Very right. And it's definitely showing. Drops have been killer. Meh didn't have a great shot either way. Good luck to those that do.
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Fanduel week 12 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter NixonMask
- Start date
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Didn't mean to come across snarky. Just making an observation about a guy I was all-in on at the start of the season. He doesn't consistently run his routes well, struggles to get separation, and can't catch the football. I can't figure out what it was that had everyone so high on him preseason.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
And just like that Adams stops on a route and it results in an easy pick. He's just a really bad WR right now.
It didn't come across that way at all. They were great points and I respect it haha.
Run It Up
Footballguy
Preliminary lineups I'm loving.
I'm also trying to fit Buck Allen and Amari Cooper into similar core lineups.
I'm also trying to fit Buck Allen and Amari Cooper into similar core lineups.
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Bobcat10
Footballguy
Me too. I want to go all in on KC, but feel that would be unwise. Not sure if Arizona will be my other play when cap permits or someone else that I have not identified yet.
For those mentioning the Browns, they are simply not good. The Ravens might be simply inept on offense, but I'm not sure that makes the Browns a wise play for cash (Browns for GPP sounds ok). They don't do anything. And the Ravens will still score 10-17 imo, so that bonus is minimized.
James Daulton
Footballguy
While this is true, keep in mind that Mr. Pick 6 will be starting at QB for my beloved, beleaguered Ravens.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
My hard and fast rule has always been "don't roster anything other than a good defense even if the matchup is good". This week the Browns are testing that rule. The Ravens truly are a resistible force. The problem is the Browns are a movable object.
Pantherz
Footballguy
Are you talking about cash lineups? If so, I have a hard time trusting a NE RB for cash no matter who it is. With Freeman now out, there are too many good cheap RBs for cash, IMO, to bother with NE. I also don't want anyone vs Denver in a cash lineup.
AquaBliss
Footballguy
Aren't you getting frustrated with Gronk? To many 8-10pt games to pay up for him I think. Plus against Denver D at home where all these guys are playing for their jobs and you know Elway is in his skybox with the binoculars and notepad (pompous ###).
I'd much rather play Walker at home against Oak where nobody gets 30 lashes for giving up 2 TD's to a TE, save the $ to pay up for Martin at IND (crazy I know).
Messing with it all week ...
You pivot to Crabtree and use AZ K but, if the Steelers are going to move the ball via the air, it will be abusing Bryant's match-up. All information indicates Sherman is going to spend a fair amount of time with Brown. And ... not sure the Steelers are going to be able to run the ball in this game. Reads like a game that sees Big Ben throw the ball a lot.
44 ... 45 ... 33 ....
Steeler's passing attempts per game since the Bell injury, which includes the stat line of the Bengals game.
Seattle has enough fire power in a Kam, Earl Thomas III ... Long Horn greatness ... and Sherman to limit the Big Ben to A Brown soul mate/50 target game. Steelers will have to look elsewhere and it will be Bryant and Miller.
I have reached the conclusion you just lock in the Chiefs and go. Waste of money this week to use AZ and or Cincy, as you need to use the big WR
RB ... Rawls loss leader and I really like Yeldon on Sunday. 10 days since he last played ... going have a good game
Hard to pass up Hoyer
- McNown
- Rawls
- Yeldon
- Hopkins
- OBJ
- Fitz
- Reed
- AZ K
- Chiefs D
- Hoyer
- Rawls
- Yeldon
- Hopkins
- Yeldon
- M Bryant
- Reed
- Novak
- Chiefs
You pivot to Crabtree and use AZ K but, if the Steelers are going to move the ball via the air, it will be abusing Bryant's match-up. All information indicates Sherman is going to spend a fair amount of time with Brown. And ... not sure the Steelers are going to be able to run the ball in this game. Reads like a game that sees Big Ben throw the ball a lot.
44 ... 45 ... 33 ....
Steeler's passing attempts per game since the Bell injury, which includes the stat line of the Bengals game.
Seattle has enough fire power in a Kam, Earl Thomas III ... Long Horn greatness ... and Sherman to limit the Big Ben to A Brown soul mate/50 target game. Steelers will have to look elsewhere and it will be Bryant and Miller.
I have reached the conclusion you just lock in the Chiefs and go. Waste of money this week to use AZ and or Cincy, as you need to use the big WR
RB ... Rawls loss leader and I really like Yeldon on Sunday. 10 days since he last played ... going have a good game
Hard to pass up Hoyer
BigJohn
Footballguy
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Yep. And Denver's defense is better than anything the Pats have seen this year. If the NE OL can't do a better job than they did last week, Brady will be in harm's way. I'm thinking they'll run it a ton even if it isn't working much.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
I am all over the place on RBs right now. I usually home in on 4 core guys and sprinkle in a couple others. This week I've homed in on no one. Rawls looks pretty solids I guess, but I see warts everywhere else. Don't think AP is getting enough pub because of salary. I may have him as much as anyone else.
I still think that was situational due to the short week AND Yeldon's injuries. Yeldon dinged; played hurt on a Sunday and suited up on Thursday night. Enter D Robinson on short yardage and GL work. And how well did he do? I understand the why behind it but Robinson was ineffective and that coaching decision nearly cost them that football game.
SDC are already thin at OL and 2 starting OL are OUT and Doubtful ... Fluker and Dunlap. Jags VERY stout up front and little weak in back-end of the defense. Minimize the weakness of your defense by hammering the weakest part of the SDC team, which is their rush defense.
Not saying Yeldon gets all the carries today but I can see the Jags running the ball 30 plush times today. And Yeldon scores today
Bobcat10
Footballguy
Looking for 1 to fill a $5 contest. Thanks!
https://www.fanduel.com/entry/313218720?invitedby=bobcat10&cnl=ba
https://www.fanduel.com/entry/313218720?invitedby=bobcat10&cnl=ba
sn0mm1s
Footballguy
Pantherz
Footballguy
I'm afraid that will be my downfall this week. Lots of Hopkins, Odell-Beckam, Jones, and Brown. First 3 to go look pretty bad.
DukeBroadway
Footballguy
I just cant get anything to go my way in DFS
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Meh. Everyone has them, especially Hopkins. In cash action they aren't going to be that fatal thanks to ownership percentages.
EDIT: Besides, ODB is OK -- 8 for 125 and counting.
EDIT #2: And ODB just ODB'ed. He's officially having a big game and he's got time to do more.
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DukeBroadway
Footballguy
Yeldon was in virtually in all my line ups with jones and Hopkins
DukeBroadway
Footballguy
I hope to make it to seasons end with my deposit, its gonna be tough.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Maclin wasn't a weird call. Marshall wasn't too crazy. Hilton was out of left field. All 3? Very, very unlikely especially since you really didn't need a ton of savings anywhere else.
DukeBroadway
Footballguy
This may be my worst week.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Man, I needed that Palmer TD. May not matter ultimately but without it I had no chance. Frogging missed XP takes OT out of the equation though. That would have been ideal b/c I could use some Fitz points.
Devin Knotts
Footballguy
I had quite a bit of Marshall and wrote him and Fitzpatrick up as a great value stack in my Fantasy Aces article (I don't write a FanDuel article).
I don't think he was safe for cash games, but he has the upside and the targets have been there. Plus you had the revenge factor as Marshall is one of the most emotional players in the NFL and the revenge factor is big for him.
Definitely a strange week, but a reminder that ownership percentages do matter especially in tournaments. When players get the ownership percentages that Hopkins and Julio were at it is a good strategy to fade those players so that when weeks like this happen you have an advantage over the competition.
Also a week where I am reminded of bankroll management, I ended up going 2-3x more than what I typically do for NFL and it is going to come back to bite me.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
How does a QB throw for 456 and only 1 TD? I would have thought that impossible. I don't have him in cash, but that's amazing.
Bobcat10
Footballguy
I had Hopkins almost everywhere today. That's a separate issue in itself. But I also had 2 of these guys in more than half of my lineups.
I understand what you're saying and know you are a big proponent of it. I know most everyone says it too. But what I seem to notice more and more, while it might not be fatal, you really back yourself into a corner and you're room for error narrows greatly. It wasn't easy peasy to cash with just Jones or Hopkins. It was darn near impossible to cash with two of them not named ODB. When I did pair one with ODB, I surrounded them with some good plays, so I have a feeling others were not as fortunate in that regard. So yeah, not always fatal, but I don't think we should gloss over the fact that it makes it tougher to cash.
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
Sure, missing on any player makes it tougher to cash -- hitting on 9/9 players is always the surest way to cash. That is always the best strategy. Assuming that strategy doesn't work out though, paying attention to ownership matters in cash plays. If you whiff on a highly owned guy in cash it is, as I said, generally not fatal. If you whiff on an 8% owned guy, you are in far more trouble.
Hopkins tanking in and of itself is not going to ruin anyone's week in cash plays, especially since it doesn't appear that paying a premium was all that critical at any position. Crapping the bed at RB, however, likely will since chalk played there.
mitchh1124
Footballguy
anyone watching the denver game?
refs screwed that up
charged a timeout to broncos and the clock ran
this same instance happened earlier today
and they had an excess timeout used and the clock never started until the ball was snapped.
edit maybe the refs earlier todah screwed it up
refs screwed that up
charged a timeout to broncos and the clock ran
this same instance happened earlier today
and they had an excess timeout used and the clock never started until the ball was snapped.
edit maybe the refs earlier todah screwed it up
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DukeBroadway
Footballguy
That Gronk injury sucks. Hope he isnt as injured as it looked. I have had a bad weekend, but one gpp will redeem myself and give me some life for next week.
Bobcat10
Footballguy
Michaels said they checked during the commercial break and the refs got it right during the Den NE game. Must have messed up the earlier game.
DukeBroadway
Footballguy
I didnt cash a single 1pm line up.
Hoyer
Ware
Yeldon
Hopkins
Julio
Crabtree
Walker
Novak
Chiefs
Hoyer
Ware
Yeldon
Hopkins
Julio
Crabtree
Walker
Novak
Chiefs
This was mine, came in at 118.7
Hoyer
Peterson
Ware
hopkins
S johnson
A hurns
D walker
J brown
Jets
Devin Knotts
Footballguy
I think one of the key things to do on weeks like this when Hopkins and Jones miss is evaluate the strategy and look at some of the consistently winning players lineups. Almost every single one of them including the two players that are widely regarded as some of the best at NFL had Yeldon, Hopkins, Jones, Fitzgerald, Novak and the Chiefs. The key here is game selection and variance, tournaments are hard to win we all know this, and if your bankroll is smaller, then maybe consider doing the double ups or 50/50's.
What's interesting is that I am winning over half of my big money h2h's $109-$530 with this lousy lineup, but losing a lot of my $10-$50 h2h's, as this was a week where if you went against the chalk in a cash game lineup you were likely to succeed. I am still going to lose money on the lineup, but the process was right in my opinion.
Here is my lineup
McCown
Ware
Rawls
Julio Jones
Hopkins
Fitzgerald
Walker
Novak
Chiefs
What's interesting is that I am winning over half of my big money h2h's $109-$530 with this lousy lineup, but losing a lot of my $10-$50 h2h's, as this was a week where if you went against the chalk in a cash game lineup you were likely to succeed. I am still going to lose money on the lineup, but the process was right in my opinion.
Here is my lineup
McCown
Ware
Rawls
Julio Jones
Hopkins
Fitzgerald
Walker
Novak
Chiefs
Tennessee_ATO
Footballguy
I need a good, but not too good, night out of Barnidge, McCown, and Allen and everyone else to suck. I have each of those guys going in 1 cash lineup apiece, but I'm currently cashing in my 2 lineups without them. One of those 2 lineups is probably safe, but the other is not. I could possibly thread the needle and make some serious cash this week, or it could all turn pretty ugly.
And in my main season-long league I need a big game out of Cleveland's defense to clinch my division and a bye.
All of the above means that Baltimore likely goes off through the air and Cleveland runs the ball effectively.
And in my main season-long league I need a big game out of Cleveland's defense to clinch my division and a bye.
All of the above means that Baltimore likely goes off through the air and Cleveland runs the ball effectively.
DukeBroadway
Footballguy
Yeah this was all $2-5 50/50 and $1-2 leagues. Im rolling small. One saving grace is currently sitting 20th in a gpp, will probably drop to 30th or so after tonight.
