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David Yudkin

ANARCHY LEAGUE 2

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ConstruxBoy timed out. His only options were PK, RB, or DEF. I gave him the highest ranked undrafted players per ADP as outlined earlier. Tynes was the highest ranked PK and Norwood was the highest ranked active RB.

Great, he scooped me agian and he didn't even make the pick. :wall:
:pickle:
:hifive:

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Maybe we should turn the timer back off, we were doing better before.

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nittany becomes the proud owner of Sinorice Moss for not making a pick. You guys are killing me.

:bag:

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:bag::bag:

Sorry about that, guys...I waited around for a while this AM, and when the day caught up with me, I bolted the house without predrafting...picks must have started rolling in right after I walked out the door...

SFS (Sorry For Sucking)...

:bag::bag:

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Michael Robinson in the 17th? I guess I'm a premature edraftulater. :unsure:

I wanted him as my last pick, but I got too excited. :blush:

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Michael Robinson in the 17th? I guess I'm a premature edraftulater. :unsure: I wanted him as my last pick, but I got too excited. :blush:

You mention the 17th, but i believe this disease set in during the first two rounds, with back to back TE selections. :D

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Michael Robinson in the 17th? I guess I'm a premature edraftulater. :unsure: I wanted him as my last pick, but I got too excited. :blush:

You mention the 17th, but i believe this disease set in during the first two rounds, with back to back TE selections. :D
Everyone will be doing this next year. If they can.

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Michael Robinson in the 17th? I guess I'm a premature edraftulater. :unsure: I wanted him as my last pick, but I got too excited. :blush:

You mention the 17th, but i believe this disease set in during the first two rounds, with back to back TE selections. :D
Everyone will be doing this next year. If they can.
So you are out in front of LHucks on this new leading edge drafting! Oh my!

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DAVID DID YOU DECIDE ON WHERE YOUR GOING TO HOST THE LEAGUES THIS YEAR..I NEED TO KNOW YOUR ANWER ON MY OFFER OF USING THE LEAGUES FOR LOC QUALIFIERS? CAPS BECASUE I HAVE ASKED THIS FOUR TIMES NOW AND I NEED TO GET MY LEAGUES IN ORDER..IF ANYONE ELSE KNOWS THIS ANSWER PLEASE CHIME IN AND TELL ME HERE OF VIA EMAIL..THANKS MUCH

DONNY

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BY the way did you guys go trash the league one guy who took Indy team QB a pick before i did here? Did BNB rip him over there or what? Just wondering..I am of the opinion that Manning may have his best all around year this year knowing he has to pick up the slack for the departed Edge..and with 6 points fro TD's I felt it was my only pick there..

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I was looking at DonnyT33's draft..This alone gives creedence to Luck saying that league 1 and league 2 were not created equal. Perhaps the bottom 3 should not be allowed to return to improve the competitiveness of each league?However the entertainment factor might be missed. Such as no vowels not returning.kid you better hope you finish ahead of me in this league because you will never hear the end of it if you dont..and with this mess...YOU HAVE NO SHOT OR ARE CLOSE TO BEING NEARLY AS GOOD AS ME.. now i have a bet goiong with BNB and before i send it out will you bet me on who finishes ahead of each other in this league..name the price big mouth..as i do not ever remember talking to or about you once at this site..yet your piehole opens now? How much big mouth..thats all shut up or pay up..nice and easy..Dom Davis..huh? How much..name it..I am sure with such BIG mouth you have you will have no problem making a little wager on who will finish ahead of who...speak up..can't hear you

BiabreakablePlayer YTD Pts Bye DraftedBengals, Cincinnati CIN TMQB - 5 5.03Davis, Domanick HOU RB - 5 2.14Gado, Samkon GBP RB - 6 7.03Portis, Clinton WAS RB - 8 1.03White, LenDale TEN RB - 7 6.14Bellamy, Ronald FA WR - - 14.14Brown, Troy NEP WR - 6 15.03Smith, Rod DEN WR - 4 4.14Toomer, Amani NYG WR - 4 9.03Wayne, Reggie IND WR - 6 3.03Williamson, Troy MIN WR - 6 11.03Franks, Bubba GBP TE - 6 10.14Hilton, Zack NOS TE - 7 8.14Bills, Buffalo BUF Def - 8 13.03Falcons, Atlanta ATL Def -
Vern I think you forgot to lock the monkeys cage again...It is kind of hard for me to understand what your actualy saying DonnyT33 as I only speak english.You seem to like to gamble a lot. Money talks BS walks? Well in this case I see them walking hand in hand with you so just keep walking.Thanks for posting the team I have managed to assemble. It is higher risk than I would like but I decided for total points its more important to swing for the fences. If injuries keep my team from winning then so be it. I know the risk I have taken with DD. I wont be using that as an excuse if I perform poorly later.I haven't bothered looking at your team or anyones for that matter beyond looking to see what positions I might be expecting players to draft before my next picks.I guess you really hold yourself at a low standard if you think I will be embarased to score less points than you or anyone else in this league. So please stop trying to overcompensate for that.I don't want to be any part of your excuses for not paying BNB.Thanks for the laugh!! :bye:
dude just say i talk alot but am afraid of losing my money to you and thats that. Not paying BNB what are talking about you dope? The bet isnt even started till week won..and I am the last person on the planet anyone woulf have to worry about not being paid up by..have you seen my new sig..does it look like a sig from a guy who would not pay his FF bets/debts? MYOB.

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BY the way did you guys go trash the league one guy who took Indy team QB a pick before i did here? Did BNB rip him over there or what? Just wondering..I am of the opinion that Manning may have his best all around year this year knowing he has to pick up the slack for the departed Edge..and with 6 points fro TD's I felt it was my only pick there..

No :bag: But it's not as fun as busting on you, especially after all the trash you talked last year. Go look at league 3 and 4 if you really want some laughs. Your team actually looks serviceable this year. Still not sold on the Manning pick, but you did find some late value that could very well turn it into a very solid pick. I'll get into more detail later as the drafts are still in progress.

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Here's my analysis of my draft.

1.02: Ladanian Tomlinson

For me, it's a choice between Tomlinson and Alexander. It's nice to get a proven stud (and much nicer to be drafting at 1.02 than 1.15, which I had last year), although I'm sure that at least one and probably two of the Big Three will not live up to expectations. I'm thinking that Tomlinson is marginally more likely to live up to expectations than Alexander, because his production is not as TD-based. It's a tough decision, though. I don't have the top TEs and WRs differentiated enough to be worth considering here; if there were a clear #1, I might look at him.

2.15: Anquan Boldin

I had Domanick Davis in my pre-draft queue, but he went a pick before me; I was kind of glad. I also was interested in Randy Moss who went two picks earlier, for boom or bust potential. I debated between Boldin, Chambers, Driver, and Droughns here; in this format, I think a solid WR is worth significantly more than a marginal RB, and with 1 PPR for WRs, I liked Boldin, with two 100-catch seasons to his name, over Chambers or Driver. There is some risk that targets shift to Fitzgerald and James in Arizona, but I like Boldin's chances.

3.02: Donald Driver

I actually had Driver rated above both Droughns and Chambers, who were grabbed by Yellow Dog, so I was very glad to get him at 3.02. With no other proven receiving option in Green Bay, Driver should get plenty of targets and should easily finish in the top 12 WRs; he's WR#11 off the board. The only other player I seriously considered was Darrell Jackson.

One thing worth noting about this pick is that it demonstrates the power of picking high in the first round. With Tomlinson anchoring my RB corps, I have no need to chase diminishing returns at RB; the RBs left on the board are guys like Reggie Bush, Warrick Dunn, and Jamal Lewis, none of whom I consider competitive with the WRs available. Driver outscored Dunn by over 50 points last year in this format, and Lewis by 100. In an all-starters league, it's all about maximizing value at every pick.

4.15: Dominic Rhodes

A lot of marginal TEs have flown off the board; we already have 10 taken! TE#10 did score 208 points in this format, but that's still less than WR#21, which is where we are in the WR list. I really was hoping Mason would fall to me, but rzrback snagged him two picks earlier. RBs remaining are not expected to score anywhere near as much as WRs or TEs, but I'm also looking at DVBD, which is predicting a bigger drop-off in RBs than WRs and TEs at this point. Rhodes looks to me like the only RB left on the board who has a good chance to finish in the top-10; if he gets even 80% of the touches Edge got in 2005, he should do it. There is risk here (Addai), but that's true of any of the situations from here on out, especially considering how early in the season we're drafting. I am willing to take risks in this format, since it's all-or-nothing. (My favorite crossword puzzle clue: "Came in second", four letters, beginning with L).

5.02: Joe Horn

I'm looking here at value and upside. Last year the two biggest difference-makers in this format were Joey Galloway and Steve Smith. Joe Horn is just one year removed from a #3WR finish, and like Galloway last year, may be flying under the radar due to last year's injuries and the general malaise of the team. Horn is younger than Galloway; I think he has a very solid chance to finish in the top 10, and here he's the #22 WR off the board. Other options are Galloway, Coles, and Lee Evans, none of whom seem to compare to Horn's potential in 2006.

6.15: Curtis Martin

According to my projections, Curtis Martin has been the strongest pick by DVBD for over two rounds now. However, as I said in the Player Spotlight on Martin, I don't really believe my own projections, which is why I let him fall this much. But as far as I can see, he's the only RB left (other than Barlow) who is even nominally the starter, and thus represents value, even if he doesn't reach my projections. If I can get 12 starts out of him, I'll come out ahead. Note: This pick was made before the FBG reports of weirdness with Martin in NYJ training camp.

7.02: Miami QB (Culpepper/Harrington)

It remains to be seen how well Culpepper will perform coming back from his injury onto a brand new team, but with team QBs and a very good receiving corps in Chambers, Booker, and McMichael, I think this unit is a total steal at QB13. The team QB is definitely more valuable than Culpepper as a single player, since I don't need to worry so much about his rehab; Harrington should be a servicable fill-in if necessary. No one else was close on my list.

8.15: Isaac Bruce

Bruce is another guy I think people are sleeping on; are there really 126 players better than him in this format? Including Samie Parker, Joe Jurevicius, Antonio Bryant and Keyshawn Johnson? He's the #44 WR off the board; he finished in the top 20 five years in a row prior to last year's injury-plagued season. Like Joe Horn, he is younger than Joey Galloway, and in a better offense. Other WRs left are Burleson, Toomer, Porter, Mark Clayton; I'm not impressed with that lot. TEs are still being over-bought; TE#18 just went off the board; several of the TEs just chosen may not even be the #1 TE on their own team. There are no starters left at RB.

9.02: Houston QB (Carr)

Carr as QB#23 off the board looks like a steal to me. This unit finished as #27 last year, just 15 points below #23, and that was with A.Johnson hurt and before Moulds was added. The new coaching staff is also very likely to be a positive for Carr. I expect him to finish in the top-20, and he could even get up around #10 if things go well. Also note, Carr himself finished in the top 20 each of the past two years, although partly that is because he's been very healthy, despite taking a beating in the backfield.

10.15: Pittsburgh D

I had the Pitt D as #1, so I'm glad to get it as the #3 D off the board. It's not likely to provide huge value here, but I'm pretty satisfied with the core of my team, and the WR and RB pickings are getting pretty slim. I don't see any need to jump on a TE yet, either; defenses have risen to the top in VBD and DVBD.

11.02: Cedrick Wilson

We're definitely in "your guess is as good as mine" territory here. I like Wilson as someone who's very solidly a WR2 on a team with a decent passing game that should be used more often this year with Bettis retiring. Other possibilities are Reche Caldwell, Randle El, Reggie Williams, none of whom have situations as good as Wilson's. He played well at the end of last year.

12.15: Courtney Anderson

Finally I get a TE! TE value has been creeping up, as only two have been taken in the past 50 picks, and Anderson seems overlooked to me here as TE#24. He finished in a virtual tie for TE#24 last year in his rookie season, and the Raiders seem like they might want to use him more with Shell at the helm. Some TE had at least 33 receptions each year Shell coached the Raiders in his first stint, and Ethan Horton finished as #2 overall in 1991. I'm glad to fill my roster with a solid starter. Also, Yellow Dog still doesn't have a TE, so I'm grabbing a TE before he tries to get one at the turn.

13.02: Najeh Davenport

I still need at least one RB, and Davenport is the only guy left on the board who plausibly could win the starting job in training camp, even without an injury. (Some might argue Maurice Drew, but I almost always let someone else try to shoot for the sleeper rookie RB; they are a lot more rare than people expect). I expect everything resembling RB value to be gone by the time I get another chance to pick, so I'm filling out my roster.

14.15: Eric Johnson

Johnson already has two top-15 seasons to his credit; he's slipped this far due to the prospect of Vernon Davis taking over the pass-catching TE role. But I think it's likely that Johnson will perform well in training camp and fight the rookie for touches all year. The SF passing game isn't a huge pie to slice up, but it's not like there are real WRs to throw to, anyway (Bryant notwithstanding). I'm hoping for 30 catches and 3 TDs.

15.02: Ryan Longwell

I didn't have good net access, and did some pre-drafting with 20+ picks to go before my selection. I was anticipating a kicker run and hoping to get Longwell on the end of it. My timing was a bit off, as this was only K#9 off the board, and seven more went in the next 17 picks. Longwell could easily wind up as K#9 or better (he's an extremely accurate kicker, just moved to a dome), but with the uncertainty in the Minnesota offense, if I were actively following the draft I probably would have passed on Longwell and hoped he came back to me at 16.15 (which he probably wouldn't have, given how it went, but still). I also considered Arnaz Battle, but it's against my religion to own two players from last year's #32 offense. At least I wound up with a token Golden Bear.

16.15: Daniel Graham

Another case of "what have you done for me lately?" Graham was the #9 TE in 2004, and in this format was #31 in 2005 despite missing 5 games. As TE#29, he's a great prospect here; New England spreads the ball around, but even if he only repeats his 2003 (38 receptions, 4 TD) he should significantly out-perform anyone left for my flex spot. Other players I was considering were Andre Davis and Rod Gardner, but I like the TE performance possibility better. Plus Yellowdog still has no TEs, so I know he's planning to take at least one on the turn.

17.02: Mike Nugent

I'm not a huge fan of Nugent, but he's the most solidly entrenched in his job of all the kickers left; he should put up at least acceptable numbers, and could be decent if it turns out Pennington's return revives the Jets offense.

18.15: Raiders Defense

Whatever. It's a defense, the last one on the board. It even has a Cal connection (Nnamdi Asomugah).

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Chumpson, someone already took Bironis. His name is in MFL twice for some reason.

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Michael Robinson in the 17th? I guess I'm a premature edraftulater. :unsure: I wanted him as my last pick, but I got too excited. :blush:

You mention the 17th, but i believe this disease set in during the first two rounds, with back to back TE selections. :D
Everyone will be doing this next year. If they can.
So you are out in front of LHucks on this new leading edge drafting! Oh my!
Nope. Check last years draft I had 3 TEs by rnd 5 and if Eric Johnson didn't go down in preseason I would have finished 2nd, even w/all the zeros we all got.

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timeout?

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timeout?

I'll roll up my sleeves on this one. He needs a PK. We'll have to deviate on who to take, as there isn't ADP info this far into kickers. Will use highest ranked undrafted PK fromt he FBG staff rankings . . .

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timeout?

I'll roll up my sleeves on this one. He needs a PK. We'll have to deviate on who to take, as there isn't ADP info this far into kickers. Will use highest ranked undrafted PK fromt he FBG staff rankings . . .
You should change the league names from Anarchy to Monarchy since you make half the picks. Next year let's just skip over the deadbeats and let them pay the price in lost value. As it is now, you actually improve their teams when they screw off.

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timeout?

I'll roll up my sleeves on this one. He needs a PK. We'll have to deviate on who to take, as there isn't ADP info this far into kickers. Will use highest ranked undrafted PK fromt he FBG staff rankings . . .
You should change the league names from Anarchy to Monarchy since you make half the picks. Next year let's just skip over the deadbeats and let them pay the price in lost value. As it is now, you actually improve their teams when they screw off.
I agree. I think several of these slackers got some of their best picks by missing the deadline. At a minimum, they should have to wait four slots or so and then get the highest ADP slot.

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Sorry guys. I had predrafted like 4 or 5 kickers for the last round, and apparently all were taken before it was my turn. I was training all day today, so I wasn't able to check in until now...

Kris Brown... eh, it's all good... :mellow::P

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DY - you can now try again as Donny has become the third team to draft All World PK Rob Bironas (maybe they just like the name)

Can hardly wait to see the blue tirade posted here when you tell Donny he can't have him :lmao:

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Chumpson, someone already took Bironis. His name is in MFL twice for some reason.

and again :rant:

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Chumpson, someone already took Bironis. His name is in MFL twice for some reason.

and again :rant:
The next guy that takes Bironas will be banned.I gave Donny Cundiff instead. If he blows his top, we'll let him change to someone else.

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Following up CalBears post with comments on my draft.

In this format total points scoring all players I agree with CalBear that taking 2nd place is not somthing that I would strive for. I took more risks with players I picked than I would in a head to head league, where I can manage my roster with trades, free agency and starting lineups. I didn't come into this draft planning to do this. But that defintly became my tendency from the very 1st pick.

1.03 Clinton Portis I believe Portis will be the 2nd best Rb in the league this year after LT. I have owned Portis since he was a rookie n dynasty leagues so I am very familiar with him. He could have easily scored 6 more TDs last year in Gibbs offense. TDs that went to players such as Sellers and Cooley in short yardage situations. I don't see that happening again in 2006 now that Portis is in the KC offense that funnels most of its TDs through the feature Rb. I see Portis having a huge year this year. The offensive line returns intact. And the recievers have been upgraded.

Most people will consider it a risk to pass on the proven production of Alexander over the past 3 years for Portis. But I see several negatives for Alexander this year while I see none for Portis.

2.14 Domanic Davis I was not expecting Davis to fall to the 30th pick. I took him as the 17th Rb off the board. I have him ranked much higher than that. He was the last of a nd tier of RBs I consider possible Rb 1 or strong Rb 2. I was more hoping for Holt Moss or Heap here actualy but all of them were gone. I strongly considered taking Boldin here even though I saw DD as the highest ranking player and best value to have dropped to me. Boldin has some injury past issues also though and there were no Rbs that I see comparing to what DD has done before availale. There were still several Wrs available that I think can put up comparable or better numbers than I expect Boldin will and I knew I would be able to pick again and take one of the Wrs from this tier. DD was in a tier by hmself that I did not expect to fall to me. So I took DD knowing that his knee is hurting and it could be a wasted pick if he misses a lot of time due to injury. News circulatng about DD after I picked him has had a much more negative tone to it. But from my perspectve nothing really has changed in regards to him. He just doesen't appear ready to play the 1st preseason game. This doesen't mean he wont still be the man in Kubiaks offense that could propell DD to even higher totals than what he has put up before. Which is very good. Boom/Bust pick high risk.

3.03 Reggie Wayne. Honestly I am very high on Reggie Wayne this year. Waynes catches have been steadily increasing every season he has been with Manning. Last year he actualy caught one more than Harrison did. I think Wayne will steadily continue to improve and the Colts will certainly throw the ball a lot more this year wth Edge gone. I have Wayne and Boldin performing so close to each other and honestly I think Wayne has more upside to suprise while Boldin has been performing at a peak level. Getting them both could have been good if Wayne dropped with one more Wr targeted most likely before this pick.. That will depend on how DD does. But I like Wayne here as a solid WR 1 for me.

4.14 Rod Smith I really wanted Mason here. But it looks like so did everyone else. I was kind of hoping a decent TE would be available with this pick also. But Witten LJ Smith Cooley even Watson and McMichael were all gone before it came back to me. TE is a sore spot for me in this draft and mainly because of how quickly the top 10 came off the board. Which happened before this pick. I just could not see value in taking one of the lesser TE here. I considered taking Horn instead. But I am uncertain if he will rebound to previous levels or if Stallworth has taken over as the Wr 1 now. Im also not sure how well Brees will do and how the targets will be distributed. Rod Smith on the other hand has been a solid performer for a long time. His lower TD numbers do not matter as much in pts/reception leagues. I like Rod Smith as the 20th Wr off the board. Worries with him are age (now 36) and the possibility of Walker taken some of his receptions in a run heavy offense. But Smith has thrived with a good Wr opposite him before. I saw the value of players shifting to the QBs here. And I considered taking 2 of them sensing a Qb run about to come. But I was hoping to find value later landing Oak or Az QB in round 6. I did not expect Calbear or Yellowdog to take QB here because Calbear still only had one Rb and Yellowdog only had Chambers at Wr. So I felt safe to wait and take Palmer with my next pick. If Brady would have still been available I might have taken him and then planned to take another Qb with my 5th pick and be strong at that position.

5.03 Bengals TMQB I like the Bengals OLine and Wrs. Rudi gives thier offense great balance also. As a team Qb I like the Bengals even more than I just like Palmer. Because I think thier passing offense will still be productive even if Palmer is out for a short period of time. I really like this pick and I am glad yellowdog didnt steal it away from me. If Horn would have fallen to me here I would have considered going with a 3rd Wr. But I doubt I would have passed on Palmer to do that. Horn just worries me too much and I was still targeting Stallworth later if I could get him.

6.14 Lendale White I was allready planning to take 2 Rbs with picks 6 and 7 as long as some Rbs fell that I thought had reasonable chances to become feature Rbs. White fits the bill. I don't think the Titans have a lot of confidence in Brown. White to me here as 37th Rb off the board offers great value. I like his chances to be a feature Rb about as well as Rbs like Rhodes Foster Benson who were being taken several rounds before. If it works out how I hope my team should be dominating from the Rb position.

7.03 Samkon Gado This pick totaly depends on Ahman Green's recovery. If Green cannot come back then I expect Gado to be the man and a 4th feature Rb for me. There was not many other Rbs left that I felt had a similar opportunity. Possibly Morency but since I have DD I would not consider him. Handcuffing is a strat for head to head not total points leagues imho. The only other guy I liked to be a feature Rb quickly is Cedrick Houston. I was hoping people might sleep on him more and I could get him later. I knew Gado would be too tempting for some owner.

8.14 Zack Hilton Honestly I am not really happy with this pick here. The Tes got picked over so hard. It really bothered me. I wanted Troupe here. But honestly I did not expect him to fall as far as he had. And then it was just a tease when I was only a few picks away from being able to get him. I considered Alex Smith Marcedes Lewis and Bubba Franks here. But I gambled that Brees will target the Te Hilton a ton like he was doing with Gates. It remains to be seen how well Hilton fares with Brees though. Another high risk pick.

9.03 Amani Toomer Honestly I really don't like Toomer. He has a poor reception percentage over his career and is getting older. However I really needed a Wr and I recognised that Eli and the Giants will throw the ball a lot. Toomer did much better the 2nd half of the season and got Eli's trust I think. Plax is a minor injury risk as well which would really help Toomer if Plax misses time. Wrs have been picked over pretty hard by this point. I got Toomer as the 45th Wr off the board. I also considered Eric Moulds with this pick. But I had to go with the better Qb in Eli over Carr as well as Giants possible post season points. Although honestly post season points was not much of a consideration for me in evaluating players.

10.14 Bubba Franks I was looking for Moulds or Givens to possibly slide here as many teams allready had a lot of Wrs. But its a long wait with 16 teams getting to these even numbered picks. They were gone and Houston was gone which disapointed me. So I went with the other TE I was considering 2 rounds before. I saw the 1st 2 defenses were off the board and a likely DT run was about to begin but I did not think they were valuable enough yet and would let others pick over the obvious defenses trusting my ability to take some sleeper Ds later that will perform well for me.

11.03 Troy Williamson The Wrs available here have been really diminished. I expect Willamson to explode this year and think he will be better than Koren Robinson or any other Viking Wr. He is very good on slant patterns and I think Brad will be able to get him the ball in position to make things happen YAC wise. As Wr 62 and my Wr 4 I think he will prove to be great value for me. He has a lot of upside and could outperform my expectations. I also considered taking Caldwell here but liked Williamsons prospects much better. I thought about Duckett as my Rb 5 but TDs just don't matter as much imo in leagues that reward points for receptions.

12.14 Atlanta Falcons DT I saw the defenses get picked over pretty hard and there was only a few left that I liked. Atlanta Bills Seahawks Packers. Atlanta was my 1st choice. They added Abraham to bookend with Kerney. They have Babineux developing as a NT to pair with Coleman and a formidible front 4. As good or close to any other Dline unit in the league. Thier Lbers are decent also and they have Hall and a new rookie in the same mold as him at the other CB position. I think they will force a lot of sacks and turnovers with this unit that struggled last year and s perhaps being overlooked.

13.03 Buffalo Bills DT Another defense that is very talented but had a poor year last year when they lost Pat Williams (free agency) and Takeo Spikes (injury). Spikes will be back and they developed another good Lber in Crowell last year during Spikes absense. They have switched to a cover 2 defense and brought in Tripplett from the Colts as a DT to work with thier underated DEs. Clemons is a elite Cb. They need thier rookie SS to make a impact and this can be a top 5 defense again. The offense wont be helping them out much in that regard. But I like this defense to be one that can create turnovers and sacks even if they give up a lot of points.

14.14 MIke Bell DING!! High risk high reward. If this guy becomes the Broncos starter even in RBBC he will really help my team. Otherwise he is a waste. Been reading the training camp reports and trying to add him in dynasty for over a week (bids on him have gotten huge now that the word it out). Was good timing that the news hit while I was still on the clock though giving me more hope in taking him.

15.03 Troy Brown The wrs left are just brutal. I took Brown in hopes that Brady turns to him now with Givens gone and Branch holding out. But we'll see...

16.14 Jets Qb They have 3 Qbs. I figure at least one of them will be decent. I didn't want the other Qbs left here.

17.03 Olindo Mare Still a very good kicker.

18.14 Robbie Gould This guy has a fan club. I figure he will keep the job because of that.

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Following up CalBears post with comments on my draft.

In this format total points scoring all players I agree with CalBear that taking 2nd place is not somthing that I would strive for. I took more risks with players I picked than I would in a head to head league, where I can manage my roster with trades, free agency and starting lineups. I didn't come into this draft planning to do this. But that defintly became my tendency from the very 1st pick.

1.03 Clinton Portis I believe Portis will be the 2nd best Rb in the league this year after LT. I have owned Portis since he was a rookie n dynasty leagues so I am very familiar with him. He could have easily scored 6 more TDs last year in Gibbs offense. TDs that went to players such as Sellers and Cooley in short yardage situations. I don't see that happening again in 2006 now that Portis is in the KC offense that funnels most of its TDs through the feature Rb. I see Portis having a huge year this year. The offensive line returns intact. And the recievers have been upgraded.

Most people will consider it a risk to pass on the proven production of Alexander over the past 3 years for Portis. But I see several negatives for Alexander this year while I see none for Portis.

None!

Really? The fact that he had over 400 touches last year doesn't bother you at all?

The fact that Saunders has been very vocal about his praise of Betts doesn't bother you at all?

Very nice team on the whole, but I just have to question that statement.

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Following up CalBears post with comments on my draft.

In this format total points scoring all players I agree with CalBear that taking 2nd place is not somthing that I would strive for. I took more risks with players I picked than I would in a head to head league, where I can manage my roster with trades, free agency and starting lineups. I didn't come into this draft planning to do this. But that defintly became my tendency from the very 1st pick.

1.03 Clinton Portis I believe Portis will be the 2nd best Rb in the league this year after LT. I have owned Portis since he was a rookie n dynasty leagues so I am very familiar with him. He could have easily scored 6 more TDs last year in Gibbs offense. TDs that went to players such as Sellers and Cooley in short yardage situations. I don't see that happening again in 2006 now that Portis is in the KC offense that funnels most of its TDs through the feature Rb. I see Portis having a huge year this year. The offensive line returns intact. And the recievers have been upgraded.

Most people will consider it a risk to pass on the proven production of Alexander over the past 3 years for Portis. But I see several negatives for Alexander this year while I see none for Portis.

None!

Really? The fact that he had over 400 touches last year doesn't bother you at all?

The fact that Saunders has been very vocal about his praise of Betts doesn't bother you at all?

Very nice team on the whole, but I just have to question that statement.

I have very rarely viewed a high number of touches for a Rb to be a bad thing. In fact that is exactly what I am looking for in a Rb. Now if I see a steep decline in ypc for a Rb due to the heavy workload like what happened with RiWi and Eddie George then I get concerned. But Portis is still young and a different kind of Rb than those 2 are.

Portis has a intact offensive line Alexander doesen't.

Portis is a new offensive system that should boost his performance Alexander is coming off a career year that I think was inflated due to Jacksons injury to some degree.

Redskins are a team on the rise Seahawks likely are superbowl hangovers.

Portis isn't on the Madden cover. I am superstitious.

I still call it a risk taking him over Alexander. But these are my reasons for it.

I forgot to mention that Atlanta and the Bills offer good special teams scoring opportunities also.

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I'll play along, and critique my own draft:

1.12 Jeremy Shockey, TE, NYG

Wow... At the time, I had no plans to take a TE at that point. Even looking back at it now, I wish I could take it back. Shockey should be solid, and will put up a lot of points. But I was VERY close to taking Rudi Johnson instead, and should have. As it played out in the following few rounds, it will hurt me (assuming Rudi doesn't go down with an injury, of course).

2.05 Chester Taylor, RB, MIN

Another pick that I wish I could take back. I really have NO clue what I was thinking, other than a scramble for SOME sort of RB before it was too late. A lot of folks are high on Taylor, but I'm not totally sold on him yet. I think he has potential, and he now has a great chance. I'm HOPING he turns out like LaMont Jordan did (playing behind a great RB for years, and finally getting a chance to start somewhere else).

I don't know WHAT I was smoking the first two rounds, but I REALLY should have gone stud WR instead of panicking. I could have had Torry Holt, Larry Fitzgerald, or Marvin Harrison if I wanted.

Here's to hoping they don't go total bust! :suds:

3.12 Tatum Bell, RB, DEN

At the time, I thought it was a nice pick. I was not buying into the Ron Dayne hype, and was 99% sure he'd start the season as the #1. Then later on, of course, we get the news about Mike Bell getting a big boost to #1. Now, naturally, I'm shaking my head. I still think Tatum Bell will win the starting spot (unless he continues to shoot his mouth off and boo-hooing about it). But Bell and Dayne will take away carries. This pick doesn't look so hot now at this point...

4.05 Ron Dayne, RB, DEN

Naturally the thinking here was to shore up the DEN running game. Not high on Dayne at all, but I felt that handcuffing him with Bell, along with Chester Taylor gave me a decent trio of backs, and could help make up for my earlier blunders. Then we get the news of Mike Bell................... :wall:

5.12 Eddie Kennison, WR, KC

Because I ignored the WR position, I was forced to go WR at this point. Kennison, I felt, was the best available. He seems to quietly produce, and this year shouldn't be much different. Defenses will try and stop Larry Johnson a lot, which I think will open up the passing game a lot more.

6.05 Donte Stallworth, WR, NO

Same as 5.12, I needed some WRs, and Stallworth was one of the best available at this point. If this :censored: can just stay healthy, he has an EXCELLENT opportunity. The addition of Brees, Bush, and the return of McAllister should open things up a bunch. Here's to hoping Donte stays healthy.... :tinfoilhat:

7.12 KC TMQB

I could have gone in a few directions here. QBs were starting to disappear a good bit, so I felt it necessary to go ahead and nab at least one decent team. Trent Green has quietly produced for a few years now, and I firmly believe that defenses will try and key in on Larry Johnson now, and open things up. I thought he was the best available...

8.05 NO TMQB

Some are hesitant with Brees, with his late season injury. But I believe that by opening day, he'll be close to 100%. I really like his situation in NO. I think he has a lot of weapons to throw to, and two good backs behind him. I could have gone with a few other QBs that might be ranked a little higher, but I decided to just go with NO...

9.12 Brandon Stokley, WR, IND

Needed another WR, and they were flying off the board. There were some others ranked higher, and Stokley bombed last year. But I firmly believe that with Edge gone, they will be forced to pass more than before, and that ain't a bad thing! Unless you're up against an opponent with Indy players... :)

10.05 Bobby Engram, WR, SEA

This guy has been a sleeper of mine for a few years now. I believe he'll beat out Burleson for the #2 spot, simply because he's filled in admirably when needed, and is already familiar with that offense. For what was left at WR, I'll take him...

11.12 Antwaan Randle-El, WR, WAS

I decided to finish up the WRs now, while there was at least a few more I wouldn't mind having on my team. Randle-El is a favorite of mine. I have a soft spot for "double threat guys" (as I nearly took Dante Hall later). Even if he doesn't beat out Lloyd for the #2 spot, he'll still get some decent production.

12.05 Jacksonville Jaguars, DEF/ST

Defenses were quickly flying off the board. The Jaguars quietly produce, so I decided to go with them...

13.12 Neil Rackers, K, AZ

Maybe a little early for a kicker, but I decided to go with a top one, and worry about a second kicker much later...

14.05 Chris Baker, TE, NYJ

I picked Shockey at the beginning, and then completely ignored the position. Not smart. Nearly every starting TE was gone at this point, so I took the one I felt would at least get me a FEW points each week...

15.12 Michael Turner, RB, SD

Love the Burner. I'm sure the LT owner wasn't too happy about this. Was kinda shocked he lasted this long, to be quite honest. I think we'll see him get a bit more work this year, as Schotty will likely want to rest LT a bit more than normal (his workload over the years has been unreal).

16.05 Green Bay Packers, DEF/ST

Best of the rest. Simple enough...

17.12 Kris Mangum, TE, CAR

Only a few starting TEs left. Mangum won't put up a ton of points, but he'll get me a decent game or two, I'm sure. For a late 17th rounder, what the hell?

18.05 Kris Brown, K, HOU

Was picked by Yudkin for me, since I timed out. I had pre-drafted four or five kickers before my 17th round pick, and apparently they were all taken before this one. I think it included Mare, Lindell, Scobee, and one or two others... ahh well. Brown will get me a few points here and there...

Overall, not the greatest team. I've done much better before. A lot of ?? surrounding this one, especially the Denver running game situation. If they fall the way I drafted them, then I think I'll do fairly well. If not... well, I'm toast early...

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I really like this team to compete. It could come down to the number of players that make the playoffs and go far. With players from Seattle, Carolina, Pittsburg, Baltimore, Cincinnati, Chicago and Jacksonville, there are several that should be post season participants. Great drafting and Good Luck to all.

QB – Atlanta & San Francisco

I was really surprised at not only the rate that Team QBs sped off the board, but also the selection. Everyone has their own ideas about player projections and I don’t want to get into that, but for team projections, I used the FBG’s projections and entered the data into excel to see the team rankings for our scoring rules. Does it surprise anybody that the Atlanta Falcons team QBs project 3rd highest? Vick is always an injury risk, but in this format, you still get Schaub. I got them at 6.13 as the 12th QB taken, quite a bargain. Also, there is no risk that you will be without two, so why hurry to take a second? There is simply not that much difference between QB16 and QB 30 that I got with my last pick. As an example, the Saints QB is projected for 243 points on the year and was taken at 8.5 over ten rounds before I got the Niners QB projected for 203, a difference of 40 points or less than three points per week. I do not expect these two to be among our league’s best, but waiting on them vastly improved my other positions.

RB - Shaun Alexander, Reggie Bush, Verron Haynes, and Maurice Morris

I absolutely love the 4th draft slot this year as I have no particular favorite among LJ, LT, Alexander and Portis. I was thrilled to get any one of them in this tough group. This group is stronger with Alexander, but overall weak. I believe Reggie Bush (at 3.4) will be a stud this year, but he is less valuable here without the ppr. I was really hoping for Droughns or Parker to fall for me, but they did not even come close. I had just returned from a Saints practice where Deuce did not look good at all and the good RBs were rapidly leaving. The Bush pick might have been better made on a second WR. The RBs I targeted later were all taken before my sixth pick so I decided to wait and hope for something to fall. Y’all are all too good for that. Verron Haynes (at 12.13) may have opportunities to help. My last RB (17.4) came down to A Peterson, T Fisher, and Morris. I decide to go with the hand-cuff, but who knows? My RBs are definitely middle of the pack at best, but having Alexander allowed me that luxury.

WR – R Moss (2.13), D Mason (4.13), TJ Housh (5.4), J Porter (9.4), Reg Williams (11.4) A Battle (13.4)

I think that this group of WRs can make some serious noise. If Porter gets his act together (or gets traded) I believe this is the best group in the league. I am looking for R Moss to rebound nicely this season. Mason and TJH are excellent ppr receivers. Reggie Williams may be the third Jag choice, but he should still get targets. A Battle could surprise and it will be nice if A Smith and A Battle both improve together in 06.

TE – J Stevens (7.4) Wiggins (8.13)

I waited fairly late nearing the bottom of the second TE tier. Since there were 24 selections between these two, I was very happy to get these two. Alex Smith was the only remaining TE that I sought, so it was a risk waiting that late, but I escaped.

PK – Kasay (14.13) and Scobee (16.13)

I got two kickers with fairly strong legs that should play all season. Both are on solid teams with an opportunity to reach the playoffs. I actually considered Kasay in the 13th round, but wanted the Cards defense.

Defense – Chicago Bears and Arizona Cardinals

Two defensive teams with attacking schemes that should produce turnovers. Solid.

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I really like this team to compete. It could come down to the number of players that make the playoffs and go far. With players from Seattle, Carolina, Pittsburg, Baltimore, Cincinnati, Chicago and Jacksonville, there are several that should be post season participants. Great drafting and Good Luck to all.

QB – Atlanta & San Francisco

I was really surprised at not only the rate that Team QBs sped off the board, but also the selection. Everyone has their own ideas about player projections and I don’t want to get into that, but for team projections, I used the FBG’s projections and entered the data into excel to see the team rankings for our scoring rules. Does it surprise anybody that the Atlanta Falcons team QBs project 3rd highest? Vick is always an injury risk, but in this format, you still get Schaub. I got them at 6.13 as the 12th QB taken, quite a bargain. Also, there is no risk that you will be without two, so why hurry to take a second? There is simply not that much difference between QB16 and QB 30 that I got with my last pick. As an example, the Saints QB is projected for 243 points on the year and was taken at 8.5 over ten rounds before I got the Niners QB projected for 203, a difference of 40 points or less than three points per week. I do not expect these two to be among our league’s best, but waiting on them vastly improved my other positions.

I do like your team, but there is a fallacy here resulting from projections at the low end always being too high on average. Last year in this format, SF QB finished over 70 points behind the #30 QB; 80 points behind #29, 90 points behind #28, and almost 100 behind #27, at which point the curve flattens out a little. You do not want to get stuck with the worst QB in this format; last year, you gave away 150 points to the average, and 100 points to almost everyone. Now, the Niners QB had one of the worst QB seasons in recent memory in 2005, and probably will improve some, but I think to expect even an improvement to #30 is stretching credulity; the #30 TMQB had 800 more passing yards than SF.

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I really like this team to compete. It could come down to the number of players that make the playoffs and go far. With players from Seattle, Carolina, Pittsburg, Baltimore, Cincinnati, Chicago and Jacksonville, there are several that should be post season participants. Great drafting and Good Luck to all.

QB – Atlanta & San Francisco

I was really surprised at not only the rate that Team QBs sped off the board, but also the selection. Everyone has their own ideas about player projections and I don’t want to get into that, but for team projections, I used the FBG’s projections and entered the data into excel to see the team rankings for our scoring rules. Does it surprise anybody that the Atlanta Falcons team QBs project 3rd highest? Vick is always an injury risk, but in this format, you still get Schaub. I got them at 6.13 as the 12th QB taken, quite a bargain. Also, there is no risk that you will be without two, so why hurry to take a second? There is simply not that much difference between QB16 and QB 30 that I got with my last pick. As an example, the Saints QB is projected for 243 points on the year and was taken at 8.5 over ten rounds before I got the Niners QB projected for 203, a difference of 40 points or less than three points per week. I do not expect these two to be among our league’s best, but waiting on them vastly improved my other positions.

I do like your team, but there is a fallacy here resulting from projections at the low end always being too high on average. Last year in this format, SF QB finished over 70 points behind the #30 QB; 80 points behind #29, 90 points behind #28, and almost 100 behind #27, at which point the curve flattens out a little. You do not want to get stuck with the worst QB in this format; last year, you gave away 150 points to the average, and 100 points to almost everyone. Now, the Niners QB had one of the worst QB seasons in recent memory in 2005, and probably will improve some, but I think to expect even an improvement to #30 is stretching credulity; the #30 TMQB had 800 more passing yards than SF.
Sig bet on SF Niners Team QB not finishing last?

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Sig bet on SF Niners Team QB not finishing last?

That's a sucker bet; all the variables lean towards not finishing dead last. I think that SF Team QB is the most likely candidate for #32, but the probability is well under 50%.

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Sig bet on SF Niners Team QB not finishing last?

That's a sucker bet; all the variables lean towards not finishing dead last. I think that SF Team QB is the most likely candidate for #32, but the probability is well under 50%.
:goodposting:

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Sig bet on SF Niners Team QB not finishing last?

That's a sucker bet; all the variables lean towards not finishing dead last. I think that SF Team QB is the most likely candidate for #32, but the probability is well under 50%.
These were your words.....

"I do like your team, but there is a fallacy here resulting from projections at the low end always being too high on average. Last year in this format, SF QB finished over 70 points behind the #30 QB; 80 points behind #29, 90 points behind #28, and almost 100 behind #27, at which point the curve flattens out a little. You do not want to get stuck with the worst QB in this format; last year, you gave away 150 points to the average, and 100 points to almost everyone. Now, the Niners QB had one of the worst QB seasons in recent memory in 2005, and probably will improve some, but I think to expect even an improvement to #30 is stretching credulity; the #30 TMQB had 800 more passing yards than SF."

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Sig bet on SF Niners Team QB not finishing last?

That's a sucker bet; all the variables lean towards not finishing dead last. I think that SF Team QB is the most likely candidate for #32, but the probability is well under 50%.
These were your words.....

"I do like your team, but there is a fallacy here resulting from projections at the low end always being too high on average. Last year in this format, SF QB finished over 70 points behind the #30 QB; 80 points behind #29, 90 points behind #28, and almost 100 behind #27, at which point the curve flattens out a little. You do not want to get stuck with the worst QB in this format; last year, you gave away 150 points to the average, and 100 points to almost everyone. Now, the Niners QB had one of the worst QB seasons in recent memory in 2005, and probably will improve some, but I think to expect even an improvement to #30 is stretching credulity; the #30 TMQB had 800 more passing yards than SF."

Projections are always too high at the low end, but it is not totally predictable whose projections will be off. For example:

SF 2005, 136 ypg, .5 TDpg. Smith+Dilfer projected for 183 ypg, .87 TDpg

Chicago 2005, 138 ypg, .68 TDpg. Grossman+Griese projected for 169 ypg, .93 TDpg

Houston 2005, 166 ypg, .93 TDpg. Carr+Rosenfels projected for 188 ypg, 1.1 TDpg

Jets 2005, 186 ypg, .68 TDpg. Pennington+Ramsey projected for 196 ypg, 1.1 TDpg

Everyone who was really bad gets a big bump in projections; that is consistently true of all projections. There are no TMQBs which are projected to score as few fantasy points in 2006 as SF, Chicago, Houston and the Jets did in 2005, but I guarantee that such teams will exist. Furthermore, I think that SF is the most likely candidate to finish at this level.

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Overall, I thought this draft was stronger than last year's: people did a better job pursuing value, which is key in this format. Last year's over-focus on QBs was replaced by perhaps a bit too much enthusiasm for TEs, and people still took too many RBs too early, but it wasn't as easy to find screaming values as it was last year.

Team analysis:

Yellow Dog

It's good to be the king, and it's good to have the 1.01 pick in a 16-team draft. LJ is certainly a strong anchor to any team, and a significant advantage over the guys drafting Ronnie Brown in the middle of the round. Despite only moderate investment in RBs after round 1 (picks in rounds 2, 5, and 11), I still have Yellow Dog as #1 in projected RB scoring. He also has a decent WR corps, headed by Chambers and with a lot of high risk-reward guys following him up. If at least two or three of those work out, he will have a solid WR unit. K and D are middling, QB is on the weak side, and TE is dead last by a fair margin. This should be a competitive team, that can win it all if it gets good WR production.

CalBear

This year, second place isn't so bad, either. I might have taken LT even if I had the first pick. This year, I didn't do quite as much to optimize for VBD points, focusing more on players who I feel are undervalued by FBG projections. (I also did some of my own projections, but have a bunch more still to do). Thus, picks like Joe Horn at 5.02 and Isaac Bruce at 8.15 were not the top of my list by projections at that position, but in reality I believe they will perform better than the others rated ahead of them. I wound up with a strong WR corps, strong RBs (weakened if Martin retires), above-average QBs, middling D, weak K and very weak TE. If at least one of my RB situations (Rhodes, Martin, Davenport) works out, and one of my "2006 Galloway" picks (Horn, Bruce), I should be in a position to win.

Biabreakable

I don't like passing on Alexander, but I can at least see the argument. I don't like the Davis pick in the second round much in this format. Overall, I see this team as among the weakest, mostly because Biabreakable did a lot of "swinging for the fences." He's got a bunch of players, like LenDale White, Gado, Mike Bell, Troy Williamson, and Zach Hilton, who are not projected to get very many points, but have some possibility of being big. In an all-or-nothing format, I can understand that tactic, but I think he should have gotten a more solid core first; he's likely to have too many busts among that group for the one or two that hit to make up for. I would have started with Alexander and then taken a WR in the second round; there's plenty of time to mess around with upside picks later. RB is the strength of the team; I have him below average in all the other categories. If Mike Bell really is Denver RB#1, maybe he'll have a chance.

rzrback77

Our discussion of SF's QB situation notwithstanding, I have rzrback77 with the highest overall projections. He is particularly strong at WR, and I also have him as #1 in the D position, although the total spread at D (top team to bottom team) is only 75 points. With Alexander falling to him at #4, his RBs wound up above average even though he concentrated on WR picks early. His TEs are also a smidge about the median. The QBs are below average, even before you take into account the fact that the FBG projections for SFQB are unrealistic. Overall, I think this is a strong team that can win it all, especially if Alex Smith turns out not to suck or (more likely) gets injured and gives way to Dilfer.

Wheelhouse

I have Wheelhouse in the middle of the pack. Taking RBs in the first and second rounds gave him RBs in the top half of the league, but Tiki isn't nearly as strong an anchor as the four RBs taken before. He reached a bit for New England TMQB, and followed that up with Tennesse, which I like, so he's also in the top half at QB. His WRs are below average, especially if you think that Galloway is overrated this year (as I do), and his TE production is totally dependent on a rookie in the worst pass offense in the league. If Vernon Davis turns out to be the next coming of Antonio Gates' second year in the league, or Galloway repeats his heroics from last year, he might have a shot at the title, but I think his chances are marginal.

MLBrandow

I have MLB as the weakest team by projections; that's partly because he picked up Gramatica, who's currently projected at zero, but even with another 150 points he'd be at the bottom of the league. A big part of the disparity is that I have Gates' performance dropping off significantly; if he goes for 1000/10 again, MLB will at least be in the mix. Outside of TE, though, I don't have him above average at any other position, and his RBs are absolutely putrid. He will need a miracle at RB, plus one at WR (Rogers or Boston going off) to have any hope at contending. Oh, and also Gramatica winning the PK job.

radballs

The numbers come up well for this team, but I think the DD is overrating it a bit. A lot will depend on how Jackson gets used, and whether Chris Brown winds up starting most games for the Titans; if both of those things happen, the RB corps is very strong and can make up for so-so WRs and QBs. He definitely has a chance. He gets negative points for taking a player from Stanford.

Captain Hook

With the exception of TE where he's #2, I have Hook near the middle of the pack at the rest of his positions. The TE will not be enough on its own to put him over the top, but if a couple of his RB situations work out, or a flier WR like Gardner, Greg Lewis, or Mark Clayton, he could be competitive.

DonnyT33

I don't know if my making fun of Donny's first-round QB pick changed his strategy, but actually IND QB at 1.09 is not totally awful in this format. It's a lot better, at least, than IND QB at 1.01 where it was taken last year. I like the follow-up of BAL QB in round 8, as McNair/Boller is one of the combos that moves up the board in team QB formats; I have him as #1 in QB scoring--which he also was last year, but this time he didn't reach for his QBs as much, so his other positions are better than they were. His RBs are a bit scraggly to my eye, but by projections they're in the top half of the league. His TE, K, and D are OK and his WRs are really poor. Chris Henry? I don't see this team being really competitive, but Donny won't finish 15th again.

nittanylion

Three of his first four picks look like big reaches to me (Ronnie Brown, Andre Johnson and Ben Watson). As a result, nittanylion winds up well below average at QB and RB (unless Greg Jones starts in JAX), dead last at D (which isn't that much of a problem), and only above average at WR. If Andre Johnson finally lives up to the hype, or Porter keeps sulking and Gabriel puts up big numbers in Oakland, he might have a shot, but overall I think this is one of the weaker teams. (He does have the distinction of being the first team to draft Rob Bironas).

There it is

This team is a solid examination of the Stud TE theory. I have him over 200 points ahead of second place at the TE position, over 400 ahead of #16. He also spent early on QBs, and is set near the top of the league at that position, too. To get there, he had to sacrifice RB and WR completely (#16 and #14 overall by my numbers). I don't have his TE advantage giving him enough to overcome the weakness at RB and WR; he's in the middle of the pack. But if he gets lucky on one of his RBs (looks pretty dang unlikely to me) or a couple of his WRs (possible, with Meshawn, Glenn, Booker, and Parker), he might get to the upper echelon.

Sinrman

I don't see this team as exemplary in any way, but it has some chances. I really dislike RB handcuffing in this format; it is not worth two high picks to lock up any running game: first of all, running games aren't that valuable in this format; and second, handcuffing is a conservative move, and a 16-team all-or-nothing league requires aggression. He made some nice WR picks which should generate decent points for him, so if one of Bell or Dayne winds up running in Denver, he'll probably be OK, but I don't see him threatening for the league title.

Chumpson

Chumpson apparently was channelling LHUCKS, with three reaches in a row for RBs to start his draft, followed by two QBs. The RB corps is strong and so are the QBs, but the WRs are pathetic, projected over 100 points behind 15th place, over 500 points behind first. There's no way the RBs and QBs will make up that gap, unless, uh, Patrick Crayton or Samie Parker turns into this year's Galloway? I'll give him points for choosing a strategy and sticking with it, but minus points for the actual strategy chosen.

joffer

This is a very solid team, especially considering how late in the round he was picking. I am not as enamored of the Jordan pick as some were, but it worked out after two more people took marginal RBs, allowing joffer to snag Smith on the comeback. Ward was solid value at 3.14 and so was Denver QB at 6.03. Overall I have joffer slightly above average in all categories, which, again, is impressive drafting from the end of the round. He has a real shot.

Old Milwaukee

Poor picks of James and McGahee at 1.15 and 2.02 doomed this draft. He had to reach for Roy Williams at 3.15 and then LJ Smith at 4.02. Giants QB is a reach at 5.15 also. If Ahman Green gets the starting job and performs well, and if Roy Williams becomes the next TO, and McCardell or Moulds or Roddy White somehow wind up in the top 10, he'll have a shot, other than that, this looks like a write-off.

Construxboy

Construxboy took advantage of RB focus in the first round to snag two major studs at WR; he's in a virtual tie with rzrback for the best WR corps. His RBs are quite weak and his QBs are questionable, but with a break or two he could be in the hunt.

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Thanks for your thoughts CalBear. I agree with your assessment of my team. I think my QBs are middle of the road and RBs are weak. I think I am depending on two players having excellent seasons to be successful: DeShaun Foster and Chris Cooley. If they play as well as I expect, I should be in the top 5 or so.

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Thanks to CalBear for the overall review of the teams. It was a very interesting read. I appreciate the kudos and hope that my team can compete for the title.

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Overall, I thought this draft was stronger than last year's: people did a better job pursuing value, which is key in this format. Last year's over-focus on QBs was replaced by perhaps a bit too much enthusiasm for TEs, and people still took too many RBs too early, but it wasn't as easy to find screaming values as it was last year.

Team analysis:

Yellow Dog

It's good to be the king, and it's good to have the 1.01 pick in a 16-team draft. LJ is certainly a strong anchor to any team, and a significant advantage over the guys drafting Ronnie Brown in the middle of the round. Despite only moderate investment in RBs after round 1 (picks in rounds 2, 5, and 11), I still have Yellow Dog as #1 in projected RB scoring. He also has a decent WR corps, headed by Chambers and with a lot of high risk-reward guys following him up. If at least two or three of those work out, he will have a solid WR unit. K and D are middling, QB is on the weak side, and TE is dead last by a fair margin. This should be a competitive team, that can win it all if it gets good WR production.

CalBear

This year, second place isn't so bad, either. I might have taken LT even if I had the first pick. This year, I didn't do quite as much to optimize for VBD points, focusing more on players who I feel are undervalued by FBG projections. (I also did some of my own projections, but have a bunch more still to do). Thus, picks like Joe Horn at 5.02 and Isaac Bruce at 8.15 were not the top of my list by projections at that position, but in reality I believe they will perform better than the others rated ahead of them. I wound up with a strong WR corps, strong RBs (weakened if Martin retires), above-average QBs, middling D, weak K and very weak TE. If at least one of my RB situations (Rhodes, Martin, Davenport) works out, and one of my "2006 Galloway" picks (Horn, Bruce), I should be in a position to win.

Biabreakable

I don't like passing on Alexander, but I can at least see the argument. I don't like the Davis pick in the second round much in this format. Overall, I see this team as among the weakest, mostly because Biabreakable did a lot of "swinging for the fences." He's got a bunch of players, like LenDale White, Gado, Mike Bell, Troy Williamson, and Zach Hilton, who are not projected to get very many points, but have some possibility of being big. In an all-or-nothing format, I can understand that tactic, but I think he should have gotten a more solid core first; he's likely to have too many busts among that group for the one or two that hit to make up for. I would have started with Alexander and then taken a WR in the second round; there's plenty of time to mess around with upside picks later. RB is the strength of the team; I have him below average in all the other categories. If Mike Bell really is Denver RB#1, maybe he'll have a chance.

rzrback77

Our discussion of SF's QB situation notwithstanding, I have rzrback77 with the highest overall projections. He is particularly strong at WR, and I also have him as #1 in the D position, although the total spread at D (top team to bottom team) is only 75 points. With Alexander falling to him at #4, his RBs wound up above average even though he concentrated on WR picks early. His TEs are also a smidge about the median. The QBs are below average, even before you take into account the fact that the FBG projections for SFQB are unrealistic. Overall, I think this is a strong team that can win it all, especially if Alex Smith turns out not to suck or (more likely) gets injured and gives way to Dilfer.

Wheelhouse

I have Wheelhouse in the middle of the pack. Taking RBs in the first and second rounds gave him RBs in the top half of the league, but Tiki isn't nearly as strong an anchor as the four RBs taken before. He reached a bit for New England TMQB, and followed that up with Tennesse, which I like, so he's also in the top half at QB. His WRs are below average, especially if you think that Galloway is overrated this year (as I do), and his TE production is totally dependent on a rookie in the worst pass offense in the league. If Vernon Davis turns out to be the next coming of Antonio Gates' second year in the league, or Galloway repeats his heroics from last year, he might have a shot at the title, but I think his chances are marginal.

MLBrandow

I have MLB as the weakest team by projections; that's partly because he picked up Gramatica, who's currently projected at zero, but even with another 150 points he'd be at the bottom of the league. A big part of the disparity is that I have Gates' performance dropping off significantly; if he goes for 1000/10 again, MLB will at least be in the mix. Outside of TE, though, I don't have him above average at any other position, and his RBs are absolutely putrid. He will need a miracle at RB, plus one at WR (Rogers or Boston going off) to have any hope at contending. Oh, and also Gramatica winning the PK job.

radballs

The numbers come up well for this team, but I think the DD is overrating it a bit. A lot will depend on how Jackson gets used, and whether Chris Brown winds up starting most games for the Titans; if both of those things happen, the RB corps is very strong and can make up for so-so WRs and QBs. He definitely has a chance. He gets negative points for taking a player from Stanford.

Captain Hook

With the exception of TE where he's #2, I have Hook near the middle of the pack at the rest of his positions. The TE will not be enough on its own to put him over the top, but if a couple of his RB situations work out, or a flier WR like Gardner, Greg Lewis, or Mark Clayton, he could be competitive.

DonnyT33

I don't know if my making fun of Donny's first-round QB pick changed his strategy, but actually IND QB at 1.09 is not totally awful in this format. It's a lot better, at least, than IND QB at 1.01 where it was taken last year. I like the follow-up of BAL QB in round 8, as McNair/Boller is one of the combos that moves up the board in team QB formats; I have him as #1 in QB scoring--which he also was last year, but this time he didn't reach for his QBs as much, so his other positions are better than they were. His RBs are a bit scraggly to my eye, but by projections they're in the top half of the league. His TE, K, and D are OK and his WRs are really poor. Chris Henry? I don't see this team being really competitive, but Donny won't finish 15th again.

nittanylion

Three of his first four picks look like big reaches to me (Ronnie Brown, Andre Johnson and Ben Watson). As a result, nittanylion winds up well below average at QB and RB (unless Greg Jones starts in JAX), dead last at D (which isn't that much of a problem), and only above average at WR. If Andre Johnson finally lives up to the hype, or Porter keeps sulking and Gabriel puts up big numbers in Oakland, he might have a shot, but overall I think this is one of the weaker teams. (He does have the distinction of being the first team to draft Rob Bironas).

There it is

This team is a solid examination of the Stud TE theory. I have him over 200 points ahead of second place at the TE position, over 400 ahead of #16. He also spent early on QBs, and is set near the top of the league at that position, too. To get there, he had to sacrifice RB and WR completely (#16 and #14 overall by my numbers). I don't have his TE advantage giving him enough to overcome the weakness at RB and WR; he's in the middle of the pack. But if he gets lucky on one of his RBs (looks pretty dang unlikely to me) or a couple of his WRs (possible, with Meshawn, Glenn, Booker, and Parker), he might get to the upper echelon.

Sinrman

I don't see this team as exemplary in any way, but it has some chances. I really dislike RB handcuffing in this format; it is not worth two high picks to lock up any running game: first of all, running games aren't that valuable in this format; and second, handcuffing is a conservative move, and a 16-team all-or-nothing league requires aggression. He made some nice WR picks which should generate decent points for him, so if one of Bell or Dayne winds up running in Denver, he'll probably be OK, but I don't see him threatening for the league title.

Chumpson

Chumpson apparently was channelling LHUCKS, with three reaches in a row for RBs to start his draft, followed by two QBs. The RB corps is strong and so are the QBs, but the WRs are pathetic, projected over 100 points behind 15th place, over 500 points behind first. There's no way the RBs and QBs will make up that gap, unless, uh, Patrick Crayton or Samie Parker turns into this year's Galloway? I'll give him points for choosing a strategy and sticking with it, but minus points for the actual strategy chosen.

joffer

This is a very solid team, especially considering how late in the round he was picking. I am not as enamored of the Jordan pick as some were, but it worked out after two more people took marginal RBs, allowing joffer to snag Smith on the comeback. Ward was solid value at 3.14 and so was Denver QB at 6.03. Overall I have joffer slightly above average in all categories, which, again, is impressive drafting from the end of the round. He has a real shot.

Old Milwaukee

Poor picks of James and McGahee at 1.15 and 2.02 doomed this draft. He had to reach for Roy Williams at 3.15 and then LJ Smith at 4.02. Giants QB is a reach at 5.15 also. If Ahman Green gets the starting job and performs well, and if Roy Williams becomes the next TO, and McCardell or Moulds or Roddy White somehow wind up in the top 10, he'll have a shot, other than that, this looks like a write-off.

Construxboy

Construxboy took advantage of RB focus in the first round to snag two major studs at WR; he's in a virtual tie with rzrback for the best WR corps. His RBs are quite weak and his QBs are questionable, but with a break or two he could be in the hunt.

Thanks. I was looking forward to your Team analysis. Like last year, you are fair minded.

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BY the way did you guys go trash the league one guy who took Indy team QB a pick before i did here? Did BNB rip him over there or what? Just wondering..I am of the opinion that Manning may have his best all around year this year knowing he has to pick up the slack for the departed Edge..and with 6 points fro TD's I felt it was my only pick there..

No :bag: But it's not as fun as busting on you, especially after all the trash you talked last year. Go look at league 3 and 4 if you really want some laughs. Your team actually looks serviceable this year. Still not sold on the Manning pick, but you did find some late value that could very well turn it into a very solid pick. I'll get into more detail later as the drafts are still in progress.
sounds good..am much happier with this years draft than last. no matter what I may have been saying I was very uneasy looking at last years roster when done drafting. Just a few things I may have changed one being not predrafting as much and maybe having Mike Bell fall into my lap, that could be huge for the guy who scored him so late in our draft. I also might have gone with a third Te for my flex player E Johnson and S heiden will both be a big part of there offense this year no matter what Davis and Winslow are doing..I did not want to have these guys busting on me to pick so often these guy love to rush rush rush and last year that was why some had a bad opinion of me during the draft..I did not take kindly to being rushed so much. so i stuck with the program much more this year so not to rock the boat. Just Jacobs had me a bit worried with his hear racing problem the day after i picked him but he seems fine now. I was also think Fisher and might be pissed I didnt take him instead we shall see there...didint think i would find much for my 4,5 Wr but was happy that I picked up a few sleepers i think may help some..all in all I am happy and much happier than last year..hoping for a much better finish that is for sure..so what is going on in #2 and #3? Bad drafting I am guessing? I just have to go check all the drafts today and see what going on...let us know later what you think of our entire draft and i am sure some us us will be over letting you guys know about yours..laterDonny

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Following up CalBears post with comments on my draft.

In this format total points scoring all players I agree with CalBear that taking 2nd place is not somthing that I would strive for. I took more risks with players I picked than I would in a head to head league, where I can manage my roster with trades, free agency and starting lineups. I didn't come into this draft planning to do this. But that defintly became my tendency from the very 1st pick.

1.03 Clinton Portis I believe Portis will be the 2nd best Rb in the league this year after LT. I have owned Portis since he was a rookie n dynasty leagues so I am very familiar with him. He could have easily scored 6 more TDs last year in Gibbs offense. TDs that went to players such as Sellers and Cooley in short yardage situations. I don't see that happening again in 2006 now that Portis is in the KC offense that funnels most of its TDs through the feature Rb. I see Portis having a huge year this year. The offensive line returns intact. And the recievers have been upgraded.

Most people will consider it a risk to pass on the proven production of Alexander over the past 3 years for Portis. But I see several negatives for Alexander this year while I see none for Portis.

2.14 Domanic Davis I was not expecting Davis to fall to the 30th pick. I took him as the 17th Rb off the board. I have him ranked much higher than that. He was the last of a nd tier of RBs I consider possible Rb 1 or strong Rb 2. I was more hoping for Holt Moss or Heap here actualy but all of them were gone. I strongly considered taking Boldin here even though I saw DD as the highest ranking player and best value to have dropped to me. Boldin has some injury past issues also though and there were no Rbs that I see comparing to what DD has done before availale. There were still several Wrs available that I think can put up comparable or better numbers than I expect Boldin will and I knew I would be able to pick again and take one of the Wrs from this tier. DD was in a tier by hmself that I did not expect to fall to me. So I took DD knowing that his knee is hurting and it could be a wasted pick if he misses a lot of time due to injury. News circulatng about DD after I picked him has had a much more negative tone to it. But from my perspectve nothing really has changed in regards to him. He just doesen't appear ready to play the 1st preseason game. This doesen't mean he wont still be the man in Kubiaks offense that could propell DD to even higher totals than what he has put up before. Which is very good. Boom/Bust pick high risk.

3.03 Reggie Wayne. Honestly I am very high on Reggie Wayne this year. Waynes catches have been steadily increasing every season he has been with Manning. Last year he actualy caught one more than Harrison did. I think Wayne will steadily continue to improve and the Colts will certainly throw the ball a lot more this year wth Edge gone. I have Wayne and Boldin performing so close to each other and honestly I think Wayne has more upside to suprise while Boldin has been performing at a peak level. Getting them both could have been good if Wayne dropped with one more Wr targeted most likely before this pick.. That will depend on how DD does. But I like Wayne here as a solid WR 1 for me.

4.14 Rod Smith I really wanted Mason here. But it looks like so did everyone else. I was kind of hoping a decent TE would be available with this pick also. But Witten LJ Smith Cooley even Watson and McMichael were all gone before it came back to me. TE is a sore spot for me in this draft and mainly because of how quickly the top 10 came off the board. Which happened before this pick. I just could not see value in taking one of the lesser TE here. I considered taking Horn instead. But I am uncertain if he will rebound to previous levels or if Stallworth has taken over as the Wr 1 now. Im also not sure how well Brees will do and how the targets will be distributed. Rod Smith on the other hand has been a solid performer for a long time. His lower TD numbers do not matter as much in pts/reception leagues. I like Rod Smith as the 20th Wr off the board. Worries with him are age (now 36) and the possibility of Walker taken some of his receptions in a run heavy offense. But Smith has thrived with a good Wr opposite him before. I saw the value of players shifting to the QBs here. And I considered taking 2 of them sensing a Qb run about to come. But I was hoping to find value later landing Oak or Az QB in round 6. I did not expect Calbear or Yellowdog to take QB here because Calbear still only had one Rb and Yellowdog only had Chambers at Wr. So I felt safe to wait and take Palmer with my next pick. If Brady would have still been available I might have taken him and then planned to take another Qb with my 5th pick and be strong at that position.

5.03 Bengals TMQB I like the Bengals OLine and Wrs. Rudi gives thier offense great balance also. As a team Qb I like the Bengals even more than I just like Palmer. Because I think thier passing offense will still be productive even if Palmer is out for a short period of time. I really like this pick and I am glad yellowdog didnt steal it away from me. If Horn would have fallen to me here I would have considered going with a 3rd Wr. But I doubt I would have passed on Palmer to do that. Horn just worries me too much and I was still targeting Stallworth later if I could get him.

6.14 Lendale White I was allready planning to take 2 Rbs with picks 6 and 7 as long as some Rbs fell that I thought had reasonable chances to become feature Rbs. White fits the bill. I don't think the Titans have a lot of confidence in Brown. White to me here as 37th Rb off the board offers great value. I like his chances to be a feature Rb about as well as Rbs like Rhodes Foster Benson who were being taken several rounds before. If it works out how I hope my team should be dominating from the Rb position.

7.03 Samkon Gado This pick totaly depends on Ahman Green's recovery. If Green cannot come back then I expect Gado to be the man and a 4th feature Rb for me. There was not many other Rbs left that I felt had a similar opportunity. Possibly Morency but since I have DD I would not consider him. Handcuffing is a strat for head to head not total points leagues imho. The only other guy I liked to be a feature Rb quickly is Cedrick Houston. I was hoping people might sleep on him more and I could get him later. I knew Gado would be too tempting for some owner.

8.14 Zack Hilton Honestly I am not really happy with this pick here. The Tes got picked over so hard. It really bothered me. I wanted Troupe here. But honestly I did not expect him to fall as far as he had. And then it was just a tease when I was only a few picks away from being able to get him. I considered Alex Smith Marcedes Lewis and Bubba Franks here. But I gambled that Brees will target the Te Hilton a ton like he was doing with Gates. It remains to be seen how well Hilton fares with Brees though. Another high risk pick.

9.03 Amani Toomer Honestly I really don't like Toomer. He has a poor reception percentage over his career and is getting older. However I really needed a Wr and I recognised that Eli and the Giants will throw the ball a lot. Toomer did much better the 2nd half of the season and got Eli's trust I think. Plax is a minor injury risk as well which would really help Toomer if Plax misses time. Wrs have been picked over pretty hard by this point. I got Toomer as the 45th Wr off the board. I also considered Eric Moulds with this pick. But I had to go with the better Qb in Eli over Carr as well as Giants possible post season points. Although honestly post season points was not much of a consideration for me in evaluating players.

10.14 Bubba Franks I was looking for Moulds or Givens to possibly slide here as many teams allready had a lot of Wrs. But its a long wait with 16 teams getting to these even numbered picks. They were gone and Houston was gone which disapointed me. So I went with the other TE I was considering 2 rounds before. I saw the 1st 2 defenses were off the board and a likely DT run was about to begin but I did not think they were valuable enough yet and would let others pick over the obvious defenses trusting my ability to take some sleeper Ds later that will perform well for me.

11.03 Troy Williamson The Wrs available here have been really diminished. I expect Willamson to explode this year and think he will be better than Koren Robinson or any other Viking Wr. He is very good on slant patterns and I think Brad will be able to get him the ball in position to make things happen YAC wise. As Wr 62 and my Wr 4 I think he will prove to be great value for me. He has a lot of upside and could outperform my expectations. I also considered taking Caldwell here but liked Williamsons prospects much better. I thought about Duckett as my Rb 5 but TDs just don't matter as much imo in leagues that reward points for receptions.

12.14 Atlanta Falcons DT I saw the defenses get picked over pretty hard and there was only a few left that I liked. Atlanta Bills Seahawks Packers. Atlanta was my 1st choice. They added Abraham to bookend with Kerney. They have Babineux developing as a NT to pair with Coleman and a formidible front 4. As good or close to any other Dline unit in the league. Thier Lbers are decent also and they have Hall and a new rookie in the same mold as him at the other CB position. I think they will force a lot of sacks and turnovers with this unit that struggled last year and s perhaps being overlooked.

13.03 Buffalo Bills DT Another defense that is very talented but had a poor year last year when they lost Pat Williams (free agency) and Takeo Spikes (injury). Spikes will be back and they developed another good Lber in Crowell last year during Spikes absense. They have switched to a cover 2 defense and brought in Tripplett from the Colts as a DT to work with thier underated DEs. Clemons is a elite Cb. They need thier rookie SS to make a impact and this can be a top 5 defense again. The offense wont be helping them out much in that regard. But I like this defense to be one that can create turnovers and sacks even if they give up a lot of points.

14.14 MIke Bell DING!! High risk high reward. If this guy becomes the Broncos starter even in RBBC he will really help my team. Otherwise he is a waste. Been reading the training camp reports and trying to add him in dynasty for over a week (bids on him have gotten huge now that the word it out). Was good timing that the news hit while I was still on the clock though giving me more hope in taking him.

15.03 Troy Brown The wrs left are just brutal. I took Brown in hopes that Brady turns to him now with Givens gone and Branch holding out. But we'll see...

16.14 Jets Qb They have 3 Qbs. I figure at least one of them will be decent. I didn't want the other Qbs left here.

17.03 Olindo Mare Still a very good kicker.

18.14 Robbie Gould This guy has a fan club. I figure he will keep the job because of that.

you got nothing but lucky with Mike Bell and its not even funny..White is a bust bust bust of major proportions IMO..so hopefully that will balance off you backing into Bell

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Team analysis:

Yellow Dog

It's good to be the king, and it's good to have the 1.01 pick in a 16-team draft. LJ is certainly a strong anchor to any team, and a significant advantage over the guys drafting Ronnie Brown in the middle of the round. Despite only moderate investment in RBs after round 1 (picks in rounds 2, 5, and 11), I still have Yellow Dog as #1 in projected RB scoring. He also has a decent WR corps, headed by Chambers and with a lot of high risk-reward guys following him up. If at least two or three of those work out, he will have a solid WR unit. K and D are middling, QB is on the weak side, and TE is dead last by a fair margin. This should be a competitive team, that can win it all if it gets good WR production.

Fair analysis. My 3 keys to winning this league:

1. Fred Taylor - If he starts 12 games, he has done his part.

2. WRs - Calbear is dead-on with his "high risk/high reward" statement. I expect big things from Walker, Matt Jones, Lloyd.

3. Tampa TM QB - I was ridiculed for my QB selections last year (Cincinnati), and that turned out OK. I expect a similar surprise with Chris Simms this year.

I expect middle of the pack from my D and K, and very little from my TEs. I just hope my strong RB and WR units along with a breakout year for Chris Simms is enough to carry me.

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You have some great writeups Cal Bear. Come over to Anarchy 1, when we finally ####### finish, and have at, if you will. :thumbup:

And league 3. :thumbup:

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Overall, I thought this draft was stronger than last year's: people did a better job pursuing value, which is key in this format. Last year's over-focus on QBs was replaced by perhaps a bit too much enthusiasm for TEs, and people still took too many RBs too early, but it wasn't as easy to find screaming values as it was last year.

Team analysis:

Yellow Dog

It's good to be the king, and it's good to have the 1.01 pick in a 16-team draft. LJ is certainly a strong anchor to any team, and a significant advantage over the guys drafting Ronnie Brown in the middle of the round. Despite only moderate investment in RBs after round 1 (picks in rounds 2, 5, and 11), I still have Yellow Dog as #1 in projected RB scoring. He also has a decent WR corps, headed by Chambers and with a lot of high risk-reward guys following him up. If at least two or three of those work out, he will have a solid WR unit. K and D are middling, QB is on the weak side, and TE is dead last by a fair margin. This should be a competitive team, that can win it all if it gets good WR production.

CalBear

This year, second place isn't so bad, either. I might have taken LT even if I had the first pick. This year, I didn't do quite as much to optimize for VBD points, focusing more on players who I feel are undervalued by FBG projections. (I also did some of my own projections, but have a bunch more still to do). Thus, picks like Joe Horn at 5.02 and Isaac Bruce at 8.15 were not the top of my list by projections at that position, but in reality I believe they will perform better than the others rated ahead of them. I wound up with a strong WR corps, strong RBs (weakened if Martin retires), above-average QBs, middling D, weak K and very weak TE. If at least one of my RB situations (Rhodes, Martin, Davenport) works out, and one of my "2006 Galloway" picks (Horn, Bruce), I should be in a position to win.

Biabreakable

I don't like passing on Alexander, but I can at least see the argument. I don't like the Davis pick in the second round much in this format. Overall, I see this team as among the weakest, mostly because Biabreakable did a lot of "swinging for the fences." He's got a bunch of players, like LenDale White, Gado, Mike Bell, Troy Williamson, and Zach Hilton, who are not projected to get very many points, but have some possibility of being big. In an all-or-nothing format, I can understand that tactic, but I think he should have gotten a more solid core first; he's likely to have too many busts among that group for the one or two that hit to make up for. I would have started with Alexander and then taken a WR in the second round; there's plenty of time to mess around with upside picks later. RB is the strength of the team; I have him below average in all the other categories. If Mike Bell really is Denver RB#1, maybe he'll have a chance.

rzrback77

Our discussion of SF's QB situation notwithstanding, I have rzrback77 with the highest overall projections. He is particularly strong at WR, and I also have him as #1 in the D position, although the total spread at D (top team to bottom team) is only 75 points. With Alexander falling to him at #4, his RBs wound up above average even though he concentrated on WR picks early. His TEs are also a smidge about the median. The QBs are below average, even before you take into account the fact that the FBG projections for SFQB are unrealistic. Overall, I think this is a strong team that can win it all, especially if Alex Smith turns out not to suck or (more likely) gets injured and gives way to Dilfer.

Wheelhouse

I have Wheelhouse in the middle of the pack. Taking RBs in the first and second rounds gave him RBs in the top half of the league, but Tiki isn't nearly as strong an anchor as the four RBs taken before. He reached a bit for New England TMQB, and followed that up with Tennesse, which I like, so he's also in the top half at QB. His WRs are below average, especially if you think that Galloway is overrated this year (as I do), and his TE production is totally dependent on a rookie in the worst pass offense in the league. If Vernon Davis turns out to be the next coming of Antonio Gates' second year in the league, or Galloway repeats his heroics from last year, he might have a shot at the title, but I think his chances are marginal.

MLBrandow

I have MLB as the weakest team by projections; that's partly because he picked up Gramatica, who's currently projected at zero, but even with another 150 points he'd be at the bottom of the league. A big part of the disparity is that I have Gates' performance dropping off significantly; if he goes for 1000/10 again, MLB will at least be in the mix. Outside of TE, though, I don't have him above average at any other position, and his RBs are absolutely putrid. He will need a miracle at RB, plus one at WR (Rogers or Boston going off) to have any hope at contending. Oh, and also Gramatica winning the PK job.

radballs

The numbers come up well for this team, but I think the DD is overrating it a bit. A lot will depend on how Jackson gets used, and whether Chris Brown winds up starting most games for the Titans; if both of those things happen, the RB corps is very strong and can make up for so-so WRs and QBs. He definitely has a chance. He gets negative points for taking a player from Stanford.

Captain Hook

With the exception of TE where he's #2, I have Hook near the middle of the pack at the rest of his positions. The TE will not be enough on its own to put him over the top, but if a couple of his RB situations work out, or a flier WR like Gardner, Greg Lewis, or Mark Clayton, he could be competitive.

DonnyT33

I don't know if my making fun of Donny's first-round QB pick changed his strategy, but actually IND QB at 1.09 is not totally awful in this format. It's a lot better, at least, than IND QB at 1.01 where it was taken last year. I like the follow-up of BAL QB in round 8, as McNair/Boller is one of the combos that moves up the board in team QB formats; I have him as #1 in QB scoring--which he also was last year, but this time he didn't reach for his QBs as much, so his other positions are better than they were. His RBs are a bit scraggly to my eye, but by projections they're in the top half of the league. His TE, K, and D are OK and his WRs are really poor. Chris Henry? I don't see this team being really competitive, but Donny won't finish 15th again.

nittanylion

Three of his first four picks look like big reaches to me (Ronnie Brown, Andre Johnson and Ben Watson). As a result, nittanylion winds up well below average at QB and RB (unless Greg Jones starts in JAX), dead last at D (which isn't that much of a problem), and only above average at WR. If Andre Johnson finally lives up to the hype, or Porter keeps sulking and Gabriel puts up big numbers in Oakland, he might have a shot, but overall I think this is one of the weaker teams. (He does have the distinction of being the first team to draft Rob Bironas).

There it is

This team is a solid examination of the Stud TE theory. I have him over 200 points ahead of second place at the TE position, over 400 ahead of #16. He also spent early on QBs, and is set near the top of the league at that position, too. To get there, he had to sacrifice RB and WR completely (#16 and #14 overall by my numbers). I don't have his TE advantage giving him enough to overcome the weakness at RB and WR; he's in the middle of the pack. But if he gets lucky on one of his RBs (looks pretty dang unlikely to me) or a couple of his WRs (possible, with Meshawn, Glenn, Booker, and Parker), he might get to the upper echelon.

Sinrman

I don't see this team as exemplary in any way, but it has some chances. I really dislike RB handcuffing in this format; it is not worth two high picks to lock up any running game: first of all, running games aren't that valuable in this format; and second, handcuffing is a conservative move, and a 16-team all-or-nothing league requires aggression. He made some nice WR picks which should generate decent points for him, so if one of Bell or Dayne winds up running in Denver, he'll probably be OK, but I don't see him threatening for the league title.

Chumpson

Chumpson apparently was channelling LHUCKS, with three reaches in a row for RBs to start his draft, followed by two QBs. The RB corps is strong and so are the QBs, but the WRs are pathetic, projected over 100 points behind 15th place, over 500 points behind first. There's no way the RBs and QBs will make up that gap, unless, uh, Patrick Crayton or Samie Parker turns into this year's Galloway? I'll give him points for choosing a strategy and sticking with it, but minus points for the actual strategy chosen.

joffer

This is a very solid team, especially considering how late in the round he was picking. I am not as enamored of the Jordan pick as some were, but it worked out after two more people took marginal RBs, allowing joffer to snag Smith on the comeback. Ward was solid value at 3.14 and so was Denver QB at 6.03. Overall I have joffer slightly above average in all categories, which, again, is impressive drafting from the end of the round. He has a real shot.

Old Milwaukee

Poor picks of James and McGahee at 1.15 and 2.02 doomed this draft. He had to reach for Roy Williams at 3.15 and then LJ Smith at 4.02. Giants QB is a reach at 5.15 also. If Ahman Green gets the starting job and performs well, and if Roy Williams becomes the next TO, and McCardell or Moulds or Roddy White somehow wind up in the top 10, he'll have a shot, other than that, this looks like a write-off.

Construxboy

Construxboy took advantage of RB focus in the first round to snag two major studs at WR; he's in a virtual tie with rzrback for the best WR corps. His RBs are quite weak and his QBs are questionable, but with a break or two he could be in the hunt.

DonnyT33

I don't know if my making fun of Donny's first-round QB pick changed his strategy, but actually IND QB at 1.09 is not totally awful in this format. It's a lot better, at least, than IND QB at 1.01 where it was taken last year. I like the follow-up of BAL QB in round 8, as McNair/Boller is one of the combos that moves up the board in team QB formats; I have him as #1 in QB scoring--which he also was last year, but this time he didn't reach for his QBs as much, so his other positions are better than they were. His RBs are a bit scraggly to my eye, but by projections they're in the top half of the league. His TE, K, and D are OK and his WRs are really poor. Chris Henry? I don't see this team being really competitive, but Donny won't finish 15th again.

I like my team better than yours..i will not get into all the rosters as i just dont have the time.but since you made emntion of my team and how its not so good and i will not finish last i want to look at our teams side by side now.

Colts, Indianapolis IND TMQB - 1.09

Ravens, Baltimore BAL TMQB - 8.08

Duckett, T.J. ATL RB - 5 11.09

Jacobs, Brandon NYG RB - 4 12.08

Jones, Kevin DET RB - 8 2.08

Jones, Thomas CHI RB - 7 6.08

Lewis, Jamal BAL RB - 7 3.09

Branch, Deion NEP WR - 6 4.08

Clayton, Michael TBB WR - 7.09

Edwards, Braylon CLE WR - 10.08

Henry, Chris CIN WR - 5 14.08

Northcutt, Dennis CLE WR - 16.08

Lewis, Marcedes JAC TE - 6 9.09

Winslow, Kellen CLE TE - 6 5.09

Nedney, Joe SFO PK - 7 18.08

Stover, Matt BAL PK - 7 15.09

Browns, Cleveland CLE Def - 17.09

Seahawks, Seattle SEA Def 13.09

I love my Qb's and think Manning will keep me in this all year with a huge year like he had in 04 with no Edge there hs is hell bent on carring the team and has all the waepons toi do so. Six points per TD is big for him. Balt should be one of the most improved teams in the whole league this year and i think may get deep into the playoffs this year. I would like to see an Indy vs Balt AFC title game and it just might happen. These leagues are really won on decent drafting and a whole lot of luck during the year as far as who will play and who wont and who stays healthy and who doesn't etc. If TJones ends up the guy and Braylon plays from week one Duckett gets traded to Pitt..things like that can really make or break any teams chances in this thing. But i like my chances of having some good things happen for me this year. I did wait on WR's but as long as Branch plays I should be Ok as I LOVE Mike Clayton this year and just hope TB lets him rest his latest toe injury. I took a chance on Braylon that he will play most of the year. Before he got hurt he was beginning to dominate in some of the games I watched him in. I am not expecting that right away but if he lasts all year he will put up nice numbers. He will be a key for my WR corps. I waited on #4 and 5 WR's and took a few super sleepers who i think will do well enough to keep me in this. Henry has loads of talent on the field and the Cinci players just love his game when he is playing...Palmers only completion was to him for like a 70 yard TD before he got hurt last year so dont forget that..Palmer also likes this kids game and will get him the ball when he is open, he has also lobbied the coaches to hang on to him and let him play for the team and not cut him as have other players on offense, the kid must have soemthing going for him when playing the game. Nortcutt has his slot position back full time in that offesne and gets open always and now has Winlsow taking up alot the coverage..he is truly a super sleeper this year and will have a few big games.

I can live with my WR's and like them much more you do(really poor was the word). I think My TE's are solid esp for where I drafted them and like my chances of racking up some points. Lewis may be the leading recicver in jacksonville and if Winlsow plays up to half what he says i am all set there. My kickers and Defesne will not hurt me at all and Seattle may put up some nice points this year as well as Romeo's guys in Clevland. I think i Iay have the best RB's in this league and if you say mine are "scraggly" what would you call yours? LT and a prayer or your 2 vs my 5 all year long? Quite a big mistake calling my group of Rb's scraggly as I have no idea what your looking at. KJones, Lewis and TJones, the Duckett and Jacobs behind them is scraggly in a 16 team league? Would you like to re-think this before i really use it against you as far as your FF cred goes here?

All in all I like my chances of hanging in this and giving it a shot to win it all..I am saying this without looking at all the rosters and just liking what I have to work with this year. If certain things happen for me I can win this for sure..i just dont have the time to disect all the teams but look forward to seeing how you all feel about your own teams here.

now for your team.

Dolphins, Miami MIA TMQB - 8 7.02

Texans, Houston HOU TMQB - 5 9.02

Davenport, Najeh GBP RB - 6 13.02

Martin, Curtis NYJ RB - 9 6.15

Rhodes, Dominic IND RB - 6 4.15

Tomlinson, Ladainian SDC RB - 3 1.02

Boldin, Anquan ARI WR - 9 2.15

Bruce, Isaac STL WR - 7 8.15

Driver, Donald GBP WR - 6 3.02

Horn, Joe NOS WR - 7 5.02

Wilson, Cedrick PIT WR - 4 11.02

Anderson, Courtney OAK TE - 3 12.15

Graham, Daniel NEP TE - 6 16.15

Johnson, Eric SFO TE - 7 14.15

Longwell, Ryan MIN PK - 6 15.02

Nugent, Mike NYJ PK - 9 17.02

Raiders, Oakland OAK Def - 3 18.15

Steelers, Pittsburgh PIT Def -

After LT/Boldin and Driver all i see here is a bunch of question marks. You are already dead with Martin as he wont play a down for the Jets this year and is likely out for the year(bone on bone..oouch). Davenport is nothing but a hope and a prayer. Word out of Indys camp is the they hit the jackpot in Addai and some are calling him the first round steal as he looks a lot like Edge so far and can really block already. Rhodes will play but when this kids gets his turn he may be hard to get off the field. IMO you have him and LT at RB and thats it, the others are useless it will be 4-5 vs 2 for you at that spot all year. Your Qb's are alos very shaky both are in first year sytems with new coachs and that usally does not play out wekk intil lateer in the eyar and it will be to late foir you at that point. You are very strong at Wr and should be after taking so many early pciks on them. I love Driver this eyar and he may be your best WR..with Edge and LT in Ariz. this year no way Boldin sees all the looks he did last year. Horn is another question IMO..is he even that much beter than Stallworth ADP wise? I don't know.but an upgrade at QB cant hurt him but again he is in a new system that may take time to get used too. Also there is a guy named Bush there who will steal away about 60-90 looks from him. Do you realize you have ten spots on your roster of players who are all in brand new systesm with brand new coachs? that is never good for FF esp early in the season and a good start in these can go a long way.

You took Curtis Martin and Davenport but call my group oif RBs scraggly?? Oh my....I would take my scraggly group over any in this league and that goes without even checking the rosters..and miles ahead of your gruop LT or not..you have nothing behind him of concern and let me say this if i am a DC vs SD this year..i put TWO spies all over the filed on him and Gates and dare Rivers and McCardell to beat me. This means he will not have the type of year you need him to have to make up for your glaring weakness at the other RB's spotss

I will just end with this..i would be shocked if your team finished ahead of mine and will be keeping an eye on you and Biakabutka's teams all year now after hearing you diss my team and talk up yours.

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"That's not writing, it's typing." --Truman Capote, on Jack Kerouac's On The Road

I don't like an RB corps that doesn't have a single established star. Kevin Jones might be good, Jamal Lewis might return to 2003 form, Thomas Jones might keep the starting job, but none of those are sure things. Lewis and K.Jones are both coming off seriously bad seasons, and T.Jones will have very little value if he doesn't get the majority of the touches in Chicago. Jacobs and Duckett are decent later-round pickups, but they won't carry the group if the first three finish out of the top 12, which I think is a strong possibility.

You'll learn more by accepting criticism than rejecting it.

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