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John Bender

FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@!

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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

wow, great call on Saenz. i was going to take Alcontra but number was too high for my liking. great call

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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

wow, great call on Saenz. i was going to take Alcontra but number was too high for my liking. great call

damn, hell of a day for you mr. hooter :thumbup:

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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

wow, great call on Saenz. i was going to take Alcontra but number was too high for my liking. great call

damn, hell of a day for you mr. hooter :thumbup:

Let's go American Sniper!

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That played out nicely. I rarely try to pick winners but it worked out today.

any UFC tonight? didn't realize card already started. 1-0 so far, this is what else i got:

Martins +345

Reneau +175

i'm sure i can find another or 2 as well..

Nothing jumps out.

Johnson +130

and a half unit flyer on Saenz at +725

Value more than confidence. Give Johnson the fight 60% of the time and Saenz 30%.

wow, great call on Saenz. i was going to take Alcontra but number was too high for my liking. great call

Alacantra is a beast but when your defensive wrestling is your biggest weakness you are going to have a bad loss or two on your resume. I don't really feel any different about him than I did before the fight but Saenz was great and fought the exact fight he needed to.

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Crazy night in UFC so far as often the case in Brazil. 5 of 6 fights so far won by underdogs +190 or better.

f it, at this rate i might take Mir tonight too

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ALVEY! Crazy night of UFC indeed.

the main event will be a #### show. but considering Big Foot just got KO's by Arlovski and looked like crap without any PEDs or TRT, i feel good enough about a horrible looking Mir to take him with a light +175

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I went a little bit on Wild +½ -104. Found that they're 6-0 SU at home versus Dallas when Dallas is on B2B since 2007 (entire database), shutting out the Stars in the 3P of all six games. So that's something. Also Dallas has been outscored by an average of 1 goal per game in the 3P of their B2B games this season.

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...ok....so do you guys do this everyday?

just wow.

everyday. for better, or worse

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...ok....so do you guys do this everyday?

just wow.

everyday. for better, or worse

I think he meant crushing the books

Every day... yeah......

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Wow, How to Train Your Dragon 2 was -400 and just lost.

hey cutie

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jesus christ how did the Wild/Stars over hit?!

this thread tonight fellas!

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I went a little bit on Wild +½ -104. Found that they're 6-0 SU at home versus Dallas when Dallas is on B2B since 2007 (entire database), shutting out the Stars in the 3P of all six games. So that's something. Also Dallas has been outscored by an average of 1 goal per game in the 3P of their B2B games this season.

damn! everything is gold!

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jesus christ how did the Wild/Stars over hit?!

this thread tonight fellas!

THEY'RE NOT DONE YET!!!1

check this #### out: :pics: <----

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jesus christ how did the Wild/Stars over hit?!

this thread tonight fellas!

Yeah that's ridiculous. Normally I would fawn over Saw but that is some lucky ### #### right there, but I'll take it. :mellow:

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Wow, How to Train Your Dragon 2 was -400 and just lost.

I saw Big Hero 6 last night, pretty good.

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Money pouring in on Mir but no thanks. I couldn't bet either of the two with a straight face.

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jesus christ how did the Wild/Stars over hit?!

this thread tonight fellas!

THEY'RE NOT DONE YET!!!1

check this #### out: :pics: <----

Nice hit brother.

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We weren't merely lucky. Lucky is winning the lottery. We were given an opportunity, and we seized it. We were lucky tonight and we helped ourselves. That's the best way to put it. We took advantage of the circumstances that came our way. The lucky part was the willingness of the books to foolishly line the games as they did. The word luck fails to capture the work, efforts, imagination, and acting on opportunities that might have otherwise been not so obvious!

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It's like your photo is inviting us to tail.

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yeah, tonight wasn't fair. Beat the hell out of the books though all my plays were light. Wish i had played with normal units, easily would have been a 4-figure night. Hell of a night either way :thumbup:

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9 straight dogs hit in UFC tonight!

Unreal, I have a feeling the books made a killing on everyone not tailing this thread. Nice work tonight Mo.

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I'd guess less than 3% of games entering the third period with one goal or less and a 5.5 total end up over.

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I'd guess less than 3% of games entering the third period with one goal or less and a 5.5 total end up over.

Not sure I've ever seen anything like that.

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Guys, remember the result of winning a crapload of $ can sometimes work against us. When we experience happiness our attention turns toward exciting and positive things in our lives to help sustain the good feeling. We also tend to feel less inhibited and take risks, and we tend to neglect warning signs in our environment even when outward signs suggest gains are unlikely. So just remember that happiness may be best when experienced in moderation - not too little, but also not too much. It's science. Cheers dudes.

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Rolling with:

Best Film Editing - Boyhood -200

Best Picture - Boyhood +150

Best Actor - Eddie Redmayne -300

Best Actress - Reese Witherspoon +1200

Best Animated Film - HTTYD 2 -400

Best Director - Richard Linklater +120

This is going great. :oldunsure:

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Saw I love you but that was some lucky ####.

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I'd guess less than 3% of games entering the third period with one goal or less and a 5.5 total end up over.

1.4%

Most recently Jan 16, 2014: Bruins @ Stars. Stars gave up 3 in the 3P, Bruins gave up 2.

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Rolling with:

Best Film Editing - Boyhood -200

Best Picture - Boyhood +150

Best Actor - Eddie Redmayne -300

Best Actress - Reese Witherspoon +1200

Best Animated Film - HTTYD 2 -400

Best Director - Richard Linklater +120

This is going great. :oldunsure:

SportsInsights.com@SportsInsights7 hrs7 hours ago

By our unofficial count, going straight chalk went 16-4 tonight. (Upsets: Hero, Whiplash, GBH, Birdman)

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Rolling with:

Best Film Editing - Boyhood -200

Best Picture - Boyhood +150

Best Actor - Eddie Redmayne -300

Best Actress - Reese Witherspoon +1200

Best Animated Film - HTTYD 2 -400

Best Director - Richard Linklater +120

This is going great. :oldunsure:

SportsInsights.com‏@SportsInsights7 hrs7 hours ago

By our unofficial count, going straight chalk went 16-4 tonight. (Upsets: Hero, Whiplash, GBH, Birdman)

4 of my 7 bets were losers to those dogs. :wall: At least Mo's dogs made up for it and then some.

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