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LususV

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About LususV

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  1. The only thing that annoys me is Jets/Gailey play calling. Took a look at their 3rd-and-short play calling earlier. 3rd and 1, they run 2/3 of the time 3rd and 2 to 3rd and 5, 10% OF THE TIME. When you have an RB getting >5 yards per carry, that's just stupid. They also run best off the right end, and Buffalo defends the ends the worst, but 2nd and 2 next to end zone last night was inside the left guard, and stuffed.
  2. Worst I was ever offered, a couple weeks ago. He gives Albert Wilson, Doug Baldwin, and Bishop Sankey. I give Dez Bryant.
  3. Huh? Evans isn't a WR1 now, in a better offense with a better QB, and you're saying he'd be a WR1 in Buffalo? He's dropping way too many passes right now, and is inconsistent play to play. Currently WR35 in PPR due to inconsistency week to week (has had 0, 6, 7, 8, 17, 22, 30 fantasy points this season).
  4. Doesn't Coates have issues with hands/drops? Odell he ain't if he can't consistently catch.
  5. Worried about this WR class in general. I have the 1.01 pick in one league and the 1.02 pick in another. I'd love nothing more than to get an elite WR, but is there anyone in this class you can point to as a lock prospect? Cooper/Parker/Funchess/DGB/White all seem to have at least one or two things you can nitpick. I'm sure a couple of those guys will end up being solid, but the trust factor isn't there for me yet. The combine should help clear things up. Not only because of the tangible measurements, but also by offering a level playing field and good camera angles to evaluate movement. That's one area where some of the eventual successes like Hopkins and Beckham really stood out in previous years. Unless word comes out that his injury is worse than a standard ACL tear, I'm taking Gurley and not thinking twice about it. Otherwise, if I have a top 4 pick in this class, I try to deal it for an NFL WR on the rise (Nuk Hopkins types).
  6. Not sure if this is a serious post or not, but I never really liked the reasoning of "take away this huge game and this guy's stats would be less impressive." It's a self-serving argument. Like saying, "Ken Griffey Jr. had a horrible game except for the two pitches he hit out of the park." Big plays count. Big games count. It's about the totals, not how you got there. Adrian Peterson had 296 rushing yards against the Chargers as a rookie. Those yards count towards his end of season totals the same as any other yards would. Great players have monster games. The fact that Ebron went off for 199 yards in one game doesn't look like a red flag to me, but rather another confirmation of his rare talent level. How many TEs ever have a game like that in their college careers? Look at his big plays in that game: http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=9840976 http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=9841189 http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=9841560 Those are not easy plays that any TE could make. The first one requires pretty good speed and the third one is an amazing catch. He "earned" those yards. I don't like the idea of taking out one game in order to tweak the stats so they fit your argument better. But if you're going to do that, it would only be fair if you did the same for every other TE. I'm sure Amaro's stats would look worse than they do now if you took out his best game. Same with ASJ. Or for that matter, Mike Evans or Sammy Watkins. Saying that a player's stats would be a lot worse if you took out his best game is ultimately not a very damning or meaningful observation. I already seen all of his cut ups. Other off-the-chart games off the top of my head:"4th round gold mine" Quinton Patton - 21 catches. 233 yards, and 4 TDs vs T A&M in 12'. Should he have went as high as Austin? Tavon Austin - 21 carries, 344 yards, 2 rushing TDs vs Ok. Speak of the devil... Dexter McCluster - 25 carries, 282 yards, and 4 TDs vs Tenn in 09'. Do we care? Geno Smith - 656 yards passing and 8 TDs vs Baylor. Is he great? You can't take it away from his totals. That makes no sense. I was talking per game. Outside of that game he was just 'OK.' Any good player can have a phenomenal college game. The question is -- do they consistently have them? Was it a blip, or "a tell" of greatness? He's straight line fast, but he can't jump and has suspect hands. Other than that he's a rare talent. Are you writing off Geno Smith, Tavon Austin, and Quinton Patton as 'done' after their rookie seasons? I didn't mention writing anyone off. It was just an example of how good college players have outliner games on occasion. Ebron was overdrafted in the NFL, so he will get hyped up around here by default because of draft position alone. He had 3 whole TDs on a team that threw close to 30 TDs and had a fringe NFL prospect at QB. FraudI tend to view 'big-game-ability' as a necessary but not sufficient quality; some players will never hit 100 yards (Emmanuel Sanders)... ever. Some players (Michael Floyd) might only have one MONSTER game in a season, but it's a potential harbinger of future value. I haven't studied college football enough to say whether that ability in college translates to the pros with regularity or not.
  7. Not sure if this is a serious post or not, but I never really liked the reasoning of "take away this huge game and this guy's stats would be less impressive." It's a self-serving argument. Like saying, "Ken Griffey Jr. had a horrible game except for the two pitches he hit out of the park." Big plays count. Big games count. It's about the totals, not how you got there. Adrian Peterson had 296 rushing yards against the Chargers as a rookie. Those yards count towards his end of season totals the same as any other yards would. Great players have monster games. The fact that Ebron went off for 199 yards in one game doesn't look like a red flag to me, but rather another confirmation of his rare talent level. How many TEs ever have a game like that in their college careers? Look at his big plays in that game: http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=9840976 http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=9841189 http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=9841560 Those are not easy plays that any TE could make. The first one requires pretty good speed and the third one is an amazing catch. He "earned" those yards. I don't like the idea of taking out one game in order to tweak the stats so they fit your argument better. But if you're going to do that, it would only be fair if you did the same for every other TE. I'm sure Amaro's stats would look worse than they do now if you took out his best game. Same with ASJ. Or for that matter, Mike Evans or Sammy Watkins. Saying that a player's stats would be a lot worse if you took out his best game is ultimately not a very damning or meaningful observation. I already seen all of his cut ups. Other off-the-chart games off the top of my head: "4th round gold mine" Quinton Patton - 21 catches. 233 yards, and 4 TDs vs T A&M in 12'. Should he have went as high as Austin? Tavon Austin - 21 carries, 344 yards, 2 rushing TDs vs Ok. Speak of the devil... Dexter McCluster - 25 carries, 282 yards, and 4 TDs vs Tenn in 09'. Do we care? Geno Smith - 656 yards passing and 8 TDs vs Baylor. Is he great? You can't take it away from his totals. That makes no sense. I was talking per game. Outside of that game he was just 'OK.' Any good player can have a phenomenal college game. The question is -- do they consistently have them? Was it a blip, or "a tell" of greatness? He's straight line fast, but he can't jump and has suspect hands. Other than that he's a rare talent. Are you writing off Geno Smith, Tavon Austin, and Quinton Patton as 'done' after their rookie seasons?
  8. I've been reading it as well. I think it's a good list in the sense that it pretty accurately captures current perceived market value. On the other hand, that means they're also guilty of pumping up a lot of the guys who seem like they might be WAY overrated to me. Henry, North, Cooper, and Treadwell are all rated as elite options. Not to say those guys don't have talent, but are they THAT good? To me, it's still up for debate. I think if you copy + paste that list and store it away for 5 years, it may look borderline insane when you look at it next. To be fair though, that kinda comes with the territory in devy rankings where you're trying to account for guys who have played sparingly, if at all, in college. I understand your POV, but I think we could also look back in 5 years after Henry, North, and Treadwell are perennial top-10 startup candidates and say they nailed it ;-) Those guys have those 'you can't teach that' qualities that all truly elite players have. Sure, they could bust, as many 'star' prospects have before. But I'll take a chance at a superstar over a higher floor/lower ceiling guy.
  9. They started moving him around by choice plenty of times and not just due to the injuries last year with the Packers. I don't find it likely that OBD will be able to do that as a rooke and therefore I find him being the most inconsistent week to week for fantasy this year of the Giants WR's. I agree with a lot of your points, but not this one. The main purpose of ODB's draft stock being as high as it was is because he can do exactly what you're saying he can't do. He's coming in as a pro ready receiver, with polished route running ability (most argue the best in the class) and a guy who had success at X, Y, & Z spots. The big thing for him was that he can play, presumably the whole field. Which is why I've stated strongly, I think he'll get the nod over Randle in any 2 WR sets. Randle is a lot more basic of a route runner, he won't be able to move around as easily. What is this all about? Randle was drafted pretty high just a few years ago, didnt play much as a rookie and had a pretty good year last year playing on limited time showing up guys like Nicks. Now because they draft a rookie WR people think this guy has little to no value. Tell me how many other WRs of quality did they have behind Cruz and Randle? Isn't Cruz contract up next year? For a sight that is devoted to fantasy football and its science the writing on the wall is pretty clear and many are looking past it. With the new OC they are going to run a lot of 3 WR sets and they needed depth and a high level talent in case Cruz leaves or does not get renewed. Randle is the tallest WR and has play making ability of his own who is most likely to take on the Nicks role outside from what the reports say. Just because someone was drafted high does not mean they will be good, D. Heyward-Bey. 1. What is this all about? There are a lot of rumblings that the Giants aren't happy with Randle's work ethic. Resse and ex-OC Gilbride were both quoted making odd statements about Randle. Resse at the combine said "the jury is still out on Randle". Gilbride stated (prior to his retirement) that the Giants needed "to get somebody that's going to be productive for them on the outside receiver". Also a lot of things coming out that Eli and Cruz were lobbying hard for a first round WR pick. Victor Cruz also stated that "A big-play receiver is something we really need for this offense to be successful. If I were drafting and had my pick I'd take a receiver. I think we should go receiver". If they really thought that Randle was there guy, why would they be saying all of this? I'm not saying Randle has little to no value, I'm saying I think he'll act as the 3rd WR in the offense behind Cruz and ODB. 2. No, Cruz signed a 6 year $46 million dollar contract last season. He's tied up until the 2019 season. Cruz is going no where, he'll be a Giants until he retires probably. 3. This point makes no sense to me. Randle is the tallest receiver? Big deal, the height thing is overblown. It can help make up for some lapses in your ability but a great 5' 11" receiver is always going to be better than a decent-good 6'2" receiver. Let's also not ignore their vertical jumps. Beckham had a 38.5" vertical making his maximum height 9' 1.5" compared to Randle who had a 31" vertical making his maximum height 8' 9". Randle is also a full 0.1 seconds slower on his 40. And slower on his cone drills by almost a half a second. As for the 'reports' about Randle taking on the Nicks role. That's isn't really a report but more of an assumption. The reality of this all is that in the majority of the plays they'll be in a 3 wide set. So you'll have Beckham and Randle on the outside with Cruz in the slot. Which really means the opportunity will be there for both Beckham and Randle. One of them is likely to put up great production, and it's likely the one that's getting open the most and the most reliable. Randle wasn't reliable at all last season and he's certainly not as talented as Beckham. So my money is on Beckham to put up the better season than randle. If Gilbride were still the coordinator, there would be no limit to how much I agreed with this post. However, with a simpler WCO offense, Randle's size and ability to catch in traffic (the one thing I think Beckham won't be able to do well) will be great in the red zone. He doesn't have WR1 upside, but could be a solid WR2.
  10. What is Stills' absolute ceiling? Lance Moore's 2008? (79 catches for 928 yards and 10 TDs). With the drafting of Cooks he looks like a better version of Lance Moore but with more competition for targets. That'd be typically good for a back-end WR2, which has value, but I have a hard time getting too excited. Like T.Y. Hilton I think he might be a better real life player than fantasy player.
  11. What are current owners willing to sell/selling for? If you're buying, what are you paying?
  12. I am in a Google spreadsheet. I'm still far from finished, but I'm using numbers provided by difference sources......like one's already mentioned, prospects that may have participated in a Nike SPARQ event, NFLDS etc etc. I still have a lot more to enter, but I'll get there. Stupid me forgot to share the link.... https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1n5hI4kWH4G2GrFR-zKN7OEcNu41sn2H5fon-C1mDCQk/pubhtml Someone passed me a link about a month back, and I thought your 2014 spreadsheet was awesome; thanks for this! Were 2010 and 2011 taken off-line?
  13. I'll sell if someone wows me ('15 1st or similar prospect) but otherwise holding. Dealt him pre-draft to an owner who had Pierre+Ingram for Bryce Brown+Da'Rick Rogers. Brown went up, Rogers went down, Khiry went up imo (owner now wants Bryce back, badly, ha).