Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
The Ref

*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Russian Table Tennis and Korea Baseball

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, swirvenirvin said:

hes screwed me 5 weeks.. need a nice 5 from him

There he is!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
47 minutes ago, Hoos First said:

Come on QB sneak

 

9 minutes ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Where the hell is Jarvis Landry?

I didn’t realize all you had to do around here was ask

  • Laughing 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Martay said:

 

I didn’t realize all you had to do around here was ask

Heeeey Em.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, swirvenirvin said:

browns ml for me

 

only 2nd away game for mason... other was vs 49ers and he was terrible.. somehow pitt has played like 7 home games in a row in you include the chargers where it was 70% pitt fans

 

kitchens is so stupid tho

It's almost like you're good at 'cappin this ish.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, comfortably numb said:

1Q Pit TT o0.5 -135

5th place with avg pts scored in 1Q on the road 

🦄

 

You got effed with that bobbled snap.  Sorry numb.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

 

:doh:

Makes the LSU student section chant of "Suck that Tiger Dick, #####" tame

  • Laughing 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 hours ago, Tiger Fan said:

Makes the LSU student section chant of "Suck that Tiger Dick, #####" tame

hmm Booty Woman call me Tiger all the time. but I don't think she went to college. it keeps life interesanté tho amirite I'm gonna have to ask her for a LSU hat or something

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 11/8/2019 at 8:59 PM, facook said:

What's this now?  Thought you kicked her to the curb? (:you'reneverkickinghertothecurb:)

Remember the 21-year-old woman who used to scan my groceries? I had a daily routine and she "stalked my business hours" and would always go on break during the time she anticipated me being there as a means to spend time with me. And then one day I finally asked her out and she swallowed all my kids a lot. And then she hand made me a gigantic birthday card on my birthday with all of her art supplies. Back when I was dating like 5 women at the same time and she realized I wasn't her "boyfriend" and then I never saw her again. It's been like 4 years. Remember? I saw her at the grocery store today. I saw her! She was eyeballing me and tried to avoid being seen. But I saw her!

none of this was intended to be written as a euphemism

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 4/27/2019 at 5:01 PM, ChainsawU said:

There's this girl I attended public speaking class with who now works for Instacart, a personal shopper at the grocery store. She always says hi. Today when she asked me about my pickle juice I showed her my bone-in rib eye. She was like, "You must have a fancy date tonight." I bet u she wants to be that date.

I saw this chick again today too! For the first time in like MONTHS! Life really does occur in cycles. Like fashion. Clothes go out of style, but if you don't throw them out and keep them in your closet long enough they always come back in style that's what my aunt always says.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Three of Sagarin's 4 systems say that Fresno should be 5-7 point underdogs. One of them says they should be +1 like they are. And the majority of bets are on the home team as the short favorite - with most of those bets paying the juice on the moneyline (SI). Tedford after a loss has been pretty strong. Kinda leaning Fresno what do you think? Tedford 26-11 SU and 24-11-2 ATS as head coach of Fresno State - TIED with Georgia and Clemson for most wins against the spread in all of college football since Tedford became head coach at Fresno.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

Three of Sagarin's 4 systems say that Fresno should be 5-7 point underdogs. One of them says they should be +1 like they are. And the majority of bets are on the home team as the short favorite - with most of those bets paying the juice on the moneyline (SI). Tedford after a loss has been pretty strong. Kinda leaning Fresno what do you think? Tedford 26-11 SU and 24-11-2 ATS as head coach of Fresno State - TIED with Georgia and Clemson for most wins against the spread in all of college football since Tedford became head coach at Fresno.

In on Fresno.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

"It's been a short week getting ready for Marshall this Friday," Louisiana Tech head coach Skip Holtz said when he spoke with the media Tuesday in preparation for Tech's road showdown with the leaders of the CUSA East Division, Marshall Thundering Herd.

Louisiana Tech head coach Skip Holtz 11-7 SU and 12-6 ATS vs CUSA East. He's 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS with the Bulldogs in weekday games and 4-0 SU as the underdog in those games. I have a small hunch they start out slow, so I'm going to wait to buy the moneyline after the end of the 1Q if I can find better value cheers bro.

Louisiana Tech +6½ -108

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ChainsawU said:

Three of Sagarin's 4 systems say that Fresno should be 5-7 point underdogs. One of them says they should be +1 like they are. And the majority of bets are on the home team as the short favorite - with most of those bets paying the juice on the moneyline (SI). Tedford after a loss has been pretty strong. Kinda leaning Fresno what do you think? Tedford 26-11 SU and 24-11-2 ATS as head coach of Fresno State - TIED with Georgia and Clemson for most wins against the spread in all of college football since Tedford became head coach at Fresno.

Stayed away from the side but lean Fresno.  Did play under 42.5 yesterday.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
31 minutes ago, regularguy said:

La Tech missing their starting QB, #1 WR, etc. due to suspension

What in the world is it with these teams running plays with no offensive line, on 4th down no less?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

WVU Mountaineers basketball first road game, have lost 15 of their L17 away..

Pitt +115 2H

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, ChainsawU said:

Remember the 21-year-old woman who used to scan my groceries? I had a daily routine and she "stalked my business hours" and would always go on break during the time she anticipated me being there as a means to spend time with me. And then one day I finally asked her out and she swallowed all my kids a lot. And then she hand made me a gigantic birthday card on my birthday with all of her art supplies. Back when I was dating like 5 women at the same time and she realized I wasn't her "boyfriend" and then I never saw her again. It's been like 4 years. Remember? I saw her at the grocery store today. I saw her! She was eyeballing me and tried to avoid being seen. But I saw her!

  Reveal hidden contents

none of this was intended to be written as a euphemism

 

 

1 hour ago, ChainsawU said:

I saw this chick again today too! For the first time in like MONTHS! Life really does occur in cycles. Like fashion. Clothes go out of style, but if you don't throw them out and keep them in your closet long enough they always come back in style that's what my aunt always says.

I remember Booty woman bro.  I think it's the visual assistance that has done the trick for me.  These pictureless chicks just seem to come and go.  So to speak.   :banned:

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, facook said:

I remember Booty woman bro.  I think it's the visual assistance that has done the trick for me.  These pictureless chicks just seem to come and go.  So to speak.   :banned:

My old business partner used to hear me say that on the phone, "so to speak." I'd say it instead of saying "no pun intended," etc.. He adopted it as part of his own vernacular, but would use it incorrectly. You're such a breath of fresh air. He really thought he sounded smart. Yo I was looking at Rocky Long at home and feel you on that total. Yo what do you have on tap for tonight, my money's on vodka. How is your son's acting career going, y'all getting all ready for Thanksgiving?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, ChainsawU said:

My old business partner used to hear me say that on the phone, "so to speak." I'd say it instead of saying "no pun intended," etc.. He adopted it as part of his own vernacular, but would use it incorrectly. You're such a breath of fresh air. He really thought he sounded smart. Yo I was looking at Rocky Long at home and feel you on that total. Yo what do you have on tap for tonight, my money's on vodka. How is your son's acting career going, y'all getting all ready for Thanksgiving?

:wub:  Thanks man.  Makes me think of this: Say no more.

You are probably right on Rocky since I lean Fresno.  Hope we're right on the total which, true to form, has gone up a point since I bet the under yesterday.

Vodka.  Always and forever.  Thanks for asking about my fam (that's how I know you're a good businessman).  My boy has not acted yet this year.  Hoops tryouts are Monday and Tuesday.  Mostly we've been focusing on teaching him to drive and doing basketball drills in the driveway.  Weather in Oregon has been ridiculously nice for this time of year, while 70% of the country freezes.  That changes in a week or so, but I've sure enjoyed it.  I have a good life.

How are you, other than playing Vag-Roulette?

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, swirvenirvin said:

ill admit it.. i dont find silvas articles that useful anymore

Is it the arrogant ball-licking of pro-"analytics" teams and ish-talking of non-analytics "old-school" teams writing?  It's been going on for 2 years.  He thinks he should be owner/gm/coach and any coach who kicks the field goal on 4th down should be drawn and quartered.  Meanwhile he "picks" the game as 27-24 final score, in favor of the -3 Vegas favorite where the game has a 51 Vegas total.  His "game-flow" predictions are sewage.  DOOOOOSH.

 

 

 

 

:banned: 

  • Laughing 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
40 minutes ago, swirvenirvin said:

ill admit it.. i dont find silvas articles that useful anymore

idk.  I'm still finding it useful in my unders-only approach - 65% ytd on ~250 plays.  Agree on the Air Yards buy low crap, but I'm not looking for breakout guys anyway. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
48 minutes ago, swirvenirvin said:

ill admit it.. i dont find silvas articles that useful anymore

What are you finding useful?  I've got access to Rotoviz via Rotopass but have yet to dig into it and know I'm missing out by not doing so.  Not enough hours and all that.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, regularguy said:

idk.  I'm still finding it useful in my unders-only approach - 65% ytd on ~250 plays.  Agree on the Air Yards buy low crap, but I'm not looking for breakout guys anyway. 

you hitting 65% on unders then i need to stop n subscribe to your stuff

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, regularguy said:

What are you finding useful?  I've got access to Rotoviz via Rotopass but have yet to dig into it and know I'm missing out by not doing so.  Not enough hours and all that.

like rich hriber stuff a lot, ta for his tnf stuff

winks, hartitz

 

use vitz a ton for gameflow home away splits

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, swirvenirvin said:

you hitting 65% on unders then i need to stop n subscribe to your stuff

Not much different % than prior years when mostly tailing you.  I just don't play overs unless I have a bad line like a 0.5 rec lower.  Makes for a smaller card but more focused & less time-consuming prep. work. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Over the years under Gary Patterson's leadership, the Horned Frogs have been known for their defense, and the numbers don't lie. Right now, TCU ranks No. 1 in the Big 12 in total defense and many other stats. But, there is one stat that can change the outcome of any game - turnover margin. As of games played through Nov 09, 2019 - the Red Raiders are No. 1 in the Big 12 in turnover margin with a plus-nine stat, while TCU comes in at No. 8 with a negative-five... Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan has been a turnover machine as of late, tossing six picks in the past two games. So, if Duffey continues to protect the ball and if the Red Raider defense continues to force turnovers - Tech could be in for a big win at home.

Gary Patterson's opponents that have averaged less than 42 ppg have gone 28-7-3 ATS (avg line +3) when they scored more than 21 points on TCU's defense in home/neutral site games outside of Ft. Worth.

Texas Tech +3½ -105

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The Wyoming style isn't sexy, but it works. When they run for more than 160 yards they're 6-0 and then 0-3 when they don't. Utah State will never have the ball, is last in the nation in time of possession, and is going to have a problem with the Wyoming pass rush.

On the other side, Wyoming's TOP averages 30:09 per game. During the L5 seasons, Utah State Aggies have gone 24-12-1 to the over against teams who possess the ball less than 32 minutes per game on average and 13-2-1 at home.

Wyoming/Utah State o50 -105

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 hours ago, ChainsawU said:

Sagarin lists LTech as the road fave :confused:

Damn buddy jet lag got me or I would have mentioned the news.  Now that said - I have a local that charges peanuts to buy the 7 so I bought a half unit “for action” and ended up in bed at 8:15.

 

Edited by The Ref

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Now here is the thing.  I follow the tweet storms the covers crew puts out in sat mornings fairly religiously and feel like I do well taking in the information they put out.  I find myself asking the question as to why they put the below out last night.  Now I’m looking at all my outs and even though OSU covering 35 is the “biggest decision of the day” they are all hanging 34.5 unjuiced.

Per @WilliamHillUS Nick Bogdanovich, OhioSt-Rutgers first half might be decision of day in #CFB. "We need Scarlet Knights, gonna need 'em big, especially in first half." OhioSt -35 first half. One bet to win $50K. Also: "6 figures in parlays & mounting, all first half." @Covers

Why am I so lucky?  Something isn’t adding up

Edited by The Ref

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Guess my late research is focused on the big spreads.  In the vain of my other fade plays UMass has completely given up.  They are a D3 team masqueradeing as a D1 team this year (and who was the one team they beat?   Akron.....).  

Army hadn’t dropped more than 33 on a D1 team year this year (Tulane, which is a bit of a surprise) and then hammered ZooMass 63-7 last week.

northwestern Has had a tough go if it this year for sure but they have faced good/great teams all season and haven’t had any real “laydown blowouts” on the resume.  

Northwestern can hang 35 on UMass in the 1H

NW -26 1H

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
29 minutes ago, swirvenirvin said:

Damn kanter couldn't score a pt per minute or get a rebound per minute either

I must have forgot to hit submit on this last night :kicksrock:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, swirvenirvin said:

one local cancelled cause must start :(

Ah that might have been it, don’t even see that in my history though 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 hours ago, swirvenirvin said:

ill admit it.. i dont find silvas articles that useful anymore

I think he writes it too early, there's 1-2 games every week with key injuries and the writeups are obsolete

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Mizzou not commonly a dog at home. Jeez look at that home record. Not trying to touch that one :lol:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Dan Lambskin said:

Congrats Sparty ML backers 

Congrats Michigan backers, easy 2h, 1 td and it's a cover, should be no sweat, count that money now

  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.