Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

miqws

FBG Apps Beta Tester
  • Content Count

    227
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

176 Excellent

About miqws

  • Rank
    Footballguy

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male

Previous Fields

  • Favorite NFL Team
    Indianapolis Colts

Recent Profile Visitors

3,304 profile views
  1. A look at draftnik ranks versus fantasy ranks. Shout out to ZWK for generic numbers and Faust for the sources. I averaged a bunch of 2020 mocks and prospect rankings (CBSsports, drafttek, draftsite, tankathon, thedraftnetwork, walterfootball, Miller bleacherreport, Easterling draftwire, thehuddlereport, Jeremiah NFL.com, Reuter NFL.com, Driscoll profootball network), threw out the min and max to derive average pick and ZWK Rk. The average rank is from a variety of mocks and rookie rankings in Jan/Feb. The top forty are below, note that 4th round RBs will populate the bottom part eventually. Notable differences: QBs higher (typical), Ruggs III, Taylor, Aiyuk, Akers, Peoples-Jones, Edwards ZWK Rk Avg Rk Player Pos School ZWK Pick (avg - min/max) 1 1 D'Andre Swift RB Georgia 225 28.10 2 5 CeeDee Lamb WR Oklahoma 217 9.70 3 3 Jerry Jeudy WR Alabama 217 10.10 4 10 Henry Ruggs III WR Alabama 188 16.80 5 4 J.K. Dobbins RB Ohio St 175 37.40 6 2 Jonathan Taylor RB Wisconsin 165 38.60 7 8 L. Shenault WR Colorado 157 25.00 8 6 Tee Higgins WR Clemson 157 25.30 9 14 Joe Burrow QB LSU 156 1.20 10 12 Ju. Jefferson WR LSU 117 34.80 11 16 Tua Tagovailoa QB Alabama 109 4.70 12 9 Jalen Reagor WR TCU 100 40.11 13 21 Brandon Aiyuk WR Arizona St 99 40.50 14 30 Justin Herbert QB Oregon 93 9.50 15 11 C. Ed.-Helaire RB LSU 92 74.78 16 7 Cam Akers RB Florida St 90 82.13 17 13 K.J. Hamler WR Penn St 88 49.00 18 15 Zack Moss RB Utah 88 87.71 19 20 Eno Benjamin RB Arizona St 80 105.40 20 25 Michael Pittman WR USC 73 74.11 21 29 D. Pples-Jones WR Michigan 72 74.57 22 19 Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB Vanderbilt 71 113.67 23 18 Tyler Johnson WR Minnesota 70 78.60 24 26 A. McFarland RB Maryland 65 121.50 25 45 Jordan Love QB Utah St 63 27.00 26 27 Cole Kmet TE Notre Dame 62 47.33 27 17 Bryan Edwards WR S. Carolina 62 90.00 28 32 Denzel Mims WR Baylor 57 94.00 29 33 Gabriel Davis WR UCF 55 95.67 30 22 Brycen Hopkins TE Purdue 54 55.00 31 23 A. Gandy-Golden WR Liberty 52 98.40 32 37 Chase Claypool WR Notre Dame 50 100.00 33 36 Hunter Bryant TE Washington 49 68.78 34 34 K.J. Hill WR Ohio St 48 101.57 35 42 Lamical Perine RB Florida 48 137.25 36 54 Jacob Eason QB Washington 47 35.60 37 39 Collin Johnson WR Texas 46 103.63 38 43 Van Jefferson WR Florida 46 103.80 39 41 A. Okwuegbunam TE Missouri 42 83.50 40 38 Thaddeus Moss TE LSU 40 89.29
  2. Analysis with video clips. A KC 2nd round landing would shake up the rankings.... https://twitter.com/angelo_fantasy/status/1228798357092601856?s=21
  3. Superflex TE premium 12 team dynasty startup draft including 2020 picks: https://twitter.com/ekballer/status/1228802985402281984?s=21
  4. Podcast: Dynasty Blueprint 193 - Rookie Profile Tua Tagovailoa https://www.spreaker.com/user/11013621/dbp-feb-13
  5. Threshold combine numbers per position courtesy of Gil Brandt: https://twitter.com/gil_brandt/status/1228044918540472320?s=21
  6. Sigmund Bloom tweeted Swift concerns: https://twitter.com/sigmundbloom/status/1226564062638682112?s=21
  7. Podcast: Dynasty Blueprint 191 - Rookie Profile Jonathan Taylor
  8. Podcast: Dynasty blueprint rookie profile: Henry Ruggs
  9. Podcast: Dynasty blueprint rookie profile - J.K. Dobbins
  10. Podcast: Dynasty blueprint rookie profile - CeeDee Lamb
  11. For TE premium, #3 and #4 are Cole Kmet and Hunter Bryant. Slim TE pickings this year at first pass, it will take an ideal landing spot to make a difference.
  12. I have not spotted much on where the rookies would fall in 2020 dynasty rankings. So I thought I would give this a go in terms of average outcome from prior years. Hits and misses always happen, just trying to get a feel for average expectations. Here is what I did: 1. I averaged a bunch of sources to get a 2020 dynasty consensus ranking (to me the rankings best reflect 1 QB, 1 TE, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 flex, PPR leagues) 2. I separated out rankings for players drafted by year. 3. I took the average ranking for 2017-2019 and used that ranking for the 2020 class. Probably underestimating the 2020 class here. 2017 was outstanding, but averaging in 2018 and 2019 did not move it down as much as I thought it would. 4. I took the average ranking and assigned it to the 2020 consensus rookie ranking 5. Took the 2020 rookies and folded it into the 2020 dynasty consensus ranking 6. Net result - Dynasty consensus rankings precombine + rookies The incoming rookies are going to drop everybody else's value. hopefully this helps in planning for it. The spreadsheet can be found here: 2020 Dynasty consensus ranking precombine + rookies I also isolated the RBs, TEs, QBs, and WRs and did a chart with color scale using year and dynasty ranking. Makes it easier to visualize RB, WR, TE, QB value per draft year. The charts suggest strategies that we hear about a lot - draft WRs for rebuild, RBs to win now, QBs and TEs later in drafts, etc. Anyway, hope you find this useful.
  13. I plan to post something this weekend, integrating 2020 rookie average rookie rankings into current dynasty rankings. Meanwhile, check out https://www.dynastyhappyhour.com/rank.php?pos=ROOK. Also posted in the 2020 NFL Draft Prospects topic: Dynasty 2020 rookie mock poll 1-24: Twitter: @FF_TravisM. #2020RookiePollMock Podcast: Dynasty Command Center
  14. It might be recency bias, but Clyde Edwards-Helaire is rising up the ranking. May be worth adding soon.
  15. Dynasty 2020 rookie mock poll 1-24: Twitter: @FF_TravisM. #2020RookiePollMock Podcast: Dynasty Command Center