In one league, I own 1.04, 1.08, 2.1 and 2.10.... so when I first look at the apparent depth in this draft I get very excited. (Especially since I have depth already at WR, and not so much at RB, and last year I didn't even select a RB - just Russell and Rice in the first and traded down later).
Anyway, obviously a lot of this depends on who ends up where, and even then we never know. I had originally resolved to keep up more with college ball (even joining a college fantasy league) but with my wedding and a number of other distractions that never came to pass.
So my question for you college guys is... are we really looking at such an amazing draft this year, or are we just dealing with inflated rankings?
Looking at Scout.com, there seems to be a ridiculous number of 5 star guys coming out this year.
RBs
2008: there are FIVE 5-star prospects: DMC, Stewart, Jamaal Charles, Felix Jones, Mendenhall. And seven more as 3-stars: Slaton, J.Davis, Chris Johnson, Kevin Smith, Rice, Dantrell Savage, Mike Hart. By contrast...
2007 had just 2 5-star propects (AD and Lynch) and 7 4-star guys (Pittman, Hunt, Irons, B.Jax, Booker, Henry, Leonard).
2006 had just 1 5-star prospect (Bush), and then a slew of potential studs with 4-stars: Maroney, MJD, Lendale, Addai.
2005 - where 3 RBs went in the top 5 - there were NO 5 star prospects and only 3 4-star prospects. Of course, looking back, Gore, Grant, Jacobs and MBIII were all 3-stars that year.
2004: 5-stars to S.Jax and K.Jones. 2 4 stars including JJ, and Chris Perry... Turner getting 3 stars.
2003: 5-star to McGahee, 4 stars to LJ, Musa Smith and Lee Suggs
. D.Davis had 3, Fargas had 3 and could emerge after this year, E.Graham had 2.So looking back to 2003... all of the 5-star prospects are viable RB1s going forward... AD, Lynch, Bush, S.Jax, KJ (injuries aside), McGahee. The 3 and 4 star guys are more of a mixed bag. We had 6 total 5-star prospects in 5 years, and then a total of *5* this year. Are there really 5 potential stud franchise RBs in this draft?
On the WR side...
2008: there are SIX 5-star guys this year (Hardy, Kelly, Doucet, Jackson, Mario, Adarius, Avery).
2007: Only 2 5-stars - CJ and Meachem. Meachem was nothing this year, and Bowe, Rice, and maybe Jarrett all as 4-star pass them... time will tell.
2006: No 5-stars, Chad Jackson and Santonio as 4-stars. Jennings was 3 star, Brandon Marshall and Colston both 2 stars.
2005: No 5-stars, with Braylon as a 4-star prospect. Other 4-stars not worth much, with the 3 stars of Vincent Jackson, Clayton, Roddy White, not much else.
2004: Three 5-stars - Larry Fitzgerald, Roy Williams, Reggie Williams. A mixed bag again at 3 and 4 stars (Berrian, Cotchery, Wilford being notable going forward).
2003: 5 of the 5-star guys: AJ, Rogers
, Taylor Jacobs, Kelley Washington, Bryant Johson. Boldin was a notable 3 star guy, Curtis at 4 stars, but otherwise an unremarkable draft.So again, 10 5-star prospects over the past 5 years, and now SIX this year. Obviously WR is a much more mixed bag when looking at success of the 5-star guys, but with some of them maybe it's more of an opportunity thing (e.g., Bryant Johnson).
QBs:
2008: 3 5-stars (Matt Ryan, Flacco, Brohm) and 4 4-stars (Woodson, Hene, Brennan, Ainge).
2007: 2 5-stars - Russell and Quinn - but obviously jury is out on them. 4 4-stars which includes Trent Edwards, Kolb, Beck and Troy Smith where starters may emerge. Nothing else here.
2006: 1 5-star (Leinart) and 2 4-stars (VY and Cutler). Clemens and Croyle both had 3 stars, Tavaris at 2.
2005: No 5 star guys. Rodgers and Alex Smith at 4 stars, Campbell at 3 and Derek Anderson at 2. Most noteworthy otherwise was Joshua Cribbs who found a place as a return specialist.
2004: 3 5-star guys who are all viable starters (Rivers, Eli, Ben). Losman and Schaub as 4 and 3 stars respectively.
2003: 4 5-star guys: Palmer, Leftwich, Boller, Grossman. Romo was a 1 star guy, no one else remarkable below the 5 star guys (and even they were mixed).So 9 5-star QBs in the past 5 years, and then 3 this year.
In other words.... Over the past 5 years, there were 25 5-star prospects according to Scout.com, and this year there are 14 this year. And there are plenty of 3 and 4 star guys behind them.
Is this one of the most loaded drafts in a long time?