Men-in-Cleats

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About Men-in-Cleats

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  1. Was on Mr. Football then Cheatsheets. Had a 2-digit member number on the old board so pretty much from day one on this specific version of the site.
  2. A someone who picked up Hansen late in a deep dynasty draft last year and who is hurting for WR help, I certainly hope he takes a step forward this year so I can move him from my taxi squad. While I don't have high hopes for this year's passing numbers for the Jets offense, it would be good to see them take a step in the right direction for if Darnold does become a franchise guy.
  3. He only got 23 targets and they basically used him as a deep threat and he was successful at that averaging 21 ypc and catching 67% of those and hauling in three scores. Instead they chose to utilize Terrance Williams who got 78 targets and only averaged 10 ypc and a goose egg in the scoring department. They also gave 130+ targets to Bryant who barely caught more than 50% of them. There is certainly no guarantee that he'll do anything with more targets but you can't really say he's shown himself to be a JAG if he hasn't been utilized much. There have been plenty of players that do next to nothing on one team then go to another and break out. Really hard to say that Chad Williams has a higher upside based on 7 targets that he caught 3 of and their college stats. Butler has at least established that he can be an effective deep threat, which is more than Williams has done at this time. Not trying to put down Chad Williams, just pointing out that he isn't any more proven at this point than Butler.
  4. He only got 23 targets and they basically used him as a deep threat and he was successful at that averaging 21 ypc and catching 67% of those and hauling in three scores. Instead they chose to utilize Terrance Williams who got 78 targets and only averaged 10 ypc and a goose egg in the scoring department. They also gave 130+ targets to Bryant who barely caught more than 50% of them. There is certainly no guarantee that he'll do anything with more targets but you can't really say he's shown himself to be a JAG if he hasn't been utilized much. There have been plenty of players that do next to nothing on one team then go to another and break out. Really hard to say that Chad Williams has a higher upside based on 7 targets that he caught 3 of and their college stats. Butler has at least established that he can be an effective deep threat, which is more than Williams has done at this time. Not trying to put down Chad Williams, just pointing out that he isn't any more proven at this point than Butler.
  5. A lot of this strategy really depends on league setup. My dynasty is set up with a salary structure so you really can't have too many studs at certain positions or the salaries will put you over the top. If a player outperforms their salary by given amount they force a renegotiation and there is a salary adjustments. One of the downsides of this is that trading away established vets in some cases can be difficult because the have higher salaries. You just aren't going to be able to trade for a bunch of 1st round picks very easily. I've seen someone acquire 2-3 1st rounders but no more than that in a 16 team league. We get a lot of people trading up or down in the draft but not a lot of people selling off a bunch of players for high picks.
  6. I typically don't do this but the two times I took a top LB late in the first ended up being Patrick Willis and C.J. Moseley so it didn't work out half bad. A lot depends on your league structure as mine has a salary cap structure and the rookie picks have salaries based on the round they go in and really LB is the only defensive position that would typically be worth the salary you'd pay them as a first round pick. Given that it is a 16 teamer and with the WR class being weak this year I see Roquan and Edmunds probably going in the late 1st and Vander Esch and Evans probably going somewhere in the 2nd. As having the 2.06 (22) I'm a bit torn on who's going to fall to me there, if its IDP its probably that second tier of LB's.
  7. They spent a second round pick in 2011 on Shane Vereen then proceeded to give most of their carries to a guy they got as an undrafted FA's in Benjarvis Green Ellis, a guy they got a round later in Steven Ridley, and another undrafted FA in Danny Woodhead. Tom Brady ended up with more rushing attempts than their second round pick as did Kevin Faulk as well. Despite spending a second round pick on him, which is still relatively high position for a RB since not many go in the first, he ended up mired in a committee that rendered pretty much all of them useless for fantasy. Even if they reduce the amount that they do it they will utilize the majority of the backs that they keep in various roles and it will reduce the value of each and every one of them.
  8. I've seen a lot of guys that play primarily on passing downs get high YPC because half the time they end up getting a rushing attempt it is a draw play for 7 yards on 3rd and 12 with the defense playing back. You put them on early downs and all of a sudden things aren't as wide open. Not certain of the breakdowns of the carries in this case but I'd certainly be hesitant to expect that they are expecting him to be a 3 down back when he has absolute no track record of doing so. He'd be a lot more valuable if he was a TE getting some work at RB than he is going to be as a RB getting a few touches a game. The fact of the matter is that there are a lot of RB's with more experience carrying the rock, he's worth a flyer but if you think you're getting a future bell cow you are probably going to be disappointed.
  9. Maybe if he caught more than 42% of his targets over that same 2 years. 14 receptions on 33 targets over two seasons doesn't exactly scream to get this guy more targets.
  10. The fewer years of production thing is just absolutely silly to even consider. If he gives you 9 productive years instead of 10 it would seem that you still got an absolute steal in the third round. Most of the guys one will be considering in that round will be out of the league long before they are too old to be productive. If you could get a guy that you knew would give you 5 years of fantasy production in the third round you'd take it in a heartbeat. How many people do you keep on your roster for their entire career if it goes until the twilight of their career? Chances are even if he ends up being a stud he could likely lose his OC or his QB or have an injury and become less attractive as a fantasy player long before he gets old. If you end up with a Tony Gonzalez or a Jason Witten or a Shannon Sharp who play long, productive careers you'd have taken that in a heartbeat even if the career ended up being 1 or 2 years shorter. There are way, way to many variables in this equation to get bogged down on something like this.
  11. Yes. This year I may have to hope that one of the QB's falls to that spot, one of the handful of WR's I'd be o.k. with, or one of those second tier LB's. Don't really need the QB right now but given that I've got Rivers as my starter and Tyrod backing him up I'll need some young blood soon.
  12. Really wish there was a guy here that I could really like at my 2.06 (22nd pick) in my dynasty league as I have no depth there after Delanie Walker, who is getting a bit long in the tooth. I have a few guys I'd picked up cheaply for there bit of upside like Bucky Hodges or Eric Swoopes and a couple of other guys that are likely cut candidates after I have to pare down my roster once we have our draft. Was high on the opportunity for Swoopes last year before he got hurt and ended up on my IR but they didn't do his chances any favors by picking up Ebron in the offseason so he may end up as another potential cut candidate as well (what can I say, it's a 16 teamer with deep rosters). I'd probably consider a few guys with my third but I traded it for Hurns to help bolster my WR depth that doesn't have much beyond D. Thomas. Really bad timing to have this draft be short on quality TE and WR talent when those are my weakest points on my roster.
  13. Unless you are drafting a RB or an IDP with a clear path to starting you are not likely to get a lot of first year production. Sure there are some WR's that burst out of the gates and the rare TE or QB but even at WR they typically take a year or two of learning the ropes to bust out. If you are expecting production in the first year you are probably talking about taking that guy in the first round of your rookie draft. That said, if you like other players better there isn't much to discuss as I don't really believe in taking guys I don't like as well just because they may replace a guy in my roster.
  14. Definitely. In a deep, IDP dynasty a lot of your top LB's go from around the 1.08 to the end of the first. I've gotten guys like Patrick Willis or CJ Moseley there that are fantasy studs for years.
  15. If you look at the last 10 years at TE you have last year's three, Ebron, Eifort, Gresham, Pettigrew, and D. Keller. If you go back further you get a few more successful guys but you also get some Daniel Grahams, Jerramy Stevens, Anthony Bechts, and so on. The fact of the matter is that TE's in general have historically taken a few years to develop, are very dependent on the system they go into (no points for blocking), and very few end up being top picks for a number of years. Of the 1st rounders since 2000, there have been some consistently productive guys like Olsen, Dallas Clark, etc. and many more that flashed for a short time or had a good year or two but not that many long time perennial top 5 picks at the position.