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ckl81

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About ckl81

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    San Diego Chargers
  1. I thought the title of the thread was "what is the worst dynasty trade you have been offered?". I posted the worst dynasty trade I have been offered. Maybe you can start a new thread called "RIDICULOUSLY bad trade offers"?
  2. Just got consecutive offers in my dynasty keeper cap league -- their DeAngelo Williams for my Dez. I gave a polite no thank you, at which point they re-offered DWill for Stefon Diggs.
  3. Come on. He's on pace for 1450 yds and 16 TDs, and still snagged a TD yesterday anyway against the Steelers. Let's give the guy a break--he's been paying massive dividends this year!
  4. I think OL too. It had to be better last year. The pocket is collapsing immendiately every pass and the statue can't get away. At this point in time he is Dan Marino at age 38. He can't do anything on the run. As soon as he starts running there is no way he is going to complete the pass.I agree. He was under a lot of pressure today. And there are not too many QBs who can be good consistently when they are under heavy pressure.They have the definition of a patchwork OL right now, picked up an FA off the street last week and a PS guy. From watching the games, these guys may actually be doing a slightly better job than the starters. Not a good showing from Rivers today, but against Von Miller and Dumervil and the limited time he was given, I think he managed ok. Chargers really need to pick solidify the O-line this next draft. Luckily, with their current trajectory, they may have a good shot at an impact player for the OL. Right now they're not doing him any favors.
  5. That made you feel good inside, didn't it?
  6. I've been a Rivers supporter in general (not this thread), but I'm beginning to agree. This year, he sucks. That fumble to lose the game tonight sealed it.
  7. No kidding. I think I could have run a more effective 2 minute drill today. Something is up with Rivers, he is not playing like his normal self, but I'm not sure why.
  8. Interesting thought. CJ has carried the ball a ton lately.. but he avoids contact better than anyone I've ever seen. I'm not sure it's worth docking his risk profile at this point.I'm not arguing that CJ isn't good at avoiding contact, but I've actually seen him get popped quite a few times. It's bound to happen when you're touching the ball 25+ times a game. I don't think his present value is affected much by the workload, but I wouldn't be surprised to see CJ flame out faster than other RB's his age. Sorry CJ owners, not trying to scare you. I also have a question about CJ: we all can agree that some of his production is directly related to his unbelievable speed. He's an incredibly talented runner as well, with great lateral agility and patience too, from what I've seen, but my question is this: how long does it last? I'm hoping it lasts a long time, because I think he's a phenomenal player and is really fun to watch. But my theory is that because his greatest strength is his speed, which I feel probably deteriorates a little more quickly than other skills, does he have a shorter window? 90% speed CJ is still damn fast, but when he gets to that point, will he still be as effective a runner? What's his comparable if you take away some of his top-line speed and acceleration?
  9. Fire? He's just a jerk.He may be a jerk, but I'd rather have someone who cares about winning and shows some spirit rather than someone like lackadaisical (sp) Roy Williams. Someone on here said that the reason why Calvin isn't as high up as Fitz and AJ is because they show the fire and Calvin Johnson hasn't, thus far.That's insane.And you're over-rating outward displays of emotion tremendously. Fitz has one of the most laid-back onfield demeanors you'll ever see. Marvin Harrison did too. SSOG commentary on WRs awhile back, which I happen to agree with to a large extent:
  10. Yes, Kyle Orton is a team leader. First off, the QB is naturally a team leader, especially the best QB on the team. Second, he's genuinely well-liked by pretty much everybody he's ever played with. The Bears players loved him and talked a lot of smack about the trade when they learned he was leaving.Also, just because an offensive player doesn't get in someone else's face every time they screw up (without any accountability when he screws up himself) doesn't make him a poor leader. I guarantee you that young Broncos listen when Graham talks. Ditto that for a guy like Casey Weigmann or Ben Hamilton. But even if Graham was a deaf-mute and Clady didn't speak English and Orton was a mongoloid with no social interaction skills... doesn't change the fact that Marshall is not a "leader". He's a guy who pouts and sulks when he doesn't get his way, behaves extremely unprofessionally, doesn't put the team first, deflects all blame for his own shortcomings, and has no personal accountability. Calling Marshall "fiery" or a "leader" is a joke. He's a prima donna who got pissed because a rookie fumbled (which wasn't even his own fault, by the way, and wasn't even a fumble for that matter- the ball crossed the goal line, first), so he decided to lose his cool at said rookie. If that makes him a "leader", then Terrell Owens is the best leader I have ever seen in my entire life. Just look at how well he lost his cool at Donovan McNabb, Jeff Garcia, Tony Romo, Jason Witten, his coaches, his fellow receivers, etc. Owens is such a great leader that three different franchises have, when faced with the option of retaining his leadership, decided to instead let the league get a taste of the sportsman that is Terrell Owens.Good points---I wouldn't say that he's necessarily a good leader either. He's obviously still immature, as seen by his actions earlier this year. That being said, he is outspoken, has tremendous talent and recent success (the prior two years), has been with the team for awhile, and is cocky. I'm sure to some extent that his words carry _some_ weight. My original point was not to bring out the fact that he's a leader per se, but to illustrate the point that he cares about winning, and holds people accountable (Moreno fumbled the ball at the goalline, no question about that, just the timing of whether it was before or after he broke the plane). That is a positive trait in sports. Maybe he went about it the wrong way by getting in Moreno's face, but isn't that better than him watching the cheerleaders on the sideline, not really caring about the score, just about his paycheck? I'd say that it's a plus. I guarantee you that if Jordan was triple covered in the corner, passed the ball to Luc Longley, who was free under the basket but missed the layup in a pivotal point in an important game, MJ would chew his ### out. That, or ignore him for 2 months. MJ and Marshall are galaxies away, but the determination to win is a positive trait in sports. That's all I'm saying, and I'm glad that Marshall, for all his other faults, is showing that trait.Hopefully this dynasty discussion won't get sidetracked to talk about leadership qualities anymore, I don't want to take away from an amazing thread. No more comments from me about Marshall's comments/actions, until he does something else good/stupid.
  11. Fire? He's just a jerk.He may be a jerk, but I'd rather have someone who cares about winning and shows some spirit rather than someone like lackadaisical (sp) Roy Williams. Someone on here said that the reason why Calvin isn't as high up as Fitz and AJ is because they show the fire and Calvin Johnson hasn't, thus far.
  12. Top 8. Possibly top 5. Then again, I haven't dropped him as far due to knuckleheadedness as F&L has in the first place.It's nice to hear that reassurance from you SSOG. I think Marshall's really talented as well, and if not for his acting up, he could be an unstoppable force. Although I don't necessarily agree with his shoving match with Moreno this past week on the Denver sideline, his post-game interview had him saying the following: I gotta say, I like the fire he's showing. Maybe next year, if he lands somewhere else and has a change of scenery and/or a better situation, he could rise up the the elite level.At least, that's what I'm hoping.
  13. High Knucklehead Factor I don't want him on my roster, so I don't value him highly. I wouldn't want to be left holding the bag when his value drains next time he gets arrested, or even worse.Let's talk hypothetically. Let's say that the knucklehead factor were to magically disappear (I know it can't, but I'm trying to gauge everyone's estimation of Marshall's pure WR talent level) and he was a great teammate, and impeccably behaved, although assuming that his workout regimen/training remained at it's current level. Where would Marshall fall in the rankings then? Is he on the same talent level as Colston/Roddy/Jennings in terms of FF production capability? Seems like that would be the case, although he's not as much of a burner and is more of a high reception/YAC guy. Would be interested to hear people's thoughts.
  14. It's hard to do a straight ypc comparison, because ypc isn't just team and player dependent, it's also SITUATION dependent.Imagine two hypothetical RBs. One RB averages 2 yards per carry on 3rd and 1, and averages 5 yards per carry on 1st and 10. The second RB averages 0 yards per carry on 3rd and 1, and 4 yards per carry on 1st and 10. The first RB has a better ypc in both situations, but if the second RB gets all of the first down carries and the first RB gets all of the third down carries, then the second RB will actually wind up with the higher overall ypc! This phenomenon (that a player can have a higher ypc in every single situation, but a lower overall ypc) is called "Simpson's Paradox", and is a very real effect that depresses the overall ypc of any RB who gets an inordinate about of red zone or short yardage carries.In addition to Simpson's Paradox, the ypc statistic always favors big-play RBs over consistent chain-movers. For instance, looking back at Denver, Tatum Bell always posted a sterling ypc (the best on the team in every season, iirc), despite the fact that he was viewed as mediocre and expendable. The reason was because he'd pad his total with a handful of huge runs. A guy who has 9 runs for 2 yards and a run for 32 yards is averaging 5.0 ypc, but a guy who runs for 4 yards half the time and 5 yards the other half is significantly more valuable.The final variable at play is where the runs are taking place. If a player only ever got the ball at the 1 yard line, the highest ypc he could possibly post would be 1.0 ypc. The closer to the end zone the runs are coming, the less potential there is for a long run that brings up the average ypc- after all, it's impossible to break an 80 yard run from midfield.Anyway, to see what's at play in Carolina, I did a bit of digging into splits. The data suggests that Stewart converts a higher percentage of short yardage carries, while Williams has a higher percentage of long runs, which seems to fit with my subjective take on their respective skills. Stewart's probably never going to be the kind of guy who can put up a ypc in the same ballpark as Williams', just like Steven Jackson is never going to be a 5+ ypc kind of guy (even if his unbelievable 2006, he only averaged 4.4 ypc). To be honest, though, Stewart doesn't have to put up a 5+ ypc in order to be a fantasy stud.In terms of physical attributes, the best comparisons for Stewart are Ronnie Brown and Steven Jackson. Those two are pretty much the only guys who have entered the NFL this decade with a comparable package of size and speed, although Stewart's size/speed combo is actually better than either of theirs. Williams is a more dynamic talent and a bigger threat in the open field, but Stewart is better suited to be a bellcow like Peterson, Jackson, or MJD. I really think that Williams benefits from Stewart's presence in a lot of ways, and that he wouldn't be doing as well without Stewart around. It's hard to say which RB is the more talented of the two, because they're very different backs, but I do think that both RBs are among the 5-8 most talented RBs in the league today.Thanks for this SSOG, exactly what I was looking for, and makes a ton of sense.
  15. Great stuff in this thread---it's my daily required reading. Fantastic insight on players from some really knowledgeable people. I have a question about Jonathan Stewart vs. DeAngelo Williams. From what I've read in this thread and seen in F&L's rankings, Stewart is looked upon very highly, despite being a backup. He's definitely produced a fair amount over his first 2 years in the league, particularly with scoring TDs, but something's been bothering me about his performance. Last year, he averaged 4.5 ypc, and this year he's increased that to 4.8 ypc. Deangelo, behind the same line, averaged about 5.5 ypc last year, down to 5.1 ypc this year. Given that Deangelo's the workhorse back and sees more carries, shouldn't his ypc be lower? I know on F&L's rankings, Stewart is ranked 13th to DWill's 7th, but is that due to a strict talent comparison? I know that you can't put everything on ypc, but I feel that there's a pretty strong correlation between ypc and general talent/production in FF. I guess what I'm asking is a little insight as to the talent level of Stewart. If he got the chance to be a feature back, who would he be comparable to? Steven Jackson? Ray Rice? Ronnie Brown or Pierre Thomas? I'm talking about pure talent level, all else being equal. I'm assuming that most people think that DWill is the more talented back, if they were the same age. Thanks in advance for any insight.