palmerville
Footballguy
Setup:
Thought it would be entertaining to write a small script that uses the FBG projections to blindly generate lineups that I would play in cash games. This is basically extending the interactive value chart functionality that fills in partial lineup to generate the full optimal lineup given each projection. So take every possible valid lineup combination and score it for each prediction (DD, MT, SB, AV). Play the highest scoring lineup of each.
Data starts in week 4 as that's when I had the idea. Deposited $25 in both Yahoo and Fanduel.
Ending up playing in over 400 contests, hope the results are interesting.
Rules:
Fanduel:
Contests
226
Wins
155
Losses
71
Avg AV Score
133.69
Avg DD Score
129.85
Avg MT Score
124.37
Avg SB Score
119.51
Avg Win
137.18
Avg Loss
103.02
Min Win
96.94
Max Loss
129.78
AV
DD
MT
SB
Wins
49
42
30
34
Losses
18
13
22
18
%
73%
76%
58%
65%
Starting bankroll: $25.00
Ending bankroll: $245.45
Yahoo:
Contests
179
Wins
111
Losses
68
Avg AV Score
118.44
Avg DD Score
122.48
Avg MT Score
126.12
Avg SB Score
118.18
Avg Win
130.16
Avg Loss
101.86
Min Win
101.94
Max Loss
131.52
AV
DD
MT
SB
Wins
24
27
33
27
Losses
26
16
9
16
%
48%
63%
79%
63%
Starting bankroll: $25.00
Ending bankroll: $64.28
Conclusion:
Bankroll was subject to wild swings as it would go for a few weeks winning 100% and then followed by just as many weeks where it would win 0%. Also not every prediction (DD, MT, SB, AV) preformed as well as the others. For Fanduel, AV and DD were clear winners with SB lagging.
Full weekly lineup results:
Fanduel
Yahoo
AV
DD
MT
SB
AV
DD
MT
SB
4
126.70
108.10
122.34
138.02
144.20
149.20
134.44
134.44
5
130.24
131.64
132.94
106.14
124.20
153.00
111.80
112.38
6
122.08
129.78
102.88
113.48
134.58
138.74
121.38
129.28
7
150.28
143.02
137.48
138.48
135.32
131.52
131.82
129.94
8
122.38
122.12
109.90
78.48
97.38
108.18
114.18
69.78
9
154.48
104.14
166.48
141.71
132.88
132.88
167.98
131.28
10
156.84
160.84
136.52
139.82
108.04
124.24
143.74
106.24
11
110.58
139.58
85.48
115.08
117.24
117.78
139.90
168.28
12
119.64
96.94
89.24
106.14
88.14
101.94
102.82
111.84
13
156.96
146.26
151.96
144.98
133.46
132.06
133.06
122.62
14
151.34
154.24
113.32
127.24
110.64
99.94
76.54
108.34
15
100.34
94.46
114.84
84.58
91.18
86.80
106.98
100.04
16
147.46
152.52
155.42
140.38
124.82
135.72
139.92
128.82
17
122.40
134.20
122.40
98.62
116.10
102.70
141.10
101.18
133.69
129.85
124.37
119.51
118.44
122.48
126.12
118.18
Thought it would be entertaining to write a small script that uses the FBG projections to blindly generate lineups that I would play in cash games. This is basically extending the interactive value chart functionality that fills in partial lineup to generate the full optimal lineup given each projection. So take every possible valid lineup combination and score it for each prediction (DD, MT, SB, AV). Play the highest scoring lineup of each.
Data starts in week 4 as that's when I had the idea. Deposited $25 in both Yahoo and Fanduel.
Ending up playing in over 400 contests, hope the results are interesting.
Rules:
- Only play 50/50 and Double-up cash games
- Only play main slate games
- Wager 75% of bankroll every week
- Enter contents ranging from $1 - $50
- Play 4 lineups (DD, MT, SB, AV) in each site. Multiple contests per lineup.
- Equally divide wager across the 4 lineups
- Set lineups at 11:15 (Central)
Fanduel:
Contests
226
Wins
155
Losses
71
Avg AV Score
133.69
Avg DD Score
129.85
Avg MT Score
124.37
Avg SB Score
119.51
Avg Win
137.18
Avg Loss
103.02
Min Win
96.94
Max Loss
129.78
AV
DD
MT
SB
Wins
49
42
30
34
Losses
18
13
22
18
%
73%
76%
58%
65%
Starting bankroll: $25.00
Ending bankroll: $245.45
Yahoo:
Contests
179
Wins
111
Losses
68
Avg AV Score
118.44
Avg DD Score
122.48
Avg MT Score
126.12
Avg SB Score
118.18
Avg Win
130.16
Avg Loss
101.86
Min Win
101.94
Max Loss
131.52
AV
DD
MT
SB
Wins
24
27
33
27
Losses
26
16
9
16
%
48%
63%
79%
63%
Starting bankroll: $25.00
Ending bankroll: $64.28
Conclusion:
Bankroll was subject to wild swings as it would go for a few weeks winning 100% and then followed by just as many weeks where it would win 0%. Also not every prediction (DD, MT, SB, AV) preformed as well as the others. For Fanduel, AV and DD were clear winners with SB lagging.
Full weekly lineup results:
Fanduel
Yahoo
AV
DD
MT
SB
AV
DD
MT
SB
4
126.70
108.10
122.34
138.02
144.20
149.20
134.44
134.44
5
130.24
131.64
132.94
106.14
124.20
153.00
111.80
112.38
6
122.08
129.78
102.88
113.48
134.58
138.74
121.38
129.28
7
150.28
143.02
137.48
138.48
135.32
131.52
131.82
129.94
8
122.38
122.12
109.90
78.48
97.38
108.18
114.18
69.78
9
154.48
104.14
166.48
141.71
132.88
132.88
167.98
131.28
10
156.84
160.84
136.52
139.82
108.04
124.24
143.74
106.24
11
110.58
139.58
85.48
115.08
117.24
117.78
139.90
168.28
12
119.64
96.94
89.24
106.14
88.14
101.94
102.82
111.84
13
156.96
146.26
151.96
144.98
133.46
132.06
133.06
122.62
14
151.34
154.24
113.32
127.24
110.64
99.94
76.54
108.34
15
100.34
94.46
114.84
84.58
91.18
86.80
106.98
100.04
16
147.46
152.52
155.42
140.38
124.82
135.72
139.92
128.82
17
122.40
134.20
122.40
98.62
116.10
102.70
141.10
101.18
133.69
129.85
124.37
119.51
118.44
122.48
126.12
118.18