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The Ref

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!!

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1 hour ago, lumpy19 said:

Nice job New England, the patriots never stop screwing me

Golden Tate and the Patriots here we are again

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2 hours ago, kevzilla said:

Circa Millions Week 5: 3-2, 15-10 overall. I actually lost ground in the overall standings. LOL. Apologies for not posting Week 6 sooner, but these weren't helping anyone anyway:

MIN -4

BAL -7.5

GB pk

MIA -9

ARI -1.5

 

Not as much ground as I lost. Followed up a 5-0 week with an 0-5 last week. 

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On 10/17/2020 at 12:40 PM, CR69 said:

Wagers have been placed. 
 

Locks:

- GB -1.5, KC -5, CAR -1 (1/2u) & LAR -3 (1/2u)

Bet a couple teasers and parlays as well. Big bet of the week is a two team teaser I placed on Monday where I have MIA/BAL -2. Definitely liking how those lines have moved but we’ll see. 

Waiting until tomorrow to bet any props but interested to see what you guys do as well. 

We might have some hope in Oregon...

https://www.spiritmountain.com/PR-betmgm-at-spiritmountain

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2009 St Petersburg Bowl, aka the BEEF ‘O’ BRADY’s Bowl, is on B10 network now.

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41 minutes ago, mquinnjr said:

2009 St Petersburg Bowl, aka the BEEF ‘O’ BRADY’s Bowl, is on B10 network now.

I wonder how beefy Ashley is doing

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2 minutes ago, The Ref said:

I wonder how beefy Ashley is doing

Leader of the Parade of Hot Dogs. Allegedly.

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Chiefs O14.5 1st 1/2 points. I feel they’ll come out firing after a loss

 

pretty scientific 

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4 minutes ago, facook said:

Cards +7/under 62.5 tease

Ties = loss?

 

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4 minutes ago, The Ref said:

Ties = loss?

 

Push (BOL)

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Anybody have any success with live, in-game betting? Any sport.

I'd like to start trying this more often and would love any tips you could offer. 

Edited by leftcoastguy7

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22 minutes ago, leftcoastguy7 said:

Anybody have any success with live, in-game betting? Any sport.

I'll like to start trying this more often and would love any tips you could offer. 

I'll think of others, and there will be other bettors WAY better at it than me.  But here are a few tactics that have worked:

NBA: Two evenly matched teams, one team gets way down, live bet them + (large number).  For instance, live betting the Heat in the Boston series was exceptional.  Boston would build a large lead, live bet Heat, Heat come back to win or make it close.

Football: Chiefs or Alabama fall behind by a touchdown or more in 1st Half, live bet them.  The AFC Divisional playoff between KC and Houston last year was a Tour de Force of live betting KC.  On the flip side, KC got bum-rushed by Vegas last week...just not enough time for them to come back as it all happened in second half. 

Alabama seems to fall behind in the 1st half of every SEC Championship they play in.  Auto bet for me.

Football in terrible weather, if you can see they just can't move the ball, hammer the under at a few commercial breaks in the 1st quarter.  49ers at DC last year is a good example.  Torrential rain, can't complete a forward pass.  9-0 final score.

Edited by facook
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2 hours ago, leftcoastguy7 said:

Anybody have any success with live, in-game betting? Any sport.

I'll like to start trying this more often and would love any tips you could offer. 

Dalton is lost out there.  AZ -125 live at Bov.

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1 minute ago, facook said:

Dalton is lost out there.  AZ -125 live at Bov.

@CR69 -115 at Scoreboard.

 

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2 minutes ago, facook said:

@CR69 -115 at Scoreboard.

 

+120 at BOL.

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34 minutes ago, facook said:

Dalton is lost out there.  AZ -125 live at Bov.

Cards -7 live

Edited by Cowboysfan8
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28 minutes ago, facook said:

@CR69 -115 at Scoreboard.

 

I was an idiot and bet the over lol 

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Should have known better when every "sharp" liked Dallas. Can't even cover teaser legs. Congrats Cards alt. line backers. 

Edited by regularguy

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5 minutes ago, Cowboysfan8 said:

Cards -7 live

Just hit it again at -124

Edited by Cowboysfan8
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3 minutes ago, CR69 said:

I was an idiot and bet the over lol 

Still got a chance holmes

 

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2 minutes ago, Cowboysfan8 said:

Just hit it again at -112

Took -7.5 +105.  If Dalton can bring them back to within a TD he can have my $.

@leftcoastguy7

Edited by facook

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13 minutes ago, facook said:
17 minutes ago, CR69 said:

I was an idiot and bet the over lol 

Still got a chance holmes

 

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13 minutes ago, facook said:

Took -7.5 +105.  If Dalton can bring them back to within a TD he can have my $.

@leftcoastguy7

-13.5

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43 minutes ago, facook said:

Still got a chance holmes

 

Not if Dallas can't get out of their own way lol 

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4 hours ago, facook said:
4 hours ago, leftcoastguy7 said:

Anybody have any success with live, in-game betting? Any sport.

I'll like to start trying this more often and would love any tips you could offer. 

a Tour de Force of live betting

Tonight...Wish you were here.

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16 minutes ago, facook said:

Tonight...Wish you were here.

are you kidding I got in at ARZ -15.5 -115.   Thanks for the encouragement!

As soon as my bet entered the line moved to ARZ -18.5.  Cool!  Live betting is fun and probably a little addictive. 

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8 hours ago, leftcoastguy7 said:

are you kidding I got in at ARZ -15.5 -115.   Thanks for the encouragement!

As soon as my bet entered the line moved to ARZ -18.5.  Cool!  Live betting is fun and probably a little addictive. 

It sucks. I made out last night but have lost Probly 80% of my live bets and rarely play them anymore 

Edited by Cowboysfan8
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Well I got wrecked this weekend. Lost over half of my bankroll but still up 50% on the year. Eff. 

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1 hour ago, CR69 said:

Well I got wrecked this weekend. Lost over half of my bankroll but still up 50% on the year. Eff. 

Heard on VSiN yesterday that Week 6 was most profitable weekend of the season for the books so far by quite a bit.

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1 hour ago, facook said:

Heard on VSiN yesterday that Week 6 was most profitable weekend of the season for the books so far by quite a bit.

My chalkiness rears its ugly head lol. How'd you do?

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1 hour ago, CR69 said:

My chalkiness rears its ugly head lol. How'd you do?

Good Saturday, ugly Sunday, made it all back last night.  Without AZ last night I'd have been down about 5 units on the week overall.  

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Dodgers/Rays o7.5.   Glasnow just got shelled by Houston and gave up two home runs in each of his playoff starts, and the Dodgers feast off right handed pitchers that throw strikes.  Kershaw is, well, Kershaw.   He'll either throw a gem or give up back to back home runs in a playoff game for the fourth time in his career.   Rays have been hitting better against lefties (but not a ton).   

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1 hour ago, facook said:

Good Saturday, ugly Sunday, made it all back last night.  Without AZ last night I'd have been down about 5 units on the week overall.  

Nice call. By the time I got done working the game was already way out of hand. 

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4 hours ago, facook said:

Heard on VSiN yesterday that Week 6 was most profitable weekend of the season for the books so far by quite a bit.

I am in this "lose on one site--break even on another, win a little on the other one" cycle and then it rotates the next week.  Treading water the last two weeks, but surprisingly have actually won $$ in DFS, which is just such a luck-fest unless you are entering 100 different lineups each week. 

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4 hours ago, facook said:

Heard on VSiN yesterday that Week 6 was most profitable weekend of the season for the books so far by quite a bit.

I have an associate “who would know” and at a fairly macro level. 
 

he said Moatloads.

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Took Tampa Bay +$180 for the series, just too much value

Added Tampa Bay +$340 after going down 1-0

 

Edited by Penguin

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8 minutes ago, Penguin said:

Took Tampa Bay +$180 for the series, just too much value

Can’t argue with that 

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1 hour ago, Penguin said:

Took Tampa Bay +$180 for the series, just too much value

Just for the record, I took LAD +350 in 6 and +450 in 7.  I do think Rays stay in it with their pen and batting, but think ultimately the Dodgers take it.

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10 hours ago, facook said:

Heard on VSiN yesterday that Week 6 was most profitable weekend of the season for the books so far by quite a bit.

Cuz we're stupid 

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3 hours ago, Cowboysfan8 said:

Dodgers   -1.5. F5

+170

Sometimes homers make money.  Great bet bud.

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8 hours ago, -fish- said:

Dodgers/Rays o7.5.   Glasnow just got shelled by Houston and gave up two home runs in each of his playoff starts, and the Dodgers feast off right handed pitchers that throw strikes.  Kershaw is, well, Kershaw.   He'll either throw a gem or give up back to back home runs in a playoff game for the fourth time in his career.   Rays have been hitting better against lefties (but not a ton).   

Let’s get one more and make this happen!!!

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4 minutes ago, Courtjester said:

Let’s get one more and make this happen!!!

Dude.

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8 hours ago, -fish- said:

Dodgers/Rays o7.5.   Glasnow just got shelled by Houston and gave up two home runs in each of his playoff starts, and the Dodgers feast off right handed pitchers that throw strikes.  Kershaw is, well, Kershaw.   He'll either throw a gem or give up back to back home runs in a playoff game for the fourth time in his career.   Rays have been hitting better against lefties (but not a ton).   

 

12 minutes ago, Courtjester said:

Let’s get one more and make this happen!!!

THANKS @-fish-!

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