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The Ref

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Last one out Turn off the lights

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2 hours ago, The Ref said:

Anyone have any thoughts on the masters?

 

i already have Finau and Fleetwood at 30-1.

I’m gonna back Jon Rahm again.  One of these years he’s going to win for me.  Ive also been betting Snedeker for like 10 years.  I can’t quit because I know once I do that ####er is gonna win at like 60-1

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On 2/9/2020 at 11:45 AM, greedygoat said:

7-3 on posted CBB plays, going with Marquette -3.5. 

8-3 on posted CBB plays, going with Indiana -1.5.

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Any early leans on the 2020 MLB Home Run leader?

Pete Alonso hits in a very HR friendly park and he went nuts as a rookie (53 HR).  Sophomore slump or improvement in 2nd year?

Bellinger is the real deal and hits in a stacked LA line-up.  I think his HR uptick last year will regress a little in 2020 (47 in 2019 and 25 in 2018).

Trout is always mister consistent.  He's pretty much a lock for over 30 homers but does he have 50 HR potential?

Judge is a beast but he's missed games the last two years.  If you told me he was guaranteed to be healthy all year, whoa nelly....

Hoskins could be a sneaky dark horse.  I'm a Philly homer and biased, but he's got power.  Even though he kinda sucked last year, he still has 81 homers in 1298 at bats over the past three years.  Could be worth a flyer.

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1 hour ago, eoMMan said:

Any early leans on the 2020 MLB Home Run leader?

Pete Alonso hits in a very HR friendly park and he went nuts as a rookie (53 HR).  Sophomore slump or improvement in 2nd year?

Bellinger is the real deal and hits in a stacked LA line-up.  I think his HR uptick last year will regress a little in 2020 (47 in 2019 and 25 in 2018).

Trout is always mister consistent.  He's pretty much a lock for over 30 homers but does he have 50 HR potential?

Judge is a beast but he's missed games the last two years.  If you told me he was guaranteed to be healthy all year, whoa nelly....

Hoskins could be a sneaky dark horse.  I'm a Philly homer and biased, but he's got power.  Even though he kinda sucked last year, he still has 81 homers in 1298 at bats over the past three years.  Could be worth a flyer.

Eloy Jimenez 

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I got Cruz and Reyes at 50-1

Gonna need a guy that will have an ISO > .300

Reyes had big HR/AB in SD and I want to see Cruz get 600+ PA 

i want no part of the chalk 

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32 minutes ago, elguapo07 said:

I got Cruz and Reyes at 50-1

Gonna need a guy that will have an ISO > .300

Reyes had big HR/AB in SD and I want to see Cruz get 600+ PA 

i want no part of the chalk 

Got to have 20-1 plus to even think about it

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19 hours ago, The Ref said:

Anyone have any thoughts on the masters?

 

i already have Finau and Fleetwood at 30-1.

Not bad thoughts given their odds, but your backing two guys who have exactly 1 PGA win combined.   I know Fleetwood has some wins on the European tour and has done well in the US and Open lately, but neither guy instills a  lot of confidence.  Finau needs another victory badly.  

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On 2/11/2020 at 7:31 PM, TheGooRoo said:

I'm backing these clowns for 2500, please don't let me down Sparty.

u lay points

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On 2/11/2020 at 8:31 PM, TheGooRoo said:

I'm backing these clowns for 2500, please don't let me down Sparty.

hope you laid the ML

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2 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

u lay points

 

14 minutes ago, swirvenirvin said:

hope you laid the ML

Just now realized my Illinois +2 covered 

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9 hours ago, greedygoat said:

8-3 on posted CBB plays, going with Indiana -1.5.

 

8 hours ago, Cowboysfan8 said:

in

:hifive:

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Any possible value on underdog Dwight Howard +450 to win slam dunk contest?

Past champ 11 years ago

Old vet in a young mans contest

Laker (kobe effect, in a weekend where 8/24/kobe/lakers will be all over the place)

?

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12 hours ago, comfortably numb said:

Any possible value on underdog Dwight Howard +450 to win slam dunk contest?

Past champ 11 years ago

Old vet in a young mans contest

Laker (kobe effect, in a weekend where 8/24/kobe/lakers will be all over the place)

?

I just grabbed him at +600 just for this reason and to make it fun

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1 hour ago, ditka...mike ditka said:

Grabbed penn state at home -12 vs northwestern.  Just two teams going in complete opposite directions. 

some sharps like NW here FYI.  NW plays teams close and Penn State down a starter.

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Via the almighty Faust in the shark pool:

 

Sports reporter Larry Fitzgerald Sr. has been "told" the Raiders are prepared to offer impending free agent Tom Brady a two-year, $60 million contract.

Fitzgerald Sr. doesn't have an extensive track record of breaking news, but he's a longtime member in the sports media world, based out of Minnesota. He's not the type of person to just throw something against the wall. The Raiders have been linked to Brady multiple times since the end of the Patriots' season, with coach Jon Gruden and owner Mark Davis looking to make a splash as the team embarks on Las Vegas. Brady would certainly qualify. It will likely take serious money to lure Brady away from Foxboro. This offer would qualify as such. The Brady free agency should be fascinating.

RELATED: 

Las Vegas Raiders

SOURCE: Larry Fitzgerald Sr. on Twitter

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I saw a video of Booker hitting 45 3 pointers in a ROW.  Maybe a little all start snub.  In at +650

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1 hour ago, LOCO said:

I saw a video of Booker hitting 45 3 pointers in a ROW.  Maybe a little all start snub.  In at +650

I took Bertans when at +450.  So congrats.

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6 hours ago, Leroy Hoard said:

Via the almighty Faust in the shark pool:

 

Sports reporter Larry Fitzgerald Sr. has been "told" the Raiders are prepared to offer impending free agent Tom Brady a two-year, $60 million contract.

Fitzgerald Sr. doesn't have an extensive track record of breaking news, but he's a longtime member in the sports media world, based out of Minnesota. He's not the type of person to just throw something against the wall. The Raiders have been linked to Brady multiple times since the end of the Patriots' season, with coach Jon Gruden and owner Mark Davis looking to make a splash as the team embarks on Las Vegas. Brady would certainly qualify. It will likely take serious money to lure Brady away from Foxboro. This offer would qualify as such. The Brady free agency should be fascinating.

RELATED: 

Las Vegas Raiders

SOURCE: Larry Fitzgerald Sr. on Twitter

Purely from a business standpoint, this move makes no sense to me.  Vegas needs no help filling the stadium, even if they have Carr for the next 2 years.  I know Chucky likes the steady vet, but I'd think he's smarter than Brady at 43 for $30 mil/ for 2 years.  I'd think Cam or Phil are more likely.  So Brady will probably sign at 12:01 on the 1st day of FA.

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4 minutes ago, comfortably numb said:

I hope he doesnt sign there. Then well have to see Mark Davis more. No 1 person scares the #### out of me more just on looks alone than Davis.

You're welcome.

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39 minutes ago, lumpy19 said:

NASCAR!!!!

We made it!!

What am I betting on today?

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31 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

What am I betting on today?

The Daytona 500

Hth

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I know nothing about betting on boxing but I want to bet something on the Wilder Fury fight.

Can I ride some coattails peas?

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34 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

What am I betting on today?

Bowling was yesterday so cross that off your list.

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I have a super square college card today, so tail with caution.

Minnesota -4 

Tricky spot for Iowa which has a really shallow bench due to injuries and hasn't played well on the road.  Minny is great at home.  2 units

SDSU -5 

Efficiency metrics have this as SDSU -11, Boise is good at home but I think Boise is getting too much credit for homecourt as SDSU has actually been even better on the road.  Some sharps are on Boise, but I've won too much money on the Aztecs so I'll take the short favorite. 2 units

Michigan -7.5 

Michigan has been a different team since getting Livers back and Indiana is not in their class and has struggled for the past month.  This is a very square play and with the number up to 8.5 I'd stay away.  I like this bet the least. 1 unit

Villanova -6

Road favorites  make us all nervous and Temple has been a bit Jekyll and Hyde.  If good Temple shows up they could win outright, but Nova has been playing well and Temple hasn't.  Efficiency metrics HEAVILY favor Nova.   1 unit.

UCONN -4

Public is all over brand name Memphis getting 4, but UCONN has been playing more consistent.   Memphis not good on the road...give me the home favorite.  1 unit

 

 

 

 

Edited by TripItUp

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47 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

 

Sigh...I’m asking for @lumpy19’s Daytona winners you Neanderthals

@hooter311 @regularguy @TheGooRoo

I'm on vacation and have barely looked. I tailed Rotodoc on a couple of longshots. Dibenedetto +2700 and Buescher +6300.  Have Chastain +12500 from weeks ago for giggles. If I were going to play any matchups, I sure wouldn't lay much juice on this crapshoot.  

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I played

Logano o Keselowski -115

Hamlin o Truex -130

Hamlin o Keselowski -110

Logano o Blaney -150

Keselowski o Elliott +100

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15 minutes ago, The Ref said:

Xfl is 6-1 to the under

Should have bet more

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5 hours ago, TripItUp said:

I have a super square college card today, so tail with caution.

Minnesota -4 

Tricky spot for Iowa which has a really shallow bench due to injuries and hasn't played well on the road.  Minny is great at home.  2 units

SDSU -5 

Efficiency metrics have this as SDSU -11, Boise is good at home but I think Boise is getting too much credit for homecourt as SDSU has actually been even better on the road.  Some sharps are on Boise, but I've won too much money on the Aztecs so I'll take the short favorite. 2 units

Michigan -7.5 

Michigan has been a different team since getting Livers back and Indiana is not in their class and has struggled for the past month.  This is a very square play and with the number up to 8.5 I'd stay away.  I like this bet the least. 1 unit

Villanova -6

Road favorites  make us all nervous and Temple has been a bit Jekyll and Hyde.  If good Temple shows up they could win outright, but Nova has been playing well and Temple hasn't.  Efficiency metrics HEAVILY favor Nova.   1 unit.

UCONN -4

Public is all over brand name Memphis getting 4, but UCONN has been playing more consistent.   Memphis not good on the road...give me the home favorite.  1 unit

 

3-2, no huge regrets here.  UCONN missed by 1 point and Minnesota had an 8 point lead with 5ish minutes to go.

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2 hours ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Should have bet more

Looking like XFL will be 6-0 to the Under in games without Houston and 2-0 to the over (probably) with Houston in them.

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