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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (6 Viewers)
- Thread starter The Ref
- Start date
ChainsawU
Footballguy
"It is always difficult to enter UNLV and win. It is always difficult to go anywhere on the road and win. And UNLV has a new coach, so they are doing some things differently," Utah State Aggies head coach Craig Smith said. Of course, Smith is very familiar with the new head coach of the Rebels, TJ Otzelberger. They coached two years in the Summit League together as arch rivals: Smith as HC of South Dakota Coyotes, Otzelberger as HC of South Dakota State Jackrabbits. Back in 2016-17 Smith and the Coyotes landed first place in the conference - eliminated from the postseason tournament by Otzelberger and the Jackrabbits, who subsequently advanced to the NCAA Tournament. During Smith's final year at South Dakota they finished second in the conference behind the Jackrabbits and lost to them in the championship. They familiar. All told, Smith is 2-4 career against Otzelberger: 2-0 at home and 0-4 on the road/neutral site games. Tonight's game in Vegas will be their first since leaving the Summit League for the MWC, and Smith laying 7½ in dude's house he's never beaten without a home-court advantage. I'm just sayin' ... I also found this little tidbit, too. It's been three days since Utah State's last game. Since he became Utah State's head coach last season, opposing teams have gone 12-1 ATS (avg line +4) catching Smith away from home more than 2 days off. In that situation, as long as they weren't double-digit dogs, the Aggie opponent went 7-3 SU and lost all three games by 2 points. Opponent also 6-0 ATS L6 against Smith's Aggies in games with a total lined 141 or less, with the last two decided in overtime.
UNLV +7½ -102
UNLV +7½ -102
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Opposing teams 6-0 ATS L6 catching less than 2 TD on the spread vs Bama, scoring 23,28,34,44,46,48
that's chronological scoring too, nice little trend line formed
that's chronological scoring too, nice little trend line formed
facook
Footballguy
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
Ok Juedy nothing left to prove should probably sit out so you don’t risk injury
The Ref
Footballguy
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
wish i would have know bama wasnt going to get off the bus today
TripItUp
Footballguy
TripItUp
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
It’s tricking toward 3. Might mess around and buy UGA to three and go for the middle with my Baylor +7.5 from the opener.
lumpy19
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
ChainsawU
Footballguy
and Auburn (-10) ditka...mike ditka
Footballguy
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ChainsawU
Footballguy
Man this 
in Birmingham is exactly what it was billed to be. Thought I'd found an angle. There were plenty of other reasons to bet BC too besides the AAC angle. At least BC got their senior DB back out on the field. Dude had his helmet taken away by concussion doctors earlier 
in Birmingham is exactly what it was billed to be. Thought I'd found an angle. There were plenty of other reasons to bet BC too besides the AAC angle. At least BC got their senior DB back out on the field. Dude had his helmet taken away by concussion doctors earlier 
TripItUp
Footballguy
Harry over 28 yards
Singletary over 76 yards
Michel Under 64 yards
Henry over 86 yards
Texas +9.5
Utah +4.5
Iowa +3
Miss +7.5
WVU +10
Nova ML
Idaho St. +8
Titans ML
Texans -2.5(seem to be on an island here, if Fuller not playing I may go the other way on a hedge)
Singletary over 76 yards
Michel Under 64 yards
Henry over 86 yards
Texas +9.5
Utah +4.5
Iowa +3
Miss +7.5
WVU +10
Nova ML
Idaho St. +8
Titans ML
Texans -2.5(seem to be on an island here, if Fuller not playing I may go the other way on a hedge)
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Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
They need to add an early game where the worst 2 teams play for an extra 7th round pick or something
facook
Footballguy
I'm with you on the Texans, and I'm worried because it sounds very likely Fuller is out.
Also on the Pats. If that ship is really sinking and Ryan friggin Tannehill is the one to sink it for good, he'll have to show me. Not going against NE as a small home favorite against a middling team that got hot against bad teams.
TripItUp
Footballguy
I have a very strong lean on the Titans. What's being forgotten is that the Pats played a very weak schedule. In a game the Pats had to win, they lost to the Miami Dolphins...that's very concerning to me. Titans on the other hand, had a slightly better SOS and were obviously hotter down the stretch. Tickets and money are largely split on this. I got Titans +190 on the ML and I think that's the play getting almost 2 to 1 on what could be the better team.
facook
Footballguy
You are correct on the Pats. I'm basing my play on their history. May be a mistake, but I can't go against them in this situation.
TripItUp
Footballguy
facook
Footballguy
Is it? I feel like I'm going against the trendy dog. Pretty much every tout I saw this week took the Titans. Good luck to you too. Won't surprise me at all if you're on the right side.
TripItUp
Footballguy
no trend really, money and tickets are relatively split in this game and I follow most of the top Touts and they seem to favor the Pats. Feels like I'm on the contrarian side.
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