Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
The Ref

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - KICKOFF!!!!!!!!

Recommended Posts

Was able to get Conners at 200-1 at BV about 15 mins ago.

 

1st round leader:

Rose +2000

Speith +2200

Fowler +2500 

 

Take the skillz that killz during what should be the best conditions for the round.  Good news that if these get into trouble early I should be able to reposition for live betting.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I am so close to pulling the trigger on Rose at +1400, only thing holding me back to click Matsuyama at +2800 for double the payoff.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm going to hold off and hope for a kneejerk reaction in the live market with #1 being a bogey hole for about 30% of the field.

Then I have Finau at 48.97-1 and 21 guys at triple digit odds.

Here we go!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Still 25-30 mph late afternoon winds on the forecast tomorrow.

 

Here in Wisconsin we went from 70 degrees on Tuesday to 4 inches of snow on the ground and howling winds this morning.

A lot of the normal "wind" guys aren't going to have their usual advantage because line drives can not be shaped at Augusta.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

You can live bet the 3 balls by the hole on bv.....

I'll be the guy cursing in the corner on his cell phone at the vet office in about an hour.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I was going to whine about the shot tracker at Augusta, but this coverage is amazing!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Conners is winning the masters!!!!    ( Thru 1 hole at E with only 4 others on the course... but hey, it is a start!)

Edited by Angry Beavers
our hero is +1 thru 12 - he is hanging in there - that is all we need on Day 1; Now even thru 13
  • Love 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Since Dave Roberts became manager Dodgers 17-5-1 O/U trying to end a three-game losing streak (13-0 O/U when they score 1+ off the opponent pen). Muncy, Gale, and Buehler have no data versus Wacha, while the other six Dodgers in the lineup own a combined .954 OPS against him in 65 combined at bats. This season Dodgers 5-0 SU 11±4 rpg lined less than -120 versus RHP.

The umpire leans heavily toward the Cards. Since Sep 14, 2017, the home team in the last game of the series has gone 10-0 SU with Miller behind home plate, and the Cards are 23-14 SU career overall with Miller behind home plate (sine 2004) - the most profitable MLB team in that spot behind Cleveland.

Cards 8-4 O/U this season and 7-0 O/U when their bullpen allows 1+ runs.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

Since Dave Roberts became manager Dodgers 17-5-1 O/U trying to end a three-game losing streak (13-0 O/U when they score 1+ off the opponent pen). Muncy, Gale, and Buehler have no data versus Wacha, while the other six Dodgers in the lineup own a combined .954 OPS against him in 65 combined at bats. This season Dodgers 5-0 SU 11±4 rpg lined less than -120 versus RHP.

The umpire leans heavily toward the Cards. Since Sep 14, 2017, the home team in the last game of the series has gone 10-0 SU with Miller behind home plate, and the Cards are 23-14 SU career overall with Miller behind home plate (sine 2004) - the most profitable MLB team in that spot behind Cleveland.

Cards 8-4 O/U this season and 7-0 O/U when their bullpen allows 1+ runs.

St. Louis will have winds of nearly 20 mph blowing out to left field and temps around 80 degrees,... from Action Network. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

:goodposting:

Wacha career 19-7 SU home/day with a 14-12 O/U:

  • 16-2 SU less than 82 degrees outside
  • 17-2 SU when the pen allows less than 3 runs
  • 14-3 O/U when the pen allows 1+ runs
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Angry Beavers said:

St. Louis will have winds of nearly 20 mph blowing out to left field and temps around 80 degrees,... from Action Network. 

zybert on under

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, parasaurolophus said:

Booooooooooo! Bogey on 18 is very anti-climactic for our hero. 

Yea, we clearly put too much pressure on him. That's ok, he is showing the field he is a mortal before he smokes the field tomorrow.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ChainsawU said:

Since Dave Roberts became manager Dodgers 17-5-1 O/U trying to end a three-game losing streak (13-0 O/U when they score 1+ off the opponent pen). Muncy, Gale, and Buehler have no data versus Wacha, while the other six Dodgers in the lineup own a combined .954 OPS against him in 65 combined at bats. This season Dodgers 5-0 SU 11±4 rpg lined less than -120 versus RHP.

The umpire leans heavily toward the Cards. Since Sep 14, 2017, the home team in the last game of the series has gone 10-0 SU with Miller behind home plate, and the Cards are 23-14 SU career overall with Miller behind home plate (sine 2004) - the most profitable MLB team in that spot behind Cleveland.

Cards 8-4 O/U this season and 7-0 O/U when their bullpen allows 1+ runs.

Cards just scored two on a wild pitch. Don't think I've ever seen that before.

4-3 Cards btm 2

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The music on this Masters app makes me think i'm sitting in an elevator on the phone on hold with an insurance company.  Pleasant.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 hours ago, hooter311 said:

You can live bet the 3 balls by the hole on bv.....

I'll be the guy cursing in the corner on his cell phone at the vet office in about an hour.

How'd you do on these?  I only had a chance at the last few groups and just tracked it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, got_nugs said:

The music on this Masters app makes me think i'm sitting in an elevator on the phone on hold with an insurance company.  Pleasant.

i wonder if there are any fish in those pond's

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Mets chased everything in the 1st inning. They're showing some patience in the second and it turns out this ump's zone is kinda tight, girl

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

L3 seasons D-Backs are third-best in cashing the under at home in the last game of the series. Alternatively, they are the best team in the MLB for hitting the over in G1 at home during that same time. In a 28-game sample since last season, D-Backs went 12-16 SU in G1 at home:

when the bullpen allowed 0 runs: 7-1 SU
when the bullpen allowed 1+ runs: 5-15 SU

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Andriese, Bradley, and Chafin threw 27, 28, and 21 pitches out of the pen yesterday..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, facook said:

How'd you do on these?  I only had a chance at the last few groups and just tracked it.

Mostly just bet the pros high in bogey avoidance against the amateurs and first year guys.  Didn't get to watch as much live today as I would have liked.

 

 

Top 3 don't scare me at all and I have more live triple digit guys under par than expected:

Poulter -4. +8000

Harding -3  +40000

Barnrat -3 +25000

Conners -2 +20000

Holmes -2 +15000

Bjerregaard -2 +28500

Woodland -2 +8000

Smith -2 +11000

Finau -1 +4896

Hoffman -1+10250

Olesen -1. +22500

 

Chalk sucks, buy a dog and turn it loose.

 

 

ETA: original barnrat line was off, I'm holding 250-1

Edited by hooter311

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ChainsawU said:

i wonder if there are any fish in those pond's

Nope. Completely unnatural.  No squirrels, no fish, no bugs,, etc

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

In the 33 games that Zack Godley started and the D-Backs lost, 20 of them were by a margin of 3+ runs. I also like that the Pods are guaranteed a full nine innings to cover, with three of their main Arizona relievers already taxed in an already crappy bullpen. Rolling the dice..!

Padres -2½ +305
Pods/D-Backs o10 +140

Edited by ChainsawU

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
38 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

In the 33 games that Zack Godley started and the D-Backs lost, 20 of them were by a margin of 3+ runs. I also like that the Pods are guaranteed a full nine innings to cover, with three of their main Arizona relievers already taxed in an already crappy bullpen. Rolling the dice..!

Padres -2½ +305
Pods/D-Backs o10 +140

In 🤗

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't have my #### together this morning, lol

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

For matchups and three balls this is my core for today:

Olesen, Walker, Conners

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Friday 3 ball

Casey +260 over Speith and Koepka

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

At BV:

Matsuyama -115 over Schauffele

Scott -120 over Oosthuizen

Finau -125 over Leishman

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you don't read my tweets:

 

Currently underpriced live: Day 50-1, Finau 70-1, Woodland 80-1, Kuchar 80-1, Rose 125-1, Conners 125-1, Olesen 200-1, Simpson 250-1, Stenson 350-1, Snedeker 500-1

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 hours ago, modogg said:

In 🤗

can safely say we been betting late night NL West games for more than a couple years now

  • Love 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The last time two starters name Wade faced each other in the MLB was when Wade Miley and the D-Backs hosted Wade LeBlanc and the Marlins on August 22, 2012. SDQL

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

arbitrary situation that's crazy:
Since that day, home dogs with the same first name as the opposing starter have gone 17-11 SU and 17-4 SU +$1,767 lined less than 165. sdql

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.