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The Ref

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - KICKOFF!!!!!!!!

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Weather in Colorado Springs forecast to be low 60s w/ clear skies and no wind or rain on Saturday. Fresno will be coming off the bye - since 2008 opposing teams with more than 6 days to prepare have gone 26-11-1 (.703) O/U in games against Air Force. Conference games: 16-2-1 O/U

Fresno/AF o51 -102

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On 10/6/2019 at 6:06 PM, The Ref said:

Pats 1h and game under tracker (based on opening line)

Wins 9
Losses 0
Ties 1

Wins 9

losses 2

Ties 1

but..... there was the makings of two more unders but things went a little nutty in the 2Q.  I’m going to keep playing them.

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I’d be really really suprised if come the mid 4th quarter Saturday Kent State wasn’t up on Akron by more than 14.  In fact I think it will be a blowout.  

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39 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

I liked how there were no FG last night 

yep nice lumpy, i saw a tweet later on that bill saying he basically wasnt going to kick fg;s so grabbed what I could at 5d for $25:thumbdown:

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I don't think I understand the line in the Colorado/Oregon game.  Oregon shouldn't be favored by 21 on anybody right now.  IMO.  Colorado can score.  Their defense sucks, but Oregon's offense is build much differently than previous iterations.  

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10 minutes ago, General Malaise said:

I don't think I understand the line in the Colorado/Oregon game.  Oregon shouldn't be favored by 21 on anybody right now.  IMO.  Colorado can score.  Their defense sucks, but Oregon's offense is build much differently than previous iterations.  

Felt the same exact way when I played Cal last week. Couldn’t believe they were giving that many and again this week. :shrug: 

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14 minutes ago, Billy Bats said:

Felt the same exact way when I played Cal last week. Couldn’t believe they were giving that many and again this week. :shrug: 

I hit the under for a nice score.  That was an easy one.  I just think the perception is still there that Oregon is going to score everytime they get the ball on offense and do so with dizzying speed.  That isn't the way this team has been constructed.  They are efficient and will look to move the chains vs trying to score with a blitzkrieg approach.  

Colorado has an offense, unlike Cal (absent their QB).  I think they'll test this Oregon defense unlike any other team has thus far this season.

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Mainly just based on what I think will happen.

Texas +11.5 - Despite how good Oklahoma has looked, this is always a close game. Tom Herman and Todd Orlando have beaten Oklahoma twice as HC/DC combo

Memphis -5.5 - Memphis has won every game by at least five, including a win over Mississippi. They have scored 55, 42, 35, 52 their last five and I think that trend continues.

Florida State +27 - This is more "Clemson just hasn't looked right" than anything. Four TDs seems like a pretty large hill to climb, but this one worries me the most I think.

Notre Dame -10.5 - Notre Dame is for real and USC is trending in the wrong direction. Notre Dame has also fallen out of the conversation of playoff teams, and a big rivalry win might be what Brian Kelly wants to reignite that conversation.

Florida +13 - I really like what Coach O is doing on the bayou, but I think this is a one-score game for some reason. For me, Florida proved last week they aren't going to fold under the pressure of a big game. If they can keep the turnovers under control, they can keep this game under 13.

Please feel free to rip these picks to shreds...

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4 hours ago, Dan Lambskin said:

You guys playin the Cards?

I like a couple spots that lean Cards/over. The home team in G1 - I'd rather not back Mikolas in a G1, rather have him in a later game/last game of the series - but Cards have raked in Mikolas' September/October starts, and I like the spot they're in with Nats starting the series in the middle of consecutive road games & after a dog win.

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also like the over with Mikolas allowing a couple runs to the Nats in his career

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I’ll be in the 7th row behind the Miami bench tonight 

 

heavy rain all night -999

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what are the odds on lightning delays. I hate those

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38 minutes ago, The Ref said:

I’ll be in the 7th row behind the Miami bench tonight 

 

heavy rain all night -999

Miami is the favorite, a!ways got that going for you.

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2 hours ago, The Ref said:

I’ll be in the 7th row behind the Miami bench tonight 

 

heavy rain all night -999

My 17 year old son is there with his girlfriend 

 

heavy petting tonight -999

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3 minutes ago, greedygoat said:

My 17 year old son is there with his girlfriend 

 

heavy petting tonight -999

Your son

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UVA +2.5 reeks to high heaven.  Someone in the desert knows something.  I'm taking UVA anyway.

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22 minutes ago, facook said:

UVA +2.5 reeks to high heaven.  Someone in the desert knows something.  I'm taking UVA anyway.

Yeah this is very fishy

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3 hours ago, The Ref said:

I’ll be in the 7th row behind the Miami bench tonight 

 

heavy rain all night -999

You rocking a hat?

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Just now, got_nugs said:

You rocking a hat?

Guy who says "rocking a hat", dooosh or insufferable dooosh?

Edited by got_nugs
can't say #####?

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bet you Ref rocking a all-white cap like always. that's how you know he the ref

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remember last season Animal meant you cashed an automatic over, now he shutting teams out in the championships

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3 hours ago, Penguin said:
4 hours ago, facook said:

UVA +2.5 reeks to high heaven.  Someone in the desert knows something.  I'm taking UVA anyway.

Yeah this is very fishy

Everyone bet Miami!!!

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9 hours ago, The Ref said:

Oregon it is

:bowtie:

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Anyone getting involved with Holgorsen and them today? Cougars just had their bye week and it will be their first "real" home game. They hosted cupcake Prairie View (+30) in week 2, but other than that they've either been away or at a neutral site. Nugs' home boy Dana got to watch Cincinnati (+3½) defend home turf against UCF last Friday night on ESPN. After beating UCF, Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell is now 16-3 in the Bearcats' L19 games and 13-0 as the favorite.

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The only thing you come across on Twitter regarding Holgorsen right now is about how some pissed off kid from the o-line is accusing him of tanking the season. The kid did a 27-post Twitter rant, and everyone including some dude who wrote a Sports Illustrated staff article about it is validating the kid. It's dumb. It's a level of dumb that makes you sad inside. Very dumb and unprofessional. Anyway, coach Fickell's home/away record kind of speaks to me. He 16-6 at home but only 7-11 on the road. Narrowed down, the road record becomes 4-10 when he had less than 2 weeks to prepare for the game, 2-7 after a win, and 1-7 against teams averaging more than 32 ppg. "Coming off one of the biggest wins in recent program history against an opponent with nothing to lose and fresh after a week off, the case for a letdown is easy to make" - Fletcher Page, Cincinnati Enquirer

Houston +248
Houston o21 -115
Houston 1H o10½ +125

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Indiana -27.5

Michigan -23.5

Oklahoma-10 and o76

Wisconsin -10

Florida +14

Clemson-27.5

iowa +3.5

:banned:

 

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59 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Florida +14

Clemson-27.5

:banned:

 

I'm with you on Florida, but took Florida State getting the points.  Care to expand on why you like Clemson?  For me, Clemson just hasn't looked right so far this season.  Trevor Lawrence is making mistakes and they are struggling to score bunches of points.  FSU is still a good recruiting program and Willie Taggart isn't a terrible coach.  I can see FSU hanging with Clemson and falling by 17 or 21 as the clock runs out.

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7 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

Anyone getting involved with Holgorsen and them today? Cougars just had their bye week and it will be their first "real" home game. They hosted cupcake Prairie View (+30) in week 2, but other than that they've either been away or at a neutral site. Nugs' home boy Dana got to watch Cincinnati (+3½) defend home turf against UCF last Friday night on ESPN. After beating UCF, Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell is now 16-3 in the Bearcats' L19 games and 13-0 as the favorite.

WIth you on Houston.  SORRY.  Let down spot for Cincy, and the new qb and offense for Houston are starting to click a bit.

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1 hour ago, Titans_fan said:

I'm with you on Florida, but took Florida State getting the points.  Care to expand on why you like Clemson?  For me, Clemson just hasn't looked right so far this season.  Trevor Lawrence is making mistakes and they are struggling to score bunches of points.  FSU is still a good recruiting program and Willie Taggart isn't a terrible coach.  I can see FSU hanging with Clemson and falling by 17 or 21 as the clock runs out.

I’m just going with the Noles are terrible angle

 

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1 hour ago, Dan Lambskin said:

I’m just going with the Noles are terrible angle

 

HEY!

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On 10/10/2019 at 10:40 AM, lumpy19 said:

 

Lacosse u18.5 rec yds

We are betting on lacrosse now?

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5 hours ago, facook said:

WIth you on Houston.  SORRY.  Let down spot for Cincy, and the new qb and offense for Houston are starting to click a bit.

Just woke up. Had a feeling the line had moved against them. Didn't expect to see a 10! wtf! :lol::rolleyes:

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The 1H and full-game teams totals are practically the same though. Weird. I was figuring 17 in the 1H for Coogs

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Houston has dudes making their first career starts at right tackle and QUARTERBACK for the Coogs. Holgorsen's freakin' son is starting at QB. Tune's hamstring was kept a secret all week :bag:

CONGRATULATIONS

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24 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

Houston has dudes making their first career starts at right tackle and QUARTERBACK for the Coogs. Holgorsen's freakin' son is starting at QB. Tune's hamstring was kept a secret all week :bag:

CONGRATULATIONS

poop

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On 10/10/2019 at 9:27 PM, ChainsawU said:

Weather in Colorado Springs forecast to be low 60s w/ clear skies and no wind or rain on Saturday. Fresno will be coming off the bye - since 2008 opposing teams with more than 6 days to prepare have gone 26-11-1 (.703) O/U in games against Air Force. Conference games: 16-2-1 O/U

Fresno/AF o51 -102

Jeff Tedford 8-1 ATS when Bulldogs the dog.

Fresno +3 and o23½

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7 hours ago, Dan Lambskin said:

I’m just going with the Noles are terrible angle

 

Nice call.  Maybe they can get a few scores against the second unit and pull this back under 4 TDs, but probably not.

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