Rhythmdoctor
Footballguy
I think people will avoid Jordy in the first few rounds of redraft. If he can be had in rounds 4+, I'd consider that a good value.I do not see him as a great value play next year. If he is all set to be back week 1 then I see people drafting him darn near where he was before the injury. Not saying that is a bad pick, but I don't see it as any sort of "value pick".I understand the numbers and agree with what you're saying. He will be a great value draft next year who has a very good chance at WR1, imo. That's what's great about Jordy in 2016. And you just know Rodgers will have a chip after the below expected numbers he put up this season. He's a great buy in dynasty as well if you can get him relatively cheap.Thing is, how many of those WRs suffered torn ACLs while in their 30s?Jordy is the son of a farmer and country strong. I have no worries about him in 2016. I believe he'll return to form. Some will point out that he will be 31 next season but I've seen too many WRs remain effective into their mid 30s. I'm counting on 3 more solid years of WR1 production from Jordy staring in 2016.
There's a pretty significant difference between a torn ACL at 24 and a torn ACL at 30. Not only does recovery itself take longer, but a 30 year old will lose more of his physical abilities at 30 than if he was 24. And as everyone knows, the older you get, the harder it is to get it back.
I think Jordy has a pretty decent shot to get back to form, but there is no chance I am valuing him as though it's a certainty.
So while I agree he's definitely not a lock, I will be drafting Jordy a ton next year. I think the trend in ACL recovery has rapidly improved in the last 5 years even.
When you say he is a great buy if you can get him cheap, what kind of price are you talking? Projected late future 1st? Sure, I would pay that. I can't see people selling for that though