Lavachebeadsman

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About Lavachebeadsman

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  1. We'll really have to see what that offense looks likes, because it certainly won't be his athleticism that gets it done.
  2. Link (with tables that won't copy & paste here) Tyrod Taylor, Baltimore Ravens Speed Score: 108 Agility Score: 10.87 College YPC: 4.4 College Rush TD: 23 Tyrod is the cream of the backup running quarterback crop. If I had to choose anyone on this list to win leagues down the strech in 2013, it would probably be Taylor. He’s an elite athlete and was a true dual threat in college, averaging 8.7 A/YA his senior season at Virginia Tech. In each of his 3 preseason games in 2013, he rushed the ball 5 times at 4.4 yards a carry. If Joe Flacco goes down for any amount of meaningful time, I’m fully comfortable spending a considerable amount of FAAB or burning a #1 waiver priority to acquire Taylor. I believe in Torrey Smith as a #1 wide receiver and the lack of talented supporting options just makes it more likely that Taylor is used as a rusher as would be needed. Similar to the namesake of this index, he’ll be thrust into a very run heavy offense that has its’ best talent in the backfield. Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce are both far above average talents and if the Ravens coaching staff gets as creative as the Seahawks, 49er’s, Panthers and Redskins coaches did last year, the rushing upside of Taylor could even approach Kaepernick-ian levels. It is because Taylor is an adequate passer and above-average runner that he is the most important name on this list. Josh Johnson, Cincinnati Bengals Speed Score: 101 Agility Score: 11.98 College YPC: 5.9 College Rush TD: 20 Coming out of college, Johnson was a very explosive rusher. He was on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers roster before being picked up by the Bengals this offseason and in his NFL career has rushed 37 times for 6.9 yards per carry. His agility and speed scores aren't as impressive as his production would indicate, but the numbers show that he has always been an effective runner. If Dalton were to be injured, Johnson would most likely be a weekly borderline top 12 play. He doesn't have the passing chops of Taylor, but what we really care about is the rushing yards. As the ##### discussed, quarterback scoring is effectively broken, meaning that a QB that throws for 150 yards and a touchdown but rushes for 80 yards and a touchdown is easily a top 10 in a given week. The offense that Johnson would be at the helm of features many talented pass catchers. He would have the potential of spreading the defense out with AJ Green, Giovani Bernard, Tyler Eifert, Mohammed Sanu and Jermaine Greshem, all of whom are above average at their positions. I wouldn't prioritize Johnson the same way I would Taylor, but he'll be worth a speculative add, especially in deep leagues. Dominique Davis, Atlanta Falcons Speed Score: 102 Agility Score: 11.05 College YPC: 1.8 College Rush TD: 14 How can a guy with a 1.8 yards per carry in college be considered a 'running quarterback'? I hear your skepticism, so let me explain. The most positive sign, when just looking at the college numbers is the 14 rushing touchdowns. Even if they are sneaks, it shows that either his college coaches trusted him around the goalline, or that he has the Aaron Rodgers/Andrew Luck/Geno Smith type athletic ability to run touchdowns close to the endzone. Additionally, in his 4 preseason performances, Davis' has ran the ball 12 times in 94 dropbacks (12% scramble percentage) for 8.2 yards per carry. Additionally, his combine numbers suggest a player who should run the ball more and would be effective. An agility score of 11.05 is good for a running back or wide receiver, much less a quarterback. The combine metrics aren't the end all, be all, especially for quarterbacks, but he is athletically capable of making positive plays happen when he tucks and runs. Again, imperfect, but this video shows several athletic rushing plays. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KAIM-U3Cxgw Most importantly, is who Davis takes the field with. Anyone throwing the ball to the likes of Julio Jones, Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez is going to look good. His theoretical ability to run the ball in the open field combined with those weapons intrigues me as a speculative add, should Matt Ryan be derailed by injury. He's easily 3rd on the list behind Taylor and Johnson, as he hasn't shown over a large sample that's he capable of gaining the yardage needed to be considered a running quarterback, but he has the athletic ability to do so. Deep Diving: These are 3rd strings that probably aren't ever going to see the field in an NFL game, but if they do, could help you. In regards to Pat White, the brilliant Sigmund Bloom remarked on Twitter that he was a broken clock that just happened to be right for today's NFL. Couldn't agree more with that statement. As the 3rd stringer in the Redskins read-option offense, White is a low-cost, disposable replacement should RG3 take too much of a beating and Kirk Cousins/Rex Grossman prove athletically incapable of running the system. I wouldn't ever say he is a top 12 guy, but that offense the Shanahan's created is beyond effective. Tarvaris Jackson isn't a spectacular runner, or even above average, but he did win the backup job behind Russell Wilson and we know that offense has incorporated elements of the zone read. Jackson has 159 career rushing attempts and in his one good Minnesota season, had 3 touchdowns and better than 5 yards a carry. If RW3 goes down, it's unlikely that Jackson is even 80% as effective as Wilson but if they let him run 5 times a game or use the read option near the goalline he could be a value in 16 team or 2-QB leagues.
  3. Did a write up. The kid can play and if Rice is dinged and Harper gets cut, he is going to see the field quite a bit.
  4. The only guy in San Diego that I'm targeting.
  5. You can read all about the contest at PFF here. The league is drafting tomorrow at 1:30 ET. The league is here and the entry room is here. http://www.rtsports.com/site/draft-lobby.php
  6. Mike James is the Doug Martin handcuff and Knile Davis is the JC Superstar handcuff. Few more notes here.
  7. Toon had a big 54 yard reception in the game last night. I think him and Stills both see time.
  8. Entered in one too many leagues (probably far greater than that, in all reality) and would like to sell of this dynasty squad. Link to team http://football4.myfantasyleague.com/2013/options?L=64050&O=07&F=0003 . Can contact me on twitter (@davismattek) or emaill (spfocusfilms@hotmail.com). If you want to talk to the commish or league mates, I can do that too.
  9. Which would again indicate that he isn't the solution to the matchup/hernandez problem. Right? I'm not disputing your original point in terms of it being a possibility, but isn't it also a possibility that the Pats braintrust simply morph the offense into a form that suits the talents of who they have? The use of Gronk and Hernandez was innovative. Why assume the innovators are now going to stick with a static form and try and make pieces fit into it? Right. A lot of this argument is based on terrible assumptions. First of all, Hernandez's role as a ball carrier is being grossly over-stated in this thread. I don't even think he had 20 carries in three years in the NFL. Yes, he lined up in the backfield occasionally, but most of the time it was in the "wing" position, which is not typically a ball-carrier spot in the NFL. Hernandez's value as a match-up asset was that he was bigger than a WR, but more nimble than a TE. Having him on the field didn't show the offense's hand with respect to running vs. passing as much as many TE's would because he could participate in both types of plays as a blocker or a receiver. Secondly, it's not necessarily always better to put "hybrid" players on the field. It only makes sense if that player is a better offensive asset than another WR or RB. The Patriots had pretty terrible WR depth last year, and Hernandez was a very good player, so it made sense do have him on the field and do as much with him as you can. This year, the team make-up is very different. It makes no sense to talk about this offense as if there's X number of "versatile guy" snaps that Belichick needs to give to someone. Hernandez vs. Edelman is an easy call. Vereen vs. Dobson vs. Thompkins vs. Sudfield vs. Boyce is totally different. Next, early indications are Sudfield is viewed as a versatile player, much like Hernandez was. He lined up in the wing spot on the vast majority of his snaps in the first pre-season game, and also lined up as a split out wide receiver on a few plays. Vereen is a good players, and is versatile, but that doesn't guarantee him a huge role in this offense this year. He's a RB who can catch really well, let's not get carried away. And people continue to underestimate Ridley. Ridley is a very good RB. 1. The hernandez as a ball carrier bit comes from the best-selling The Essential Smart Football. Author Chris Brown was On The Couch last week and 2 of the smartest fantasy dudes behind the whole FBG curtain just sat and listened. If Brown says something about an offensive scheme, I'm inclined to believe him over a random message board poster. 2. Why exactly isn't it better to have versatile players on the field? They drafted Vereen in the 2nd round and from a measureables and production standpoint, I'm going to prefer him to all of those options, given his versatility. 3. If Sudfeld ends up taking Hernandez's old spot, then I still think Vereen takes over Woodhead's old role and gains some extra snaps. With so much uncertainty at wide receiver, why not use a player who has known your system for 3 years? 4. I think if anything, Ridley is overrated but that's just me. 1) That's nice that Chris Brown wrote a book and was on a podcast, I'm sure he's a very smart guy. Whether or not what he said is being distorted or not, I don't know, but if he made it sound like Hernandez was anything but a OCCASIONAL ball carrier, he's wrong, regardless of how many books and podcasts he's on. Hernandez had about 18 career carries, including regular season and playoff games, of which he participated in many. He was a versatile weapon and a touch match-up, but not because he posed a threat at carrying the ball (other than those occasional times that he did). 2) Versatility is nice, but not if it puts a better "non-versatile" player on the sidelines. Yes, Belichick likes using versatile pieces to make things harder for defenses. That doesn't mean that WR's who only play WR but are good at playing WR aren't going to play. 3) Vereen definitely takes Woodhead's old role, and will be Woodhead + in my opinion. I think he might be a nice flex option this year in PPR leagues. Notice nothing in that sentence mentioned Hernandez. 4) Okay, sure. 1. I made mention of Hernandez's career touches in the OP. It's the THREAT of the run that forces a personnel shift. Even if it's a slight shift, Belichick felt it was an advantage, and why I believe Vereen will play that role because he would actually be better at it. 2. If you are telling me I can put Vereen, Boyce, Dobson OR Thompkins on the field for a while drive, I'm taking Vereen. To me, their best grouping is Vereen, Ridley, Gronk, Amendola, Sudfeld. With Vereen on the field that can be 2 WR, 1 RB or 2 RB, 1 WR personnel (not account for Gronk or Sudfeld splitting out wide or going in motion). 3. Okay. We differ here. 4. Pretty important point, if Vereen starts to siphon carries from Ridley.
  10. Which would again indicate that he isn't the solution to the matchup/hernandez problem. Right? I'm not disputing your original point in terms of it being a possibility, but isn't it also a possibility that the Pats braintrust simply morph the offense into a form that suits the talents of who they have? The use of Gronk and Hernandez was innovative. Why assume the innovators are now going to stick with a static form and try and make pieces fit into it? Right. A lot of this argument is based on terrible assumptions. First of all, Hernandez's role as a ball carrier is being grossly over-stated in this thread. I don't even think he had 20 carries in three years in the NFL. Yes, he lined up in the backfield occasionally, but most of the time it was in the "wing" position, which is not typically a ball-carrier spot in the NFL. Hernandez's value as a match-up asset was that he was bigger than a WR, but more nimble than a TE. Having him on the field didn't show the offense's hand with respect to running vs. passing as much as many TE's would because he could participate in both types of plays as a blocker or a receiver. Secondly, it's not necessarily always better to put "hybrid" players on the field. It only makes sense if that player is a better offensive asset than another WR or RB. The Patriots had pretty terrible WR depth last year, and Hernandez was a very good player, so it made sense do have him on the field and do as much with him as you can. This year, the team make-up is very different. It makes no sense to talk about this offense as if there's X number of "versatile guy" snaps that Belichick needs to give to someone. Hernandez vs. Edelman is an easy call. Vereen vs. Dobson vs. Thompkins vs. Sudfield vs. Boyce is totally different. Next, early indications are Sudfield is viewed as a versatile player, much like Hernandez was. He lined up in the wing spot on the vast majority of his snaps in the first pre-season game, and also lined up as a split out wide receiver on a few plays. Vereen is a good players, and is versatile, but that doesn't guarantee him a huge role in this offense this year. He's a RB who can catch really well, let's not get carried away. And people continue to underestimate Ridley. Ridley is a very good RB. 1. The hernandez as a ball carrier bit comes from the best-selling The Essential Smart Football. Author Chris Brown was On The Couch last week and 2 of the smartest fantasy dudes behind the whole FBG curtain just sat and listened. If Brown says something about an offensive scheme, I'm inclined to believe him over a random message board poster. 2. Why exactly isn't it better to have versatile players on the field? They drafted Vereen in the 2nd round and from a measureables and production standpoint, I'm going to prefer him to all of those options, given his versatility. 3. If Sudfeld ends up taking Hernandez's old spot, then I still think Vereen takes over Woodhead's old role and gains some extra snaps. With so much uncertainty at wide receiver, why not use a player who has known your system for 3 years? 4. I think if anything, Ridley is overrated but that's just me.
  11. Who took him there?
  12. Which would again indicate that he isn't the solution to the matchup/hernandez problem. Right?
  13. Both Vereen and Bolden could assume the roll left by Woodhead. (even Leon Washington and Edelman could steal some of those touches) That leaves Lloyd's touches that would be better suited for a player like Thompkins, Dobson, or Boyce. That leaves us with the joker role, which involves a percentage of blocking that doesn't really play to Vereens strength. If Vereen was to go down with an ACL tomorrow, who would the Shark Pool jump on as the new joker? Would it be because of talent or opportunity? I don't think Bolden can fill the role as well as Vereen. His agility score (3 cone plus Short Shuttle time) is a full half second slower than Vereen, and as I mentioned later in the piece, Bolden is on the roster bubble. If Vereen ripped an ACL, I would jump on Leon Washington, but I don't think he would have the upside of Vereen because I'm not sure he can play as a split end I thought Bolden and Washington were both considered safe because they play special teams and that the Pats were most likely going to carry 5 RBs. With the rest of the team falling apart, they need depth somewhere... Even if Bolden stays, I still think Vereen is better suited to take over the Woodhead role. Based on where he was drafted and the fact that the Pat's let Woodhead go I like his upside (assuming his ADP stays reasonable). Well my whole thing is that Vereen is probably going to play a combination of the Woodhead/Hernandez role because of what it forces the opposing defense to do.
  14. Both Vereen and Bolden could assume the roll left by Woodhead. (even Leon Washington and Edelman could steal some of those touches) That leaves Lloyd's touches that would be better suited for a player like Thompkins, Dobson, or Boyce. That leaves us with the joker role, which involves a percentage of blocking that doesn't really play to Vereens strength. If Vereen was to go down with an ACL tomorrow, who would the Shark Pool jump on as the new joker? Would it be because of talent or opportunity? I don't think Bolden can fill the role as well as Vereen. His agility score (3 cone plus Short Shuttle time) is a full half second slower than Vereen, and as I mentioned later in the piece, Bolden is on the roster bubble. If Vereen ripped an ACL, I would jump on Leon Washington, but I don't think he would have the upside of Vereen because I'm not sure he can play as a split end Understood. Then what would Vereen's roll have been if AH was still on the roster? Point is, I don't know if it's talent or opportunity that is giving Vereen his upside. If it's just opportunity, then Vereen may not produce up to his rising ADP. I think Vereen is pretty good. When AH was still on the roster, he scored 3 touchdowns on 12 touches in a playoff game and was running split end WR routes and getting throw to down the field. The Pats knew what they had and seemed to like him. I'd have to go back and look, but wasn't there a couple of injuries in that game that gave Vereen more time? I know, he will get the same opportunity, but last year the Pats didn't have a lot of other options. Given the same scenario this season, those snaps could easily go to Boyce, Dobson or Thompkins. The whole purpose of what I posted is that no, those snaps won't go to those players. My whole argument is that Vereen's ability to line up at basically every position other than tight end. Those 3 rookies can't play running back. Vereen allows Belichick to be more inventive and put his team in a better chance to confuse defenses.
  15. Both Vereen and Bolden could assume the roll left by Woodhead. (even Leon Washington and Edelman could steal some of those touches) That leaves Lloyd's touches that would be better suited for a player like Thompkins, Dobson, or Boyce. That leaves us with the joker role, which involves a percentage of blocking that doesn't really play to Vereens strength. If Vereen was to go down with an ACL tomorrow, who would the Shark Pool jump on as the new joker? Would it be because of talent or opportunity? I don't think Bolden can fill the role as well as Vereen. His agility score (3 cone plus Short Shuttle time) is a full half second slower than Vereen, and as I mentioned later in the piece, Bolden is on the roster bubble. If Vereen ripped an ACL, I would jump on Leon Washington, but I don't think he would have the upside of Vereen because I'm not sure he can play as a split end Understood. Then what would Vereen's roll have been if AH was still on the roster? Point is, I don't know if it's talent or opportunity that is giving Vereen his upside. If it's just opportunity, then Vereen may not produce up to his rising ADP. I think Vereen is pretty good. When AH was still on the roster, he scored 3 touchdowns on 12 touches in a playoff game and was running split end WR routes and getting throw to down the field. The Pats knew what they had and seemed to like him.