Milkman
Footballguy
If you could pick one break out player this year, that will be drafted late, who would it be and why?
I'm going with
Vance McDonald
Last Year Kelly was the coach of the Eagles where his offense targeted the TE twenty one more times than the 49er's did. That's a 16% increase in overall targets for the position. SF has let Boldin and Vernon Davis walk which is 141 targets lost. SF also just lost Bruce Ellington the starting slot receiver for the season. They have since replaced him with Jeremy Kerley who looks to be heavily targeted this year as well.
Gabbert was inserted into the starting lineup week 9 and McDonald was targeted 35 times a game in 7 games. With Kelly's offense targeting the TE 16% more, at least 141 targets that need to be replace, Philly's up tempo offense, and the relationship Gabbert and McDonald have formed dating back to week 9 last year I think there is a fair amount of evidence pointing to McDonald expanding his role. I mean who are they going to throw to in the red zone? Two more targets a game is not out of the question. So putting McDonald's targets at 7 isn't out of the question and when we do we get TE1 output that looks like this.
112 targets * 65% catch rate = 72 catches
10.9 YPC * 72 catches = 793
.42 TD/gm * 16 = 7 TD's
All this adds up to a projected season of 72-793-7 which would have put him as the 6th ranked TE in my league(PPR) last year. Not bad for a guy that goes undrafted in most drafts.
I'm going with
Vance McDonald
Last Year Kelly was the coach of the Eagles where his offense targeted the TE twenty one more times than the 49er's did. That's a 16% increase in overall targets for the position. SF has let Boldin and Vernon Davis walk which is 141 targets lost. SF also just lost Bruce Ellington the starting slot receiver for the season. They have since replaced him with Jeremy Kerley who looks to be heavily targeted this year as well.
Gabbert was inserted into the starting lineup week 9 and McDonald was targeted 35 times a game in 7 games. With Kelly's offense targeting the TE 16% more, at least 141 targets that need to be replace, Philly's up tempo offense, and the relationship Gabbert and McDonald have formed dating back to week 9 last year I think there is a fair amount of evidence pointing to McDonald expanding his role. I mean who are they going to throw to in the red zone? Two more targets a game is not out of the question. So putting McDonald's targets at 7 isn't out of the question and when we do we get TE1 output that looks like this.
112 targets * 65% catch rate = 72 catches
10.9 YPC * 72 catches = 793
.42 TD/gm * 16 = 7 TD's
All this adds up to a projected season of 72-793-7 which would have put him as the 6th ranked TE in my league(PPR) last year. Not bad for a guy that goes undrafted in most drafts.
