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The Ref

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - 7 days until college kickoff!

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35 minutes ago, Good Posting Judge said:

Vegas Dave is a Steve Stevens-level scammer.

What do you mean he hits 75%.  He's a new generation. Those old guys who say it's impossible are just old dinosaurs. Really feel like you're not paying attention.

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6 minutes ago, Frostillicus said:

What do you mean he hits 75%.  He's a new generation. Those old guys who say it's impossible are just old dinosaurs. Really feel like you're not paying attention.

Also just eyeballs games. None of that fancy computer ####.

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1 minute ago, Good Posting Judge said:

Also just eyeballs games. None of that fancy computer ####.

It's a gift.

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3 minutes ago, parasaurolophus said:

So what futures bets do guys have open still on tourney?

Only got two left from February. T Tech at 50-1 and LSU at 100-1.

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Just now, huskers15 said:

Only got two left from February. T Tech at 50-1 and LSU at 100-1.

I wish the teams that got eliminated from the tourney would disappear from my bovada open bets list. 

Still have auburn at 100-1, houston at 75-1 and 65-1, purdue at 55-1, and virginia tech at 75-1 on bovada. But of course have to stare at marquette at 100-1, seton hall at 500-1, murray st at 500-1, kansas st at 80-1, maryland at 100-1, xavier at 300-1, and kansas at 60-1. 

Being a marquette homer(wife went there and they are local) of course the Marquette bet was 5 times as much as next closest(auburn) and i think equals the total of all the others. So please just delete it damnnit! 

Have a paper ticket for gonzaga at 8-1 from caesars. 

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Also made some ill advised MVP and Cy Young bets last night

most HR - Stanton 9-1

most wins - Verlander 18-1 / Cole 25-1

AL CY - Verlander 15-1 / Cole 18-1

NL CY - Thor 14.5-1 /German Marquez 50-1 / Jameson Taillon 65-1

NL MVP - Yellich 20-1 / Rizzo 30-1

 

 

 

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8 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Rizzo 30-1

:slaphands: 

He frequently goes on 30-45 day runs of greatness. If he could level that out a bit and be more consistent he would be amazing.

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Quote

I think 1H goes way over in Orlando
followed by a 2H that goes way under

I think Portland will be good for 55+ in the 1H
and both teams score 111+ full game
I think Nets have to keep it within 2 at the half to cover full game

When the Jazz win as the fave .... league-best ATS
I think the Jazz will be good for 60+ in the 2H
And hold the Suns to around 20 points in the 2Q

✔️

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Suns dude was hot from 3 to start the game. They put up 11 quick. Subsequently, in live betting, the 1Q and 1H got more expensive to bet the under. Book telegraphed it

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2 hours ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Also made some ill advised MVP and Cy Young bets last night

most HR - Stanton 9-1

most wins - Verlander 18-1 / Cole 25-1

AL CY - Verlander 15-1 / Cole 18-1

NL CY - Thor 14.5-1 /German Marquez 50-1 / Jameson Taillon 65-1

NL MVP - Yellich 20-1 / Rizzo 30-1

 

 

 

I like the Verlander/Cole leans

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Mavs three days removed from upsetting Dubs, playing with revenge from 5 days ago, and 10-0 SU as one-possession dogs this season..

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2 hours ago, The Ref said:

I like the Verlander/Cole leans

May be better lines too, these were with my local. Yeah I think they were both good value 

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7 hours ago, parasaurolophus said:

So what futures bets do guys have open still on tourney?

Duke doesn't win -225

1 seed wins tourney -150

Total of final 4 rankings u10.5 -145

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23 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

Nets visiting Oregon toward the end of a long roadie. I think Portland will be good for 55+ in the 1H and both teams score 111+ full game. I think Nets have to keep it within 2 at the half to cover full game. I think 1H goes way over in Orlando followed by a 2H that goes way under..

Magic/Sixers 1H o112 +106
Trail Blazers 1st Half o56 -110
Nets/Trail Blazers o223½ -101

All of these were good and none of these were bad

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29 minutes ago, got_nugs said:

All of these were good and none of these were bad

all it took was a slate of mundane, under-the-radar contests for me to bring it. like one of those days where all they offer is CFL. plus I been strong since Saturday - just good at life. it's the spring time bro. a beautiful season for sun worship; a season of resurrection, so to speak, as the Sun returns to us from it's winter vacation. I feel it in my bones and my blood, ever since Saturday. by Sunday I could smell it in the air, and then yesterday just manifested everywhere; mind, body, and spirit. fitbit even told me I slept the deepest sleep I ever slept last night.

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Never comforting when you need a guy to make a couple free throws and you see him standing 9 inches back from the line. Almost always means it is a bad free throw shooter that keeps trying different things to fix it. 

Yes. Two bricks followed. 

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On 7/9/2018 at 1:23 PM, Frostillicus said:

College bball champ: Tennessee +3300.

This is my biggest one by far, with a small amount on both Gonzaga and Kentucky.  Only others this year (I cut back!) were Nevada and Cuse for small amounts.

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18 minutes ago, Frostillicus said:

This is my biggest one by far, with a small amount on both Gonzaga and Kentucky.  Only others this year (I cut back!) were Nevada and Cuse for small amounts.

I'm proud of you

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During the L4 seasons when Wizards are in a losing streak of 3+ games the total has gone 19-7 to the over.

  • 19-2 when they allow 99+ points
  • 16-3 in the games played December thru April
  • 14-2 against teams that allow more than 101 avg ppg

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3 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

@got_nugs they doing the battle of Florida in Miami NBA today huh

Yeah man, retiring Boshs jersey.  He's Mrs Nugs favorite NBA player, I'm a big fan of his too.

 

Too bad he didn't play tonight, Heaters could have used a rebound or two.

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you can always tell it's lent when fast food starts advertising their seafood on TV a lot

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1 hour ago, got_nugs said:

He's Mrs Nugs favorite NBA player

I bet she stoked for MLB season huh

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If I was the opposing team and saw Dirk Nowitzki on the court it'd be like chumming the waters for me. Out there limping around <_<

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11 hours ago, lumpy19 said:

WGC match tourney starts tomorrow at 10am and Betonline has no lines, WTF is wrong with these guys

Still no lines

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16 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

I bet she stoked for MLB season huh

No, no she isn't.  Baseball is every day.

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18 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

Izzo career 0-8 SU and 7-1 O/U vs Kryzewski

Please remind me of this Friday night after the S16 games. :) 

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All six of the Thunder's home revenge games have gone over..

Thunder o112
Thunder/Pacers o217½ -102

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19 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

Izzo career 0-8 SU and 7-1 O/U vs Kryzewski

Probably doesn’t matter to the overall point, but lookup 2005 NCAA tournament. Izzo knocked out an awesome JJ Reddick team. 

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I've got 2 futures bets I like in Baseball.

Eloy Jimenez Over 20.5 HRs (-130) - Legit power hitter that is pretty much GUARANTEED a full season of ABs now that he signed the contract. That's huge. Most rookie guys have lower numbers because they're in danger of being sent down or losing playing time. Not Eloy. His leash is a mile long now. Hard to imagine him not hitting 20+ with 500+ ABs.

Tampa Bay Rays will not make the playoffs (-340) - Coming off an overachieving season. Lineup full of nobodies. No home crowd support. Playing in the same division with Sawx and Yanks. Just dont see it.

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37 minutes ago, E-Z Glider said:

I've got 2 futures bets I like in Baseball.

Eloy Jimenez Over 20.5 HRs (-130) - Legit power hitter that is pretty much GUARANTEED a full season of ABs now that he signed the contract. That's huge. Most rookie guys have lower numbers because they're in danger of being sent down or losing playing time. Not Eloy. His leash is a mile long now. Hard to imagine him not hitting 20+ with 500+ ABs.

IN on this one  :hifive:

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2 hours ago, E-Z Glider said:

 

Tampa Bay Rays will not make the playoffs (-340) No home crowd support. 

I’ll be bringing my son to more of the games this year, so that’s twice as much cowbell as last year.

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Added Phillies U89.5 (-130)

I think they’re good, but 90 wins good? With that manager in that division? Harper struggles out of the gate, the fans are brutal on him, he hits under .250 and less than 30 HR’s

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Played some baseball, just tippy toeing for now:

Cubs, Rox, Rays, Dodgers, BoSox F5, F5 unders in Nate/Mets and Rays/Stros. Pretty chalky 

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We are going to see a 20 point spread against the bulls pretty soon here. Guys getting shut down for season left and right. They had to raid their G-league team last night which led to them losing their g league playoff game. 

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51 minutes ago, Billy Bats said:

0-1 in baseball, right where I left off. 

Just keep taking Degrom F5 unders.. Starting off right where they left off 1-0

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4 hours ago, got_nugs said:

I’ll be bringing my son to more of the games this year, so that’s twice as much cowbell as last year.

MEADOWS IS ASKING FOR MOOR COWBELL! 

 

(Meadows isn't my kids name, he's the guy that hit a leadoff HR, just thought i'd clarify.  I'd never do that to a kid.  We named our kid Sunflower, after the seeds).

Edited by got_nugs
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On 3/23/2019 at 7:02 PM, ChainsawU said:

Also, in the Purdue game - since 2016 games have gone 20-0 to the over when Boilermakers allow more than 58 points on a neutral court.

21-3 O/U neutral
21-0 O/U when the opponent scored 61+
19-0 O/U against teams that average more than 73.5 ppg

Vols 5-0 O/U in their five losses this season.. :whistle:

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