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The Ref

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - KICKOFF!!!!!!!!

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Harden and the Rockets are 23-10 SU and 20-12-1 ATS against the Jazz.

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3 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

Not much late action. How have short, public road dogs done in NBA playoffs so far this year :unsure:

Per my personal friend and notorious Wagertalk tout Rotund Ralph Michaels:
 

"I'm sure you all saw my same tweet Thursday but here it is again. Play-off Away Favorites of 7.5 or more are now 17-1 ATS (94.4%)! An example of the lack of parity with the top seeds being elite teams and the bottom seeds not even play-off worthy for the most part."

They were 16-1 before Thursday.  I've been on Warriors Thurs, Bucks today, and now again Warriors tomorrow.  FWIW.

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Stras career 27-5 SU (avg line -183) on Sundays.

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Bundy has been a profitable day starter. I'm goin' Twins though with Bundy on 4 days and less than 100 pitches last start..

Twins -1½ +109
Twins o5½ +115
Twins/Orioles o10 +125

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NHL playoff dogs are now 23-15 after the Bruins won today.

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18 hours ago, facook said:

Per my personal friend and notorious Wagertalk tout Rotund Ralph Michaels:
 

"I'm sure you all saw my same tweet Thursday but here it is again. Play-off Away Favorites of 7.5 or more are now 17-1 ATS (94.4%)! An example of the lack of parity with the top seeds being elite teams and the bottom seeds not even play-off worthy for the most part."

They were 16-1 before Thursday.  I've been on Warriors Thurs, Bucks today, and now again Warriors tomorrow.  FWIW.

18-2.  Sigh.

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In 2019 Sharks games have seen 2.52 goals per game in the 1P (1st NHL) 1.24 goals per game from the opponent (1st NHL) and 1.28 goals per game from the Sharks (1st NHL).

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That's a 46-game sample. Both teams scored in the 1P in 30 of those L46 Sharks games.

Opposing teams went 19-27 SU:
Scoring 3 or fewer: 1-24 SU
Scoring 4+ goals: 18-3 SU

Knights o3½ +100
Sharks/Knights o6 -120
Sharks/Knights o7½ +250
Both teams score 1P +145
Sharks/Knights 1P o1½ -150

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I think Portland straight up wins tonight in OKC.  OKC got all the calls last game and shot 50% from 3.  I don't think that happens again tonight.

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1 hour ago, Don't Noonan said:

I think Portland straight up wins tonight in OKC.  OKC got all the calls last game and shot 50% from 3.  I don't think that happens again tonight.

I'm on the other side (Blazer/Oregon homer as well) but don't be a stranger.  The more the merrier, dude.

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this hockey game had vaginal rejuvenation

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Posted (edited)

I bought Wicca a cheap six-pack of bras off Amazon. She got super stoked and said that she, her mom and her daughter have all been wearing them. She such a big ol' hippie but go super durty in bed. She come over tomorrow night I think I'm gonna grill her some ribs by the pool. I bet u she doesn't even own a real bathing suit, might hit up old navy tomorrow

Edited by ChainsawU
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I think A's win by a couple runs tomorrow night.

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THANK YOU for that 3pt % angle on the Blazers. Teams don't win the next playoff game after doing that - it was money in the playoffs - especially with Thunder sinking 10+ threes last time. Money in the 1H and money in the FG. Blazers finished 1H and locked it down  in the end. The way the game kept getting lined live seemed to me that the big majority was backing the Thunder, and the book made a lot of $ off those dudes perpetually freaking out as the game went on. Look at that 2H line of +6, for example. The Thunder team total kept getting lined at 98 with a hook, so freakin' enticing if you didn't see it coming.

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On 3/19/2019 at 2:32 PM, lumpy19 said:

Bookmaker Josh Jacobs o24.5 -150

Not a great day for him today at bama pro day

The raiders at 24 scare me, they're so dumb

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Blake o33.5 pra -105 mybookie

Drummond u33.5 pra -130 bookmaker

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On 4/20/2019 at 7:14 PM, lumpy19 said:

Disagree? Let's discuss

Walter football has 18 Offensive players in the 1 round.  Now most of these come in the back half of the round so they aren’t as sure things.... most of the top 15 will be D from everything I have read.

-110 is one thing, -200 I think it’s risky.

for what it’s worth they have Jacobs going to Da Raiders at 24, as you said.

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Frankie Montas 4-4 SU home:
no first inning run allowed: 4-0 SU with 5 runs allowed in 26 innings
allowing a first inning run: 0-4 SU with 18 runs allowed in 21 innings

might know pretty quick how it's going to go

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13 hours ago, lumpy19 said:

Blake o33.5 pra -105 mybookie

Drummond u33.5 pra -130 bookmaker

Guess I should have played Blake o32.5 pra -185 at bookmaker :wall:

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10 hours ago, The Ref said:

Walter football has 18 Offensive players in the 1 round.  Now most of these come in the back half of the round so they aren’t as sure things.... most of the top 15 will be D from everything I have read.

-110 is one thing, -200 I think it’s risky.

for what it’s worth they have Jacobs going to Da Raiders at 24, as you said.

That's kind of where I'm at, first 15 is so heavy with def that everything has to fall correct for offense to have a chance.  There are some smart teams in the back half of round 1, counting on them to make good decisions, specifically at WR where there's a lot of depth in this draft(and passing on RBs)

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M's 11-2 SU away on 103 combined runs (8±3 rpg) and 11-1-1 to the over.

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Since June 2017 left-handed starters 29-13 SU hosting the Twins (25-5 SU favorite). sdql

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Twins first time facing a left-handed starter in 2019 :crazy:

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22 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

M's 11-2 SU away on 103 combined runs (8±3 rpg) and 11-1-1 to the over.

M's 1.004 OPS vs L

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Posted (edited)

Mariners lead the league with 16 wins and the average line in those games was all of their combined games this season +109

Edited by ChainsawU

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I was 1-1 in the sportsbook this weekend, but I wrecked shop at blackjack and video poker. More than doubled my money. :bowtie:

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Any of you degenerates bet AAA baseball?  I noticed yesterday that the Las Vegas Aviators were 14-4 and were facing a starting pitcher who was a reliever on a rehab start so I threw a unit on it.   I think I may start looking at this a little more.

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24 minutes ago, -fish- said:

Any of you degenerates bet AAA baseball?  I noticed yesterday that the Las Vegas Aviators were 14-4 and were facing a starting pitcher who was a reliever on a rehab start so I threw a unit on it.   I think I may start looking at this a little more.

what book did you find this at?  🤔

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6 minutes ago, Angry Beavers said:

what book did you find this at?  🤔

Bovada has minor league baseball.

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On 4/22/2019 at 12:38 PM, lumpy19 said:

The raiders at 24 scare me, they're so dumb

Time to hedge? 

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On 4/8/2019 at 4:01 AM, ChainsawU said:

Verlander 32-16 SU with the Astros:
away: 19-4 SU +$1,238
home: 13-12 SU -$1,615

Twins -1½ +355
Twins -2½ +600

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On 4/23/2019 at 5:53 PM, Angry Beavers said:

Taking a small shot on Wheeler and the Mets - I think he is due for a little positive regression. 

NYM - 135

You really had to sweat this one huh? 

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On 4/20/2019 at 12:56 PM, ChainsawU said:

Woke up seven hours later - 18 units to the good, to my surprise - after seeing what went down at Coors

up 129 units since this happened

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23 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

I forgot what it’s called but I think I’ve had those in China 

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43 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

up 129 units since this happened

Wait...for real?

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26 minutes ago, facook said:

Wait...for real?

Yep. Sickest run of my entire life. And that's in addition to (+) that 18u from the Charlie Blackmon 12th inning home run game, so 137 total. I picked up my badge for the Moontower Comedy Fest, so am basically forcing myself away from wagering the next four nights. To try and gain perspective on what I wanna do. Those Twins wagers snuck in there though. When I got done with that Trailblazers game the other night, after all the live betting, felt like I'd been in a literal fight. Barely slept I was so jacked up.

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53 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

I forgot what it’s called but I think I’ve had those in China 

They look like boobs to me. I also think butt cheeks looks like cleavage sometimes.

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26 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

They look like boobs to me. I also think butt cheeks looks like cleavage sometimes.

I was looking at the fuzzy things on the left

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On 4/20/2019 at 9:45 AM, facook said:

The 1st inning over .5 run has hit 13 14 in a row when Greinke pitches.  However, the wind is blowing in at 18 mph in Wrigley today.  Torn.  May play the over for .5 unit.

Also holding my nose and playing Marlins +.5 F5.  Can't remember the last time Sherzer cashed a F5, but the Marlins are truly awful.  Yuck.

Playing the yes again today at plus money.

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I have money into a bet365 account via a buddy. Any idea on how to access it/log in from the states? Tried my vpn and no dice.

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3 hours ago, facook said:
On 4/20/2019 at 9:45 AM, facook said:

The 1st inning over .5 run has hit 13 14 in a row when Greinke pitches.  However, the wind is blowing in at 18 mph in Wrigley today.  Torn.  May play the over for .5 unit.

Also holding my nose and playing Marlins +.5 F5.  Can't remember the last time Sherzer cashed a F5, but the Marlins are truly awful.  Yuck.

Playing the yes again today at plus money.

15 straight now.

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