NixonMask
Footballguy
I don't know about you guys, but I am queing for for one of the year end live finals this week!
Roster construction is going to be alot tougher for the main slate this week. Between the Thursday night, Monday night, London game, and the byes there are only 12 games this week.
1. I do not see how you fade Julio Jones this week. Obviously things may change, but I expect to have near 100% exposure in cash and GPPs. I will be surprised if he has less than 15 targets and against that sawft San Diego secondary he should put up a monster line. Rivers should be happy to bomb it right along with Ryan, but who benefits there is alot tougher to figure out.
2. This is the week we get some positive regression at depressed ownership spots. Dennis Pitta has gone 3 years and two major hip surgeries without a TD. That streak ends on Sunday. The TD streak, not the hip surgery streak.
3. DeMarco Murray let alot of people down last week against a weak rushing defense. But come on, they didnt need him last week. Whats surprising is he even had as many touches as he did. I think most people pay up for McCoy (which I wont be doing), or pay down for Bell or David Johnson. I think he is the lowest owned of the four and I expect him to put up the biggest line.
4. Alex Smith let alot of people down. I had my concerns with the OAK/KC game last week, but I am loving Maclin this week. I dont think I can pull the trigger in cash, but I have a feeling he is in line for a big game and because of the stinker last week he comes at a lower ownership.
5. My instinct is to have alot of the Oak/Jax game, but Jacksonville is sneaky good against the pass. If Carr has problems again (and they are a west coast team traveling east for a 1pm game) and Bortles continues to be as bad as he has been so far I can see this turning into a 17-10 crapfest. Almost all of Allen Robinsons production is limited to a few big plays this year too. I can just as easily see the Raiders secondary being the thing to get Bortles right and this game turns into a 35-30 back and forth type game.
6. Theres really only two discount plays I can see assuming Doug Martin and the Detroit RBs are healthy: C.J. Uzomah and Michael Thomas. Maybe the Chargers guys? If we know Desmond Trufant is going to be primarily covering one of the two, maybe the other?
Roster construction is going to be alot tougher for the main slate this week. Between the Thursday night, Monday night, London game, and the byes there are only 12 games this week.
1. I do not see how you fade Julio Jones this week. Obviously things may change, but I expect to have near 100% exposure in cash and GPPs. I will be surprised if he has less than 15 targets and against that sawft San Diego secondary he should put up a monster line. Rivers should be happy to bomb it right along with Ryan, but who benefits there is alot tougher to figure out.
2. This is the week we get some positive regression at depressed ownership spots. Dennis Pitta has gone 3 years and two major hip surgeries without a TD. That streak ends on Sunday. The TD streak, not the hip surgery streak.
3. DeMarco Murray let alot of people down last week against a weak rushing defense. But come on, they didnt need him last week. Whats surprising is he even had as many touches as he did. I think most people pay up for McCoy (which I wont be doing), or pay down for Bell or David Johnson. I think he is the lowest owned of the four and I expect him to put up the biggest line.
4. Alex Smith let alot of people down. I had my concerns with the OAK/KC game last week, but I am loving Maclin this week. I dont think I can pull the trigger in cash, but I have a feeling he is in line for a big game and because of the stinker last week he comes at a lower ownership.
5. My instinct is to have alot of the Oak/Jax game, but Jacksonville is sneaky good against the pass. If Carr has problems again (and they are a west coast team traveling east for a 1pm game) and Bortles continues to be as bad as he has been so far I can see this turning into a 17-10 crapfest. Almost all of Allen Robinsons production is limited to a few big plays this year too. I can just as easily see the Raiders secondary being the thing to get Bortles right and this game turns into a 35-30 back and forth type game.
6. Theres really only two discount plays I can see assuming Doug Martin and the Detroit RBs are healthy: C.J. Uzomah and Michael Thomas. Maybe the Chargers guys? If we know Desmond Trufant is going to be primarily covering one of the two, maybe the other?