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thevidon

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About thevidon

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  1. I like Joique Bell, but he ran pretty slow (high 4.6) and landed in about the worst imaginable situation.
  2. I think a lot of people are getting way ahead of themselves in evaluations of Kevin Kolb. Dude has made 2 starts. He was a 2nd round pick, which is a good pedigree, but its not like he was touted as a can't miss, top 10 pick. Basing evaluations on 2 games worth of data is dangerous. Ask the Bills about Rob Johnson.I have seen Matt Ryan, Flacco, and Stafford, and all of them looked like legit NFL starters for a long time. Personally, I would take any of them over Kolb in a heartbeat right now. Possible that my risk aversion will hurt me in the end, but until the guy shows me 8-10 quality starts, he is nowhere near the other guys IMO.RyanStaffordFlaccoKolbI think Kolb's first NFL pass was an interception. He looked totally inept the first few times I saw him in a game, and I honestly never have had a great feeling about him. Maybe he has turned it around, but if someone offered me Ryan for Kolb I would trip over myself in a rush to click accept.
  3. Beanie WellsLeSean McCoy Michael Crabtree Hakeem Nicks Jeremy Maclin Percy Harvin Kenny Britt Shonn Greene Matt Stafford Mark Sanchez Have you tried to acquire any of these guys lately? Their price tags are sky high because everyone who owns them thinks they've got the next Ray Rice or Chad Johnson (because we all know none of these guys will end up like Laurence Maroney and Rod Gardner ). All of them are going higher in drafts than they were last year. Moreno is going about where he was a year ago even though he had a pretty ho-hum season. Ditto Donald Brown. DHB and Pettigrew are the only first round picks who have tumbled at all and Pettigrew is only in that category because he tore his ACL. I disagree with the sentiment of your post. If anything, rookie values go UP once these guys get on the field and show any signs of potential. It's one of the most reliable phenomena in dynasty leagues. Call it the Laurence Maroney/Julius Jones/Reggie Bush effect. The smart people aren't going to sell low on Dez if he goes for 50 catches and 600 yards next season, just like they're not selling low on Crabtree. If you want him for your team, you'll probably have to make your move now because I don't see the price tag dropping much. I keep having Sanchez offered to me in my various leagues. All of his owners seem to be pushing pretty hard to sell him. I wish I could get excited about him because he actually is going relatively cheap in my leagues.
  4. 1:15? You mean where he almost trips over his own legs changing directions? Damian is a size/speed tweener who doesn't have the bulk to be a possession guy or the raw speed to be a downfield guy. He might become a decent #2 WR in the NFL. He doesn't belong in the same conversation as Crabtree. Although everyone sees things differently, heres a snippet from his nfl.com draft profile: Also see his sports science video for the fact that he has the same catch radius as larry fitzgerald:http://espn.go.com/blog/sportscenter/post/...damian-williams I agree with you that he doesn't have top 5 athletic ability but I think you are selling him short.
  5. That scouting report sounds a lot like Damian Williams, except for the "big frame", since he's 2 inches and 15 pounds less than Crabtree. Williams, of course, is my favorite second round draft target. Eh...they are not very similar at all, IMO.Damian doesn't move as well laterally. He doesn't have Crabtree's base strength or overall physicality. He's more of a downfield finesses guy than a short yardage power WR. He wasn't anywhere near as productive in college and I'm not a big fan of what he does. Please supply an example of this because I don't see it evidenced anywhere.Edit** See the runs at 1:15 and 2:16 of this video. Seems to have plenty of lateral agility to me......
  6. Lombardi has also been picking Ben Tate to win Rookie of the Year. I'm sticking with Jahvid Best as my pick whereas Gregg Rosenthal thinks it's Ryan Mathews winning handily.It's a little early to start revving up the Hype Train that gave us Adrian Peterson, Chris Johnson, and Percy Harvin the past three years, but I'm starting to get that warm familiar feeling about Best. Jahvid Best has the most pure open field running talent of any back this year. The questions for him are: Can he stay healthy? Can he be effective between the tackles? If he can answer these questions affirmatively, he has the highest ceiling of any back this year. I think your initial ranking of him in the #3 slot is correct. I would draft him ahead of Spiller in any format.
  7. Actually, Shark Pool, is there anyone who thinks they can get me excited about either Spiller or Best? My gut says Best might be the guy who emerges from a relative lack of hype to become an instant star ala Clinton Portis, Maurice Drew, and Chris Johnson. Now that some of my drafts are done, I can say that I have him ranked at 1.03 in this rookie class. He has made a late surge up my board while Spiller has suffered a late slip.Best is a dynamic runner with explosive speed and quickness. He doesn't have the bulk that you want in a featured back, but he's still a young guy and the recent success of players like Chris Johnson and Jamaal Charles suggests that there's a place in the league for these thinner backs. Plus, it's not like he's tiny. He's almost 200 pounds on a 5'10" frame. If you figure that he adds even 5-10 pounds as he matures then he's plenty big. I see little bust risk aside from the durability/workload concerns. He's a productive player and he has the physical skill set to make the jump to the next level. He also adds a ton of value in the PPR format because he's a great receiver. Not just a guy who can catch passes out of the backfield, but someone who can legitimately split out wide or line up in the slot. He could catch 50 balls next season. As a Reggie Bush owner since his rookie season, I know how easily a few cheap catches every weak can buoy otherwise mediocre numbers. If you figure that Best gets a similar amount of catches and performs better with a similar number of carries, he could post top 10-20 stats in PPR leagues next season. In a worst case scenario I see him scoring Warrick Dunn type of numbers. In a best case scenario he could be an instant difference maker.I was going to do a writeup on Best, but EBF hit pretty much all my points. Best is #3 this year behind Dez and Matthews. The one point I would add to the Best writeup is that he has by far the best lateral agility of any RB this year. His highlights are full of "Wow" moments where he leaves defenders on the ground with his ridiculous cuts. In terms of pure open field running talent he is by far the best RB this year. I have never been high on Spiller, and after the draft my opinion of his is even lower. The only reason I would consider taking him at 4 is because Gerhart and Dixon got sucked into the void of backing up young top 5 RBs.......
  8. Pierre ThomasBrandon MarshallGuys around this relative level. ^^
  9. Repeat after me: "Wallace is nothing like Nate Washington." "Wallace is nothing like Nate Washington." As someone who hasn't seen much of Wallace, can you explain to me why you believe this?Wallace and Washington's first year in this role look awfully similar from out here in the "I only saw a few Pitt games this year" seats. Both are speedsters who racked up extremely similar numbers on similar numbers of receptions and targets with similarly unsustainable high YPC rates. Washington's first year in this role on Pitt 35rec 624yds 17.8ypc 4td Wallace's first year in this role on Pitt 39rec 756yds 19.4ypc 6td If all you go by is overall statistics like this then you are missing a lot of the picture. For instance 2009: Marques Colston REC:70 Yards:1,074 YPC:15.3 TD:9 Derrick Mason REC:73 Yards:1,028 YPC:14.1 TD:7 Are you going to tell me that Colston and Derrick Mason are the same as receivers? Just because the numbers are similar doesn't necessarily mean the playstyles are. Except Colston and Mason play on two different offense, in two different roles, and are two different types of players..Wallace and Washington played in the same offense, with the same offensive pieces playing together, in the same offensive role.. I'm not saying Wallace can't be good, or that he's even the same receiver(although very similar), but your Colston vs. Mason thing is whack I'd temper expectations with Wallace, until I see him going against something other than another team's nickelback This is exactly my point. Wallace is not playing the same role as Washington (he does a lot more) and he is not the same type of player. Just because you have two players that are capable of running a deep fly route, that does not mean that they are the same. In this case, Wallace is a significantly better route runner who consistently made plays on slants, comebacks, bubble screens and across the middle of the field (in addition to go/fly routes). He also has excellent awareness of his QBs location when they are scrambling and works himself into open spaces for them. Washington did none of these things well......except run long fly routes. So I guess they are the same player. Sigh.
  10. Repeat after me: "Wallace is nothing like Nate Washington." "Wallace is nothing like Nate Washington." As someone who hasn't seen much of Wallace, can you explain to me why you believe this?Wallace and Washington's first year in this role look awfully similar from out here in the "I only saw a few Pitt games this year" seats. Both are speedsters who racked up extremely similar numbers on similar numbers of receptions and targets with similarly unsustainable high YPC rates. Washington's first year in this role on Pitt 35rec 624yds 17.8ypc 4td Wallace's first year in this role on Pitt 39rec 756yds 19.4ypc 6td If all you go by is overall statistics like this then you are missing a lot of the picture. For instance 2009: Marques Colston REC:70 Yards:1,074 YPC:15.3 TD:9 Derrick Mason REC:73 Yards:1,028 YPC:14.1 TD:7 Are you going to tell me that Colston and Derrick Mason are the same as receivers? Just because the numbers are similar doesn't necessarily mean the playstyles are.
  11. Repeat after me: "Wallace is nothing like Nate Washington.""Wallace is nothing like Nate Washington."
  12. I do own Wallace, and I will be looking to sell. I'd trade him for Britt straight up, but probably not for Maclin or Meachem. Not unless Pittsburgh brought in some competition.ah, but there's the thing. as soon as they draft a top WR prospect, the maclin and meachem deals probably aren't available anymore.I don't see how the #2 for Pittsburgh is any better of a situation than the #2 for NO or Philly. I doubt you could get Maclin for him straight up. Meachem is a different situation since some people see his bumpy journey to relevance and high TD rate as a reason to sell.If they draft someone, it turns in a good time to buy. He is a proven receiver. He was a 3rd round pick last year. He is faster than almost every WR coming out this year (4.33 40). He has decent size at 6'0+ and 200 lbs. Who coming out is better than him other than Dez? We know they won't draft Dez, and Thomas is a project that will take 1 1/2 to 3 years to pay off. Benn may have an edge physically (not as fast but more size, and still plenty fast). Tate, Gilyard, Roberts, etc. are no better than Wallace.Didn't Wallace run a 4.28?I don't think anyone in the league besides Chris Johnson can keep up.
  13. Did he look bad or are you just looking at his interception totals? He had a few atrocious games (with high intercetption totals) but for the most part he showed some real potential for a rookie QB. Peyton Manning had 28 ints (w/o looking it up this may be slightly off) his rookie season.Sanchez looked very polished during the playoffs and all season showed a tremendous skill set - which were overshadowed by some brain-locks (that are common for fist year starters). He wasn't asked to do much leading the no. 1 rushing attacjk in the league so of course he didn't have gaudy stats - but as a season ticket holder the future looks bright. The kid is poised for his age and has ability - he can move well, has a strong arm and is accurate and smart (overall) - once he learns the game better he'll be a pro-bowl QB.Comparing Sanchez to a turd is some serious hyperbole - even for this thread.I wouldn't compare him to a turd yet, but I would give it a 60% chance at this point that Sanchez busts. He has not inspired any confidence to this point in my eyes. He looked lost a lot, and I would categorize his rookie season as "Generally lackluster with a sprinkling of hope".
  14. I just offered up a second round pick in a league where I am RB needy and was turned down. His value can't be that low....
  15. I wasn't saying that Stafford is the same as Carr; I was just pointing out that highly drafted QBs do not all automatically improve as they gain experience. It isn't an automatic and people in this thread are assuming that Stafford will improve dramaticaly. Carr was the top pick in the NFL draft in 2002. Stafford was the first pick overall in 2009. Both played on bad teams and both played with young, athletic WRs whom everyone assumed would become superstars.Carr's first year he had a completion percentage of 52.5%; Stafford's was 53.3%---very similar.Both threw more INTs than TDs their first year: Carr, 9 TDs and 15 INTs; Stafford, 13 TDs and 20 INTs. The TD/INT ratio is almost identical for the two players.The yards per attempt are almost identical too--5.8 for Carr and 6.0 for Stafford.Carr's rookie QB rating? 62.8.Stafford's rookie QB rating? 61How much more similar can you get? The major difference is that Stafford got hurt and only played 10 games, wich may hinder his development. Carr did improve slightly but he never became a good QB and his play continued to suppress the production of Andre Johnson until the team finally got Schaub.In any case, I am not saying that Stafford's career is going to resemble Carr's, but I am reminding people that first round QB's, even the first pick overall, don't always get better. So you can't make that claim and then pencil in bigger numbers for Calvin.I think his production drop was due to double and triple coverage more than QB issues to be honest. Even if Stafford never becomes a super accurate passer, he has a cannon and doesn't hesitate to throw it to CJ even when he is covered pretty tightly. Stafford seems like a young Brett Favre to me (huge arm, mediocre accuracy, throws into coverage and trusts his arm too much sometimes, plays through injury), and I for one am very excited to see how he grows.