I think that is greatly underestimating Luck's upside. 200-2 is his ceiling? I'd argue that 200-2 is Hilton's ceiling. The Vikings are not a bad matchup right now, their defense is nowhere near the same without Harrison Smith. They went from elite to good. A to B-. I think Taylor is being overrated as well, its entirely possible he has 20 pass attempts this week. Unless he has a rushing score, which is certainly possible, but tough to count on, it s easy to see Taylor outside the top-10.