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dwyadog

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About dwyadog

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  1. Dynasty LeSean McCoy Allen Robinson and 2019 2nd (likely late) for melvin Gordon 12 team ppr.
  2. November 2001 Harper's Index included the two factoids and credited the US Selective Service as the source: --Chances that a U.S. soldier in the Vietnam War volunteered : 4 in 5 --Chance that a U.S. soldier in World War II did so : 1 in 3 of course there are some reasons for that, many more troops needed in ww2 though military was still quite large in the Vietnam era. Still an interesting narrative, goes against most of what we think about the rate of volunteerism in ww2.
  3. Quick question on the public polling aspect. I know I saw some polls in 2010 where a majority of the public was "against" obamacare but the breakdown was rather fascinating. You get into things like this from 2013: "According to the poll, 43% of the public says it supports the health care law....Fifty-four percent of those questioned say they oppose the law, also relatively unchanged since 2010. The survey indicates that 35% oppose the health care law because it's too liberal, with 16% saying they oppose the measure because it isn't liberal enough. Right. Let me rephrase this: According to a recent poll, 59 percent of Americans support Obamacare, while 35 percent oppose it. Among supporters, 43 percent support the law as is, while 16 percent think it doesn't go far enough. Is this still the case when people bring up things like 51 or 55 % of people are "against" obamacare? Not a huge deal I'm sure but I found it very interesting when first looking at it years back and it to my mind puts a different spin on trying to use polling as a data point for saying obamacare goes too far and other things.
  4. no, adp has 1279, mjd 1218, chris johnson 994. as mentioned above it would depend a lot on team situation as far as trading him.
  5. The logic in taking brown in the same place you'd take forsett, hardesty, etc is sound. I understand and buy all the arguments on paper. Where Brown fails me is the eyeball test, both in college and in his rookie year. I recognize the talent but something just isnt there for me. I realize thats 100% subjective and I'm usually the guy who mines sites for data to run an analysis but in this case, with all the measurables and situation I still cant get myself up for brown. I traded for addai last year, to the guy who had taken brown and was high on him and used addai for just the one year before trading him away again to great success. Wasnt high on brown then, would still rather take someone else and play off of the perceived value brown has (some people value brown a lot more than the other rb's you mentioned and one can use that to their advantage).
  6. I understand where you're coming from, but consider that in a recent ten team start-up I just did I took him at the end of the 7th as my RB3 just ahead of Hardesty, Ronnie Brown, Ben Tate, Justin Forsett and Michael Bush. From that group I don't see how you can't take a risk on a 1st round draft pick that plays for the Colts. Even as bad as Addai has been throughout his career he has value simply because of the offense he plays in.addai wasnt always bad. Brown could have some good value as explained above but I still want nothing to do with him.
  7. "My predictions of a double-dip recession have essentially nothing to do with Obama's policies. Regardless of who got elected, I think our economy would be heading down a similar path as today. Unless Palin got elected Pres. Then we would be completely hosed." Sorry, was responding to the thread in general. Why do you think there will be a double dip recession? I havent read through the whole thread or hunted down your posts in it. Please explain in any way you care to, I'm at least conversant in all things Economics (bless you academic decathlon! ha)
  8. That's the goal here - I'm holding out to be the next Jim Cramer. All it will take is some publicity and a partial lobotomy.ha nice, well-played sir. Eh people seem to be pretty set on this, a link isnt going to convince anyone, the real downside to message boards. deficit spending isnt a bad thing, there are good reasons why the fed gov't can do it. of course one can always disagree with what they specifically do. as far as in the past economies have done x,y, or z argument like mentioned a few posts up hold very little water. its not as if this is an exact science and finance has only grown more complex, interdepent and huge, I could talk about the silver crisis of 1873 or any other number of events and draw lines to now but it would be pretty much worthless. i just dont get how people can look at these huge signposts, like the overall amount of tarp or the stim, have no actual clue how those programs were then implemented (the nuts and bolts of how it actually works, not how you think or works or what you learned reading a 1, 2 or even 10 page editorial) and then decide definitively for themselves that it was good or bad. I'm seriously dont get it, I've been trying myself with the aspects I do know intimately well and all I can get is an inkling that slides me over to the obamas policies being positive side, how are people so sure that theyre horrible when they dont know how the system works or what they shoudl be looking at other than the indicators pimped by big media? (seriously, im confused)
  9. As far as predicting a double-dip recession, sure, why not predict it? Get it wrong and no one will remember, get it right and you can crow about it for years. I'm pretty sure thats how one gets to be a pundit on economics issues on cable news!
  10. Eh, this is all way beyond me and my most passionate hobby is Economics and investing. A President can do a lot of things to create an environment conducive to producing a good economy. He, or she, can do so over time or in direct injections like the stimulus. To me it seems that the % of the problem or the solution that one ascribes to the President has a lot to do with ones general political views more than any real understanding of economics with is itself a soft science with no real answers. I mean even the indicators most people look at or cite to prove or disprove growth are just the indicators theyve been taught to look at. When someone cites a 9.7% unemployment number or a P/E ratio, 99% of the time they dont even know why theyre doing that, its just whats always been done and they lack any real understanding of what theyre talking about, especially if trying to connect events directly to anything a President of one country does. Given my very limited understanding after only 15 years of mostly casual but a few years of dedicated study. I think Obamas policies are a positive thing but I have no real numbers of ratios to pull to back that up, just what I think when I apply my limited understanding to the numbers and signposts out there.