Anarchy99
Footballguy
New England certainly has many unknowns and could see a pretty broad range of potential win totals next year. Here is their track record in several of their seasons with limited weapons on offense:But they had a lot better offensive weapons back then along with Brady. They don't have jack diddly squat right now....
2001: Won Super Bowl (11-5):
Top 5 in receiving yards: Troy Brown (1199), David Patten (749), Terry Glenn (204), Antowain Smith (192), Kevin Faulk (189)
2003: Won Super Bowl (14-2):
Top 5 in receiving yards: Deion Branch (803), David Givens (510), Troy Brown (472), Kevin Faulk, (440), Daniel Graham (409)
2004: Won Super Bowl (14-2):
Top 5 in receiving yards: David Givens (874), David Patten (800), Deion Branch (454), Daniel Graham (364), Kevin Faulk (249)
2006: Lost in AFCCG (12-4):
Top 5 in receiving yards: Reche Caldwell (760), Ben Watson (643), Troy Brown (384), Kevin Faulk (356), Doug Gabriel (344)
2010: Lost in Divisional Round (14-2):
Top 5 in receiving yards: Post injury Wes Welker (848), Deion Branch (706), Rookie Aaron Hernandez (563), Rookie Gronk (546), Brandon Tate (432)
2018: Won Super Bowl (11-5):
Top 5 in receiving yards: Julian Edelman (850), James White (751), Josh Gordon (720), Gronk (682), Chris Hogan (532)
The point is, NE has had winning seasons with limited weapons and limited production in the past. Certainly Brady played well when it mattered and was a huge piece of the puzzle. The league is more high scoring then it used to be, so having a limited offense could be a bigger obstacle to overcome than back in the day. I just listed 6 years where they went a combined 76-18 with only one guy having more than 1,000 receiving yards.
A former Patriots scout was interviewed on the radio a couple of weeks ago. He is still in touch with plenty of NE scouts, and his takeaway was NE feels Stidham is the best QB they have had other than Brady over their entire run. He said they like him more than they did Garoppolo. Maybe he just playing the role of good soldier, but I don't see why he would just say that if there wasn't some basis to bring it up.
Stidham could be a dud. The offense could be bland and ineffective. I would not call the weapons I just listed as being "a lot better" than the guys they have now. Yes, it is a passing league now, and NE ranked #1 against the pass in pretty much every category. Yes, that was aided by having some week opponents last year (and on paper this year's schedule looks tougher). But BB has shown that his teams can win with strong defensive units and some less than stellar offensive talent.
I am not suggesting that NE will win 13 or 14 games. But I would tend to think they won't be as abysmal as some people think. They had Chris Mortensen, Dan Orlovsky, and Mel Kiper on sports Center last night. They predicted NE to finish dead last in the AFC East this year. After the draft, Vegas still has NE favored to win the division.
New England Patriots: +115
Buffalo Bills: +160
New York Jets: +700
Miami Dolphins: +700