Coeur de Lion
Footballguy
Miller had all the opportunity in the world last year too -- and now he has Moreno to compete with in addition to Daniel Thomas, who he has been unable to put away for two years now. Miller lacks ability to break tackles -- he's likely going to be a career COP player because of it.Here is what I like about Lamar Miller this year - opportunity.
#1 - Moreno started his offseason conditioning late because of the Bronco's super bowl run. His knee likely had problems all offseason. He was hoping it would heal on its own - and it didn't - forcing him to get scoped late in the offseason. I believe Moreno will miss nearly all of camp. They will likely keep him on the roster, but he is in a new system and will have NO reps in preparation for the season. I expect Moreno to be Lamar Miller insurance and ride the bench.
#2 - Daniel Thomas is average to below-average at best. This is coming from a guy who drafted him in my only dynasty league three years back. I thought he was good, watched him play, and realized I wasted a first round pick. I think they gave DT another shot to prove himself last year and he failed. He is in a contract year and I will guarantee that DT is not re-signed next year by Miami.
#3 - New offensive coordinator and rebuilt o-line. The decision to limit Lamar Miller's carries last year was made by a guy who is gone. The line has something to prove, along with Tannehill, but it would be shocking to see them be worse than last year.
If Lamar Miller has the talent, he will get the opportunity to shine this year. It is a good year to hold him in dynasty and a great late round pick in redraft.
That said, he's currently going as a RB4 in the 10th round in redrafts, and I have no problem taking him as a flyer at that price. In dynasty he's much more expensive due to his age and the absurd prices people paid last summer -- and his value will fall further when he's right around 200 total touches again this year and it becomes even more obvious that he is what he is.