Well the best thing to happen for me this week was Montgomery and Cobb not going.
First off I was lucky enough to find out in time to change my LU's.
Those changes forced me to rethink/change some players for cap space, stacks, etc. and that saved me some cash in the end.
1. With Montgomery and Cobb out, I wanted Adams in all three of my LU's. Who else was Rodgers going to throw the ball too! Plus, I figured everyone would be thinking the same thing, so he would be highly owned just like Booker. So, because of such high ownership probability, both were in all 3 of my cash LU's. Which is not something I normally do. I kind of explained why I did this time in the FD thread.
2. I had already decided earlier that I was going 3RB's in each LU since Booker had 1 spot wrapped up. Another one of my rules is to play a Different QB/TE in each LU. I followed that rule.
3. So I had to fill 2 RB spots, 2 WR spots, and TE, and QB I would stack with a pass catcher. (If you have read my posts, you know I always try to do that)
4. My Thur/Mon LU was pretty much set with an Osweiler/CJ Fiedorowicz stack. I played that slate in particular with 1 of my LU's so I could get Murray/Tenn defense. So I stuck my No. 2 RB for the week, Freeman in the flex spot.Then pick 2 of my WR corp to throw in, that being Evans, and TY.
5. So my Thur/Mon Cash LU was: Osw-Booker-Murray-Adams-Evans-TY-CJ-Free-Tenn. (Scored 125)
6. My Sunday Only LU was next. I decided I wanted to use Barnidge at TE, who I loved this week, and was pretty chalk. With 2 of my core WR's gone now (Mont/Cobb) I decided to add 2 to my core and could go a little higher with Adams being cheaper than those 2. I added Cooper and Fitz and got rid of Marshall. I just thought Cleveland might win the game outright against the Jets, and it might be real ugly. Fitz looked like the only healthy WR on Ariz, and Coop was due for a big game in what I thought would be a shootout. I originally wanted to stack Ryan/Julio in this LU. The more I thought about it after hearing Cobb/Mont were out, I started to think Green Bay might get blown out and Atlanta may go very conservative. That made me like Freeman even more, so I wanted to put him into 2 of my LU's. Julio was just going in 1 now. So I needed a stack for LU #2 still. I already added Cooper to my core and now wasn't going with Ryan, so I decided to add Carr at QB instead. Julio was going in this LU also. So I needed 2 more RB's. I went into the week with Ware as my No. 3 guy. I was really high on him. But I kept thinking about how bad the Saints defense was against the run also. With Wilson banged up, I also like CMike a ton. Plus I already knew that Free and Booker were going into LU 3. I just figured I would throw in Ware in 3 also. I didn't want him in 2 LU's.
7. To make a long story sort of short: LU #2 Carr-Book-Cmike-Coop-Julio-Adams-Barn-Lat. Murray-Texans (Score 157)
I just had a gut feeling on Lat. Murray. Word out of Oakland was he was going to be more of a bell cow. This obviously was my best LU.
9. Now onto #3. I wanted to play it in the Sun/Mon slate or the one that included Sunday morning if possible. I really liked AJ, and Asiata still interested me. Well I ended getting into the slate that didn't include AJ, so Asiata was still in play.
10. Like I said before, I alway use different QB's and TE's in each LU. I had already used my too favorite TE's this week in Barn and CJ. I liked Bennett a lot also, but his injury status was scaring me. I wanted me some Brady though, so I decided to see if I could fit in Gronk. Once I found out McKinnon was for sure out, I figured I could fit Gronk with Asiata being so cheap. So I already had a lot of this LU made with Booker/Free/Adams/Gronk/Asiata. This ended up taking Ware, Rodgers, and Gore out for me. I liked all 3 of them too. So I through in Brady to stack with Gronk. But with Brady in, I just didn't like my WR options. I wanted to get Fitz in for sure. So I had to make a decision, go with Brady/Gronk/and cheap guy at WR3 or Better WR3/Gronk/ and find a QB to stack with someone. I decided on the second option and stuck in Winston/Evans stack. This was an unusual move for me also, since I already felt like I had used 2 lower end QB's.
11. So my final #3 - Winston-Book-Free-Evans-Fitz-Adams-Gronk-Asiata-Ariz (Score 134 with Asiata to go)
12. All told I think having to redo my thinking with Cobb/Mont out really ended up helping me this week. My 3 LU strategy paid off again. It enabled me to diversify my LU's enough that my chalk plays that stunk didn't kill me. No doubt the fact that my value guys reached value for the most part was a plus. My chalk guys that didn't hit didn't hurt me too much because everyone else had them too, and I had them spread out between the 3 LU's. My read on the Atlanta/GB game was not exactly right, but did keep me from having Julio in more than 1 LU. I was very high on Evans/Julio just like everyone else. My 2 lock Chalks, Booker and Adams, reached value and I had one final stoke of luck happen. One RB I was really high on to start the week, Ware, somehow didn't make it into any LU.
13. So, with all the chalk flopping this week, I ended up doing very well in the end! (Even with the stupid Osweiler call)
Sorry of the long read, just thought it might help someone else out down the road. The Lesson again, (and if you have read any of my previous posts, I have reiterated this before) It pays to diversify even your cash LU's! You probably won't win as much when Chalk hits like last week, but you also won't lose as much when chalk doesn't hit like this week, and you might even win more!
