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Jersey35

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About Jersey35

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  • Birthday 01/20/1976

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  1. Rodgers?ETA: No idea, but I'll take a stab at #3 as Alex Smith, since it's a positive review (since we need a positive report on a QB that hasn't quite panned out as well as the others and Smith is the perfect counterpoint to Rodgers). If Rodgers is #1, I say Smith is #3.
  2. I like PPR, but there is something to be said for that. I think it has gotten out of hand. Last night, Darren Sproles had 6 catches for 19 yards. Leaving the TD catch and his rushing stats out of it for a minute, are you telling me that 6 catches for 19 yards should get 7.9 points. No way. Granted, I have him on several teams, and I'll take it, but a stat line like that is indicative of how out of hand PPR has gotten.0.5 PPR for RB1.0 PPR for WR1.5 PPR for TEseems like the best PPR distribution method.[/hijack]We used to play scaled ppr but got sick of the disparity between, say, 4 catches for 40 yards, and 8 catches for 40 yards. There's still the issue of within position comparisons. The 4 catches for 40 yards is probably a better game than the 8 catches for the same yardage.We switched this season to scaled points per first down, and instead of scaling between positions, we scaled between rushing vs receiving. It's worked out very well so far.[/hijack]
  3. You shouldn't predict guys who have yet to play a down in the NFL for the HOF - it's dangerous! Seriously, LOL at so many people arguing how irresponsible it is to predict Ingram into the HOF. I mean, seriously, think of all the kids starving in our own country, and you, just flaunting it with your devil-may-care predictions. Makes me sick! Ingram? Maybe. You're out on a limb calling him out for the HoF, but then again, any individual's chances are pretty slim. Out of this year's draft class? I'd say his chances are better than the average 2011 rookie for sure.
  4. Interestingly enough, I sold him this year. I actually think he'll probably be just fine, but his situation is more uncertain than it has been in some time, and it was enough for me to move him.
  5. Just the other day I was offered 1.07 and Tashard Choice for my Andre Johnson.
  6. A whole lot of people sold him short when Moss got traded. Absolutely, positively, 100% on the money. I was one of them. I feel like I have a blind spot to Tom Brady- historically, I've taken every opportunity to downgrade him. I've clearly got a cognitive bias against him, to the point where I've actually added a note in my rankings spreadsheet that essentially reads "wherever you've got him ranked, you're probably underrating him". People get way, way, way too hung up on absolute rankings. Absolutely rankings don't mean a thing. They are literally completely and absolutely meaningless. All that matters is RELATIVE rankings- where you have a player ranked relative to his peers, and where you have a player ranked relative to where everyone else has him ranked.For instance, let's say that I've got Darius Heyward-Bey ranked at 19th in my current rankings (I don't, but we're playing "let's pretend"). Now, let's also say that Darius Heyward-Bey averages 1800 yard and 16 scores over the next 5 seasons. I would say that my current hypothetical ranking of DHB wasn't just a home run, it was a grand slam. Hell, it was more than a grand slam- if there was such a thing as a 6-run homer, it would be that. Sure, DHB might have outperformed my ranking by a mile (and I mean by a literal mile- that's easily 1800+ yards more than I'd expect from the #19 ranked receiver)... but the point is that it doesn't matter, because I guarantee you that I was the DHB owner. If everyone else has a player ranked 60th, and I've got a player ranked 19th, I *GUARANTEE YOU* that that player is on my roster. I've got him ranked so much higher than everyone else that I'm guaranteed to be the beneficiary of any future production he might post. That's what's going on with F&L and Arian Foster. Has Foster outperformed F&L's ranking? Yeah, by a huge margin... but that doesn't matter. F&L had Arian Foster ranked SUBSTANTIALLY higher than anyone else had him ranked (of people who publish their rankings, I had him the second highest... and I had him at 28th). Most of the FBGs staff had him in the 40s. Anyone who had Foster ranked at 19th could have traded any of the RBs that were in the consensus 20-30 range for him. Those guys would now be riding him to a championship. At the end of the day, it's not a question of how high you are on a player, it's a question of how many people are higher on that player than you are. In F&L's case, when it came to Arian Foster, the answer is "none". I literally could not find a single person ANYWHERE who was more bullish on Arian Foster than F&L was. So you can keep trotting out that "but you only had him ranked 19th!" line all you want, because at the end of the day, it doesn't mean anything. F&L had Foster ranked higher than anyone else did, and F&L was right. And it wasn't just this preseason- F&L has been right every step of the way. He tweeted after week 1 that he'd trade Frank Gore for Arian Foster straight up, and he got a lot of grief over it (much of that grief came from me, by the way). Similarly, I like to claim guys like Michael Vick and Darren McFadden as successes for me- not because I ever said "Michael Vick and Darren McFadden are going to be top-10 players in VBD this season", but because I repeatedly said "everyone has both of these guys too low". Vick's a guy I've taken a lot of crap for through the season- I took crap for having him in the top 30 at the beginning of August when everyone was busy anointing Kolb, I took crap for bumping him to 16th when everyone assumed he was going back to the backup role as soon as Kolb was healthy, and I took crap for bumping him into the top 10 when he only had a handful of good games against bad defenses... but at the end of the day, even though he's outperformed all of my wildest expectations, I count Michael Vick as a "hit" because he's on my dynasty team, because I was higher on him than everyone else. That's all that matters. None of my leagues subtract points if you didn't expect a player to be quite as good as he was, so I'm getting the full benefit of Vick's fantasy onslaught even though I "only" had him ranked at the bottom of the top 30 this past offseason. If there were an emote for "Excellent Posting" I'd use that.
  7. Are you sure you're in a dynasty league?
  8. If you wanted to be accurate, you couldn't really draw a dynasty dollar value from these rankings because (I believe) they are created independently, without regard for the other positions. You'd need to take into account the relative value of each position in your league, based on scoring system and lineup requirements - not to mention your own personal stance on things like starter vs backup valuation and risk tolerance.
  9. This just posted on NFL.COM: Posted: 0 minutes ago Taylor in critical condition after surgery for gunshot wound Associated Press Washington Redskins safety Sean Taylor is clinging to life following surgery on Monday for gunshot wounds to his leg suffered during what police are investigating as a possible armed robbery at his home, reports NFL Network's Adam Schefter. The 24-year-old player was in the intensive care unit at Jackson Memorial Hospital after several hours of surgery, said family friend Richard Sharpstein, his former lawyer. Taylor lost a "significant" amount of blood because the bullet damaged his femoral artery, Sharpstein said. Doctors are worried the blood loss might affect blood flow to the brain, said Sharpstein, who was at the hospital with Taylor's family and friends. Taylor has had several on- and off-the-field problems -- two years ago he was accused of brandishing a gun. Officers were sent to Taylor's home at about 1:45 a.m. after his girlfriend called 911 and said he was shot in his lower body, Lt. Nancy Perez said. Sources close to Taylor have said that his Miami area home was robbed last week, reports Schefter. Taylor was in Miami to check on his home and get a second opinion on his injured knee that had forced him to miss the last two games. Taylor was airlifted to the hospital. Investigators were still interviewing the girlfriend and other relatives who were in the home to try to determine what happened, Perez said. No arrests have been made. "It could have been a possible burglary; it could have been a possible robbery," Perez said. "It has not been confirmed as yet." Sharpstein said Taylor's girlfriend told him the couple was awakened by loud noises, and Taylor grabbed a machete he keeps in the bedroom for protection. Someone then broke through the bedroom door and fired two shots, one missing and one hitting Taylor, the lawyer said. "It was clearly a burglary, an armed burglary," Sharpstein said, adding nothing appeared to have been stolen. The shooting happened at a home Taylor bought two years ago in the Miami suburb of Palmetto Bay. The player is in his fourth season with the Redskins after playing at the University of Miami, where he was an All-American in 2003. Despite his injury, he is tied for the NFC lead with five interceptions. In Ashburn, Va., Redskins owner Dan Snyder said he was headed to Miami on his private plane, joined by running back Clinton Portis, vice president of football operations Vinny Cerrato and trainer Bubba Tyer. "Our hearts and prayers go out to Sean and his family. ... We appreciate very, very much the outcry of support," Snyder said. Redskins safety Pierson Prioleau fought to keep his composure. "This is not just a member of the Washington Redskins," said Prioleau, one of a few players made available to reporters. "But we're talking about a dad, a brother, a friend of ours, and that's where we're at with this right now." Coach Joe Gibbs was joined by the team chaplain at the Redskins' usual Monday meeting. A small group of players held a separate prayer gathering. The Redskins (5-6) lost 19-13 at Tampa on Sunday. Taylor did not travel with the team to the game because of his knee injury. Win McNamee / Getty Images Sean Taylor started the first nine games this season before missing the last two with a sprained knee. Taylor sprained a ligament in his right knee in the second half of the Nov. 11 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. He was expected to miss at least two games, probably more. Known as one of the NFL's hardest hitters, Taylor played in his first Pro Bowl last season, where he drew attention by leveling the other team's punter in what is usually a well-mannered exhibition game. Even though he has missed two games, his five interceptions remained tied for most in the NFC. Taylor has been in trouble numerous times since he was drafted as the No. 5 overall pick in 2004. He has been fined at least seven times during his professional career for late hits and other infractions, including a $17,000 penalty for spitting in the face of Tampa Bay running back Michael Pittman during a playoff game in January 2006. He also was fined $25,000 for skipping a mandatory rookie symposium shortly after he was drafted. Redskins coaches and players have defended Taylor, saying he was smart and misunderstood. Taylor has been slow to let anyone into his inner circle. He has rarely spoken to reporters, saying he does not trust them. Teammates said he became more mature over the last year after he became a father for the first time. In 2005, Taylor was accused of brandishing a gun at a man and repeatedly hitting him during a fight that broke out after Taylor and some friends went looking for the people who had allegedly stolen his all-terrain vehicles. Taylor reached a deal with prosecutors last year after they agreed to drop felony charges against him. He pleaded no contest to two misdemeanors in the assault case and was sentenced to 18 months probation. The pleas prompted another fine from the NFL but kept his football career intact. He also was ordered to talk about the importance of education at 10 Miami schools and had to contribute $1,000 for scholarships to each of those schools. The man Taylor allegedly hit, Ryan Hill, sued, seeking at least $15,000 in damages. Hill sustained bruises to his body, incurred medical expenses and lost wages because of the fight, the lawsuit said. Copyright 2007 by The Associated Press.