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The Ref

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Last one out Turn off the lights

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CIncy -1.5

Indy -7

taking Baltimore light - I think Cleveland is done and Baltimore would love nothing more than to get revenge after their worst game of the year against the Browns in September. Problem is everyone and their brother seems to love Baltimore today which more often than not is not a good sign. 

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On 12/19/2019 at 6:20 PM, facook said:

Quinn's team is often unprepared

AFC 13-1 SU and 14-0 ATS L14 vs Quinn sdql

  • Sad 1

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Stupid Skins screwing me again.  Should have went for 2 at the end of regulation.  Another great line (+3) wasted.  Story of this season. 

 

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On 4/27/2019 at 5:24 PM, facook said:
On 4/27/2019 at 5:19 PM, gmbacm said:
On 4/27/2019 at 5:07 PM, facook said:

NFL junkie, looking at 5d NFL props.  Most losses under 13.5 -150 seems like a no brainer at first glance.  I mean, EVERY team is going to get at least 4 wins right?  No so fast my friends....the last time every NFL team won at least 4 games in a season was ***2003***.

NFL most losses OVER 13.5 +110.  Thanks for my January payday 5d! 

When was the last time every NFL team won at least 3 games in a season? :oldunsure:

Lol.  What a maroon.  :crossesfingers:

ETA: Last year.

So....my hope is the tanking Dolphins.

Never a doubt. :oldunsure:

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Pederson's defense has shut the opponent out in the 3Q in eight of the Eagles' L9 divsion games since last Nov 11th. The one time he didn't they allowed exactly 3.

Cowboys 3rd Quarter Under 3½ +105

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Since Mahomes made his first start on December 27, 2017, the Chiefs have gone 6-10-2 (.375) O/U at home and 11-4 (.733) O/U on the road. They have also gone 6-1 O/U versus the NFC during that time. In those 15 road games the opposing team averaged 28 points per game. The Bears are offensively challenged though. This season they're 5-9 to the over and 0-9 when they score less than 21 points. The Bears have been shut out in the 1Q nine times this season - tied with the Redskins for most times shut out in the 1Q - and in the 1Q of seven of their L8 games. They have zero 1Q points in the five games they weren't favored by more than 2 points on the spread.

Bears failure on scripted plays on the opening drive has been epic. Much of the blame belongs on players, But Nagy deserves the lions share and he needs to look to correct this, along with abandonment of the run, to fix this.

I also remember researching Bears' prime time first quarter defense under Nagy:

On 12/5/2019 at 6:07 PM, ChainsawU said:

Bears' defense has been STRONG in the 1Q in prime time. I think somebody's getting shut out in the 1Q tonight.

Regarding prime time/late games: Since 2018 Andy Reid and the Chiefs 8-10 O/U in games starting later than 4PM EST. In the eight games that went over the total, Chiefs allowed 28+ points each time. But the ten games that went under, Chiefs allowed 23 or fewer.

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19 hours ago, swirvenirvin said:

saints sure seem like trap.. I liked ten before this news, staying away now tho

never in doubt

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5 minutes ago, mquinnjr said:

I like Marshall +15.5 here, no significant angle just an action 1u.

Davis is out for UCF.... that’s a big sit for them

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2 hours ago, The Ref said:

Davis is out for UCF.... that’s a big sit for them

Thanks for pointing that out 

Marshall +15.5 it is for .75 units of daytime grambling!

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2 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Over betters gonna cash in the first half that’s gotta be a nice feeling 

### #### joke.  

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This was looking like a sure loser a few weeks ago:  NFL Props Football  40004 Dwayne Haskins starts in under 7½ games +160* vs Dwayne Haskins starts in over 7½ games 

Thanks Dan Snyder for being a meddling owner!

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I think if they "have it their way," Pack will start fast to begin both halves.

Packers o26½ +235
Packers 1Q o6½ +175
Packers 1Q o13½ +1100
Packers/Vikings o47 -102

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1 hour ago, facook said:

This was looking like a sure loser a few weeks ago:  NFL Props Football  40004 Dwayne Haskins starts in under 7½ games +160* vs Dwayne Haskins starts in over 7½ games 

Thanks Dan Snyder for being a meddling owner!

did we win the under now?

Edited by swirvenirvin

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1 minute ago, swirvenirvin said:

did we win the under now?

He's declared out for Sunday.  Unless I'm drunker than normal he's started 7.

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Just now, facook said:

He's declared out for Sunday.  Unless I'm drunker than normal he's started 7.

ok thats what looking for too lazy to look up

 

finding all the Rudolph 1st td props

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2 minutes ago, swirvenirvin said:

ok thats what looking for too lazy to look up

 

finding all the Rudolph 1st td props

Just put my free $6 from Lumpy on it. :D 

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Vikings shut the Packers out in the 2H at Lambeau. Now Packers shut the Vikings out in the 2H at Minnesota. LaFleur 5-0 to the under in division games this season. Packers 10-4-1 overall to the under and 8-0-1 when they allow less than 24 points. Another division matchup on deck.

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Urban Meyer on this FS1 college show. Talking about how Iowa just has a base defense and then they coach to defend the individual plays, that's just how they do it. He said it worked in B10 West against inferior competition, but things will be different against caliber of athlete USC will bring. I believe him yo. I don't know why but I do.

Southern Cal +115

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Shocking that nobody takes the Hawaii bowl seriously when they don’t have a goal line camera for review

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6 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

Urban Meyer on this FS1 college show. Talking about how Iowa just has a base defense and then they coach to defend the individual plays, that's just how they do it. He said it worked in B10 West against inferior competition, but things will be different against caliber of athlete USC will bring. I believe him yo. I don't know why but I do.

Southern Cal +115

I could easily see myself holding a usc ticket by the end of the week.

Only game I like between now and then is UNC.  Maybe fading Miami.

 

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1 hour ago, gussy said:

Wanted to check in on the Christmas Day NBA Unders. Wasn’t that a thing?

Game 1 loser.

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1 hour ago, swirvenirvin said:

1-2 I think.

 

ive only been doing 2h under when 1st half over hits 2-0 on those

3-0  Thanks for this.  My only friggin nba winner.  I just need to fast gambling next Christmas.  Sigh.

ETA: Actually hit LA/LA full game under as well.  Huh.

Edited by facook

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