miqws

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About miqws

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  1. One reason zero RB may fail that I do not hear about is the increasing overall passing volume. Increasing passing has raised the WR floor (especially in PPR), and can result in less VBD advantage.
  2. You can find the classic version under research > all tools. Direct link: http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=fantasy-football-tools
  3. I should have saved the prior edition, oops. Washington had slipped post draft into his current area pretty quickly. I pay most attention to rankers that stick to their guns by and large (ex. Bloom). They usually have concrete reasons behind their ranks that are worth listening to.
  4. Jackson is QB1 on my list - highest fantasy ceiling in my opinion. In a 1 QB league the floor is usually safe and full of options, so less worried about busting. The experts as a whole draft QBs late to the point where one can find value. For what it is worth, Waldman and Bloom are high on Jackson.
  5. I have updated the list as of 6/19/2018
  6. Guess I need to post an update. I will probably include some player notes from podcasts that I have been listening too. I started with Bloom's "On the Couch" and branched out from there.
  7. I would add Tre’Quan Smith. St. Brown has slipped a full round post draft. A good source of the latest ranks is https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/rankings/rookies.php
  8. I did not see these posted earlier in the thread. Appears to be a very high character guy. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000902367/article/from-farm-to-nfls-table-hard-work-paying-off-for-smus-courtland-sutton http://gazette.com/paul-klee-the-gem-of-the-denver-broncos-football-draft-ask-larry-brown-basketball-coach/article/1625191
  9. I listened to a couple of podcasts, if I recall correctly host (Rich Dotson) sees little PPR in Jones and too light to be a grinder. Tends to like WRs over RBs.
  10. ESPN Matthew Berry - "First impressions and expectations after meeting the 2018 fantasy football rookie class"
  11. Understanding your league and position scarcity are key for me. In a high trading volume league, you can draft primarily on value, then work out the gaps via trading. In a low trading volume league, best to work out the gaps during the draft. The draft is linear in value, whereas the actual value is not. I establish tiers to better fit the value. This way I can move to the value as it presents itself. I will put most effort into moving a player up or down tier levels, this becomes my draft / do not draft guideline. I have been doing mock auction drafts to test my draft lists, confirms where to plant my flags and who I am avoiding.
  12. Chubb has a vote in each category - maybe Waldman votes on these polls...
  13. UPDATED 6/19/2018 Below is consensus top 40 rookie rankings pre-combine, pre-draft, and post draft. The order is based on post-draft. The Delta on the far left is (pre-combine - post-draft). The significant movers: Top risers - Gesicki, Pettis, Hines, Chark Top fallers - Tate, Adams, Walton, Cain, St. Brown Rising around top twelve - Moore, Freeman Falling around top twelve - Sutton, Washington Delta Post Predraft Precomb Player Pos Team Count Avg (- min max)SD (- min. max) 0 1 1 1 Barkley, Saquon RB NYG 45 1.00 0.00 0 2 2 2 Guice, Derrius RB Was 45 3.19 1.82 6 3 9 9 Penny, Rashaad RB Sea 45 4.53 2.31 -1 4 4 3 Michel, Sony RB NE 45 5.00 2.14 2 5 3 7 Chubb, Nick RB Cle 45 5.23 2.67 0 6 6 6 Jones II, R. RB USC 45 6.09 2.90 5 7 8 12 Moore, D.J. WR Car 45 7.28 2.65 -3 8 7 5 Ridley, Calvin WR Atl 45 8.79 3.16 6 9 11 15 Freeman, Royce RB Den 45 8.91 2.97 1 10 13 11 Johnson, K. RB Det 45 10.63 3.13 -7 11 5 4 Sutton, C. WR Den 45 10.98 3.83 -2 12 12 10 Kirk, Christian WR Ari 45 11.81 2.66 5 13 15 18 Miller, Anthony WR Chi 45 14.09 2.84 0 14 14 14 Gallup, Michael WR Dal 45 14.42 3.68 -7 15 10 8 Washington, J. WR Pit 45 16.93 3.41 8 16 23 24 Mayfield, Baker QB Cle 44 18.64 4.62 22 17 22 39 Gesicki, Mike TE Mia 45 19.16 5.58 13 18 20 31 Jackson, Lamar QB Bal 43 20.12 5.55 21 19 29 40 Pettis, Dante WR SF 44 20.98 5.89 0 20 19 20 Rosen, Josh QB Ari 44 21.33 6.11 2 21 18 23 Goedert, Dallas TE Phi 44 22.33 6.55 4 22 25 26 Darnold, Sam QB NYJ 43 23.22 5.42 18 23 35 41 Hines, Nyheim RB Ind 45 24.65 6.45 17 24 21 41 Chark, D.J. WR Jac 45 24.98 6.97 13 25 40 38 Smith, Tre'Quan WR NO 44 25.36 5.10 15 26 41 41 Hurst, Hayden TE Bal 45 26.26 5.06 0 27 31 27 Ballage, Kalen RB Mia 44 26.79 5.56 13 28 30 41 Callaway, A. WR Cle 43 29.34 6.52 -12 29 17 17 Kelly, John RB LAR 43 30.51 8.16 11 30 39 41 Coutee, Keke WR Hou 43 31.15 6.10 -9 31 27 22 Andrews, Mark TE Bal 42 32.55 7.39 -4 32 34 28 Hamilton, D. WR Den 43 32.66 4.94 -14 33 26 19 Walton, Mark RB Cin 43 33.05 5.94 7 34 41 41 Wilkins, Jordan RB Ind 43 33.63 7.69 -19 35 16 16 St. Brown, E. WR GB 42 34.05 7.02 -6 36 36 30 Allen, Josh QB Buf 43 34.07 6.69 -16 37 28 21 Cain, Deon WR Ind 43 34.46 5.41 3 38 41 41 Moore, J'Mon WR GB 43 36.37 5.43 39 Edmonds, Chase RB Ari 41 37.03 4.98 -5 40 41 35 Smith, Ito RB Atl 41 37.97 4.53
  14. Kirk and Fitzgerald have a prior connection dating back to when Kirk played high school football in Arizona. Fitzgerald has followed Kirk’s college career. Ideal landing spot IMO. Also may keep Fitz playing past this year.
  15. Plenty of predraft love from Matt Waldman. Maybe SF buys Waldman’s RSP. In early consensus rookie rankings Pettis was outside third round, suspect he will get to early second. Quite a huge jump.