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SaintsInDome2006

The Official Kicker (K) Thread

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On 12/13/2018 at 7:12 AM, JFS171 said:

Fairbairn or Badgley this week?

Barely survived Fairbairn giving me a whopping 3 points last week. 

Oh boy, someone's either really happy or really mad.

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On 12/12/2018 at 8:32 AM, BearsFan4Life said:

Cant decide on my semifinal Kicker...

Lutz @ Carolina

or

Tucker vs Tampa

 

On 12/12/2018 at 11:25 AM, Hot Sauce Guy said:

Weather would probably be worth checking. - looks like rain for the Panthers game. :shrug:

Now it looks like rain in Ballrimore with wind gusts of 25mph..After Mahomes, Kelce and Allen failed to live up to expectations I think I have to go Lutz..playing against Fairburn hurts as well

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5 hours ago, scott46984 said:

....such a crapshoot.  Seriously feels like a dartboard would be as accurate as trying to predict weekly outcomes

All of FF is a crapshoot at predictng weekly outcomes.  That’s the nature of the beast.

Made worse by the fact that predicting kickers is closer to projecting “team defense” than to individual position players.  Have to consider offensive skill, red zone efficiency, coaching tendencies...

Still possible to make reasonable predictions across a full season as to which kickers will be better, which to avoid, and expect to be as accurate as predicting RBs.  (Remember how every year we get stories of the 4-6 projected top RBs who drop precipiously out of the top 10 each year?)

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14 hours ago, GroveDiesel said:

Oh boy, someone's either really happy or really mad.

Stayed the course with Fairbairn. Thank goodness. 

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On 12/15/2018 at 10:52 PM, scott46984 said:

....such a crapshoot.  Seriously feels like a dartboard would be as accurate as trying to predict weekly outcomes

I got knocked out of the 1st round because the Cowboys got shut out at Indy & my kicker got a 0. 

Indy.

I mean, Indy?

fackin Indy. :doh: 

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On 12/16/2018 at 6:42 AM, Arodin said:

All of FF is a crapshoot at predictng weekly outcomes.  That’s the nature of the beast.

Made worse by the fact that predicting kickers is closer to projecting “team defense” than to individual position players.  Have to consider offensive skill, red zone efficiency, coaching tendencies...

Still possible to make reasonable predictions across a full season as to which kickers will be better, which to avoid, and expect to be as accurate as predicting RBs.  (Remember how every year we get stories of the 4-6 projected top RBs who drop precipiously out of the top 10 each year?)

True to a point, but K appear to me to be much less predictable than say top RB's or WR's or QB's in my opinion.

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22 minutes ago, scott46984 said:

True to a point, but K appear to me to be much less predictable than say top RB's or WR's or QB's in my opinion.

Preseason predicted (current ppg ranking)

Gostkowski 7

Leg 2

Lutz 3

Elliot 20

Tucker 6

Looks pretty good to me.

and RB

compared to Gurley/Elliot/DJ/Bell/Fournette

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Whenever I switch kickers after a bad game or two is when they go off for 10+  (seem to always get 4-7)

Sticking with Gostikowski this week baring any crazy wind.

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23 hours ago, BassNBrew said:

Preseason predicted (current ppg ranking)

Gostkowski 7

Leg 2

Lutz 3

Elliot 20

Tucker 6

Looks pretty good to me.

and RB

compared to Gurley/Elliot/DJ/Bell/Fournette

True - I guess I'm coming at it from a streamer game by game perspective.  You're probably right on an overall seasonal basis, I've been trying to stream and striking out a lot lately.  Thanks for your info.

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8 hours ago, scott46984 said:

True - I guess I'm coming at it from a streamer game by game perspective.  You're probably right on an overall seasonal basis, I've been trying to stream and striking out a lot lately.  Thanks for your info.

I know what you mean.  I've been streaming TE and have managed to turn Burton's TE7 standing into TE15-20 by benching him the wrong weeks.  If you had asked to to guess his ranking w/o looking it up, I would have said around TE14-16.

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On 12/15/2018 at 5:00 PM, BobbyLayne said:

Re: Jason Myers

Jason Myers the first Jets kicker to miss multiple PATs since John Hall on Dec. 12, 1999. Myers has now missed more extra points this season (3) than field goals (2). Myers is a career 87% kicker on extra points and a career 85% kicker on field goals.

I freaking stuck with Myers. He's the #1 scoring kicker in my league I told myself. You don't bench #1. I hate kickers so much. I still made the super bowl though, so now what... Myers? Crosby? Someone actually dropped the Chiefs guy. Him? HELP! 

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32 minutes ago, Sebowski said:

I freaking stuck with Myers. He's the #1 scoring kicker in my league I told myself. You don't bench #1. I hate kickers so much. I still made the super bowl though, so now what... Myers? Crosby? Someone actually dropped the Chiefs guy. Him? HELP! 

 

:shrug:

I picked up Lutz off waivers the day before the season started last year and this year spent a 13th rounder on him. Been nice not thinking about K for two years.

FGA are the best predictor, and so I guess FGA allowed would be one place to start.

Season:

1. Philadelphia Eagles vs. K    36
2. New York Jets vs. K       35
3. New York Giants vs. K    34
4. Cleveland Browns vs. K  36 
5. Minnesota Vikings vs. K 32
6. Cincinnati Bengals vs. K 31
7. Indianapolis Colts vs. K  30
8. Denver Broncos vs. K     29
9. Miami Dolphins vs. K      29
10. Oakland Raiders vs. K   29

Last 5:

Jets, Eagles - 14
Bears, Bengals, Redskins - 12

Last 3:

Jets - 12
Rams, Browns - 10
Bears, Bengals, Eagles - 9

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Sorry for the delay folks - I caught a bad chest cold and it’s been kicking my butt.

i will figure out who won the kicker contest as soon as my head stops pounding & I can look at a computer screen. 

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3 minutes ago, Hot Sauce Guy said:

Sorry for the delay folks - I caught a bad chest cold and it’s been kicking my butt.

i will figure out who won the kicker contest as soon as my head stops pounding & I can look at a computer screen. 

I know I didn't. :lmao: 

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Just now, Dr. Dan said:

I know I didn't. :lmao: 

Yeah,  that’s easy. lol

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On 12/16/2018 at 1:52 AM, scott46984 said:

....such a crapshoot.  Seriously feels like a dartboard would be as accurate as trying to predict weekly outcomes

Pick one and stick with him. I got cute and subbed in Parkey for Gould who I had used most of the year last week because he was ranked higher on FBG and that 9 point difference cost me a ticket to the championship. 

Edited by Elevencents
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I’m getting my butt kicked by this cold something fierce. If anyone wants to help a brother out and figure out who won this week’s kicker contest, please be my guest. 

Otherwise I’ll try to get to it after tomorrow or Sunday’s market (assuming I can drag my ### there with enough DayQuil & cough drops)

again, my apologies for the delay - timing sucked on this one. I never want to delay results - someone *will* get 3 bottles of sauce, I’m just not sure who. :doh: 

 

now where’s my damn tea?  :coffee:

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Believe my Fairbairn pick won the day, if I read the rules correctly and “highest scoring kicker” was the determining factor (rather than scoring prediction accuracy).   No other selected kicker came close...

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OK, at long last here are the results of the last officially unofficial Official K contest of the year! 

First, my sincere apologies. As many of you know, I am a farmers market vendor, and also do online. I am a tiny company & do all of my own fulfillment which has been pretty crazy this time of year. On Tuesday I caught a bad chest cold, and managed to kick it enough to work my markets this weekend - thankfully, as they're the 2 biggest of the year coming just before XMas. As you can imagine, getting up at 04:30 AM isn't awesome with a cold, and by the time I get back at ~3:00 PM I'm pretty exhausted.

Ordinarily I try to get these results published & winner notified the very next day - unfortunately due to these circumstances, this update is tardy, and for that my sincere apologies. 

First off, the Cowboys can suck it - my most hated team got shut out in Indy, giving me (and Dan) a big fat goose egg in the playoffs. Badgley with his 3 killed me in my other league. I lost in both playoffs as the 1 & 2 seed, respectively by less than 8 points in each I was also the 1-2 total scoring team in the leagues. So it is with ultimately painful irony that KICKERS were the reason I lost. (they weren't, really - Luck throwing 0 TDs in one league & Thielen/Hill combining for trash in the other were the real culprits, but naturally I'm blaming the f-ing kickers)  :angry: 

And so without further ado, here's the deal:

@Arodin crushed it. It was Fairbairn, and it was not remotely close.  Duede scored 23. Didn't miss. The next kicker was 7 points+ down. 

Fairbair

16 pts

long 46

Nicely done my friend - stragedy paid off. Drop me a PM with a shipping address & I'll get your 3-pack of sauce out on the 26th.

Thanks for playing this season folks, and happy holidays to everyone! :pickle:

Edited by Hot Sauce Guy
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@Hot Sauce Guy

Says you can’t receive messages.  Maybe your box is full?

Anyway, thanks for running the contests, and you may still have my address from one of last year’s victories.  Glad you are feeling better too.  On to offseason kicker research!

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6 minutes ago, Arodin said:

@Hot Sauce Guy

Says you can’t receive messages.  Maybe your box is full?

Anyway, thanks for running the contests, and you may still have my address from one of last year’s victories.  Glad you are feeling better too.  On to offseason kicker research!

Awe crap - no time to clear. Email me at scott@luckydoghotsauce.com!

:yes: 

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19 hours ago, Arodin said:

 

Maybe your box is full?

Ps - this is the title of my sex tape. 

Got the message! Congrats again & happy holidays! 

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Cody Parkey went 3-of-4 on field goals in Chicago's 16-15, Wild Card loss to the Eagles on Sunday, missing a 43-yard game-winning field goal at the end of the fourth quarter.

Parkey had a tumultuous first season in Chicago, hitting the uprights four times in Week 10 against the Lions, again in Week 17, and finally hit the upright andcrossbar on the same kick against Philly with the Bears trailing by one point with five seconds remaining in the contest. On the year, Parkey went 26-of-34 on field goals and 42-of-45 on extra points. That's not goo enough. Signed to a four-year deal, Parkey is very likely to be cut in the offseason after this latest blunder.

Jan 6 - 7:55 PM

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Wanted. Anyone that can kick a football straight from 40 yards. The NFL has about a dozen openings at least.

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