Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

Mr. Irrelevant

Members
  • Content Count

    4,193
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

1,714 Excellent

About Mr. Irrelevant

  • Rank
    Footballguy

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    A Bulldog in New York

Previous Fields

  • Favorite NFL Team
    Philadelphia Eagles

Recent Profile Visitors

11,164 profile views
  1. Arguing over whether Gase or Patricia is a worse head coach is like arguing whether lutefisk tastes worse than haggis.
  2. Since Wentz came into the league, 20 QBs have attempted over 1,500 passes. Wentz ranks 14th of 20 in both completion percentage and ANY/A. The 6 guys behind him are Bortles, Newton, Eli, Dalton, and Winston / Goff (on C%) or Keenum / Flacco (on ANY/A). These are not lists of names you want your nine-figure franchise QB to be even remotely associated with. I thought Wentz would be great and want Wentz to be great ... but I said the same things about Mariota a couple years ago, too. You can hand-wave things away only so much - at some point the numbers have to speak for themselves.
  3. Better late than never with a writeup, I suppose! 1.09 - Davante Adams, WR2 GBP Last year WR6. Unquestioned #1 target for one of the game's elite QBs on what is still an elite offense when firing on all cylinders. Still a clear step below the names taken so far - #9 feels like a really tough slot in this format especially. High playoff potential. 2.08 - Chris Godwin, WR6 TBB Last year WR3. Felt like an absolute gift here. His skillset seems tailor-made to run wild in a Brady offense, to the point where I'll make a futures bet on him to lead the league in yards if I can find a good price. Moderate playoff potential. 3.09 - TMQB Texans (Watson), TMQB6 HOU Last year QB4. Still the most underappreciated QB of the 21st century. Even with a breathtakingly incompetent front office, I still have to trust in the all-world talent at a bargain price. Low playoff potential. 4.08 - Tyler Higbee, TE8 LAR Last year TE7. At this ADP I will own zero shares in season-long as I see very little difference in value across the TE7-15 range. But at 2PPR I don't want to tempt fate by passing on the position for another 16 picks, and besides, Anarchy is all about upside, right? Right?? Moderate playoff potential. 5.09 - Melvin Gordon, RB24 DEN Last year RB26. Not the most exciting RB1 - but given his talent, decent surrounding cast, and likely role, it's tough to imagine a scenario where a healthy Gordon truly busts at this draft slot. Low-moderate playoff potential. 6.08 - Cam Akers, RB27 LAR The Rams spent their first draft pick on Akers despite just trading up for Henderson last year and paying Brown in FA. I don't know if he's any good (to be fair, even tape-grinders probably don't know, given he spent every snap in college getting hit behind the LOS) but I have to think we'll get a chance to find out. Moderate playoff potential. 7.09 - Jack Doyle, TE21 IND Last year TE19. In other words, he outperformed this draft slot in 2019 even splitting time down the middle with Eric Ebron and catching passes from Jacoby Brissett. Replace Brissett with Rivers and Ebron with Trey Burton (oh, look! He's hurt already. Again.) and the upside feels sizable. Moderate-high playoff potential. 8.08 - Christian Kirk, WR44 ARZ Last year WR39. Without some guy named Nuk in the mix. As mentioned upthread, I'm not exactly sure where I was going with this since it feels like a low-ceiling, low-floor pick. Given a do-over I take Hardman or Ruggs 10/10 times here. Low playoff potential. 9.09 - Wil Lutz, PK4 NO Last year PK2. With training camp a facade and offenses likely to be rustier than an '84 Fiero, 2020 could be an all-time high-water mark for NFL kickers. Last elite name on the board, even if it's 2-3 rounds earlier than usual in Anarchy. High playoff potential. 10.08 - TMQB Bengals (Burrow), QB22 CIN Sure, San Fran has a better team, better coach, and more proven QB, but what the hell - I'm not in this thing to finish 6th. Low playoff potential. 11.09 - Justin Jefferson, WR56 MIN If a big, fast, athletic, highly-touted first-round pick who broke all sorts of conference receiving records can't beat out Bisi freaking Johnson for targets on a team with deep postseason aspirations, then *throws up hands*. Moderate-high playoff potential. 12.08 - Parris Campbell, WR65 IND If the Colts are half as good as the pundits believe, somebody will deliver WR3 fantasy value alongside Hilton almost by default. I went with Campbell because (a) he should play the slot and Rivers is no longer a deep-ball threat and (b) Pittman has been getting all the camp buzz, a great contrarian indicator for young WRs. Moderate-high playoff potential. 13.09 - Justin Jackson, RB55 LAC I'm always surprised by just how little relative value scatbacks possess in this format. Tarik Cohen and Matt Breida were both comfortably outscored by Alex Erickson last year. Alex Erickson! Give me a RB like J-Jax with a small chance of early-down relevance over guys like that. Low playoff potential. 14.08 - Mike Badgley, PK18 LAC Last year PK32. Young, has job security, and no one is confusing Tyrod Taylor for Patrick Mahomes. Low playoff potential. 15.09 - Bryce Love, RB61 WAS So I'd say AP getting cut was timed pretty well for me, all things considered. Love could earn a plurality of touches - although it is The Washington Dumpster Fire Football Team, so who knows what that's really worth. Low playoff potential. 16.08 / 18.08 - Cowboys DST21 / Raiders DST27 Last year DST22/DST28. Dallas will probably be very good this year! Las Vegas ... will probably not be! But both squads should be better than last year. High / low playoff potential respectively. 17.09 - Jordan Akins, TE36 HOU Last year TE27. Fun fact if you feel like winning a bar bet - Akins actually led Texans' TEs in receiving last year. He could make some noise entering his 3rd NFL season, and if nothing else Nuk's absence will put a ton of targets up for grabs. Low playoff potential. My going-in strategy was to effectively punt RB entirely in favor of elite names at the PPR positions. After jumping on falling value in Watson and Gordon it really morphed into a BPA exercise, although the back half is heavy on dart-throws I'm optimistic can boost my upside. I should be competitive for the bulk of the season ... but champion teams get about 1/4 of their total points from the playoffs and I just don't see enough postseason opportunity on this roster to take home a title. Best of luck all.
  4. I finished 21st of 26 last year - so the only thing I'm defending here is my honor. Of course, if I really wanted to do that maybe I should have spent more than 5 minutes throwing this together. TMQB: BAL, SEA RB: McCaffrey CAR, Elliott DAL, Chubb CLE, Henry TEN WR: Thomas NO, J. Jones ATL, Golladay DET, Godwin TB, Adams GB TE: Andrews BAL, Kelce KC FLX: Kittle SF PK: Tucker BAL, Lutz NO DST: PIT, BUF
  5. Don't see any way around it TBH. There's no way we're going to average a pick every 8-9 minutes during waking hours, which is more or less what it would take to get this thing wrapped up by Thursday.
  6. @BassNBrew Are we using a flex spot in this one or no? I can never keep track.
  7. If you need another ... you’ve got another. If not - no big deal.
  8. Sorry not sorry @Biabreakable I was *almost* sure he’d make it to the last round, but in my experience the bottom 8-10 team DSTs are completely interchangeable so figured I’d go a round early on my guy. Glad I did, I guess. Personally I love drafting individual players in leagues like this. My home league is a 12-team redraft but with 22 roster slots, so there are usually 230+ skill position players drafted - and these mocks are the only ones I’ve found that give me a decent picture on draft trends that far down the list.
  9. I dunno ... I've always kinda preferred the opposite approach. As a lifelong Eagles fan, I learned many years ago to avoid taking Eagles in my FF drafts whenever humanly possible. When they underperform or, worse yet, suffer season-ending injuries while on my teams, it's a double psychological blow. Whereas the pain of watching Zeke or Saquon run roughshod over the Birds is lessened if it helps carry me to a fantasy W at the same time. Now that sports wagering is legal in NJ, I also routinely bet against my hometown teams in important games for the same reason. Read about these techniques and more in my upcoming book, Chicken Soup for the Degenerate Soul.TM
  10. It's the right philosophy for poker (another hobby of mine) but FF? I've been playing FF long enough where I stopped bothering with ROI a while back. If the league is fun, active, and fair then it doesn't matter how good my opponents are - so much of this hobby is down to luck anyway. If it's not then it's not worth my time regardless. Yeah, the money is nice, but I've won and lost more in four hours at a NLHE table then I could win or lose in four months in any of my FF leagues. I'm sure I'd feel differently if I were an FFPC regular or whatever. 🤑
  11. I really like them both but Minny being a better overall team in this format tipped the scale. Also I needed to go WR-WR and figured there was at least some small chance Edwards might make it back to me. With you directly behind me I knew there was zero chance Jefferson would. And Harry and Samuel were my two top choices for the second WR so naturally you and @bro1ncos conspired to give me neither of them. I can't tell you how glad I am that very few of my money leagues are this competitive.
  12. So, given the opportunity, I didn't draft Nuk ... but I did draft the QB on his old team and the WR he's most likely to steal targets from on his new team. It's all part of my devious master plan, which I'll reveal to you as soon as I come up with it.
  13. A thousand apologies all ... I’m on vacation in Maine this week and we lost internet all of yesterday in a place with minimal cell service. Borked myself in IBL as well and was only rescued there through the quick reaction of my FBG teammates. @Anarchy99 - feel free to skip my pick if I’m OTC for more than a couple hours between now and Sunday. I’ll predraft as needed.
  14. The Upton Sinclair quote springs to mind: "It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon him not understanding it."
  15. This is one of the most barbell-looking teams I've ever seen in these. We have to start 7 skill positions each week and in 5 of those slots you should be gaining points on the field every week. Which leaves RB2 - where you've got three guys whose roles in their offenses are the "dude throws his hands in the air" emoji - and WR3 - where you've got two rooks and two guys who are always banged up. With the possible exception of White you could get 0 or 20 from any of the other six in any given week and right now in May it wouldn't surprise me. But then again ... you only need one score each week from each of those groups, except for the bye weeks, and none of your studs share a bye except the two Chargers. But then again again ... if any of your big 5 misses extended time it's gonna pull the rug right out from under you. Interesting strategy for sure. I definitely don't hate it. I'd love it in a format like IBL - where we don't get the TE premium, have to make weekly WDIS calls, and can stash upside plays like Ruggs and Hamler while we wait for a breakout. As it is I'm not sure how well it'll work here. IMO I see you winning an early immunity or two and then flaming out mid-season when a missed game or two from a stud overlaps with another's bye week. I'm probably wrong though. GL to you my man.