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About az_prof

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  1. I am a Duke owner and to be honest, I feel the same as you. The guy made a mistake and he apologized. He didn't break a law. Let it go.
  2. ha! I know he has not been successful in NFL but he is typically a productive fantasy QB--at least 8-12. So I like White's situation with a productive fantasy QB and a team with only 1 other receiver who is clearly going to get a ton of looks. He should be the clear #2 in terms of targets.
  3. I expect 65/900/7. Could be more. I like his situation: 1) QB who likes to sling the ball. White reminds me of Marshall in many ways and Cutler and Marshall had a good connection. If Cutler throws 25 TDs and 3600 yards, even if Alshon get 1200 and 10 TDs, there are still 15 TDs and 2400 yards to distribute. The Bears do not have a TE or a RB who will demand a ton of targets or TDs. None of the other WRs are impressive. I see him as a rock solid WR2 with a QB who likes to throw a lot and has been successful. 2. He gets separation off the line of scrimmage and runs good routes. 3. He can high point the ball and competes for the ball. While he needs to improve his catching, he has the ability to do so. 4. He is great after the catch. 5. He shows ability to go up and get the ball in the EZ. 6. He is a big target.
  4. Sounds like Henry is showing well at running routes and catching and could figure into passing game this season despite not being used that way in college. This is good news in PPR for Henry.
  5. I agree. And Hurns for 1.10 and 1.11 makes little sense since you are HOPING one of those two picks performs as well as Hurns does and the odds are that they won't. I guess if you have an old team that can't compete and Hurns is one of your few younger pieces, maybe that deal makes sense to try and gamble and get more young talent. The trade for Marshall puzzles me too because I own both and I would not be surprised if Hurns outperforms Marshall this year. I love Marshall, but the guy is getting old and has crap for QB, so...would it surprise anyone if he fell off the roof this year? These trades confirm that people just don't have a good sense of the real value Hurns offers.
  6. Comps are always imperfect, but I would compare Drake to a poor man's Chris Johnson. I actually passed on Johnson partly because I saw him as more of a speedster who couldn't run between tackles in NFL. Turned out I was wrong. But, that being said, Johnson is faster (4.24 combine 40 vs. 4.45; their vertical leap and broad jump are almost identical) and he had was a much more productive college player, amassing 6,000 all purpose yards. Now, at the time I worried that he did it in Conference USA and not the Big10 or SEC or comparable top league. Johnson also runs sort of upright and does rely on his speed. At 5'1'' he is a bit shorter but their body mass is similar. I would say that Johnson is the ceiling and I don't expect Drake to come close to that ceiling but it is possible.
  7. Drake could have value in PPR as a complementary back, but I don't really like him long term because of his running style. He runs upright and he runs East West too much for my liking. I think you can get away with that in college if you are really fast but it doesn't translate well to the NFL.
  8. I offered Cobb and the 1.05, which turned out to be Derrick Henry. Was told 1.01 was not for sale or else I was thinking about offering a counter of Kevin White and 1.05. I do believe those offers are in the range of what Elliot's real as opposed to market value is, but of course, only time will tell. As for when to buy a player like Elliot, your argument is reasonable--wait and more than likely his value will fall because it is so incredibly high now in 95% of the cases a rookie will fail to live up to them. But in this case I have a feeling his performance won't disappoint too much because he walks into a situation where he will be given the rock and where he will be in a good offense with an above average OL. Short of injury, I don't think he fails like Trent Richardson, who went to a sad sack team. In comparing him to other top rookie RBs, his draft pedigree and college performance outshine the outright flops you mention: (i.e. Donald Brown, Beanie Wells, Laurence Maroney, Felix Jones). None of those guys came into the League with the same expectations or accomplishments. He aligns more with this group: Thomas Jones, Cedric Benson, Marshawn Lynch, Knowshon Moreno, Reggie Bush, Jonathan Stewart, Doug Martin, Ricky Williams, Mark Ingram, and Darren McFadden. If you look at that group, the ones who got hurt or went to bad teams with bad OLs struggled a good deal. So, unless Elliot gets hurt, something that is unpredictable unless the player is a known injury hazard, I don't expect his market value will fall that much this year.
  9. Hurns has been a TD machine both years. While TDs are in fact highly variable, some players have a better knack for finding endzone or finding opening in EZ than others, and Hurns definitely has that skill. He also has great hands. Because he was an undrafted FA it has taken fantasy players a while to look at him without bias.
  10. Surprised there has been no talk about his injury status until now. I would worry about a guy who just got a screw put in his foot.
  11. This is about how I see it. The MN running game is good but I don't think McKinnon replaces AP should AP get hurt or go away. Try to get him, but don't give up the bank. A second round pick is about fair value.
  12. I agree on Carroo being too high. I own Hurns and would never trade him for Carroo. In fact, I would have to get a player in Tier 6 to even consider moving him.
  13. I like this kids a lot, but given his lack of NFL experience and coming off a season long injury, I am tempering my expectations. I would be pleased if he could put up 60 for 900 yards and 6 TDs. His ceiling is much higher but until he shows on the field in the NFL what he can do, one has to be cautious.
  14. I think Teddy can be an effective NFL QB but his lack of deep accuracy and his odd throwing motion make me question whether he can ever be great. We'll see. This is the year he needs to show improvement or it is time to move on.
  15. I love Hurns--he has great hands, runs great routes, and plays, yet he gets little respect. In my PPR league last year he was WR19, right between Emmanuel Sanders, WR18 and Sammy Watkins, WR20. Yet the FBG staff consensus ranks him at WR34 in PPR redraft. All he has ever done is out perform expectations. Yes, he is a WR2 to Allen Robinson, but in their two years in the league Hurns has proven that he can get his with Robinson on the field or not. Even if you see him as the WR2, it seems like his floor should be WR24. In Dynasty, the 24 year old Hurns is regarded even less well--ranked WR45 by footballguys. I don't get it.