David Dodds

Hoopsguys - FBG ventures into NBA DFS

2,333 posts in this topic

3 hours ago, Shermanator said:

What time of day should we expect the IVC to be updated. Its still on yesterday

Yea, if I'm going to pay for the service I need to have a good idea what time each day the articles/reviews and the IVC are going to be up.

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I was hoping the projections and contrarian picks would be up by now. Deep dive I could see being a little later.  

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Deep Dive- http://subscribers.footballguys.com/basketball/apps/article.php?article=2016NBADeepDive_10_26_16_

IVC's- 

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=NBA_IVCFanDuel

 

We are working on a solution to get them posted on the links faster. Often times if you go to current articles you will see the article there, but it won't be linked on the front page. We think we have a fix for this to be updated in more real-time.

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Just now, blake said:

Wonderful stuff, Devin, thank you. Just a small thing - on the IVC today, Harden is listed as a PG for FanDuel, but if I recall correctly, he is only listed at SG there, not at PG.

Good catch, we fixed that. We were doing some testing with DraftKings IVC multi player eligible and he was listed as PG first.

Also, I wanted to give you all an update, as I am not happy with our team's execution on day 2 and the release times.

Here are the standard release times that we are striving for. I am holding the team accountable to these deadlines, as we need to get you guys the information faster and earlier. We have run into a few little minor issues which will happen and not going to make excuses on this as we have been delayed.

GPP-Contrarian- Noon EST

Deep Dive- 3 EST

Projections/IVC Noon EST

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why so high on booker?  your 36 pt projection seems to be about 10 pts higher than the consensus.

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Do you have a consensus you're using, would be happy to look into it? The sites that I trust are showing in the 34/35 range. This is an ideal matchup for Booker who averaged 30.75 points in the second half of the 2015-2016 season. Another site has him as their #2 overall SG behind Harden. We are consistently doing benchmarking to make sure our projections aren't missing anything or off-basis too far. 

Arron Afflalo Defensive Win Share was 0.9 which is absolutely awful. Plus the Kings are one of the highest paced teams in the NBA. I have Booker's baseline in the 28 range, but he gets an 8 point bump in matchup + pace.

 

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rotoql 28

rotogrinders 26

dfsguru 33.  hmm that seems to have gone up from earlier today.

you think hes a much better value than barton in cash games tonight?

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also how do you feel about ty lawson.  i noticed you have him way down there.  given the aforementioned fast paced matchup and the 30-40 minutes should he be higher?

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1 hour ago, Devin Knotts said:

 

Good catch, we fixed that. We were doing some testing with DraftKings IVC multi player eligible and he was listed as PG first.

Also, I wanted to give you all an update, as I am not happy with our team's execution on day 2 and the release times.

Here are the standard release times that we are striving for. I am holding the team accountable to these deadlines, as we need to get you guys the information faster and earlier. We have run into a few little minor issues which will happen and not going to make excuses on this as we have been delayed.

GPP-Contrarian- Noon EST

Deep Dive- 3 EST

Projections/IVC Noon EST

FD has MTurner as a C

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14 hours ago, Devin Knotts said:

 

Good catch, we fixed that. We were doing some testing with DraftKings IVC multi player eligible and he was listed as PG first.

Also, I wanted to give you all an update, as I am not happy with our team's execution on day 2 and the release times.

Here are the standard release times that we are striving for. I am holding the team accountable to these deadlines, as we need to get you guys the information faster and earlier. We have run into a few little minor issues which will happen and not going to make excuses on this as we have been delayed.

GPP-Contrarian- Noon EST

Deep Dive- 3 EST

Projections/IVC Noon EST

Devin, 

Good work so far. Im with you on the delay, I would be on my team to be shooting for those times you have listed, as I think those are perfect time frames for each of those releases on normal tip off times of 7-8 est. This will be my 5th NBA DFS season this year and i'm definitely interested in what i'm seeing here. I wouldn't mind being a contributor at some point myself. :shrug:

As far as suggestions:

How about a value play article? Something where you look at plays under 6k or so on each site that you think will be good plays for the slate because of injuries, usage or minutes boost or trending up recently.

I dont know if you will add this, because it is still early in the season, but how about a DvP section in the deep dive. 

Also, something minor, Are you able to add the actual time that the article is released on the top of each article? This would help differentiate between news that was released at Noon compared to something at 6pm, instead of just having the date listed. The news/updates on each could be a huge difference. 

Keep up the good work. 

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Don't know anything about college football and finished the season up a couple hundred thanks to Devin. I like that this is happening for hoops this season and that Devin is involved.

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3 hours ago, Timmay said:

Devin, 

Good work so far. Im with you on the delay, I would be on my team to be shooting for those times you have listed, as I think those are perfect time frames for each of those releases on normal tip off times of 7-8 est. This will be my 5th NBA DFS season this year and i'm definitely interested in what i'm seeing here. I wouldn't mind being a contributor at some point myself. :shrug:

As far as suggestions:

How about a value play article? Something where you look at plays under 6k or so on each site that you think will be good plays for the slate because of injuries, usage or minutes boost or trending up recently.

I dont know if you will add this, because it is still early in the season, but how about a DvP section in the deep dive. 

Also, something minor, Are you able to add the actual time that the article is released on the top of each article? This would help differentiate between news that was released at Noon compared to something at 6pm, instead of just having the date listed. The news/updates on each could be a huge difference. 

Keep up the good work. 

11

We are releasing an awesome article that will be 3x a week called the Butterfly Effect it will be released tomorrow, which is exactly what you are talking about due to minutes usage or trends.

DVP is coming, the reason we don't have it in there right now is that it is last year's data and with all the movement in free agency it isn't that reliable this early in the season. 

Will add time stamps to the articles going forward that is an easy fix. 

Will reach out once things are stabilized, i want to do some cool things where we have guest writers write an article or two to give people a chance to crack into the industry who are interested in it. I was fortunate to get started in this type of a program and want to help others who are interested in writing or doing projections or other things. Stay tuned for that.

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1 minute ago, Devin Knotts said:

We are releasing an awesome article that will be 3x a week called the Butterfly Effect it will be released tomorrow, which is exactly what you are talking about due to minutes usage or trends.

DVP is coming, the reason we don't have it in there right now is that it is last year's data and with all the movement in free agency it isn't that reliable this early in the season. 

Will add time stamps to the articles going forward that is an easy fix. 

Will reach out once things are stabilized, i want to do some cool things where we have guest writers write an article or two to give people a chance to crack into the industry who are interested in it. I was fortunate to get started in this type of a program and want to help others who are interested in writing or doing projections or other things. Stay tuned for that.

Thank you for being so communicative and transparent with your process through all of this, Devin. It is greatly appreciated.

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Yes, we are still working on the IVC's for DraftKings, our hope i that it will be completed by the weekend. 

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new to nba and not sure where to ask this. which combo is better for gpp  griffin/micotic   or Aldridge/nicholson

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On a small slate it doesn't matter much.   Everyone has high ownership.   A good idea is to just play whoever you want but leave a few thousand in a gpp,

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thanks. Didn't leave much on the table but this is my lineup for $1 miniswat

pg-wall rozier

sg- mccollum bradley

sf-leonard  bazemore

pf-Aldridge nicholson

c-cousins

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Nice call on Nicholson guys.  I wasn't even considering him until looking at the ICC.  How is he only 1% though?  I Blake 90% owned?

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2% in the mini which is like 6 people. Wish I didn't hate Howard so much looks like he's on his way to a big night.

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10 hours ago, Devin Knotts said:

We are releasing an awesome article that will be 3x a week called the Butterfly Effect it will be released tomorrow, which is exactly what you are talking about due to minutes usage or trends.

DVP is coming, the reason we don't have it in there right now is that it is last year's data and with all the movement in free agency it isn't that reliable this early in the season. 

Will add time stamps to the articles going forward that is an easy fix. 

Will reach out once things are stabilized, i want to do some cool things where we have guest writers write an article or two to give people a chance to crack into the industry who are interested in it. I was fortunate to get started in this type of a program and want to help others who are interested in writing or doing projections or other things. Stay tuned for that.

Thanks man.

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3 hours ago, NixonMask said:

Nice call on Nicholson guys.  I wasn't even considering him until looking at the ICC.  How is he only 1% though?  I Blake 90% owned?

Not sure how he was only 1% owned. Him and Rozier were both criminally underowned

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9 hours ago, SwampDawg said:

Are you going to add Draftkings at some point ?

We are hoping to have this tomorrow, we are doing some final testing tonight with tomorrow's projections, if the testing goes well DraftKings will be available tomorrow. If not, I will provide an update on the issue and when we expect it to be completed.

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$10 in, $13.20 out.  Thanks Devin.

Someone took 1st through 14th with the same lineup in a $50k shot.

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Hi Devin! Just wanted to let you know that on the IVC, the games are still listed from yesterday though the date shows today (10/28).

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1 hour ago, blake said:

Hi Devin! Just wanted to let you know that on the IVC, the games are still listed from yesterday though the date shows today (10/28).

Should be fixed now. Sorry about that.

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27 minutes ago, Devin Knotts said:

Should be fixed now. Sorry about that.

Thank you, Devin! And nice job on today's Deep Dive. A really good read.

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Thoughts on this GPP

Westy/Fraz/Harden/Book/AGordon/Hollis-Jeff/Ibaka/Kanter/Adams

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2 minutes ago, Megla said:

Thoughts on this GPP

Westy/Fraz/Harden/Book/AGordon/Hollis-Jeff/Ibaka/Kanter/Adams

Not sure if it matters, but that is close to the cash game lineup I'm using:
Curry, Frazier, Harden, Eric Gordon, Hollis-Jefferson, Durant, Kanter, Ibaka, Adams

I like going Westbrook instead of Curry though and using Aaron Gordon.
 

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Also have

Bledsoe/Fraz/Harden/Book/LaBron/Holl-Jeff/Ibaka/Kanter/Adams

Lin/Curry/Harden/Book/HBarnes/Holl-Jeff/Kanter/Marv Will/Drumond

Curry/West/Harden/Book/Ingrahm/Holl-Jeff/Kanter/Powell/Adams

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Fading AD in cash? You guys must have balls of steel.

Edited by nicholasm3

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45 minutes ago, nicholasm3 said:

Fading AD in cash? You guys must have balls of steel.

Or burned by him too many times to count. 

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AD is going to get Draymond'd.  LeBron responded by winning a title.  AD is much more likely to respond by heading to the locker room early.

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4 minutes ago, freeannyong said:

Or burned by him too many times to count. 

And I've learned not to chase previous days' production.

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