Ellington is 12th in the NFL with 81 carries through Week 6, but he's 64th in yards per carry, at just 3.77. That's not what we envisioned for this season. Ellington is seventh among all running backs with 188 yards receiving. A big chunk of that obviously comes from his 81-yard touchdown in Week 5. His 19 receptions is good for ninth in the NFL among running backs.
That's not terrible at all.
In fact, here is what his season projections look like.
Rushing: 260 carries 976 yards rushing 3.8 ypc 3 TDs
Receiving: 61 catches 601 yards receiving 9.8 ypc 3TDs
That is nearly 1600 yards from scrimmage. Everyone is good with that, right?
You have to look at this stat, which Seth Cox noted Wednesday.
In the history of the NFL, 425 players have received 259 carries or more in a season, and only 21 players have NOT gone over 1,000 yards. Andre Ellington is on pace to be number 22.
So what is the issue?
The reality is setting in that the Cardinals need a one-two duo of backs.
Look at his production last Sunday:
Quarter 1: Five carries for 39 yards (7.8 YPC)
Quarter 2: Two carries for zero yards
Quarter 3: Four carries for 14 yards (3.5 YPC)
Quarter 4: Eight carries for 14 yards (1.8 YPC)
On the season, he averages 4.4 yards per carry in the first half. It drops to 3.3 yards per carry in the second half.
He averages 4.2 yards per carry on the first 10 carries he gets in a game this season. On carries 11-20 in a game, the average per carry drops to 3.0.
The problem is he wears out by the end of the game.