Time to show off my rooster.
I'm a believer in big rosters and bye week balance. More below.
Pos Player Team Bye PriceQB D Brees NO 6 $29QB R Tannehill MIA 7 $4
Like many this year, I've hopped on the stud QB bandwagon. Unlike last year (Romo/Stafford) I almost went with no backup hoping the early bye for Brees doesn't kill me. Surprisingly enough, I survived week 5 last year (I believe it was, don't quote me) fairly easily with a zero QB score, so this can be done. I would like to have a better backup QB, and had one of the $11 guys in there for a long time (Fitz/Luck) but in the end believed that relying on either of them to win was a losing proposition. Thought long and hard about Stafford and Vick here, but just thought Brees was better. Not buying the Ryan hype yet, or at least not without a good quality backup - and couldn't get any combination anywhere close to the value of Brees at $29.
RB S Jackson STL 9 $22RB D Martin TB 5 $21RB D Wilson NYG 11 $9RB R Mendenhall PIT 4 $4RB J Dwyer PIT 4 $4RB C Benson GB 10 $3
I always seem to go short on RBs in this contest. I can't tell exactly why I have that tendency, but I made an effort to take higher-rated guys rather than a smattering of lower-level guys. I'm not sure I went far enough. That said, I'm happy with this group. I believe one of the overriding lessons from last year was that the smart play in this contest is to select both properly talented players in a productive situations who are discounted by muddled "starter" information. ie: TE Gronk AND Hernandez was the play last year at their prices. This year, I think the PIT backfield of Mendy + Dwyer (assuming your perspective is the later half of the season) is a similar play. For the price, I'm surprised to see so many rosters with only one of the two. STL WRs, ARI RBs, and NE RBs might be other similar situations this year.
I felt like there was a ton of <$10 value at RB, and had to drastically cut back when I realized I had 10 rostered. Thought Martin had lots of upside and that Jackson could see a lot more work with Fisher in STL.
WR P Harvin MIN 11 $20WR D Bryant DAL 5 $18WR E Decker DEN 7 $17WR R Wayne IND 4 $15WR T Young DET 5 $10WR J Blackmon JAX 6 $7WR S Smith STL 9 $5WR M Manningham SF 9 $4
Chalk me up as another believer in quantity here. For a long time I had 10 WRs and it was the last position I trimmed back, with lots of values under $10. Honestly there were lots of values below $20, I felt. Now that I've drawn attention to the wisdom of picking both cheap STL WRs, I can't tell you why I didn't do so here. I typically like to avoid late week byes (especially week 11) but simply thought Harvin was too much of a value. Also, I'm expecting my flex to typically come from the WR/TE pool, and by week 11 I'm hoping my PIT RB investment can pick up the flex potential of Percy's bye. Strongly considered Harry Douglass, Ogletree (doh), Kenny Britt, and Mike Wallace here. In the end, thinking of Wayne/Wallace/Britt as my WR4, I went with consistency over upside. I don't know if it was a wise decision, but I do have strong belief that any of these guys could start for me any week.
TE A Gates SD 7 $20TE B Pettigrew DET 5 $15
I just couldn't pull the trigger on Graham/Gronk. I'm a believer in Gates as the top target in SD, and that Pettigrew's "move the chains" usage results in more TDs this year. I think he had a very quiet but extremely solid performance in this contest last year. I'm hoping for more of the same.
PK N Kaeding SD 7 $4PK R Bironas HOU 11 $3PK R Lindell BUF 8 $3TD Raiders OAK 5 $4TD Saints NO 6 $3TD Chiefs KC 7 $3TD Panthers CAR 6 $3
APalmer said it earlier. I think K and D are underrated in this contest. Looking back, I have no idea how I ended up with these picks, but I'm a believer in a solid 3 each, and ended up with 4 D because I couldn't find any QBs $3 more expensive than Tannehill I would rather have. Naturally, now that $3 sure looks like a nice Ogletree pick, but whatever.
25 total players, which is definitely lower than usual for me.
4: WR Wayne5: RB Martin, WR Bryant, TE Pettigrew6: QB Brees7: WR Decker, TE Gates8: none9: RB Jackson10: none11: WR Harvin
I have definitely come to believe that if you are to have a multiple-bye week (or super stud bye week) you want it to occur as early in the season as possible. Obviously the first priority is drafting players you believe in, but for me byes are more than simply a tie-breaker. Week 5 and 7 are clearly my weakest byes, but I feel I can survive week 5 while missing a number of preseason studs as we'll still be weeding out a lot of ill-formed entries by that time. My Jackson and Harvin (top dollar players at respective positions) byes make me nervous, but I'm happy with the bye week distribution and hope that my cheaper guys (such as PIT backfield) have emerged by that time to pick up the slack.
Great contest, great thread as always. Thanks everyone.