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humpback

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About humpback

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  1. That's regular price, no? Lowes has it for $16.88, which isn't great either (15% off). Costco has the Pro version for $6 off ($15 by me for 2x18 lb. bags).
  2. For starters, I explicitly said that it wasn't all because of fresh legs. Fresh legs doesn't mean your per attempt metrics have to improve, it simply means that you are fresher than your opponents at the time, which gives you an advantage. Has nothing to do with progression, how many attempts or yards he got in what games, or who those opponents were. I saw a good player who played well all season long as well. I also don't ignore the fact that he had fresh legs while doing so.
  3. I'm not saying it was all because of fresh legs obviously, but how can you dismiss it as a factor? That game vs. Washington where he started getting a much bigger share was week 9 of the NFL- he only had 20 carries on the season prior to that while defenses had been beaten up for half the season already. He didn't hit 100 carries on the season until week 14. He may reach it, but 1650 total yards and 8 TDs is not a pretty reasonable projection IMO. That's the same number of yards and 2 more TD's than he and Gore had last year combined.
  4. Going out on a limb here a bit, but I'm thinking maybe it doesn't work for you because of wishful thinking- perhaps you own Singletary in fantasy? For starters, it isn't true that they literally had no other RB on the team worth a carry. They had TJ Yeldon, signed Taiwan Jones in free agency prior to the draft, and preseason darling Christian Wade. Not a murderers row for sure, but the bench wasn't completely empty behind Singletary. More importantly, the Bills have their eyes on winning the division-doesn't seem likely that they would spend a 3rd round pick just for depth at what is widely considered one of the most replaceable positions. Even more unusual would be trying to trade up for merely depth at that position. If that's all they wanted, they could have just re-signed Gore, or any number of cheap veteran free agents. Again, doesn't mean Singletary won't end up the workhorse, but it seems pretty obvious to me that they want Moss to be involved quite a bit.
  5. I think this is much more about the virus than anything, they weren't able to bring players in for visits and haven't been able to do much of anything in person. That said, I've seen them praise Moss, and really all you need to know is that they tried to trade up to get him and spent roughly the same draft capital on him as they did on Singletary. Who knows how it all shakes out, it's entirely possible that Singletary takes the reins and runs away with the bulk of the work, but people are being naive if they think Moss is zero threat or he was just brought in because they had no one else at RB. They obviously like him.
  6. Are there other considerations, like salary or something? If not, AJ Brown is the easy choice IMO.
  7. The RAS grade is their athletic score compared against the other RBs in the draft class, that's why it's so low. It doesn't account for his balance, moves, etc. He also had a grand total of 1 TD during those 7 games, and you have to factor in "fresh legs" into his performance. Moss absolutely is a threat IMO- you don't use a 3rd round pick (which is the same round they used on Singletary the year prior) just to fill a roster spot, they could have signed any number of cheap vets if that's all they were looking to do. It seems much more likely that they are planning on some sort of split, and Allen and Moss will very likely get the lions share of TD's. Top 10 is way too high IMO. Again, their metric is purely based on athleticism- he's less than JAG athletically. Love pretty much everything else about him.
  8. I think you answered your own question- they cut dividends because it saves them money (instead of paying it out to shareholders, they keep it and can use it to pay expenses, etc.). It's not nothing, you get the ~5% in the form of a cash dividend in exchange for a ~5% drop in share price. It's just not "free".
  9. You seem skeptical. The dividend WILL drop the share price by the same amount- of course, there are always other factors that impact the stock price, so it will move more or less than the dividend amount based on those factors, but it won't have anything to do with the dividend itself. Again, there is no "free money", if there was everyone would do it.
  10. bump You need to own it on the day prior to the ex-dividend date, but It doesn't really matter- the stock drops by the amount of the dividend anyway, it isn't "free money" as some seem to think.
  11. Agreed. The banks just scream value here, but usually it's for a reason.
  12. This situation is nothing like 2008, which WAS a liquidity/solvency issue and the Fed saved the day. The Fed can help with liquidity issues, they can't print away the virus.
  13. Not telling you anything you don't already know, but I don't think it's about liquidity, it's more that it's very difficult to make money in this environment, and this environment doesn't seem likely to change to a more conducive one for them anytime soon.
  14. He said only 1999 was more overvalued than now and he's only 10-15% long equities. You've come way down on your optimism but I don't think you're quite on that level.