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North Korea thread (4 Viewers)

They always fail. Trump rhetoric is what has given this so much attention. NK tells their people they're always under constant threat of invasion, they test these missiles and then go on state tv and say the tests were a great success. In a way Trump guilty of almost exactly what KJI does which is fear mongering. Saw someone post on twitter last night that they couldn't sleep because they though nuclear was was imminent. Good grief. Dozens of issues way more pressing than NK.

 
If you want to worry about nukes, worry about the ones we have here in the US. They're old and run on antiquated systems, floppy disk technology or older. Even worse Rick Perry is in charge of them. Think about that if you want to worry.

 
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They always fail. Trump rhetoric is what has given this so much attention. NK tells their people they're always under constant threat of invasion, they test these missiles and then go on state tv and say the tests were a great success. In a way Trump guilty of almost exactly what KJI does which is fear mongering. Saw someone post on twitter last night that they couldn't sleep because they though nuclear was was imminent. Good grief. Dozens of issues way more pressing than NK.
Trump just confirms the Norks' fears especially Big Jelly's.

 
Even if NK had working nukes tomorrow, what do you think would happen? Kim Jong-Un is a walking god in that country. How many in his harem? Eats whatever he wants to (obviously) in a country stricken with famine. He's going to give up that life for the hell of it? We'll act the second it becomes apparent NK is on the verge of something, until then we'll continue to do what we've always done there. Someone needs to buy some ad time on Hannity so Trump can know what the deal is.

 
Even if NK had working nukes tomorrow, what do you think would happen? Kim Jong-Un is a walking god in that country. How many in his harem? Eats whatever he wants to (obviously) in a country stricken with famine. He's going to give up that life for the hell of it? We'll act the second it becomes apparent NK is on the verge of something, until then we'll continue to do what we've always done there. Someone needs to buy some ad time on Hannity so Trump can know what the deal is.
Assumption of rational leadership 

 
They always fail. Trump rhetoric is what has given this so much attention. NK tells their people they're always under constant threat of invasion, they test these missiles and then go on state tv and say the tests were a great success. In a way Trump guilty of almost exactly what KJI does which is fear mongering. Saw someone post on twitter last night that they couldn't sleep because they though nuclear was was imminent. Good grief. Dozens of issues way more pressing than NK.
Give me a good  old floppy disk and a 300 baud modem anyday

 
They always fail. Trump rhetoric is what has given this so much attention. NK tells their people they're always under constant threat of invasion, they test these missiles and then go on state tv and say the tests were a great success. In a way Trump guilty of almost exactly what KJI does which is fear mongering. Saw someone post on twitter last night that they couldn't sleep because they though nuclear was was imminent. Good grief. Dozens of issues way more pressing than NK.
They don't always fail.  Their successful long range engine tests are very troubling (and those have been by and large successful).  This attitude is shortsighted.

The railgun is cool.

Even though we have an unlimited supply of $: with railgun projectiles costing 1/100th the price of conventional missiles.
Not sure they'll be that, but even if they aren't super cheap a ship full of dead munitions is a terrific development.  

 
United States, under Trump, want to show strength, especially over the previous admin. North Korea isn't an emerging threat, it's the same threat that has been unanswered for years. 

 
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Nope, not even close to being utilized in the field. It's a great weapon system, though, and i have no doubt it will be operational in the near future. 
Murica, #### yeah!   Everyone else has got to be soooo jealous.    Looking forward to some great vids of this thing in action.

 
cubd8 said:
United States, under Trump, want to show strength, especially over the previous admin. North Korea isn't an emerging threat, it's the same threat that has been unanswered for years. 
Not sure this is true with regard to nuclear capabilities.

 
Does anyone think NK would really be any kind of foe if the #### truly hit the fan? I think the US would instantly bring the shock & awe and it would all be over in the first 45 minutes. Immediately hit their artillery and all known & suspected missile launch sites with Tomahawks and carrier aircraft. 

I doubt NK has a hidden, truck-mounted nuke that it could fire off successfully without us engaging it first. Hell, they can't even fire off an accurate missile with no pressure being put on them. 

 
Does anyone think NK would really be any kind of foe if the #### truly hit the fan? I think the US would instantly bring the shock & awe and it would all be over in the first 45 minutes. Immediately hit their artillery and all known & suspected missile launch sites with Tomahawks and carrier aircraft. 

I doubt NK has a hidden, truck-mounted nuke that it could fire off successfully without us engaging it first. Hell, they can't even fire off an accurate missile with no pressure being put on them. 
Let's assume you're correct.  Let's also assume NK is on their own.  In 45 minutes, it's over.

What do you think happens to Seoul in those 45 minutes, well within range of conventional weapons that NK keeps well-bunkered and has aimed at Seoul for decades?

 
Does anyone think NK would really be any kind of foe if the #### truly hit the fan? I think the US would instantly bring the shock & awe and it would all be over in the first 45 minutes. Immediately hit their artillery and all known & suspected missile launch sites with Tomahawks and carrier aircraft. 

I doubt NK has a hidden, truck-mounted nuke that it could fire off successfully without us engaging it first. Hell, they can't even fire off an accurate missile with no pressure being put on them. 
We've been in Afghanistan for 15 years.  You think NK, who's been preparing for this scenario for 50 years and has thousands of weapons pointed towards Seoul and its 24 million inhabitants, will just capitulate in 45 minutes?  

I'm not saying they'd win or even survive a war, but this would be a global disaster if it ever came to happen.     

 
Does anyone think NK would really be any kind of foe if the #### truly hit the fan? I think the US would instantly bring the shock & awe and it would all be over in the first 45 minutes. Immediately hit their artillery and all known & suspected missile launch sites with Tomahawks and carrier aircraft. 

I doubt NK has a hidden, truck-mounted nuke that it could fire off successfully without us engaging it first. Hell, they can't even fire off an accurate missile with no pressure being put on them. 
Expectations are if the #### hits the fan there would be 200000-300000 dead South Koreans within the 1st hour

 
Does anyone think NK would really be any kind of foe if the #### truly hit the fan? I think the US would instantly bring the shock & awe and it would all be over in the first 45 minutes. Immediately hit their artillery and all known & suspected missile launch sites with Tomahawks and carrier aircraft. 

I doubt NK has a hidden, truck-mounted nuke that it could fire off successfully without us engaging it first. Hell, they can't even fire off an accurate missile with no pressure being put on them. 
This is arguably the dumbest military assessment / prediction this site has ever seen

 
The most likely scenario of a surprise North Korean attack on Seoul, based on our available knowledge and some basic math, is a couple of hours of sheer terror and confusion as KPA shells rain down, then a gradual slackening of fire as batteries are eliminated or moved and North Korean forces approach the city as part of an invasion. Seoul is an enormous city and has underground shelter space for 20 million people, so the great majority of the population will be protected and out of harm’s way quickly.
The inhabitants of Seoul are also aware of the risks. They frequently take part in air raid drills.

https://skeptoid.com/blog/2013/03/11/why-north-korea-cant-flatten-seoul/

 
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Seems like war is a self-fulfilling prophecy if both sides refuse to scale back. Then China and Russia will jump in and it's WWIII.

 
The inhabitants of Seoul are also aware of the risks. They frequently take part in air raid drills.

https://skeptoid.com/blog/2013/03/11/why-north-korea-cant-flatten-seoul/
I agree with the first comment below your link:

The South Koreans were “better trained and had more modern weapons” during the first Korean war. Their forces broke and ran when facing large numbers of North Korean soldiers. The North Koreans pushed the U.S. and South Korean forces to a small coastal area and almost obliterated them before massive reinforcements arrived. The North has sheer numbers on their side. They couldn’t win, but they could devastate the Seoul before we got the upper hand. Anyone that dismisses them and counts 64,000 civilian casualties as “worst case scenario” is probably tripping on LSD daily.

 
It also depends on the number of NK civilian casualties we are willing to have. If we didn't care we could end it in about 45 minutes.

 
Why is the south so defenseless.? How many dead in the north?
Accurate artillery has been around since the WW1 era.  It's hard to take out even if you know where it is (See: D-Day)  They can fire for effect into the heart of the city and flatten many skyscrapers before GBU type munitions can get off the ground.  It would be a suicide type mission, but many would die.

Once the dust settles it would be all out war for more than 45 minutes, probably something like 10-14 days along the lines of the gulf war.  Air superiority would take hold and there wouldn't be much left in 48 hours. 

From there it's just a matter of how much door to door stuff has to happen, and if they go all ISIS on us.

 
The inhabitants of Seoul are also aware of the risks. They frequently take part in air raid drills.

https://skeptoid.com/blog/2013/03/11/why-north-korea-cant-flatten-seoul/
The analyst who wrote the paper and did the number crunching for your link estimates 80,000 dead in Seoul even taking into consideration the shelters for up to 20 million people and the populace's readiness.  And that's just for conventional weapons.  Estimates for a chemical weapons attack are between 350,000 and 1,200,000 dead, depending on weather conditions.

 
Of course they are.  CNN makes bank when there's a war.  They get amazing shots of missiles being fired, like when the Tomahawks were fired the other night.
They're still getting a tingle down their legs over the MOAB.  Using it was fine - it was the right tool for the job.  Beats sending in human capital.  CNN was definitely playing up the "horror of a new tool of war."

 
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