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About humpback

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  1. Barber barely saw the field his freshman year and then entered the draft after his sophomore season, so it's hard for me to put too much stock in the fact that he didn't catch a ton of passes- college offenses are way different, their offense was very run heavy. If you want to put stock in that season though, he did rush for 13 TDs in the SEC, so that should put a damper on the thought that he is not good in short yardage (as well as his scouting reports saying otherwise). Context is also important when looking at the coaches. There is a reason Arians is well respected, it's because he's a very good coach (particularly offensively). That's more about doing well with what you have than just the raw numbers (see the debacle of 2017 in Arizona, no one would have done anything with that disaster). Anyway, we should probably just agree to disagree. I want to be clear, I'm not pounding the table for Barber or any other TB RB, I just think his ceiling is far higher than you do if everything goes right, which is what I was initially replying to. Obviously it isn't likely that everything will go right, and of course there is room for regression as well (I never said otherwise). I'm strictly talking about upside, and I see a lot more of it on that offense with that coach than you do.
  2. Forget about the specific player for a minute, just look at the numbers- Barber added a bit over 2 ppg from the receiving game last year in full PPR. Do you think that is near the top or bottom of the league for starting RBs? IMO there is far more upside than downside from that level simply because it's such a low baseline. I'm not saying he's great at catching the ball, but he's adequate enough and working on it so that if things fall the right way and he winds up the bellcow, I think there is plenty of room for improvement there with Arians calling the plays. From the link: If he winds up with 30 catches for 225 yards and 2 TDs, that would still likely be near the bottom of the barrel for starting RBs, but would give him ~30 more points in PPR over last season. If any of these RBs ends up being the bellcow next year, I would consider that to be a conservative projection (never mind ceiling) considering they should again be one of the best offenses in the league.
  3. You gave an obvious one yourself, being 3rd in yards but only 12th in points. Barber led the team with 5 rushing TDs, don't you think that has plenty of room for improvement? He also only had 20 receptions for less than 100 yards, seems to me that there is quite a bit of room for improvement there as well. The team was pretty inefficient on offense last year and their defense was a sieve, which led them to have the 6th lowest percentage of run plays in the league. This should change for the better as well this season.
  4. You seem to be completely disregarding the fact that they have a major upgrade in coaching this year. IMO Barber's ceiling is much higher than RB36 with Arians at the helm (same goes for Jones or anyone else who may end up as their RB1).
  5. You probably should have quoted the guy who asked that question then instead of mine. I was simply countering another posters argument that their off season moves somehow show that they are very confident that he is returning this year.
  6. Of course they have some level of optimism, but that's not what he's saying. He said "The Pats didn't release all the WRs on the team and then sign him to a 2nd round tender if the Pats didn't think he was going to play this year." Not only is he being disingenuous with the moves they've made at WR, but they would have given him that tender even if they didn't think he was going to play this year since there's no risk in doing so. The tender doesn't mean that they believe it's likely that he'll play, only that there's some chance that he will.
  7. You're talking about the great Chris Hogan and Cordarrelle Patterson? They also brought back Dorsett, signed Thomas and Inman, and drafted a WR in the first round for the first time in over two decades. It's already been addressed, but giving Gordon that tender really doesn't give us any insight. Even if they only think there's a 1% chance of him playing, it's a no-brainer- if he plays they get a cheap WR, if he doesn't they don't lose anything.
  8. First part is certainly debatable, second part is why the Bills are the Bills. He's not very good, way overpaid, and old with a ton of wear and tear- perfect for a rebuilding team huh? It's already a year too late.
  9. All of it would roll over to next year. It's pretty much a no-brainer to cut him IMO (which means they probably won't).
  10. The issue is that QBs who are bad at passing tend not to start for long. Sure, he has tons of upside, but in order to get there he needs to get much better at throwing the football or else he'll be the next Tyrod Taylor. 400 fantasy points is a pipe dream IMO.
  11. Everyone being lulled to sleep by the slow, steady sell off?
  12. I don't know if you're right about the first assertion, but if you are the second follows. There is certainly that risk. Tesla has all sorts of company specific issues, I don't see it as a harbinger of the economy myself.
  13. There wouldn't be a scarcity of time to teach it if it was viewed as a higher priority, as it should be IMO. I'm not saying it needs to be a stand-alone year-long course or anything, but it certainly could be covered more than it currently is.
  14. Agree completely with the first sentence, disagree completely with the second (at least in the short term). Our economy is driven by people making terrible financial decisions, the cynic in me thinks that's precisely why it isn't taken seriously in our school system.
  15. More ugliness in the pre-market.