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I half wondered this myself. I'm honestly not sure what value he adds out there. After a couple series it becomes fairly evident he's just a decoy.Rookie_Whisperer said:
jmo87usc said:
100% agree. You could see the pain he was in last week - that isn't going to go away in 6 days. Plus, 19 snaps last week? What do these "experts" expect this week?
Never blindly follow any expert. They put their 2 cents in, but you have to analyze each player situation on your own roster. I do view weekly composite rankings sorted by the top 5 most accurate "experts" on the season for each position, but it serves only as one guidepost to my final decisions. There are times the experts are not factoring in variables in their rankings (injury status, is the player getting healthier or deteriorating due to usage and contact, how they looked-moved-caught last week, weather, team defensive matchup, health of opposing players, chemistry with QB or OC, tendencies playing at home vs away, Thursday game/short week, contract status, etc) or are clearly chasing last week's points and reflexively jump a guy up 10 spots based on one outing against a weak matchup where that player may have had an exploitable advantage. It is entirely possible that you know more than these experts do and your instincts are better than theirs' are, especially players you follow closely. We all make bad calls on players but the experts who are making money writing about these things tend to not accept their mistakes very quickly because they hold too tightly to a call they've made. I tend to think more three dimensionally and typically my instincts and ability to gauge exploitable matchups are better than many of theirs, particularly when judging potential outputs on my own rosters. Trust your instincts.
If your league starts two TE or is 16 teams with large rosters I could see some scarcity in good quality TE being available on the waiver wire. However because of the greater starting requirements at the TE position the baseline performance will also be much lower, which makes Reed even more valuable in that format.
It also means he's more expensive in those formats. And when he's out, it's more penalizing because you paid so much more to get him, and there are fewer good options available to replace him that you'll pay more for them too. Big double whammy.
man o man.... I was hopinh in snag him ppr leagues after Kelce goes off the board....toe injuries are no joke. And Reed isn't the picture of health anyway
Third TE or third round? I like the guy but don't think I'd take him in the 3rd. I just took him 8.02 in a 10 team dynasty start up. (2qb, but can flex a te)
Not sure what Trip meant but both are true, he's going in third round and as the third TE in FFPC drafts so both are true.
Why is it hard to believe? He's had one good year in his career. He can't stay healthy, and already has a nagging injury before the season has started. If healthy, I agree he's a top 2 TE with Gronk ( who also can't stay healthy ).
I understand what you're saying, but I personally wouldn't go that far (especially in 10 team and smaller leagues). Reed was the #3 PPG TE in my league last year, and the #2 PPG TE the year before that (and I generally don't expect much from TEs their first two years in the league). Anyway, last year he was the #3 PPG TE (behind Gronk and Kelce). He fully missed 4 games. Say you just started your backup TE those games and he got you 6 PPG in those games (which is reasonable in a 10 team or fewer league)- your TE position would have been right there with Jimmy Graham/Kyle Rudolph last year in the TE #3-5 range.
