Mr Non Sequitur
Footballguy
Debating the top 5 RBs in the preseason rankings and avg draft position right now is pretty fruitless, I find most people are locked in on whoever they like. So forget trying to talk you out of taking CJ Spiller in the 1st, let's focus on players outside of the preseason top 10 who have a good chance of breaking into it with a couple of guys inching their way into top 5 territory.
1. Chris Johnson-Some of you are going to be running in here and I predict at least 3 more Chris Johnson threads however as most who have been here throughout the off season will tell you, simply hit the search function and you can overdose on opinions both ways. The guy has the resume, a couple of eye popping type seasons, the team has poured a lot into the interior of the OL, lot of weapons, Delanie Walker is like an extra OL for them and brought in from SF, all new pieces at LG/C/RG, this is going to be all or nothing for CJ in 2013 with the Titans, head coach on the hot seat. Schedule is not super easy with early visits to Pittsburgh and Houston, then has to deal with the NFC West including back to back games with Seattle and SF in week 7 and 8. The back half of the schedule though is soft and by that time the OL should be coming together nicely. He is going off the board in the mid to late 2nd, could be a steal or at least one of the difference makers down the stretch in 2013.
2. Maurice Jones Drew-We have seen what he can do when used properly. He suffers from the team he is on but they have made some big upgrades on the OL. The Tackle spots in particular should be solid and if so the QB play will get better no matter what. Better is a relative term and perhaps it is only another 500 yard thru the air but improvement should be obvious. MJD will be very active. He easily can rack 50 receptions with not a ton of established talent at the receiver position although it is getting better. he is going early 3rd, should easily make a run at top 10, Jeff T has him ranked 4th which is a bit high for me but I can see top 10.
3. Reggie Bush- I'm simply gonna post what I think he should rack up. 200-900-5TD, 56-450-3TD...if he just does that he would have been top 10 last year in PPR. There are lengthy threads on Reggie Bush, likely to find me there as well. The thing for me is this offense is already good without much running game(depends on your definition). I think Bush will make this offense a lot more complete and Detroit will have some sense of a running game when they need to run clock. Bush is at #15 right now preseason, he is money as long as he can avoid major injuries. Looks like a 3rd round grade for Bush right now but understand he is no sleeper, most folks are very aware of him and if you think you can grab him in the 4th or 5th, I doubt that will happen in most leagues.
4. Stevan Ridley-I believe it goes without saying that new England has had a rough off season. Nothing at WR, one of their biggest weapons on offense is facing 1st degree murder charges and sitting in a isolated small 8 foot cell waiting to face trial. No it's not Tom Brady, but that said the Pats are going to have to run the football and the good news is they have a lot of talented backs in camp and Ridley shows a lot of promise. I believe they will use him more and more in this offense. 290-1262-12TD last year, he is not a big part of the passing game but who knows now with so much turmoil that has happened. 21st right now? New England did run the ball 2nd most of anyone last year btw.
5. Lamar Miller-If you missed the CBS article on this guy you are missing a big part of the hype going into 2013. Basically he has been training at an exclusive camp alongside the likes of Frank Gore who took a liking to him and has taught him the same work ethic that he(Gore) uses. The man who runs the camp and has for many years said Miller is the fastest RB he has ever seen and Gore said Miller reminds him of Portis. I felt the same way when he came out of college. Miller has a big task ahead and the deck is stacked against him in ways. But Miami is on record as saying Miller is the guy, no one is a threat to him to steal touches, he will likely see the field a lot and Tannehill is going to have to dump it off at times so look for Miller to also catch some balls. Miller could easily land in the top 10 if things go right but he has the biggest risk of these 5 because Johnson, MJD, Ridley, and Bush have all proven themselves, Miller has not yet done so at the pro level.
This is a short list of guys I think you circle if you are going to not draft a RB in the 1st round. Any of these guys will make a solid RB2 as well. I think a draft of Calvin-Johnson-MJD for example has a lot going for it and sets up well for the next few rounds ahead.
1. Chris Johnson-Some of you are going to be running in here and I predict at least 3 more Chris Johnson threads however as most who have been here throughout the off season will tell you, simply hit the search function and you can overdose on opinions both ways. The guy has the resume, a couple of eye popping type seasons, the team has poured a lot into the interior of the OL, lot of weapons, Delanie Walker is like an extra OL for them and brought in from SF, all new pieces at LG/C/RG, this is going to be all or nothing for CJ in 2013 with the Titans, head coach on the hot seat. Schedule is not super easy with early visits to Pittsburgh and Houston, then has to deal with the NFC West including back to back games with Seattle and SF in week 7 and 8. The back half of the schedule though is soft and by that time the OL should be coming together nicely. He is going off the board in the mid to late 2nd, could be a steal or at least one of the difference makers down the stretch in 2013.
2. Maurice Jones Drew-We have seen what he can do when used properly. He suffers from the team he is on but they have made some big upgrades on the OL. The Tackle spots in particular should be solid and if so the QB play will get better no matter what. Better is a relative term and perhaps it is only another 500 yard thru the air but improvement should be obvious. MJD will be very active. He easily can rack 50 receptions with not a ton of established talent at the receiver position although it is getting better. he is going early 3rd, should easily make a run at top 10, Jeff T has him ranked 4th which is a bit high for me but I can see top 10.
3. Reggie Bush- I'm simply gonna post what I think he should rack up. 200-900-5TD, 56-450-3TD...if he just does that he would have been top 10 last year in PPR. There are lengthy threads on Reggie Bush, likely to find me there as well. The thing for me is this offense is already good without much running game(depends on your definition). I think Bush will make this offense a lot more complete and Detroit will have some sense of a running game when they need to run clock. Bush is at #15 right now preseason, he is money as long as he can avoid major injuries. Looks like a 3rd round grade for Bush right now but understand he is no sleeper, most folks are very aware of him and if you think you can grab him in the 4th or 5th, I doubt that will happen in most leagues.
4. Stevan Ridley-I believe it goes without saying that new England has had a rough off season. Nothing at WR, one of their biggest weapons on offense is facing 1st degree murder charges and sitting in a isolated small 8 foot cell waiting to face trial. No it's not Tom Brady, but that said the Pats are going to have to run the football and the good news is they have a lot of talented backs in camp and Ridley shows a lot of promise. I believe they will use him more and more in this offense. 290-1262-12TD last year, he is not a big part of the passing game but who knows now with so much turmoil that has happened. 21st right now? New England did run the ball 2nd most of anyone last year btw.
5. Lamar Miller-If you missed the CBS article on this guy you are missing a big part of the hype going into 2013. Basically he has been training at an exclusive camp alongside the likes of Frank Gore who took a liking to him and has taught him the same work ethic that he(Gore) uses. The man who runs the camp and has for many years said Miller is the fastest RB he has ever seen and Gore said Miller reminds him of Portis. I felt the same way when he came out of college. Miller has a big task ahead and the deck is stacked against him in ways. But Miami is on record as saying Miller is the guy, no one is a threat to him to steal touches, he will likely see the field a lot and Tannehill is going to have to dump it off at times so look for Miller to also catch some balls. Miller could easily land in the top 10 if things go right but he has the biggest risk of these 5 because Johnson, MJD, Ridley, and Bush have all proven themselves, Miller has not yet done so at the pro level.
This is a short list of guys I think you circle if you are going to not draft a RB in the 1st round. Any of these guys will make a solid RB2 as well. I think a draft of Calvin-Johnson-MJD for example has a lot going for it and sets up well for the next few rounds ahead.
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here and I'm calling it now that on a PPG basis, Vick Ballard with be top 10 worthy. I like Bradshaw as much as anyone, but he is still in a walking boot as far as I know and the foot is frah-gee-lay! Ballard with a year of experience will split time early on and IMO, it's only a matter of time before Bradshaw is back on the shelf. I don't want to bring bad karma, but I'm not trusting AB at all!
Don't see how Sproles isn't top ten in PPR with Payton back.
