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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!!

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5 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

also broke up with booty woman, removed her key and gate access. hell of a day. embrace your day. because it may change overnight. ask me if I'm going to survive. the answer is yes. and I'm excited despite being sad.

Whoa.  Glad you are excited.  PM if you wanna vent.

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5 minutes ago, facook said:

Completely disagree.  Read through the Chernobyl thread, might alter your thinking. Also it’s the best thing on tv by a long shot.

I know nothing about it.  Is it completely non-fiction or is it a story based the facts of the event?

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8 minutes ago, eoMMan said:

I know nothing about it.  Is it completely non-fiction or is it a story based the facts of the event?

Based on the facts of the event.  Actually very historically accurate (other than the actors speaking in their own language rather than Russian - which was done so that their mangled Russian would not be a distraction from the story).

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13 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

hbo ain't right for making that chernobyl ####. there's no way it's remotely historically accurate, especially on a historical level, and I think it's irresponsible. it should be in russian and english subtitled, for starters. just gross bro. sickening

Sorry to hear about booty woman but don’t take it out on what is a fantastic show.

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On 5/28/2019 at 4:27 PM, hooter311 said:

Most people I've worked with would probably be surprised to know I was "into sports".  Always been able to keep it compartmentalized amazingly well.

No sense talking shop to someone who doesn't gamble, outside of a public perception "mush report" while acting like a dummy.  

That's exactly my story as well, I don't talk shop at work

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15 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

hbo ain't right for making that chernobyl ####. there's no way it's remotely historically accurate, especially on a historical level, and I think it's irresponsible. it should be in russian and english subtitled, for starters. just gross bro. sickening

Its so good, I'm obsessed with chernobyl, both the show and what really happened.  Humanity really on the knives edge

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4 minutes ago, lumpy19 said:
On 5/28/2019 at 1:27 PM, hooter311 said:

Most people I've worked with would probably be surprised to know I was "into sports".  Always been able to keep it compartmentalized amazingly well.

No sense talking shop to someone who doesn't gamble, outside of a public perception "mush report" while acting like a dummy.  

That's exactly my story as well, I don't talk shop at work

Umm...We have our annual conference in Vegas for my company.  The joke is "If you ever are wondering why facook isn't in the current session, it's because he's in the sportsbook with a cocktail."  So I'm not so good at not talking shop.

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Damm, I took Braves -1 tonight.  Shoulda posted for you guys to fade.

FYI: Also on Az F5, and Phils under 5.5 F5.  Feel free to fade and make dinero.

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2 hours ago, facook said:

Damm, I took Braves -1 tonight.  Shoulda posted for you guys to fade.

FYI: Also on Az F5, and Phils under 5.5 F5.  Feel free to fade and make dinero.

Whoa. See you guys in late August.

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47 minutes ago, comfortably numb said:

I want Toronto to win but i have too much cash riding on GS

In futures, I'm risking 12 to win 8 units.  Probably over extended.  :( 

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Chacin 17-7 SU career road fave (avg line -124).

Brew -124

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woah. had completely forgotten about ####ting on Chernobyl. okay I'll give it a try. my bad

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Since it's basically June I started using the breakdownsheets guy's excel file to see how his models line up with how the market has the games priced. His year-to-date on MIL/PIT is right at -124, but the L30 days is more like -140. So maybe there's value in that, plus with the way Chacin's road favorite starts have gone, that might be a good investment.

One game that is totally flipped is the Cubs/Cards matchup, in which his model favors the Cubs, and actually has them as the slight favorite at -110. So it was curious to see them listed as the underdog. I just figured out how to download the spreadsheet today, so this is just a start. And now I gotta go run errands and junk. CHeers bro

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Well dudes, had something interesting happen the last few days.  Had like .47 cents in my bovada account from god knows when.  Not enough to wager on a sports game so I tried the casino.  Played .25 video poker, hit a flush and maybe a 3 of a kind or 2 right away, drove the total up to about 2 bucks.  Sweet!  So I parlayed a live bet of the Rays in extra innings (Adames hit a walk off single I think?) with the Blues winning OT game 2.  We win!  Up to $12.  Played a slot machine Bulletbroof Babes, won a bonus round up off of .40cent spins, total now up to $40.  off of .47 cents!  Yesterday morning I think maybe my luck hadn't run out, autoplay 20 spins of $1 each on Ronin, also a slot on Bovada.  On a non-winning spin my total went from like $27 bucks to $1970ish, I hit some "random jackpot' thing.  HOLY ####!  Still, didn't think there was any chance i'd see that money as I hadn't made a deposit it was just leftover bonus money that started this.  Initiated $1870 in withdrawal via bitcoin...which was paid out last night!  We have approximately $1600 left in random medical debt from the kiddo, which a .47 bonus amount just paid off.  Gonna take the family out tonight for dinner with the difference.  Left me with $100 in Bovada to play with too....so we playing cards tonight?

Edited by Wine Thief
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21 minutes ago, Wine Thief said:

Well dudes, had something interesting happen the last few days.  Had like .47 cents in my bovada account from god knows when.  Not enough to wager on a sports game so I tried the casino.  Played .25 video poker, hit a flush and maybe a 3 of a kind or 2 right away, drove the total up to about 2 bucks.  Sweet!  So I parlayed a live bet of the Rays in extra innings (Adames hit a walk off single I think?) with the Blues winning OT game 2.  We win!  Up to $12.  Played a slot machine Bulletbroof Babes, won a bonus round up off of .40cent spins, total now up to $40.  off of .47 cents!  Yesterday morning I think maybe my luck hadn't run out, autoplay 20 spins of $1 each on Ronin, also a slot on Bovada.  On a non-winning spin my total went from like $27 bucks to $1970ish, I hit some "random jackpot' thing.  HOLY ####!  Still, didn't think there was any chance i'd see that money as I hadn't made a deposit it was just leftover bonus money that started this.  Initiated $1870 in withdrawal via bitcoin...which was paid out last night!  We have approximately $1600 left in random medical debt from the kiddo, which a .47 bonus amount just paid off.  Gonna take the family out tonight for dinner with the difference.  Left me with $100 in Bovada to play with too....so we playing cards tonight?

Roll it on the Mets to win their series against the Snakes this weekend hth.

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2 hours ago, Wine Thief said:

Well dudes, had something interesting happen the last few days.  Had like .47 cents in my bovada account from god knows when.  Not enough to wager on a sports game so I tried the casino.  Played .25 video poker, hit a flush and maybe a 3 of a kind or 2 right away, drove the total up to about 2 bucks.  Sweet!  So I parlayed a live bet of the Rays in extra innings (Adames hit a walk off single I think?) with the Blues winning OT game 2.  We win!  Up to $12.  Played a slot machine Bulletbroof Babes, won a bonus round up off of .40cent spins, total now up to $40.  off of .47 cents!  Yesterday morning I think maybe my luck hadn't run out, autoplay 20 spins of $1 each on Ronin, also a slot on Bovada.  On a non-winning spin my total went from like $27 bucks to $1970ish, I hit some "random jackpot' thing.  HOLY ####!  Still, didn't think there was any chance i'd see that money as I hadn't made a deposit it was just leftover bonus money that started this.  Initiated $1870 in withdrawal via bitcoin...which was paid out last night!  We have approximately $1600 left in random medical debt from the kiddo, which a .47 bonus amount just paid off.  Gonna take the family out tonight for dinner with the difference.  Left me with $100 in Bovada to play with too....so we playing cards tonight?

Holy crap dude.  That's awesome.  I can't believe you won on an online "slot".  :) 

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On 5/28/2019 at 2:59 PM, Good Posting Judge said:

I have irrational man-love for Ruiz. He looks like a fat piece of ####, but he's got incredibly quick hands and a good chin. And if it were Wilder at +1300, I'd be mashing the button because I think he'd give DW hell. Ruiz's one loss was a disputable decision, and if he were unbeaten I'm absolutely certain those odds would be shaved down.

But Joshua's a smart fighter, and he's mobile enough to just stick-and-move with his jab (8" reach advantage) and not get into the trenches with Ruiz. And Joshua doesn't have the fight-stopping power of a Wilder, but he's very precise when it's time to put someone away. I think the play here is Joshua on points 6/1.

 

Ruiz gained six lbs in six weeks. Training for a fight. The fight.

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3 hours ago, Wine Thief said:

Well dudes, had something interesting happen the last few days.  Had like .47 cents in my bovada account from god knows when.  Not enough to wager on a sports game so I tried the casino.  Played .25 video poker, hit a flush and maybe a 3 of a kind or 2 right away, drove the total up to about 2 bucks.  Sweet!  So I parlayed a live bet of the Rays in extra innings (Adames hit a walk off single I think?) with the Blues winning OT game 2.  We win!  Up to $12.  Played a slot machine Bulletbroof Babes, won a bonus round up off of .40cent spins, total now up to $40.  off of .47 cents!  Yesterday morning I think maybe my luck hadn't run out, autoplay 20 spins of $1 each on Ronin, also a slot on Bovada.  On a non-winning spin my total went from like $27 bucks to $1970ish, I hit some "random jackpot' thing.  HOLY ####!  Still, didn't think there was any chance i'd see that money as I hadn't made a deposit it was just leftover bonus money that started this.  Initiated $1870 in withdrawal via bitcoin...which was paid out last night!  We have approximately $1600 left in random medical debt from the kiddo, which a .47 bonus amount just paid off.  Gonna take the family out tonight for dinner with the difference.  Left me with $100 in Bovada to play with too....so we playing cards tonight?

It's things like this that make me believe in baby jesus

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Yankees public dog? Sale gonna carve them up? What's up in the Bronx bro

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Dang. Maybe not. Brewers moneyline is the #1 wager at S&O. And Boston is #2. Man sometimes I really dislike consensus stuff.

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5 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

his model favors the Cubs

went with Yu

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On 5/29/2019 at 8:06 PM, lumpy19 said:

That's exactly my story as well, I don't talk shop at work

Same.  I doubt it'd be the best look for the guy in charge of finance dept. to be known as a degenerate, even a winning one. So, my wife gets to hear my gambling talk.  I swear she spends more when I share too many positives.

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6 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

woah. had completely forgotten about ####ting on Chernobyl. okay I'll give it a try. my bad

Just watched the 1st episode last night.  👍

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57 minutes ago, facook said:

Duuuude.  She's your cocaine.

um well she's not Mexican but she is the reason I've lost all this weight. also I'm still unsure what she's really mixed with so yeah. that's what you meant right

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Wheeler night starts 24-10-3 O/U L3 seasons +$1,343 (3rd MLB)

  • 11-4-1 O/U away
  • 19-5-1 O/U when Wheeler struck out more than 4 in his previous start

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1 hour ago, regularguy said:

Same.  I doubt it'd be the best look for the guy in charge of finance dept. to be known as a degenerate, even a winning one. So, my wife gets to hear my gambling talk.  I swear she spends more when I share too many positives.

One of our finance VPs is known as a porn addict

i don’t really broadcast it, but I usually end up finding another coworker that likes the gambling and will have occasional chats with them 

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But yeah when you start explaining to someone how you have multiple local and offshore accounts that you have to fund via bitcoin or send racks of cash in the mail just so you can get down on prop bets you realize you may  be on another level and have disclosed too much

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42 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

But yeah when you start explaining to someone how you have multiple local and offshore accounts that you have to fund via bitcoin or send racks of cash in the mail just so you can get down on prop bets you realize you may  be on another level and have disclosed too much

This reminds me of Boiler Room.

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11 hours ago, Dan Lambskin said:

But yeah when you start explaining to someone how you have multiple local and offshore accounts that you have to fund via bitcoin or send racks of cash in the mail just so you can get down on prop bets you realize you may  be on another level and have disclosed too much

guilty

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5d offers the -1 but at a slightly higher price than if you build one yourself. So if you're worried about income ratios, payout/price and a stricter ROI.. always build the -1 yourself. The only way I see that paying the higher price could be justified is if one were simply more interested in convenience and/or looking to parlay the -1 RL.

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17 hours ago, Dan Lambskin said:

One of our finance VPs is known as a porn addict

Silver lining is that it reflects well on his background in finance that his addiction is something that can be obtained on a wide scale for free. You should mention that next time y'all are at a party or on a flight together.

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20 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

um well she's not Mexican but she is the reason I've lost all this weight. also I'm still unsure what she's really mixed with so yeah. that's what you meant right

Sure, sure.  Well that, and that you're completely addicted.

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3 hours ago, regularguy said:

Who offers -1 run lines besides 5dimes?

You probably already know this, but you can build it yourself (as chainsaw said) anywhere.  Split your bet 1/2 and 1/2.  To Win 1/2 on the money line, and risking 1/2 on the run line.  Then if it falls on one you push as you would on a -1 bet.

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1 hour ago, facook said:

Split your bet 1/2 and 1/2.  To Win 1/2 on the money line, and risking 1/2 on the run line.  Then if it falls on one you push as you would on a -1 bet.

there's an app for that https://www.bangthebook.com/mlb-1-runline-calculator/

Edited by ChainsawU
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M's 40-18-2 O/U this season (1st MLB):
G2: 9-10-1 O/U
Everything else: 31-8-1 O/U

They went under last night in G2. Gonna try the over tonight. Action-junkie style.

Angels/M's o9 -110

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2 hours ago, facook said:

You probably already know this, but you can build it yourself (as chainsaw said) anywhere.  Split your bet 1/2 and 1/2.  To Win 1/2 on the money line, and risking 1/2 on the run line.  Then if it falls on one you push as you would on a -1 bet.

I was told there'd be no math.  :bag: 

Edited by regularguy
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14 minutes ago, regularguy said:

I was told there'd be no math.  :bag: 

Like this

Bet (or Risk) 1/2 of your bet, and the other 1/2 goes in Win.  This example would be for a $60 unit.  $30 in each.

Edited by facook
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16 minutes ago, regularguy said:

I was told there'd be no math.  :bag: 

also

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Thanks @facook and @ChainsawU.  I've been betting more bases than ever which mostly means I've been tailing Gamehunter daily.  I kept seeing those -1 bets and hadn't stopped to figure it out for myself.  Doh. 

 

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10 minutes ago, regularguy said:

Thanks @facook and @ChainsawU.  I've been betting more bases than ever which mostly means I've been tailing Gamehunter daily.  I kept seeing those -1 bets and hadn't stopped to figure it out for myself.  Doh. 

 

All good bro.  We're all always learning in this endeavor.

How's gamehunter been doing?  I tailed him for a while a few years back and just treaded water.

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My favorite was when Gamehunter posted a GOY preseason NBA basketball total and moved the total like 10 points by himself - back when he was really hot and had the entire world tailing him. And I'm not exaggerating, he really called it that. The man wrote the words GOY NBA Preseason Basketball in the same sentence. Did it hit? I don't remember. But that's not the point.

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37 minutes ago, regularguy said:

I've been betting more bases than ever

who's your favorite team right now, have you noticed anything different this season, etc.. also do you watch the actual games (should've been my first question)

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Ben Gamel is a dude, probably my favorite player right now. He has done more clutch stuff in the random games that I've seen him in. And dude has kind of a unique look to him that doesn't yell "badazz clutch mofo" the first time you see him. dude has to be like MLB's best-kept secret or something. I know probably sounds weird

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