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Carter_Can_Fly

Andrew Luck..... Love fest inside....

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Some context for Luck’s “tough matchup” this week:

Here is the list for underachieving QBs vs. Houston (less than 20 points);

Gabbert, Prescott (he didn’t put up 20 fantasy points 4/5 games to start the year.  Houston game was just one example), Allen (alleged cheap shot took him out mid game), Peterman, Bortles, Kessler, Osweiler, Keenum (17 points so he got close), Alex Smith (they broke his leg), McCoy and Mayfield.  Mayfield would have broken 20 fantasy points if he had thrown two less interceptions.  His passing yardage in that game (almost 400) was a career high.

Over achieving QBs vs Houston (20 points plus): 

Brady, Eli, Luck, Mariota. That’s it.  

So maybe this is a tough fantasy matchup for Luck or maybe Houston has just played an absurdly high percentage of bad fantasy QBs this year and injured a couple more mid game.  Guess we’ll find out.

 

Edited by jtp1982

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If Hilton sits I think Luck is a bad play in a tough match up.  The Colts WRs outside of Hilton are just plain bad.  Good thing he has Ebron and he's even under the weather.   Even if Hilton plays I don't expect big numbers from Luck.   I'm thinking about rolling the dice with Lamar Jackson instead against a leaky Chiefs defense.

Edited by JohnnyU

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PUBLISHED FRI DEC 7 2:15:41 P.M. MT 2018 

(RotoWire) Hilton (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game in Houston.

Analysis: Coach Frank Reich seemed to hint Hilton would be a game-time decision earlier Friday when he said he was cautiously optimistic about the wideout's chances to play. Hilton will surely do everything in his power to suit up, as it will be awfully difficult for the Colts to reach the playoffs if they drop to 6-7 with six in-conference losses. A limited practice Friday puts him on the right path, but a final decision may not be made until early Sunday ahead of the 1 p.m. EST kickoff. Fellow wide receiver Dontrelle Inman (shoulder) has already been ruled out, leaving Ryan Grant, Zach Pascal and Chester Rogers as the top healthy options.

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NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports "it would be a major surprise" if T.Y. Hilton (questionable, shoulder) didn't play in Week 14 against the Texans.

Hilton remains a game-time decision, but he's expected to play. He's likely not going to be 100 percent after only getting in one practice this week. With the Colts missing Dontrelle Inman and Mo Alie-Cox, Hilton's in line for a heavy target share against a Texans secondary he shredded for 115 yards back in Week 4.

 

I still don't feel good about this game for Luck and I'm seriously considering benching him for Lamar Jackson.  It's hard for me to do this because he's my favorite player on my favorite team.  Perhaps I'm overthinking this and should just plug in Luck and forget about it.  I guess it just boils down to the Colts WRs for me and I think he will be under a lot of pressure from J J Watt and their other lineman..

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7 minutes ago, mnmplayer said:

Didn't he score 40 points against Houston earlier this year?

He did, but I think the circumstances are different.  Hilton isn't 100%, the Colts looked lost on offense last week, and the first game was in Indy.  We can't always trust past performances for future performances..  I fear the Houston pass rush today.  Against my better judgement i'm starting Luck over Jackson but I don't feel warm and fuzzy over it.  Because TY Hilton is playing it makes me feel a little better.  If he wasn't playing I would definitely have considered Jackson.  I hate the Colts WRs outside of Hilton.  Hopefully Ebron and Hilton can do enough to give Luck a decent game.  I think there is a good chance at just mediocre numbers from Luck, but I hope I'm wrong.  I definitely hope I'm wrong.

Edited by JohnnyU

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Glad I didn't overthink it, well I did, but I also played Luck over Jackson.  I'm liking that so far.  The Colts OL and defense are playing a hell of a game.  Should have been 17-0 at halftime.  The refs blew the personal foul call on Hooker that gave them their TD.  It should have been an int.

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What are Luck owners thinking this week? I'm afraid the team will just rely on Mack for most of the day as they should have the game under control. FBG has him ranked #6!! This week which surprises me.

Granted my other option is Wilson vs KC, but the NYG is a juicy matchup as well.

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Josh Allen is my only other QB which i picked up in case of emergency. I'd be hard pressed to start him over Luck any week, certainly this one. Last week was brutal though. Still 99% sure I start luck unless someone can talk me out of it. 

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49 minutes ago, Charlie Harper said:

What are Luck owners thinking this week? I'm afraid the team will just rely on Mack for most of the day as they should have the game under control. FBG has him ranked #6!! This week which surprises me.

Granted my other option is Wilson vs KC, but the NYG is a juicy matchup as well.

I have Wilson too. Mot even a consideration that I play Luck. He cost me 2 finalsalready with that second Td less performance in three weeks. In fact I'm playing Mayfield over him in one  league for third place. I still think he's great but just see them running all over the Giants.

Edited by Kwai Chang Caine

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1 hour ago, Charlie Harper said:

What are Luck owners thinking this week? I'm afraid the team will just rely on Mack for most of the day as they should have the game under control. FBG has him ranked #6!! This week which surprises me.

Granted my other option is Wilson vs KC, but the NYG is a juicy matchup as well.

If the Giants are without Beckham, they really struggle scoring points:

https://www.twitter.com/grahambarfield/status/1075448382716444673

Giants would probably not score a lot, Hilton didn't practice today again, Mack has been very successful (and Giants run defense is bottom 5) and Colts probably are playing with a lead in the 4th so Luck isn't getting a full game worth of passing script.

Wilson could easily play in a shootout with Mahomes or better yet, playing from behind in the 4th in a must win for Seattle.

 

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7 hours ago, Charlie Harper said:

What are Luck owners thinking this week? I'm afraid the team will just rely on Mack for most of the day as they should have the game under control. FBG has him ranked #6!! This week which surprises me.

Granted my other option is Wilson vs KC, but the NYG is a juicy matchup as well.

I actually think 6 is low. Luck has overall QB1 upside against the Giants. They didn't just run Mack all day last week. Dallas was playing good pass defense, and bad run defense, so the Colts adjusted accordingly. Giants don't play good anything, and the Colts use a ton of playaction around the goal line, including last week, when Luck just missed a TD to Hilton and 1 to(I think) Allie-Cox. 

Mahomes, Ben, and maybe Brees, are the only QB's I'd be going over Luck this week.

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25 minutes ago, travdogg said:

I actually think 6 is low. Luck has overall QB1 upside against the Giants. They didn't just run Mack all day last week. Dallas was playing good pass defense, and bad run defense, so the Colts adjusted accordingly. Giants don't play good anything, and the Colts use a ton of playaction around the goal line, including last week, when Luck just missed a TD to Hilton and 1 to(I think) Allie-Cox. 

Mahomes, Ben, and maybe Brees, are the only QB's I'd be going over Luck this week.

Luck had 2 easy TDs he botched last week even with that game script.  Twice he had Hilton matched up with a LB for easy TDs, one a short 4 yard pass that you mentioned above that was a startling/rare really poor throw from him.

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Interesting. You guys are making this difficult. 

SEA predicted score is 26 and the Colts is 29. 

SEA will likely have game script to favor passing as +2.5 dogs while the Colts are -9 favorites. SEA is generally a rushing team and IND is generally a pass team. 

Tough decision.

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I think Luck is possibly the best QB in the NFL. He's not on the best team, but he's Marino or Peyton like in that when he comes to town everyone points out he is. You're not playing the Colts, but playing Luck. People complained of them similarly, and then when they came to town it was the same thing. It's pretty rare and special

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On 12/21/2018 at 12:47 AM, Charlie Harper said:

Interesting. You guys are making this difficult. 

SEA predicted score is 26 and the Colts is 29. 

SEA will likely have game script to favor passing as +2.5 dogs while the Colts are -9 favorites. SEA is generally a rushing team and IND is generally a pass team. 

Tough decision.

Going Wilson but it is hard. After that amazing run though Luck has te TDs in the last 3 games. You have to think he’ll have success but they may also be able to pound it out. Who knows?

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17 minutes ago, Bri said:

I think Luck is possibly the best QB in the NFL. He's not on the best team, but he's Marino or Peyton like in that when he comes to town everyone points out he is. You're not playing the Colts, but playing Luck. People complained of them similarly, and then when they came to town it was the same thing. It's pretty rare and special

The Colts are definitely a team on the upswing.  Ballard is pushing the right buttons with personnel and Reich is pushing the right buttons on the field.  In the 2019 draft they need to get an impact WR for sure.  Outside of Hilton their WRs suck.

I expect the Colts will win easily today and Luck and the defense will play well.

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Luck returning to form is one of my favorite things in football right now. I thought the Colts roster was depleted of talent but they have a lot young skilled pieces on the roster. With a good 2019 offseason this team will be on the surge. Really rooting for Indy to get into the playoffs....what a great all around story.

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5 minutes ago, Manster said:

KC is not excited to see this guy and the Colts D coming to town

Agreed, and would be quite surprised to see Indy lose this one. Honestly.

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9 minutes ago, Dizzy said:

Agreed, and would be quite surprised to see Indy lose this one. Honestly.

I'm really interested to see the Indy D vs. the KC O.......they might be able to slow down Mahomes and Co. just enough so Indy can outscore em

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1 hour ago, Manster said:

I'm really interested to see the Indy D vs. the KC O.......they might be able to slow down Mahomes and Co. just enough so Indy can outscore em

It truly feels (to me) like Indy is on a Super Bowl run... barring a blizzard in Foxboro, I think they go.

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16 minutes ago, Dizzy said:

It truly feels (to me) like Indy is on a Super Bowl run... barring a blizzard in Foxboro, I think they go.

They will be playing the afc title game in LA

Edited by bicycle_seat_sniffer

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5 hours ago, bicycle_seat_sniffer said:

They will be playing the afc title game in LA

I've got the Pat's beating LAC, but I would LOVE to be wrong about that one.

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10 hours ago, Dizzy said:

I've got the Pat's beating LAC, but I would LOVE to be wrong about that one.

Aren't they done yet?

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Quote

Andrew Luck - QB -  Colts

Associated Press named Colts QB Andrew Luck its 2018 Comeback Player of the Year.

After missing all last season to shoulder surgery, there were doubts Luck would play this year. He went on to start all 16 games and set career highs in touchdowns (39) and completion percentage (67.3%). An improved offensive line allowed Luck to take the fewest sacks in the league. The Colts were among the most pass-heavy offenses with Luck healthy, taking them from four-win team to a Wild Card appearance. Still in his prime, 29-year-old Luck will return as one of the league's top quarterbacks.

Feb 2 - 6:36 PM

 

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