It was damn nice to see the stat line for him this week. I didn’t get a chance to watch the game but I’ll be watching in the next couple days.
A couple concerns I have:
1) Just as Luck was trying to open up his arm for longer throws, his target of choice injures his hamstring... NOT the type of soft tissue injury you want to see on an aging WR. Early word is he’s missing Thursday in New England at the least.
2) his completion percentage was the 2nd worst performance this year (64.5%). This was purely a volume play. Does anyone in here expect Luck to maintain a 995 passing attempt pace this season? Get your Hands up where everyone can see ‘em and get you on record!
3) He’s still not running. That used to be a nice boost to his value. Is it fear of taking a hit on his shoulder? If so...
4) He took 4 sacks. That’s not good. With the colts having no running game to speak of, and a poor offensive line... expect more defenses to focus on the pass... which likely means more blitzing and more sacks. Curious to see his numbers against the blitz this year. IIRC he used to be great.
I will say his YPA was solid in face of his poor compiletion percentage. No doubt attributable to an increased ADOT. I’ll be curious to see Hilton’s status/effectiveness going forward as that would be a pretty devastating blow to Luck’s comeback.
It was a refreshing statline albeit with an unsustainable path to maintaining it. I’ll refrain from judging his actual performance until I’ve seen the game.
Either way... anyone thinking this is the new normal for Luck is far more optimistic than I, at least until he improves his efficiency.
As it stands he’s now QB11 just ahead of my projected range. I anticipate some regression, but we shall see!