Bumping this for visibility, and to eat crow a little since Fournette has performed better than I expected, given the circumstances.
Tl;DR of the upcoming post: This year was rough, and Fournettes' injury prone label is likely well deserved, but I think his struggles this year were symptomatic of organizational issues and issues outside of his control, and I believe he performed better than expected given the circumstances. He should be a great value pick next year.
Since my post on November 12th, Fournette has been active for 3.5 half games, was ejected for one half, and suspended for one full game. Here are how is stats look for those games where he's been active (taking away the half he was ejected and game suspended, so 3.5 games is my denominator in all of the averages).
In that time, he has carried the ball 71 times for 272 yards (averages out to 20.2 carries for 77.7 YPG, averaging out at 3.85 YPC)
He has been targeted 12 times, pulling in 10 catches for 82 yards (averages out to 3.4 targets per game, 2.85 catches per game, and 23 yards per game)
While this is admittedly a tiny sample size, he's averaging 23 touches per "active" game and just over 100 yards, with just under a touchdown a game to show for it. No Todd Gurley, but volume I'd generally be okay with from my starting RB.
Now, let's put that into perspective.
The Jags are still starting their back-up LT, Ereck Flowers, arguably the worst offensive lineman in the league.
The Jags are still starting their back-up Center, Tyler Shatley. He's a serviceable replacement.
The Jags starting Right Tackle, Jeremy Parnell, is also injured. They've started Corey Robinson in his place, a 2015 7th round draft pick who has started 8 games for the Lions over the past three years and graded out poorly during that stead.
Starting LG, Andrew Norwell, has also been out all year. Chris Reed, a 2015 UDFA and practice squad promotee, has mostly filled that void. Not a good run blocker.
A.J. Cann, their starting RG, is the only healthy OL starter.
The team fired it's offensive coordinator, and benched their starting QB. The team is undoubtedly running a simpler offensive scheme to compensate for these items.
So, the OL has gotten worse and the offensive scheme has likely been simplified to some degree, and yet Fournette is performing better than my expected 2.5 to 3.0 YPC. He was ejected in a game where he was running roughshod over his opponents, and was benched in another since the team is out of contention and wanted to get touches for one of their newer guys.
I get it, it was a BRUTAL season if you drafted him as your #1 (I certainly did), but I think the fact remains he's a very talented, albeit injury prone, runner. His situation is likely to improve next year (Jags should figure out QB in the offseason, and their very solid starting OL should get healthy), and I think he's going to be a great value pick next year because of this disappointing season.