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Dynasty and Redraft: David Johnson Saints (2 Viewers)

Re-ranking the 2015 RB class: The Todd Gurley conundrum

Excerpt:

1) David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals


Originally drafted: Round 3, No. 86 overall.

Johnson put an exclamation point on his MVP-caliber campaign on Christmas Eve in Seattle, when he racked up 95 rushing yards and three touchdowns (plus another 41 receiving yards) against one of the league's best run defenses, long after Johnson's body should have buckled under the weight of carrying the Cardinals' season.

It's bizarre to think back to the draft profiles and scouts who questionedJohnson's toughness and power, saying he played running back like a receiver. In the final 20 minutes at Seattle, Johnson touched the ball 13 times for 99 yards and two scores to key an Arizona victory. He did it mostly with power, fighting for extra yards, excelling at resetting and finding a new hole after breaking a tackle. Johnson had 73 touches just against the Seahawkslast season, a snapshot of a year in which Johnson answered any questions about his ability to be a workhorse.

What makes Johnson transcendent, however, is how he closed the Seahawks out with two catches. The kill shot came on a go-route where he lined up wide, beating safety Kam Chancellor before coming back to the football like a seasoned wide receiver. Perhaps those scouts now see that playing running back like a receiver is a good idea.

What is Johnson's ceiling?: It's unfair to put outsized expectations on Johnson after one complete season as a starter, but it's also unfair to have to try to stop Johnson's diverse skill set. It's as if the football gods gave Emmitt Smith the receiving ability of Marshall Faulk. Johnson sees the ball on third-and-short and is often the primary receiver on third-and-long. He can run inside but also innately feels when a defender is near, jump-cutting away before the pressure gets there. Opponents rarely hit him squarely.

Johnson and Le'Veon Bell are the only two players in NFL history to record a season with 1,200-plus rushing yards and 800-plus receiving yards by Year 2. Johnson has a chance to explore uncharted territory, and I'll be there for every second of it. Coach Bruce Arians and Around The NFL mensch Chris Wesseling were ahead of the curve, saying early that Johnson could be an all-time great.
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Faust said:
Johnson: 'Pressure on me' to win for Fitzgerald, Palmer
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Anyone not taking this guy #1 this year is nuts:

"Oh I definitely have individual goals and that 1,000 and 1,000 is my top goal that I'm trying to set," Johnson said. "Just because like you said, I was so close, unfortunately with the injury I felt like I definitely had the chance to get it. And also, another goal is just to have 16 straight with 100 yards from the line of scrimmage. And those two are my main goals. And then the biggest goal, like we were talking about, though, is the team goal. Trying to get that championship. Trying to get the ring, like B.A. [coach Bruce Arians] said. Not just getting to the championship, but winning the championship game."

"I don't know as far as the team, but for me, I feel like definitely [it's a goal to win for them]," Johnson said. "Because Carson, especially Carson and Larry, those two guys have taught me so much in these last two years that helped me so much with the playbook. Learning how to run a route effectively, it's not all about speed, it's also about technique and stuff. So I really want to do it for those guys. Especially since they're such -- not just great athletes, but great people off the field. So I feel like there's a little pressure on me to do as much as I can to get that ring for those two."

 
there are legit arguments that could be made for a coupletwotree other guys, but yeah.  he's my 1.01 and i don't even have to think about it.

 
Such an easy guy to root for.

Not just an immense talent on the field, but also clearly a well-grounded, humble guy off it.

 
David Johnson reiterated on Sirius XM NFL Radio that he wants to handle 30 touches a game this season.

"I feel like there’s room for me to definitely carry more," Johnson said. "I think the biggest thing is me learning and getting better and improving. So I feel like I can definitely get that 30 touches, not all rushing obviously." Johnson added that he's "100 percent" healed from Week 17's MCL injury, which did not require surgery. Last season, Johnson handled 24.3 touches per game in Weeks 1-16. While averaging 30 touches probably isn't realistic, there is no question Johnson will remain a top-three workhorse back along with Le'Veon Bell and Zeke Elliott.

Source: Sirius XM NFL Radio

Jul 16 - 3:52 PM
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Larry Fitzgerald indicated the Cardinals are supporting David Johnson's goal to finish with 1,000 rushing yards and 1,000 receiving yards, and believes the goal is within Johnson's reach.

The Cardinals tried hard to get Johnson there last year, but he fell 121 receiving yards short of 1,000 due in part to a Week 17 MCL injury. "I don’t think it’s going to be that difficult," Fitzgerald said of Johnson's 1,000-1,000 goal. "When you have that kind of skill set, what he has, I don’t think it’s all that difficult — he just needs the opportunities — I mean the guy is special. He should be getting 25, 30 touches a game and if he’s doing that, we’re going to be a force to be reckoned with."

Source: Arizona Republic

Jul 30 - 2:29 PM
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Ended up being one of the biggest steals in rookie draft history.  It just sucks when your on a guy and you wait and wait to draft him and he goes 1 pick before you in the 2nd round in 2 different rookie drafts.  

 
Dez said:
Ended up being one of the biggest steals in rookie draft history.  It just sucks when your on a guy and you wait and wait to draft him and he goes 1 pick before you in the 2nd round in 2 different rookie drafts.  
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- I had 2 top 6 picks and an early 2nd that year. Gordon, Ajayi, and DJ were my top 3 going into that draft. I needed RB bad at the time in my dyno. I took Gordon at #3. Planned on taking Ajayi at 6, then the knee crap came out and scared me off. So ended up passing on him to take Yeldon instead  :bag: .

- 2nd round at 2.6. DJ is still on the board. I passed on him because I needed a LB badly as well. I take Stephone Anthony instead of DJ :bag: :bag: . Who granted had a great rookie year in IDP. DJ goes 2 picks later at 2.8. It really is no surprise to report that the guy who took DJ has gone on to win the title the last 2 years, and will look to 3-peat this season.

 
My only point of contention is the assumption that DJ will score 10-15% more points than Leveon Bell, as most projections suggest.

To me, that math only works if you believe the 30 carries per game hype, which I don't.

 
I had pick 1.09 in my redraft. The guy with the first pick said - I'll trade the 1.01 and 6.12 for someone's first and second.

I immediately raised my hand and said I'd do it. We made the trade and I took DJ.

I'm certain it was a bad trade for me, and I'm not sure I'm happy with my team, but man, it sure is nice knowing I have him again this year.

 
I guess we dynasty owners had it coming after he dodged a bullet on his knee in his last carry of last season. 

 
zamboni said:
I guess we dynasty owners had it coming after he dodged a bullet on his knee in his last carry of last season. 
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Blessing in disguise. Most DJ dynasty owners had a good chance of winning their league last year  :bowtie: . If he misses a bunch of time, maybe this gives us a chance for a high draft pick this year and then we really rock next year.

 
It's still not confirmed that he'll miss a lot of time. Mortensen said he would, but other sources are saying he might not miss any time. Might have been precautionary pulling him since he wasn't maintaining strength.
Also, DJ heals ridiculously fast (or at least has in the past). I wouldn't rule him out until there has been an official announcement.  

Either way, their offensive line looks awful and could limit his upside if they can stack the box all the time. Palmer throwing picks like crazy isn't helping.

 
steelers1080 said:
It's still not confirmed that he'll miss a lot of time. Mortensen said he would, but other sources are saying he might not miss any time. Might have been precautionary pulling him since he wasn't maintaining strength.
Also, DJ heals ridiculously fast (or at least has in the past). I wouldn't rule him out until there has been an official announcement.  

Either way, their offensive line looks awful and could limit his upside if they can stack the box all the time. Palmer throwing picks like crazy isn't helping.
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I'm assuming you're a Steeler's fan based on your name. Weird that both Bell and DJ had pretty crummy days yesterday. Will be interesting to see if they can turn it around.

 
ESPN's Adam Schefter reports David Johnson is meeting with wrist specialists, and surgery is a possibility.

Schefter reports a decision is expected in 24-48 hours, but that it sounds like Johnson could "miss some time." The reports have been somewhat unusually all over the map with Johnson. It's because different doctors are apparently offering up different opinions. The best-case scenario of Johnson playing Week 2 still seems to be on the table, but isn't looking particularly likely. Kerwynn Williams and Andre Ellington will form a committee if Johnson can't go. We also wouldn't rule out Chris Johnson being re-signed.

Source: Adam Schefter on Twitter 

Sep 11 - 2:41 PM
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NFL.com's Ian Rapoport reports David Johnson (wrist) is expected to miss an "extended period of time," and is a candidate for injured reserve.

Rapsheet's report came minutes after ESPN's Adam Schefter reported Johnson and the Cardinals were still considering all the options. Stashing Johnson on injured reserve would cost him at least eight weeks. At the very least, it's looking safe to say Johnson is going to miss this week's game against the Colts. Kerwynn Williams is the priority add for fantasy owners, though Andre Ellington will probably become PPR viable. Ellington has proven time and again he can't stay healthy with an early-down role.

Source: Ian Rapoport on Twitter 

Sep 11 - 2:49 PM
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So he injures his write with no fractures and is maybe going on IR?  What the F did this dude do?  Dislocate?  Tear everything he could possibly tear?  Even if he did, IR?  Geeze

 
icehouse said:
So what % of your budget do you spend on his backup, or do you avoid since it might be a RBBC?
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It's a tough one. The Arizona O without DJ could be putrid... and that O-line didn't look great yesterday, so I'm not sure if it's worth more than 15-20% budget? I suppose it depends on the final reveal of the injury/time missed.

 
Ugh. Right now they're saying dislocated, but I have to imagine he'd be back after the 8 weeks. So, it sucks, but there's at least a tiny, super small, silver lining.  Still holding out hope that he'll be back sooner than that because he was supposed to lead my team to a championship this year.

 
Guess I'll put this here too... take it for what it's worth

Dr. Dan said:
Yeah I agree, many people try to jump to be the first to report without giving the truth time to emerge. They just want to be first. Schefter has a decent reputation so there's likely more to this than some beat writer or local news guy trying to make a name for himself.

If it's a dislocation, I could see it needing surgery to stabilize. Once you dislocate something, or sprain even, you stretch the ligaments out to a degree where they may never go back to normal, so frequent sprains, dislocations or even subluxations may be common after healing. It's possible that he completely tore his ligaments too. Sure, x-ray showed no fractures from the latest reports I saw, but an MRI looks at the ligaments. I would be willing to bet if surgery is being circulated he may have torn ligaments. This could mean using external pins and buttons to keep these ligaments in place for several weeks while they heal. It's likely he'd be done for the season if that's the case; not really something you want to land funny and re-tear. 

My 0.02 from the speculative seats in the medical world...

 
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Dr. Dan said:
Eh.... I don't know... 4-6 weeks to have some initial healing... another 6 weeks of gradual ROM and strengthening, not so sure that he'd be back at all TBH... I'd use a timeline of 12-16 weeks with a wrist splint IMO... without knowing anything of what he hurt... just assuming he tore a ligament or two that needs surgical correction. This is no joke... tear through the repair and he could have issues for life, could even rupture tendons and be at risk for losing some use. Worst case scenario, but might paint a picture of why they'd be slow with returning him.

If he were an OL/LB I'd say they'd club his hand at 4-6 weeks and he'd be back. The fact that he uses his hand is a big difference. 
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Dr. Dan said:
Wrist dislocations are rare in general. But yes. If a carpal bone dislocates, there are ligamentous tears > fractures; it's quite serious. The bones in the wrist receive their blood flow through the ligaments. so if you damage the ligaments, the bones could become necrotic because it gets no blood supply. I'll go on a limb and say it was the lunate involved, or scaphoid. But the lunate is a pretty major one that receives blood flow form a specific ligament. 

This is pretty serious stuff when we're talking wrist injuries TBH... 
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At least a portion of the reason DJ was so dominant last year was because Palmer is terrible and dumped it off over and over again. I see this offense as almost completely worthless now. Not touching any of the backup RBs there.

 
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