or you start Ginn and Cam throws everything to Olsen. Only scenario where it might enter into your thinking is a mediocre QB with a stud WR, say, starting Hoyer over another middling QB because you're facing Hopkins. But then, as you said, the WR is getting more per catch than his QB. Still, in that situation if you're the heavy favorite it could at least somewhat mitigate Hopkins going off. I still would only use it as an absolute tie-breaker between a very close call. (Incidentally, I faced that scenario last week -- no strategy behind it, Hoyer was the best QB option available -- and as it happened, he threw three TDs, none to Nuk. That was awesome.) What if you have 2 stud options at QB and you're facing one of the QBs stud WR though? (That's what we are talking about.)
  2. I've always felt that having the WR is better than having the QB in this spot because every play the QB makes to the WR increases the WR team's score by more points on the same play. Big Ben's likelihood for a big game is usually linked to Antonio Brown having a big game, especially given the offense and Brown's talent. So I think if you play Big Ben you cap yourself more than you cap your opponent and also if PIT gets shut down you are worse off if you have the QB.
  3. Alf Blue has turf toe.
  4. Anyone got a link to the run? gif?
  5. This is not an IDP topic per se, but I want to ask you here because it's the forum I respect the most. I have noticed all your work analyzing injury mechanisms and I'm wondering if you are seeing patterns in the way players move and take/avoid contact in relation to injuries. People say things like "he runs high, so he's likely to get hurt" or whatever, but what would a scientist say? With your expertise and experience can you shed light on any particular players who don't know how to take hits and if it really matters? Like for instance have you noticed how AJ Green likes to land on 1 leg on a lot of jumping catches? I think he got hurt on Hard Knocks doing it, but don't quote me on that. I've heard LaDainian Tomlinson talk about some running backs naturally knowing how to go down when tackled and I want to try to understand this aspect from a professionals point of view. Are you noticing dangerous mechanisms that are common to individual players that aren't resulting in injury that you would put a high probability on eventually leading to injury? I really don't know if there is anything to it or not, so I'm just asking you to speak on things that may be subtle and I really don't know specifically what to even ask. Does a player with duck feet have a better chance of coming back from a knee surgery than a player that runs pigeon toed? Stuff like that, which I understand may sound really silly... until perhaps the right person makes the right observation.
  6. Were lines moving because of their info?
  7. Week 14 MIN @ ARZ [Thursday Night] - 4 days after playing SEA in MIN KC vs SD PIT @ CIN Week 15 MIN vs CHI KC @ BAL PIT vs DEN Week 16 MIN vs NYG KC vs CLE PIT @ BAL
  8. Are we throwing out random stats without context? I've got some. Griffin averaged 8.1 YPA as a rookie and 7.0 YPA as a sophomore. Griffin threw a TD on 5.1% of his passes as a rookie and 3.5% of his passes as a sophomore. Pierre Garcon received 182 targets last year and 134 in his previous career-best season. Pierre Garcon is 5'11", Desean Jackson is 5'9", Andre Roberts is 5'11", and Jordan Reed is 6'3". Also, this is not a statistic, but very, very few players do not ever improve as players from where they were as rookies. I have concerns about Jordan Reed. His ability to produce when healthy is not among them. Can this have it's own thread? Next article? I want to learn more about this. Seems counter intuitive.
  9. I haven't seen much of him on tape, but I'm wondering if anyone who has can comment on his ability to catch the ball without seeing it come out of the QBs hand. Does he have the hands to snatch a ball that's on him as he turns his head or is it likely to eat him up? I just feel like that's something Eli will get a feel for and lock on to him if he can do it, especially in the end zone.
  10. Why is it a horrible idea to argue that no trades makes collusion harder and shifts the skill moreso to predicting stats as apposed to exploiting people in negotiations? It's just a different skillset really. As a gambler I prefer the conditions of the game to be more in my control. Not having to worry about cheating or fleecing gives me more trust in the league.
  11. I would like to hear more about experiences in no trade leagues. Does the ability to make a "fair" trade outweigh the problems of lopsided trades and how they affect the integrity and competitive balance for everyone in the league?
  12. PFF paints a worse picture - #24/32 in pass blocking efficiency. I think it's a pretty decent OL though. The bigger problem is that Hardwick, Clary and Dunlap are free agents after the season. Are either of them right?
  13. Post draft I think that Eric Ebron's skillset and the offensive passing game that he is in makes the conditions right for potentially elite fantasy production. I would also keep an eye on Davante Adams in GB, although for him to be "elite" as a fantasy WR is a bit more of a stretch given the nature of the talent pool at WR league wide.
  14. Tom Savage really struggles to climb the pocket.
  15. PM me if you want to bet on it.