PLAYER 2017 YTD PTS BYE DRAFTED
Brady, Tom NEP QB 424.1 - 4.04
Trubisky, Mitchell CHI QB 188.8 - 8.04
Coleman, Tevin ATL RB 167.7 - 5.13
Dixon, Kenneth BAL RB (Q) - - 11.13
Grant, Corey JAC RB 43.9 - 17.13
Hyde, Carlos SFO RB 235.8 - 3.13
McCaffrey, Christian CAR RB 230.6 - 2.04
Beckham, Odell NYG WR (Q) 74.0 - 1.13
Garcon, Pierre SFO WR (Q) 90.0 - 6.04
Golladay, Kenny DET WR 94.6 - 10.04
Meredith, Cameron CHI WR - - 9.13
Ross, John CIN WR (Q) 1.2 - 14.04
Washington, James ROOK WR - - 15.13
Wilson, Albert KCC WR 116.0 - 19.13
Davis, Vernon WAS TE 168.8 - 12.04
Fleener, Coby NOS TE (Q) 85.5 - 20.04
Howard, O.J. TBB TE (Q) 131.2 - 7.13
Prater, Matt DET PK 130.0 - 13.13
Cardinals, Arizona ARI Def 113.0 - 16.04
Washington WAS Def 115.0 - 18.04
1.13 - Odell Beckham, NYG (WR3) - Transcendent talent with MVP upside. QB situation a potential concern but, frankly, Eli has been replacement-level for most of OBJ's career already.
Also considered: Gronk, Kelce
2.04 - Christian McCaffrey, CAR (RB12) - Anyone who confidently predicts how he's going to be used next season is lying. 100+ targets should assure a floor, but will he get a shot at being the lead back and can he improve on 3.7 YPC if he does?
Also considered: M. Evans, J. Mixon, Z. Ertz
3.13 - Carlos Hyde, FA (RB19) - OZ sniped Henry from me, so I settled for the likely highest-paid FA RB out there. Hoping he re-signs with the Niners - I want as many pieces of that offense as I can grab - but there are several other attractive landing spots.
Also considered: K. Drake, R. Wilson
4.04 - Tom Brady, NE (QB4) - Counting on him holding off Father Time for one more season. If his 2018 is Peyton's 2014 - the stopgap year between "consensus MVP" and "oof, someone please get that guy off the field" - I'll take it.
Also considered: C. Wentz, J. Graham
5.13 - Tevin Coleman, ATL (RB26) - OZ sniped me again on Davis, because of course he did. Went in another direction entirely by grabbing an RB3 early, which I rarely bother with. Some uncertainty about whether he'll stay with ATL, but if so I expect a bounceback from the entire Falcons' pass game, which should disproportionately benefit Coleman.
Also considered: K. Cousins, C. Thompson
6.04 - Pierre Garcon, SF (WR33) - Admittedly a reach, but I wasn't willing to hold my breath hoping he comes back to me. #1s are target hogs in Shanahan's system, and Garcon looks more likely than anyone else on the roster to fill that role.
Also considered: Closing my eyes and throwing a dart at the Rams' WR depth chart
7.13 - O.J. Howard, TB (TE12) - Had my eye on him since my last pick as I really needed to start gunning for upside. Brate is a RFA and I suspect / hope he'll get an offer the Bucs won't match, leaving a lot of targets for a guy with top-5 talent.
Also considered: None (would have settled for Njoku)
8.04 - Mitch Trubisky, CHI (QB24) - Probably the last unquestioned starter left on the board. Excited to see what he can do now that the Bears have swapped Fox for Nagy, which in NFL offense terms is like swapping a Tesla engine into your Nissan Leaf.
Also considered: None
9.13 - Cameron Meredith, CHI (WR53) - The likely #1 option on the aforementioned Tesla engine-swap project seems like a steal in the late 9th. All sources indicate he'll be full-go by the time TC rolls around.
Also considered: K. Stills, R. Cobb, K. Golladay
10.04 - Kenny Golladay, DET (WR57) - Really flipped a coin here between him and Westbrook - talented rookies who flashed but face uncertain opportunity. No one else left at the position offers their upside, which I really needed, but although Kenny G's a higher-risk play I trust his QB situation more.
Also considered: D. Westbook
11.13 - Kenneth Dixon, BAL (RB52) - I owned a lot of Alex Collins shares last year, but for all his production, the Ravens aren't exactly falling over themselves to anoint him the bellcow. Dixon is probably still more naturally talented than Collins, and certainly has more to offer in the passing game.
Also considered: A. Jones
12.04 - Vernon Davis, WAS (TE27) - Reunites with the QB who force-fed him in San Fran. And betting against Jordan Reed's health is the kind of wager that would get you banned from Vegas casinos.
Also considered: D. Amendola, J. Ross, T. Burton
13.13 - Matt Prater, DET (PK11) - Because I needed one.
14.04 - John Ross, CIN (WR74) - Best-ball cheat code ACTIVATED
Also considered: PK2, if I actually went about these things rationally
15.13 - James Washington, ROOK (WR77) - Crazy that only two WRs went off the board in the almost two full rounds between my picks. I know next to nothing about Washington, but if he's good enough for Matt Waldman, he's good enough for my WR6.
Also considered: Patriots or Cardinals DST
16.04 - Cardinals DST (Def17) - Finished 4th in both PFR's and FO's team defense metrics. Hoping they bring in a veteran FA like Keenum who can milk the clock and keep them in games rather than handing the reins to a rookie (I still have flashbacks of watching that Skelton/Lindley 58-0 horror show with a friend from Phoenix).
Also considered: None
17.13 - Corey Grant, JAX (RB70) - Fun Trivia that Interests Nobody But Me: Who led all RBs in FO's DVOA (most value per play) in 2017? That'd be Corey Grant, who's got the ability to play the lightning to Fournette's thunder in 2018, especially if (as seems likely) one of Yeldon or Ivory gets the boot.
Also considered: B. Allen, J. McKissic, M. Gillislee
18.04 - Washington DST (Def25) - Only remaining unit that finished above average in PFR/FO metrics last season. And while I don't think Alex Smith is *better* than Cousins, he excels at clock-killing drives and giving opposing offenses longer fields to deal with.
Also considered: Cowboys DST
19.13 - Albert Wilson, FA (WR95) - An underappreciated and underutilized asset who led the NFL in average yards of separation and IMO will be the "wait, he signed for how much?" surprise of the 2018 FA class. Has WR3 upside at the right destination.
Also considered: T. Benjamin, C. Conley (a little surprised he went undrafted)
20.04 - Coby Fleener, NO (TE40) - Lo, how the mighty have fallen!
Also considered: Drafting a third DST just to #### with someone
Overall ... not my favorite team ever, but not too bad. QB will be top quartile. WR positioned well with one stud, a couple reliable #1s, and a bunch of dart throws from which I should cobble 1-2 scores each week. My RB group has a fairly low upside but a high floor and should produce consistent points. TE is gonna be the big question mark ... if Brate re-signs and Reed stays healthy, I could be bringing up the back of the pack at a critical position. Ideally, the three of them will put up enough solid weeks to at least not be a boat anchor. ST's are below average as well, but that never cost anyone a title in these leagues.
I think this squad has enough of both ceiling and floor to be a threat, but it's gonna take some lucky breaks in FA and TC to realize it. I should be able to give a pretty good assessment in August if this team is a contender or a September out.
Best of luck to all ... these things are always a blast.